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nycchic.bsky.social
I Love NYC
@nycchic.bsky.social
590 followers 890 following 130 posts
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nycchic.bsky.social
I Love NYC @nycchic.bsky.social · Nov 26
Hope, Faith and Peace for the last of 2024 and the coming years! May our Creator and all beings of light hold us through these turbulent times🙏🏽💙🧜🏽‍♀️
“Procura por os bons caminhos,estradas de luz y paz
A gente não tem que ter muito, a gente precisa ser mas”
'botei uma flor na janela...'
YouTube video by angelo de souza
youtu.be
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Jun 15
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-06-15T19:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Jun 15 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 15-Jun 17 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 15-Jun 17 2025 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 00-03UT 2.00 4.00 4.00 03-06UT 1.67 3.00 3.67 06-09UT 2.00 3.00 3.33 09-12UT 3.00 2.67 3.00 12-15UT 3.33 2.33 2.33 15-18UT 2.00 3.33 2.33 18-21UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 2.00 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 15-16 Jun due to CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 15-Jun 17 2025 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 S1 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 15-17 Jun. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jun 14 2025 2301 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 15-Jun 17 2025 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 R1-R2 55% 55% 55% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 15-17 Jun. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
June 15, 2025 at 8:01 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
uncleduke1969.bsky.social Uncle Duke @uncleduke1969.bsky.social · Jun 3
“WHO YOU CALLING A BUNCH OF PANSIES?!?”
Patch of pansy flowers seeming to have angry faces.
June 4, 2025 at 12:12 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · May 29
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-05-29T01:30:19Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 29 0110 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 2563 Issue Time: 2025 May 29 0113 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2025 May 29 0110 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 May 29 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 29-May 31 2025 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown May 29-May 31 2025 May 29 May 30 May 31 00-03UT 4.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 4.33 4.33 2.33 06-09UT 3.67 4.33 3.67 09-12UT 3.00 3.67 2.00 12-15UT 2.67 2.33 2.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.67 18-21UT 2.00 2.00 2.67 21-00UT 3.33 2.67 2.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 29-May 31 2025 May 29 May 30 May 31 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 29-31 May. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for May 29-May 31 2025 May 29 May 30 May 31 R1-R2 50% 50% 50% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for isolated R3 (Strong or greater) events over 29-31 May. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
May 29, 2025 at 1:36 AM
Reposted by I Love NYC
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-05-18T08:40:10Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 18 0834 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 1773 Issue Time: 2025 May 18 0835 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2025 May 18 0834 UTC Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 May 18 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale G2). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 18-May 20 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown May 18-May 20 2025 May 18 May 19 May 20 00-03UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67 03-06UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 2.67 06-09UT 4.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 2.67 12-15UT 3.67 3.67 3.00 15-18UT 4.33 4.00 3.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.33 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.00 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 18-19 May due to influence form a positive polarity CH HSS. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 18-May 20 2025 May 18 May 19 May 20 S1 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for May 18-May 20 2025 May 18 May 19 May 20 R1-R2 35% 35% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 18-20 May. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
May 18, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by I Love NYC
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-04-17T01:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Apr 17 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale G4). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 17-Apr 19 2025 is 6.33 (NOAA Scale G2). NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 17-Apr 19 2025 Apr 17 Apr 18 Apr 19 00-03UT 6.33 (G2) 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.33 2.00 06-09UT 5.33 (G1) 3.00 2.67 09-12UT 4.33 3.00 2.33 12-15UT 3.33 2.67 2.33 15-18UT 3.33 3.00 2.33 18-21UT 3.33 3.00 2.33 21-00UT 3.33 3.00 2.33 Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 17 Apr due to CME influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 17-Apr 19 2025 Apr 17 Apr 18 Apr 19 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 17-Apr 19 2025 Apr 17 Apr 18 Apr 19 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) or greater radio blackouts are likely on 17-19 Apr. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
April 17, 2025 at 1:04 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Apr 3
