Jacob Rubashkin
@rubashkin.bsky.social
Deputy editor, Inside Elections
Pinned
Jacob Rubashkin
@rubashkin.bsky.social
· Nov 18
I cobbled together a quick and not at all-exhaustive list of elections reporters, analysts, operatives and analysts - if you're interested in this stuff please follow and share widely!
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
Important correction:
November 13, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Important correction:
NEW | Could Democrats Break the Texas GOP Gerrymander?
After last Tuesday night's elections, a lot of folks have asked if a resurgence among Latinos could help Dems flip the new Texas map on its head.
To answer that question, I had to create Frankenstein. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
After last Tuesday night's elections, a lot of folks have asked if a resurgence among Latinos could help Dems flip the new Texas map on its head.
To answer that question, I had to create Frankenstein. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Could Democrats Break the Texas Gerrymander?
Would a return to form among Latino voters help Democrats break the Texas GOP gerrymander?
www.insideelections.com
November 12, 2025 at 8:42 PM
NEW | Could Democrats Break the Texas GOP Gerrymander?
After last Tuesday night's elections, a lot of folks have asked if a resurgence among Latinos could help Dems flip the new Texas map on its head.
To answer that question, I had to create Frankenstein. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
After last Tuesday night's elections, a lot of folks have asked if a resurgence among Latinos could help Dems flip the new Texas map on its head.
To answer that question, I had to create Frankenstein. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
RATINGS CHANGE | Maine 2: Tilt Democratic ➡️Likely Republican after Jared Golden bows out of reelection. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Maine 2: Open Seat Shifts Toward Republicans
Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.
www.insideelections.com
November 6, 2025 at 2:17 AM
RATINGS CHANGE | Maine 2: Tilt Democratic ➡️Likely Republican after Jared Golden bows out of reelection. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin
TONIGHT:
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
November 4, 2025 at 5:12 PM
TONIGHT:
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
A rare poll of the Dec. 2 TN-07 special!
Your Community PAC (D) released an Impact Research survey showing Republican Matt Van Epps ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn, 52-44 percent.
TN-07 was Trump+22 in 2024.
Oct. 16-19, 700 LVs, live caller/text-to-web
yourcommunitypac.org/tn-cd-07
Your Community PAC (D) released an Impact Research survey showing Republican Matt Van Epps ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn, 52-44 percent.
TN-07 was Trump+22 in 2024.
Oct. 16-19, 700 LVs, live caller/text-to-web
yourcommunitypac.org/tn-cd-07
November 4, 2025 at 1:22 PM
A rare poll of the Dec. 2 TN-07 special!
Your Community PAC (D) released an Impact Research survey showing Republican Matt Van Epps ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn, 52-44 percent.
TN-07 was Trump+22 in 2024.
Oct. 16-19, 700 LVs, live caller/text-to-web
yourcommunitypac.org/tn-cd-07
Your Community PAC (D) released an Impact Research survey showing Republican Matt Van Epps ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn, 52-44 percent.
TN-07 was Trump+22 in 2024.
Oct. 16-19, 700 LVs, live caller/text-to-web
yourcommunitypac.org/tn-cd-07
Much of the Graham Platner discourse has been about his ability to bring younger men and disaffected voters back into the Democratic fold. But that's all felt a little divorced from the reality of what it takes to beat Susan Collins. I explore how she keeps winning and what that means for ME-Sen.
Is Graham Platner Solving the Wrong Problem for Maine Democrats?
What Susan Collins' 2020 win says about beating her in 2026.
www.insideelections.com
November 3, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Much of the Graham Platner discourse has been about his ability to bring younger men and disaffected voters back into the Democratic fold. But that's all felt a little divorced from the reality of what it takes to beat Susan Collins. I explore how she keeps winning and what that means for ME-Sen.
Liked this Times feature on what @aseitzwald.bsky.social and co are up to in Maine? Be sure to listen to Alex on the latest Inside Elections — all about Maine politics! youtu.be/Lmfg9W3XoDQ?...
October 21, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Liked this Times feature on what @aseitzwald.bsky.social and co are up to in Maine? Be sure to listen to Alex on the latest Inside Elections — all about Maine politics! youtu.be/Lmfg9W3XoDQ?...
So much fun to have the one and only Steve Kornacki on the Inside Elections Podcast this week!
We talk House races, New Jersey, and how Steve (nearly) nailed his first Kentucky Derby. Take a listen! www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvHo...
We talk House races, New Jersey, and how Steve (nearly) nailed his first Kentucky Derby. Take a listen! www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvHo...
