pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu
@pesumatti.bsky.social
1.9K followers 360 following 86 posts
Senior Research Fellow, Finnish Institute of International Affairs Finland, Northern Europe, NATO
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · 8d
Ulkopolitiikan tutkimuksen apurahahaku on jälleen auki.

Rahoitusta haettavana Suomen ulkopolitiikkaa koskevaan väitöstyöhön.

Haettavissa myös stipendejä väitöstutkimukseen liittyviin slaavilaisten kielten - esim ukrainan - opintoihin.

Lisätietoja: ulkopolitiikantutkimus.fi/7201
Ulkopolitiikan tutkimuksen säätiön väitösapuraha haettavissa 1.10.2025-31.10.2025.
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
fiia.fi
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · Jun 19
Ulkopoliittinen instituutti katsoo toimineensa asianmukaisesti Oliver Stubbin rekrytointiprosessissa.

UPIn johtajan Hiski Haukkalan lausunto korkeakouluharjoittelijan rekrytointiin liittyen:

fiia.fi/ajankohtaist...
Ulkopoliittisen instituutin johtajan Hiski Haukkalan lausunto korkeakouluharjoittelijan rekrytointiin liittyen - FIIA - Finnish Institute of International Affairs
Ulkopoliittinen instituutti noudattaa kaikessa toiminnassaan hyvää hallintotapaa.
fiia.fi
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · May 31
In his first big speech, Hegseth, in a message to Indo-Pacific allies, cited (the PATHETIC) Europe as a positive example of increasing defense spending.

www.ft.com/content/bee0...
Pete Hegseth warns Chinese military action against Taiwan ‘could be imminent’
Beijing says US defence secretary is trying to instigate confrontation and stir up the region
www.ft.com
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · May 28
"Yet, a paradox exists. Currently, French nuclear doctrine doesn’t align with another ambition: European strategic autonomy. If the engagement with European allies must “go further,” France’s doctrine should change as well"

warontherocks.com/2025/05/ever...
Everything Changes but Nothing Changes: Can France Overcome its Own Nuclear Doctrine? - War on the Rocks
In a recent interview broadcast live on French television, President Emmanuel Macron declared: Ever since there has been a nuclear doctrine since Charles
warontherocks.com
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
fiia.fi
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · Apr 25
Miten eurooppalaista ydinpelotetta voidaan vahvistaa, ja mitä riskejä ja mahdollisuuksia siihen liittyy?

UPIn paneelissa aiheesta keskustelivat Tapio Juntunen @juntta.bsky.social sekä UPIn tutkijat Jyri Lavikainen, Iro Särkkä ja @pesumatti.bsky.social

Katso tallenne ⬇️
fiia.fi/en/tapahtuma...
Iro Särkkä (on the left), Jyri Lavikainen, Tapio Juntunen and Matti Pesu in FIIA panel called the possibilities and challenges of the European nuclear deterrence.
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
fiia.fi
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · Apr 3
Miten Suomi turvataan?

Ensimmäinen #FIIAForum2025 paneelissa syvennyttiin tähän kysymykseen Outi Holopaisen, @pesumatti.bsky.social, @heljaossa.bsky.social, Harri Mikkolan ja Iro Särkän kanssa.

Nykyisessä turvallisuustilanteessa painottuu erityisesti 🇫🇮 kokonaisturvallisuusmalli ja resilienssi.
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
ottosvendsen.bsky.social
Otto Svendsen @ottosvendsen.bsky.social · Apr 3
Gen Cavoli in Senate Armed Services hearing:

"From my perspective, as both SACEUR and EUCOM Commander, I have all the access and basing rights I need (in Greenland) to prosecute operations in the High North"

www.c-span.org/program/sena...
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
fiia.fi
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · Apr 3
Lue lisää päivän keskustelujen aiheesta tuoreesta FIIA Research Paperista, jonka ovat kirjoittaneet Harri Mikkola, @pesumatti.bsky.social, Tuomas Iso-Markku ja @charlyjsp.bsky.social. ⤵️
Miten Suomi turvataan? | FIIA
Kansallisessa turvallisuudessa Suomen tulee varautua pahimpaan ja hyödyntää omia vahvuuksiaan, liittolais- ja kumppaniverkostoaan sekä EU:n mahdollisuuksia.
fiia.fi
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Apr 1
Uudessa @fiia.fi -tutkimuspaperissamme arvioidaan perustavanlaatuista kysymystä: miten Suomi turvataan?