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-04-03T19:50:10Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Apr 03 1943 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Apr 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 2007 Issue Time: 2025 Apr 03 1943 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2025 Apr 03 1943 UTC Valid To: 2025 Apr 04 0600 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Apr 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 03-Apr 05 2025 Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05 00-03UT 3.67 1.00 5.00 (G1) 03-06UT 3.00 1.00 4.00 06-09UT 4.00 2.33 3.67 09-12UT 3.67 3.67 3.33 12-15UT 3.00 3.33 2.33 15-18UT 3.67 3.33 2.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.67 2.67 21-00UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 2.67 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 04-05 Apr due to anticipated recurrent coronal hole activity. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025 Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05 S1 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 03-05 Apr, primarily due to the flare potential from Region 4048. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025 Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05 R1-R2 70% 70% 70% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely over 03-05 Apr, primarily due to the flare potential from Region 4048. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
April 3, 2025 at 8:15 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Mar 14
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-03-14T01:50:05Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Mar 14 0142 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06 Serial Number: 618 Issue Time: 2025 Mar 14 0141 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 Threshold Reached: 2025 Mar 14 0142 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Mar 14 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 14-Mar 16 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 14-Mar 16 2025 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 16 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.33 03-06UT 4.00 4.00 3.33 06-09UT 4.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 4.33 3.67 2.00 12-15UT 4.00 3.67 3.00 15-18UT 4.33 3.33 3.33 18-21UT 4.33 4.00 3.00 21-00UT 4.00 4.00 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) storming is expected on 14 Mar due to CH HSS activity. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 14-Mar 16 2025 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 16 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 14-Mar 16 2025 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 16 R1-R2 45% 45% 45% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for M-Class (R1-R2 Minor-Moderate) flaring 14-16 Mar. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
March 14, 2025 at 2:02 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Mar 9
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-03-09T03:00:07Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Mar 09 0255 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 1707 Issue Time: 2025 Mar 09 0257 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2025 Mar 09 0255 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Mar 09 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 00-03UT 3.33 4.00 3.67 03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 3.67 06-09UT 3.67 4.00 3.33 09-12UT 3.67 3.33 3.33 12-15UT 3.00 3.00 3.33 15-18UT 2.33 3.00 3.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.67 3.67 21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on 09-10 Mar due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 09-11 Mar. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
March 9, 2025 at 3:04 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
informative.ink Tony Clark @informative.ink · Mar 1
The next time you're watching a sunset, if you have a clear view all around you, give yourself a treat and turn 180 degrees to face the antisolar point.

It's glorious on its own. But you might get lucky and see some anticrepuscular rays, too.
Image from an iPhone of the blue, gold, and orange antisolar point at sunset, in winter in the Sonoran desert, with parallel anticrepuscular rays appearing to converge.
March 1, 2025 at 7:11 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Feb 9
A minor (G1) geomagnetic storm is currently in progress. Threshold was reached at 20:41 UTC (Feb 9).
February 9, 2025 at 9:12 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Feb 3
Near X-Flare (M8.8) produced by AR 3981 peaking at 03:58 UTC (Feb 3). The flare was impulsive and a noteworthy CME is unlikely from this event. Additional flaring likely as the region increases in both size and magnetic complexity.
February 3, 2025 at 4:40 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Feb 2
M4.1 solar flare produced by Aar 3981 peaking at 23:24 UTC (Feb 2). SolarHam.com
February 2, 2025 at 11:53 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Feb 2
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-02-02T16:00:07Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 02 1550 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 02 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 1969 Issue Time: 2025 Feb 02 1551 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2025 Feb 02 1550 UTC Valid To: 2025 Feb 02 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Feb 02 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 02-Feb 04 2025 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 02-Feb 04 2025 Feb 02 Feb 03 Feb 04 00-03UT 3.67 2.33 2.00 03-06UT 4.00 2.67 2.00 06-09UT 3.67 3.00 3.00 09-12UT 3.33 2.67 4.00 12-15UT 4.00 2.00 4.00 15-18UT 3.67 2.33 3.33 18-21UT 4.33 2.00 3.33 21-00UT 4.00 2.00 3.67 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 02-Feb 04 2025 Feb 02 Feb 03 Feb 04 S1 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over the next three days. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Feb 02 2025 1012 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 02-Feb 04 2025 Feb 02 Feb 03 Feb 04 R1-R2 55% 55% 55% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels (R1/R2-Minor/Moderate radio blackouts), with a slight chance for isolated X-Class (R3-Strong) events, over 02 - 04 Feb, primarily due to potential from an active region cluster in the Suns NE quadrant. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
February 2, 2025 at 4:23 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Jan 22
A minor (G1) geomagnetic storm watch is officially in effect beginning late Jan 24th and into the 25th. This is the result of combined effects of two coronal mass ejections possibly passing Earth. The second event from Wednesday morning following a filament eruption should be more geoffective.
January 22, 2025 at 11:33 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Jan 21
A CME was produced by the M3.3 eruption in the SE quadrant this morning. This image courtesy of STEREO-A shows that the bulk of plasma is heading to the SE and away from Earth. There is a gap in available imagery by LASCO, so new imagery will required if an Earth directed component is associated.
