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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 22h

More great work from @gelliottmorris.com and the @verasight.bsky.social team on synthetic samples. The area where it is probably most enthusiastically embraced is market research ... turns out it doesn't work well for simulating consumer behavior either www.verasight.io/reports/coff...

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 6d

some more work from me here for the academic crowd interested in "ai polling"

Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · 6d

In Verasight’s second synthetic data paper, @gelliottmorris.com, Ben Leff and @peterenns.bsky.social find that the performance of synthetic samples does not consistently improve (and can perform worse) with additional administrative data or real survey responses. Link in the thread.

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Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · 6d

In Verasight’s second synthetic data paper, @gelliottmorris.com, Ben Leff and @peterenns.bsky.social find that the performance of synthetic samples does not consistently improve (and can perform worse) with additional administrative data or real survey responses. Link in the thread.

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · 11d

Awesome seeing @verasight.bsky.social mentioned in Paul Krugman and @gelliottmorris.com's conversation!

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11d

in which paul krugman and i talk about politics and things: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/talking-ag...

Talking (Again) With G. Elliott Morris

What polls are and aren't telling us right now

paulkrugman.substack.com

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Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · 25d

#APSA25 by @apsa.bsky.social kicked off yesterday in Vancouver. Come find Verasight at booth 213 to:
• Add a free question to our omnibus survey
• Enter our $250 credit giveaway

Looking forward to connecting with fellow researchers.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 28d

Didn't catch this until now: Our Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll was mentioned in CNN's coverage of Trump's approach to handling crime www.cnn.com/2025/08/27/p...

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Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · 28d

Our recent polls have been featured in @cnn.com, @nytimes.com, and by the Governor of California’s office. Our work is also being cited by columnists like @jamellebouie.net to help interpret public sentiment on national issues.

We’re proud to support organizations seeking representative insights.

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Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · Sep 3

Six members of the Verasight team will be attending #APSA2025, hosted by @apsa.bsky.social‬, from 9/11-9/13 in Vancouver.

We’re offering attendees the opportunity to add a free question to our next omnibus survey and be entered into a $250 Verasight credit giveaway. See you there. #APSA25

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Aug 27

I'm looking forward to joining this @aapor.bsky.social webinar. Rebecca Steinbach and Deji Suolang will also be presenting.

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Aug 22

I'm excited to join Deji Suolang and Rebecca Steinbach on Friday 8/29 for this @aapor.bsky.social webinar. I will be discussing Jonathan Colner, Anusha Kumar, @juliuslagodny.bsky.social, and my 2024 presidential election forecast (which correctly forecasted every state and the popular vote).

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · Aug 19

Read the white paper, it's very well done, but the answer is "no, they do not actually work"

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Aug 19

In polling world, “synthetic sampling” (using LLMs to replace human respondents) has been getting a lot of attention recently. Last wk, Ipsos announced a synthetic panel!

But does it actually work? Here’s a white paper I wrote: “Your Polls on ChatGPT”

report.verasight.io/synthetic-sa...

Synthetic Sampling Report | Verasight

A report on the challenges of "synthetic sampling" for public opinion polling.

report.verasight.io

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Aug 19

In polling world, “synthetic sampling” (using LLMs to replace human respondents) has been getting a lot of attention recently. Last wk, Ipsos announced a synthetic panel!

But does it actually work? Here’s a white paper I wrote: “Your Polls on ChatGPT”

report.verasight.io/synthetic-sa...

Synthetic Sampling Report | Verasight

A report on the challenges of "synthetic sampling" for public opinion polling.

report.verasight.io

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Jul 18

I’ve been working with @verasight.bsky.social on various AI projects (including this and some other experiments, results TBD) and here’s a standout quote:

"Fully one-quarter of executives told us they thought AI systems could replace all or most of their jobs"

report.verasight.io/ai-report-ju...

The Age of AI Report - July 2025 | Verasight

Survey Report

report.verasight.io

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Jun 22

Two pertinent graphs from me tonight...

First, U.S. support for bombing Iran is very low — much lower than support was at the time for the American military attacking Afghanistan, Iraq, and ISIS.

Link: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer...

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Jun 18

The "Abundance Agenda" is broadly popular, per our new June Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.bsky.social poll.

The exception is for local zoning reforms.

Here’s our alternative to the other pretty obviously biased polls floating around on the subject: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Jun 17

One huge upside of our independent poll with @verasight.bsky.social : Not having to publish in peer-reviewed journals or sell party strategy means we can publish null effects!

We tested economics and immigration messaging. Fx are too small to pick up.

More: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

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David Rand @dgrand.bsky.social · Jun 17

🚨 Call for Abstracts!
I'm excited to announce the 2nd workshop on Directions of Polarization, Social Norms, and Trust in Societies
@ MIT on Dec 5-6
Keynotes from
@bgoldberg.bsky.social & @adamberinsky.bsky.social

🗓️ Deadline to submit: July 14, 2025
🔗 sites.google.com/view/polariz...

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · Jun 16

Some of the best, most creative public polling in America is coming from @gelliottmorris.com's substack. Everyone should be asking more open ends like this one.

This is a call to subscribe, and also to every other public pollster to up their game.

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

New poll: Trump and deportations unpopular with voters, Dems up 8 in House vote

More: 60% see ethics/corruption problems in Trump administration, and the "Abundance Agenda" is popular (except zoning reform)

www.gelliottmorris.com

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Jun 13

Insights from @gelliottmorris.com on June Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll dropping Monday.

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Craig Helmstetter @craigstetter.bsky.social · Jun 10

My latest, via @mprnews.org, seeks to answer the question:

Which state is better: Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?

www.mprnews.org/story/2025/0... cc: @apmresearchlab.org

data: @verasight.bsky.social's #aapor25 survey

The great Upper Midwest standoff: Nation thinks Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa are all 'equally good'

A national survey finally addresses the age-old question: “Which state is better? Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?” The most popular answer? “All are equally good.”

www.mprnews.org

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Jun 6

Cool analysis from @gelliottmorris.com using latest Strength In Numbers / @verasight.bsky.social survey: What voters think about Trump, in their own words open.substack.com/pub/gelliott...

What voters think about Trump, in their own words

Republicans said the president is doing "great," while Democrats think he's "chaotic" and "treasonous"

open.substack.com

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Jun 6

Indeed, striking how these over-time patterns align with the results from @gelliottmorris.com's clever survey experiment the May Strength In Numbers/@verasight.bsky.social survey!

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · Jun 3

Excited to see the contributions to this month's Strength in Numbers/@verasight.bsky.social survey.

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Verasight @verasight.bsky.social · Jun 2

Attending #ICA25?
Stop by Verasight Booth #219 from June 12th - 15th to explore #surveyresearch and #dataquality! Add a free question to our next national survey! @icahdq.bsky.social

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · May 26

I'm starting to plan the questions for our second Strength In Numbers/Verasight survey, coming mid-June.

We want the poll to be collaborative and transparent, to increase trust in polling and help people understand the full process behind polls.

Send Qs here: www.gelliottmorris.com/survey/3050926

Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris | Substack

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and democracy. A community for thinking smarter with data. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack…

www.gelliottmorris.com

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