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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 18h

Now, we can only make things less bad
(Tho' we still have lots of capacity to make it worse)

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 18h

Been working in/around climate since 1988
Expert since ~early-2000s

Interviews in 2007 and on, I stated deadline for climate solutions in place by 2020

In interviews in 2025, I was right
We needed to act in 2020☹️
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Nov 23

Digital content insecure future of history
Links to my old #climate interviews 17 years ago warning of #sealevel rise impact on Perth Western Australia deleted by news websites
Those who do not learn from history doomed to repeat it
Internet eroding history
web.archive.org/web/20130615...

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 20h

Rising sea level from climate change a thing

But it's not the only thing

Among the other things, there's this extra big thing - moon wobble challenge in mid-2030s expected, and understood

www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07...
More
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/08/when... @drjeffmasters.bsky.social

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

The Daily Show @thedailyshow.com · 1d

The following is REAL footage from Portland, 2025. Viewer discretion is advised.

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 20h

and, gosh, doing it when they have a 2 term majority

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 20h

in fact, I already do
actually for quite some many decades
(I've been doing this a while)
pretty sure I've covered all these topics
[looks]
yeh, seems I have

my comments on bad things, from the other place

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 23h

yeah, nah
electric motors >1/2 the price to operate and so more profitable, more reliable, more versatile
ICE twice the price, less profitable, less reliable
it's not an idealogical decision, it's an economic decision
and less available
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 19d

A critical difference between vehicles with internal combustion engines vs electric motors is much lower complexity and lower cost to build EVs

Hybrid car makers saying 'we're gonna stick with more complex design and costly supply chain to build ICE'

@fssau.futuresmart.com.au

One of the slides from my @fssau.futuresmart.com.au powerpoint on the future of energy - electrifying everything

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 23h

don't wait to get organised until after the developer comes - form a co-op as a community now
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 7d

Do you live in an area suited for wind and solar farms?

Put effort into getting organised in a co-operative, not on NIMBY protesting!

Form a co-op to ensure local community share of benefit, bring fair returns to farmers and local community when all participate
#renewables
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Jun 18

Wind and solar farm developments need to factor benefits not just to the land holder for the project site, but also shared with the local community - without being a deterrent to investment

Narrogin residents seek community investment from renewable energy boom
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 23h

yeah, nah
not taxing it gives our resources away for free, delivers even more profits to fossil fuel companies, drives more incentives to extract, and more money for lobbying, and for greenwashing schools and institutions
tax and regulation key
political willingness too

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Michael Dowling aka MeckeringBoy @meckeringboy.bsky.social · 1d

Real zero. Not fudging numbers and manipulating language to make it LOOK like we’re meeting targets. Cut carbon going into our biosphere.

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 3d

I'm a 'no" on net zero
Because we can do better
Net zero a crock - offsets open to lobbying and corrupt influences and interpretations of what's in or out, and soft targets by polies/ industries that don't want change, or invalidly argue we can't

Australia needs to target real zero, not net zero

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Nov 20

On grid 82% renewables electrification in Australia by 2030? 👀
A walk in the park
Hard to avoid
What if we really tried?🤔
100%?
Technically + commercially doable
We just need real action
#COP29
Treat it like a #ClimateCrisis?
Rest of Australia?
Off-grid mines etc can easily reach by 2035

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

Yup, you're right
And trucks and special purpose vehicles don't need a biofuel transition
Burning biofuels still just burning stuff, comes with continuing benefit of thermal inefficiency

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Jan Christoph Goldschmidt @janoschsolar.bsky.social · 1d

This is an important step. Renewables finally able to offset demand growth in the electricity sector

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

Globally, coal is in terminal decline, with investment shifting to renewables and batteries to drive electrification
ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
Major regions closing coal, reducing gas use
Meanwhile solar the fastest energy adoption in human history
Australia coal exports forecast to decline

Growth in solar and wind generation 109% global electricity demand in H1-2025 - driving consumption of fossil fuels down.

World electricity generation to 2024. Rnewables outgeneraled coal power in 2025 (Ember)

The fastest energy adoption in history - solar

Australia's coal export volumes have been static since 2014, and on a slide since 2019 - forecasters expect export values to fall 50% by 2030

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

yes indeed - I expect it will look something like this- battery dispatch will be huge

Solar and wind generation and battery dispatch projected to 2030

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

yup, let's tax the bad things, incentivise the good things

that's part of good governance

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

H1 2025:
Wind generation grew 7.7% (to 1,365 TWh in 6 months)
Solar generation up 31% (to 1,303 TWh in H1)
@ember-energy.org

Solar generation close to overtaking wind generation

Battery dispatch will quickly catch up

Solar generation close to overtaking wind generation
Battery dispatch will quickly catch up

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Governor Tim Walz @governorwalz.mn.gov · 2d

Can’t believe I have to say this, but in Minnesota you will continue to have the freedom to get your COVID and flu shots.