January 21, 2025 at 6:53 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
myradar.bsky.social MyRadar @myradar.bsky.social · Jan 21
Yes, that is a Blizzard Warning in LOUISIANA (in effect until Noon CST).

This is the area’s first EVER Blizzard Warning.
January 21, 2025 at 2:18 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
solarham.bsky.social Space Weather by SolarHam @solarham.bsky.social · Jan 15
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) is currently being observed at high latitudes due to an enhanced solar wind stream. Aurora sky watchers around the polar zones should be alert if dark outside.
January 15, 2025 at 4:52 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
wutangforchildren.bsky.social WuTangIsForTheChildren @wutangforchildren.bsky.social · Jan 13
So badass…salute to all the pilots and crews out there doing this amazing work on the LA fires
January 13, 2025 at 3:23 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
sethabramson.bsky.social Seth Abramson @sethabramson.bsky.social · Jan 8
The clearest image of Pluto ever, from NASA.
January 8, 2025 at 10:58 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Jan 6
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-01-06T02:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Jan 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 06-Jan 08 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 06-Jan 08 2025 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 00-03UT 3.33 4.00 2.33 03-06UT 3.00 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.67 2.67 2.67 09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.67 15-18UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 2.00 21-00UT 3.33 2.67 2.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 periods remain likely on 06 Jan due to glancing blow effects from a CME. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was above S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 06-Jan 08 2025 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 S1 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: A slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms exists through the period. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 05 2025 0239 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 06-Jan 08 2025 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 R1-R2 75% 75% 60% R3 or greater 25% 25% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a chance for isolated R3 (Strong) or greater events through 07 Jan, as AR 3947 continues to mature. R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on 08 Jan. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
January 6, 2025 at 3:24 AM
nycchic.bsky.social
okx.nws-bot.us Alerts from NWS New York NY (UNOFFICIAL) @okx.nws-bot.us · Jan 5
OKX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jan 5, 3:43 PM EST ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.
January 5, 2025 at 9:04 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
It’s been over a week now with non-stop solar flares. Know that these affect our psyche… Be aware
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Jan 5
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-01-05T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Jan 05 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 00-03UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.33 06-09UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 09-12UT 3.67 2.33 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 3.33 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 periods remain likely on 05 Jan as CH HSS effects persist. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was above S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 S1 or greater 99% 25% 10% Rationale: An S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm is expected to continue on 05 Jan. A return to background-like conditions is expected by 06 Jan where a slight chance for an event will remain for 07 Jan. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 04 2025 1248 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 R1-R2 75% 75% 75% R3 or greater 25% 25% 25% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a chance for isolated R3 (Strong) or greater events through 07 Jan, as AR 3947 continues to mature and a number of active regions approach the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
January 5, 2025 at 8:57 PM
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aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Jan 4
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-01-04T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Jan 04 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 04-Jan 06 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 04-Jan 06 2025 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 00-03UT 2.67 3.00 3.00 03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.67 06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 2.67 09-12UT 4.33 3.33 2.33 12-15UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.00 15-18UT 4.00 2.33 2.33 18-21UT 3.67 2.67 2.67 21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are expected on 04 Jan, first due to lingering CME effects, then to positive polarity CH HSS effects. G1 conditions are likely to continue into 05 Jan as CH HSS influence persists. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 04-Jan 06 2025 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: A slight chance for an S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm event will persist through 06 Jan given the current total disk potential. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 03 2025 2241 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 04-Jan 06 2025 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 R1-R2 65% 65% 65% R3 or greater 20% 20% 20% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, through 06 Jan as M-flares continue and Region 3947 continues to evolve. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
January 4, 2025 at 8:17 PM
nycchic.bsky.social
aurora.nws-bot.us Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · Jan 2
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-01-02T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Jan 02 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale G4). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 02-Jan 04 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 02-Jan 04 2025 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 00-03UT 3.67 2.67 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 2.33 3.33 06-09UT 3.33 1.33 2.67 09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 1.33 2.33 12-15UT 4.67 (G1) 1.00 2.00 15-18UT 4.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 3.00 2.67 1.67 21-00UT 2.67 4.00 1.67 Rationale: Unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm levels are expected for the rest of the UTC day on 02 Jan as CME activity persists. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2025 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A slight chance for an S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm event will persist through 03 Jan given the current total disk potential. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 01 2025 1817 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2025 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 R1-R2 75% 75% 70% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: M-class flares are expected (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate), with a slight chance for isolated X-class flares (R3/Strong) through 03 Jan, primarily due to the flare potential of Region 3936. M-class flares are likely on 04 Jan as Region 3936 rotates further beyond the NW limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
January 2, 2025 at 8:07 PM