Analysoimme tekstissä valikoituja kansallisen turvallisuuden kulmakiviä, joiden varaan Suomi turvallisuuttaan rakentaa.

fiia.fi/julkaisu/mit...
Miten Suomi turvataan? | FIIA
Kansallisessa turvallisuudessa Suomen tulee varautua pahimpaan ja hyödyntää omia vahvuuksiaan, liittolais- ja kumppaniverkostoaan sekä EU:n mahdollisuuksia.
fiia.fi
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Apr 1
"Instead of building forces for a range of potential scenarios across multiple theaters, allies are being asked to focus primarily on fulfilling roles earmarked to them under the operational plans."

www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
Why NATO’s Defence Planning Process will transform the Alliance for decades to come
The NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP) is little known outside defense ministries. But today this process is driving the most consequential shift in European and Canadian defense in the last two gen...
www.atlanticcouncil.org
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Apr 1
Teesimme?

Vaikka Suomen kansainvälinen asema on edelleen vahva ja sen kansallisen turvallisuuden työkalut hyvässä kunnossa, maa saattaa elää historiallisen hyvän asemansa huippukohtaa. Turvallisuuden takaaminen vaatii entistä enemmän kansallisia ja liittolaisten resursseja.
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Apr 1
Uudessa @fiia.fi -tutkimuspaperissamme arvioidaan perustavanlaatuista kysymystä: miten Suomi turvataan?

Analysoimme tekstissä valikoituja kansallisen turvallisuuden kulmakiviä, joiden varaan Suomi turvallisuuttaan rakentaa.

fiia.fi/julkaisu/mit...
Miten Suomi turvataan? | FIIA
Kansallisessa turvallisuudessa Suomen tulee varautua pahimpaan ja hyödyntää omia vahvuuksiaan, liittolais- ja kumppaniverkostoaan sekä EU:n mahdollisuuksia.
fiia.fi
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
pekkavirkki.bsky.social
Pekka Virkki @pekkavirkki.bsky.social · Mar 25
”Pesun mukaan kahdenvälisiä suhteita voi tiettyyn pisteeseen asti korostaa, mutta lopulta Suomi on osa Eurooppaa. Mikäli Trump päättää, että Eurooppa saa jäädä omilleen, ei siinä Suomen erityissuhteella ole paljon sijaa.”

@pesumatti.bsky.social
Asiantuntija: Suomen johto ostaa nyt aikaa Trumpin suhteen – Tehtiinkö presidentistä virhearvio?
Tekikö Suomen poliittinen johto virhearvion Trumpista? Nyt valtionjohto ostaa aikaa presidentin suhteen. Etenkin yksi asia Trumpin käänteissä yllätti: ”En kyllä odottanut.”
www.iltalehti.fi
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
alanderminna.bsky.social
Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · Mar 22
Three years of Zeitwende have failed to even put Germany onto the mental horizon of researchers not focused on Germany in Northern Europe.

This piece by colleague @pesumatti.bsky.social has many interesting elements, but one of them to me is that Germany only gets a mention as a potential liability
Two Years in NATO, Finland is Searching for a Plan B
Just two years after joining NATO and forging an alliance with the United States, Finland finds itself compelled to consider alternative plans to ensure its security.
rusi.org
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
fiia.fi
Finnish Institute of International Affairs @fiia.fi · Mar 21
Miten Suomi turvataan muuttuvassa turvallisuusympäristössä?

Siihen syvennytään ensimmäisessä #FIIAForum2025 paneelissa 3.4., kun lavalle astuvat Outi Holopainen, Harri Mikkola, @heljaossa.bsky.social ja @pesumatti.bsky.social. Iro Särkkä moderoi.