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

Globally, coal is in terminal decline, with investment shifting to renewables and batteries to drive electrification
ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
Major regions closing coal, reducing gas use
Meanwhile solar the fastest energy adoption in human history
Australia coal exports forecast to decline

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

The longer Australia defends sunk costs or resists regulatory change, the more costly the transition will be for both industry and Aus

Clinging to gas in the name of “affordability” or “transition” serves the gas and export lobby, and not Australia’s long-term economic or climate interests

The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 1d

Steel and aluminium manufacturers are feeling the effects of high gas prices driven up by exports.

Australia Institute research shows gas exports have TRIPLED Aus gas prices and DOUBLED electricity prices.

📺 Deputy Director Ebony Bennett on ABC News Breakfast
@ebonybennett.bsky.social #auspol

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 1d

Steel and aluminium manufacturers are feeling the effects of high gas prices driven up by exports.

Australia Institute research shows gas exports have TRIPLED Aus gas prices and DOUBLED electricity prices.

📺 Deputy Director Ebony Bennett on ABC News Breakfast
@ebonybennett.bsky.social #auspol

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Jul 31

“Science flies you to the moon.
Religion flies you into buildings.”
― Victor Stenger

Greed flies the fossil fuel lobby to Canberra*

*Insert preferred destination
- Washington
- Brussels
- London
- UNFCCC COPs
- wherever the game is played

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

Consider the banana
bsky.app/profile/prof...
Getting away from fossil fuel as an energy source does so much more

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Aug 30

Consider the banana

Most fossil-fuel energy consumption wasted by inefficiencies in conversion to work
~2/3 fossil fuel burning for energy wasted as heat

Like throwing away the banana skin and also not eating half the banana

Compare graphs: primary energy use vs electricity generation by source

1/3 of a banana is skin
2/3 is eaten
that's twice as much as when we use coal

primary energy consumption by fuel type 2007-2024

electricity generation by fuel type 2007-2024
this is electricity sent out, and negates thermal losses
>80% of primary energy in coal use (40k TWh is for thermal for electricity generation and conversion inefficiency
around 32% of all primary energy of gas (30k TWh) is used for electricity generation, after efficiency losses, yielding 15% of global electricity

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

This energy transition thingy taking forever
But we didn't start at Kyoto
Paris was positive, too, but no moonshot
And we're still subsidising and enabling fossil fuels
But, Paris was a line in the sand
The fastest energy transition in human history began
Just a decade old
🧪
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 28d

The fastest energy transformation in human history

@fssau.futuresmart.com.au

expanded graph for pace of adoption of electricity generation by source from >100TWh annual generation threshold point

pace of adoption of electricity generation by source from >100TWh annual generation threshold point

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

John Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 2d

Australia's Grid CEO. “Our old coal-fired power stations are breaking down; they're retiring. They're getting replaced by the least-cost energy, which is renewable energy, backed with storage, connected. We'll have a bit of gas there for the winter doldrums."
www.yahoo.com/news/article... #energysky

As coal fades, Australia looks to realize dream of 100% renewable energy

Australia has put itself on a realistic path to achieving what climate activists around the world have long dreamed of: running its power grid entirely on renewable energy. The Australian Energy Marke...

www.yahoo.com

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Doesn't bode well for us
Humans have no experience on a planet this warm
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Jul 24

Humans have no experience on a planet like this
Our planet's atmosphere CO2 >420ppm first time in recorded history
First time in our prehistory
And 200k years of Homo sapiens
And 2m years of evolution of our genus
Before Australopithecus emerged 8m yrs ago

A thread
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Dec 11

Stupid, ignorant irrelevant obfuscaters say
'Earth was hotter' 30mya
and
'we need more CO2 plant food'

We're not living 30+ mya, you idiots

Humans - and plants, animals, all biota that live with us now - evolved in this climatic period, late miocene to now
An explainer
(Graphic Helen Coxall 2020)

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

for those seeking a return of the crown, and more time in the sun
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Jun 10

One of the problems with a big back bench that's anxious to have their time in the sun - being compliant won't get you noticed, nor will it get you promoted.

The big win is not a gift of great margins, it's a curse of stay true to your roots

FAFO

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