Prof Ray Wills
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profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Prof Ray Wills
@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Futurist
Disruption
Ag, biz, cities, climate, ecology, economy, energy, renewables, robots, tech, transport
World Top100 Sustainability
MD Future Smart Strategies™
Prof UWA
Be Good
(I only follow accounts with name+pic+profile + poke me!)
And it wasn't the Nobel Prize
That's not transferrable, and is the Nobel Committee's sole responsibility to award
The physical medal is merely a symbolic item that accompanies the award; laureates may keep, donate, sell, or give it away doesn't change who is recognized as the recipient in history
January 16, 2026 at 11:02 PM
Pretty much same thing Howard Gov did with Holden, Ford, Toyota, Mitsubishi, other foreign makers in Aus with protections like subsidies and tariffs and avoided shift to greener tech

Delayed adaptation cemented long-term decline

Holden then built 8 cylinder Pontiac to "save exports"
January 16, 2026 at 9:32 AM
This is more than just changing energy sources: the change impacts global shipping of about one third of the world merchant ship fleet that carry fossil fuels – around 12,500 tankers for oil and gas, and around 10,400 bulk carriers shipping coal.
January 16, 2026 at 7:30 AM
In swap from fossil fuels to PV/ EVs/ clean tech, global total materials demand falls! 🤯

Electrifying everything means world needs less energy

Doing it with renewables means the world needs less materials

The biggest tonnage is coal

A FUD-fighting thread
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FUD fighter
In swap from fossil fuels to PV/ EVs/ clean tech, global total materials demand falls!

Big % change off tiny base on resources less used before

But much bigger falls in stuff we won't need

Compare 8b ton coal, 550m ton oil (± to scale)

+ clean tech resources in waste stream valuable!
January 16, 2026 at 7:21 AM
Here's my most recent projection to 2030 for electricity generation

And a link to some of my old (2018) and new (2025) projections
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January 15, 2026 at 11:39 AM
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
👀 good. LNP clueless. They don't even understand that those data centres they want are already showing that battery tech is the only thing which has the flexibility to keep them running well.

Best they not have to play with tech any more. Dangerous. Take their phones.

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Australia utility batteries and dispatch at 15 Jan 2026

NEM battery
53 Facilities; Capacity 8,872MW/ 15,175MWh
1697GWh 12months dispatch

WA WEM battery
6 Facilities; Capacity 1,385MW/ 5,367MWh
652GWh 12months dispatch

Total Australia batter
59 Facilities; Capacity: 10,257MW/ 20,542MWh\2350GWh
January 15, 2026 at 6:24 AM
yup, updating that data is a project for this month ...

185,000 units added under Cheaper Home Battery Program (CHBP), 4.3 GWh of capacity added to date
January 15, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Thats a really informative graph!
January 15, 2026 at 6:23 AM
sadly the hype appears to be that
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time will tell
Probably the best skeptical analysis I’ve seen on the donut announcement so far!
Investigating Donut Lab's Solid State Battery Surprise
YouTube video by Miss GoElectric Industry
youtu.be
January 15, 2026 at 4:22 AM
The long term big structural change is clearly a continuing rise of renewables versus a gradual decline of fossil fuels - particularly a rapid erosion of coal

Annual weather variations are playing with the short term data driving the observed demand rebound in coal‑fired gen
January 15, 2026 at 3:23 AM
It was the last vestiges of his conscience tearing itself free from his soul and rending internal damage as it did so?
January 15, 2026 at 2:10 AM
On one Saturday Shanghai 9PM night there was a very loud Lambo, did 2 bog laps of the block of place I was staying.

Was loud 16 stories up, and with double glazing!
(hard to imagine it was not heard by the gendarmes)

With the number of designer retailers around in the precinct, not surprised
January 14, 2026 at 11:01 AM
They compete on brand - BMW, Audi, Mercedes, VW, Porsche, Bentley (I saw 2),
January 14, 2026 at 8:44 AM
I've travelled to Shanghai a number of times
Trip over xmas was 2 weeks

Eyeball estimates:
EVs on roads 60% (green plates)
ICE on roads 40% (blue plates)
9/10 EVs China made
8/10 ICE foreign brand

Foreign EVs not finding EV China customers?
Or not supplying EVs?
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In Shanghai, everyone can hear you scream
Not that you would scream coz most of the cars are electric - and quiet at low speed
No noise
If you’re in heavy traffic and all the EVs were crawling along, in Australia they'd all be legally noisy
Not in Shanghai
Listen to all that quietness
#EVs 🔊
January 14, 2026 at 8:20 AM