Ilmoittaudu livestriimiin ➡️ fiia.fi/tapahtumat/f...
FIIA Forum 2025 ad photo with a pattern of purple polygons. An aerial photo of Finland's coastline is framed into three of the polygons. The text "FIIA Forum 2025: The key challenges and direction of Finnish foreign and security policy, LIVESTREAM 3 April 2025, 14:00-17:30 EET " is written in the middle of the photo. The text "#FIIAForum2025" is on the upper right corner.
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
staffand.bsky.social
Staffan Dahl @staffand.bsky.social · Mar 17
Very interesting commentary highlighting ”Nordic Plus” (UK and/or France) as the best option for Finland.
rusi.bsky.social
RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · Mar 17
'Ukraine's experience demonstrates that Finland can only successfully deter Russia with external support' write @pesumatti.bsky.social and Dr Tomas Wallenius in the latest #RUSICommentary.
Two Years in NATO, Finland is Searching for a Plan B
Just two years after joining NATO and forging an alliance with the United States, Finland finds itself compelled to consider alternative plans to ensure its security.
rusi.org
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · Mar 17
"What would a possible [Finnish] Plan B look like? It can be summed up as ‘Nordic Plus’... Finnish leaders will likely turn to Sweden, Norway, the United Kingdom, and, potentially, France." rusi.org/explore-our-...
Two Years in NATO, Finland is Searching for a Plan B
Just two years after joining NATO and forging an alliance with the United States, Finland finds itself compelled to consider alternative plans to ensure its security.
rusi.org
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
rusi.bsky.social
RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · Mar 17
'Ukraine's experience demonstrates that Finland can only successfully deter Russia with external support' write @pesumatti.bsky.social and Dr Tomas Wallenius in the latest #RUSICommentary.
Two Years in NATO, Finland is Searching for a Plan B
Just two years after joining NATO and forging an alliance with the United States, Finland finds itself compelled to consider alternative plans to ensure its security.
rusi.org
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Mar 17
The ring model is spot on! Very well put.
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Mar 17
New piece by Tomas Wallenius and me:

Two years into NATO, Finland faces an ironic reality. For many, joining was the final step in anchoring Finland to the West. Now, with Trump's uncertain commitment to Europe, it must consider alternatives to its US alliance.
rusi.bsky.social
RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · Mar 17
'Ukraine's experience demonstrates that Finland can only successfully deter Russia with external support' write @pesumatti.bsky.social and Dr Tomas Wallenius in the latest #RUSICommentary.
Two Years in NATO, Finland is Searching for a Plan B
Just two years after joining NATO and forging an alliance with the United States, Finland finds itself compelled to consider alternative plans to ensure its security.
rusi.org
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Feb 19
"[Trump] and his allies see the cost of defending Europe as too high, given other needs. Coming to some kind of accommodation with Moscow, in this view, would allow the United States to bring home more troops or shift national security resources toward China"

www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/u...
Trump’s Pivot Toward Putin’s Russia Upends Generations of U.S. Policy
As peace talks opened in Saudi Arabia, President Trump made clear that the days of isolating Russia are over and suggested that Ukraine was to blame for being invaded.
www.nytimes.com
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mijrahman.bsky.social
Mujtaba Rahman @mijrahman.bsky.social · Feb 17
Europe should view Trump’s wrecking ball approach to Nato and negotiations with Russia on the Ukraine war as “an opportunity”, not just a threat, President Emmanuel Macron will tell a hastily convened informal summit of European leaders at the Elysée Palace today. 1/
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glcarlstrom.bsky.social
Gregg Carlstrom @glcarlstrom.bsky.social · Feb 17
"One reason European imaginations are running wild is that Trump clearly has no oven-ready peace plan. 'The Americans are completely chaotic,' says one insider. Ukraine policy is a cacophony... no one knows who speaks for Trump." www.economist.com/internationa...
Donald Trump’s assault on Europe
His invitation to Vladimir Putin to make a deal over Ukraine has thrown the transatlantic alliance into turmoil
www.economist.com
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Reposted by Matti Pesu
shashj.bsky.social
Shashank Joshi @shashj.bsky.social · Feb 16
This is right. Trump faces real, actual trade-offs too. Bad deal that falls apart fast or Zelensky rejects? Stronger deal that requires coercing Russia and co-operating with Europeans on security guarantees? He’s not a master diplomat. Helsinki 2018 was disaster. North Korean summits fizzled.
jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · Feb 16
I guess, but Trump is one for big gestures (remember the Kim summits?), then he gets bogged down in the detail. I don't think this will fizzle like North Korea, but it will become more difficult.
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pesumatti.bsky.social
Matti Pesu @pesumatti.bsky.social · Feb 16
Lastly, if a European presence were part of a negotiated solution with Russia, Moscow would need to abandon its demands for Ukraine’s demilitarization. In other words, this would definitely be one of the issues where the West must be willing to apply coercive pressure.
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