Episode 56: Midterms, NFL, Kentucky Derby w/ Steve Kornacki of NBC News
YouTube video by Inside Elections
www.youtube.com
October 1, 2025 at 6:56 PM
So much fun to have the one and only Steve Kornacki on the Inside Elections Podcast this week!
We talk House races, New Jersey, and how Steve (nearly) nailed his first Kentucky Derby. Take a listen! www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvHo...
We talk House races, New Jersey, and how Steve (nearly) nailed his first Kentucky Derby. Take a listen! www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvHo...
Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin
SCOOPLET | Missoula smokejumper Sam Forstag, a local union leader and wildland firefighter, is considering running against GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke in MT-01 (Trump+12, Tester+1), per 3 sources familiar. No decision expected before November.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
September 24, 2025 at 1:31 PM
SCOOPLET | Missoula smokejumper Sam Forstag, a local union leader and wildland firefighter, is considering running against GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke in MT-01 (Trump+12, Tester+1), per 3 sources familiar. No decision expected before November.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
SCOOPLET | Missoula smokejumper Sam Forstag, a local union leader and wildland firefighter, is considering running against GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke in MT-01 (Trump+12, Tester+1), per 3 sources familiar. No decision expected before November.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
September 24, 2025 at 1:31 PM
SCOOPLET | Missoula smokejumper Sam Forstag, a local union leader and wildland firefighter, is considering running against GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke in MT-01 (Trump+12, Tester+1), per 3 sources familiar. No decision expected before November.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
Forstag spoke at a Bernie rally this year.
Per the WSJ here's the note allegedly signed by Trump for the 2003 Jeffrey Epstein birthday book
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
September 8, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Per the WSJ here's the note allegedly signed by Trump for the 2003 Jeffrey Epstein birthday book
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
Democrats flipped a Trump +11 state Senate seat in Iowa tonight, by a wide margin, continuing a streak of special election over-performances in the Hawkeye State and breaking the GOP legislative supermajority. At the current margin it would be a 20 point swing toward Democrats.
August 27, 2025 at 1:21 AM
Democrats flipped a Trump +11 state Senate seat in Iowa tonight, by a wide margin, continuing a streak of special election over-performances in the Hawkeye State and breaking the GOP legislative supermajority. At the current margin it would be a 20 point swing toward Democrats.
Bob Brooks officially announced his run for toss-up PA-07 today — I broke the news that he was planning to run more than a month ago >>>
🚨NEWS | Pennsylvania firefighter union chief Bob Brooks is gearing up to run as a Democrat in toss-up PA-07, per two Pennsylvania Democratic sources. Brooks, a 20-year veteran of the Bethlehem FD, would be the fourth major candidate running against GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
August 26, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Bob Brooks officially announced his run for toss-up PA-07 today — I broke the news that he was planning to run more than a month ago >>>
Remarkable but not at all surprising that this Fox News article never mentions flag burning is constitutionally protected free speech per SCOTUS in Texas v. Johnson, a case you learn about in high school, and affirmed in United States v. Eichman after Congress attempted a ban.
Trump to crack down on flag burning, desecration with executive order
President Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order on Aug. 21 cracking down on those who desecrate the American flag, including protesters who have burned Old Glory.
www.foxnews.com
August 25, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Remarkable but not at all surprising that this Fox News article never mentions flag burning is constitutionally protected free speech per SCOTUS in Texas v. Johnson, a case you learn about in high school, and affirmed in United States v. Eichman after Congress attempted a ban.
🚨OH-Senate: Solid Republican ➡️Lean Republican
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown’s expected entrance makes this race competitive, but any Democrat is still an underdog in Ohio.
That said, any real path to a D majority includes a strong Brown campaign. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown’s expected entrance makes this race competitive, but any Democrat is still an underdog in Ohio.
That said, any real path to a D majority includes a strong Brown campaign. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid
Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.
www.insideelections.com
August 14, 2025 at 3:08 PM
🚨OH-Senate: Solid Republican ➡️Lean Republican
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown’s expected entrance makes this race competitive, but any Democrat is still an underdog in Ohio.
That said, any real path to a D majority includes a strong Brown campaign. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown’s expected entrance makes this race competitive, but any Democrat is still an underdog in Ohio.
That said, any real path to a D majority includes a strong Brown campaign. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
A new poll from the pro-Raja Krishnamoorthi Impact Fund shows the congressman out front in the IL-Sen Democratic primary to succeed Sen. Dick Durbin.
Krishnamoorthi 38
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 17
Rep. Robin Kelly 7
(8/8-10, 615 LVs, mixed mode, ±3.95%)
Krishnamoorthi 38
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 17
Rep. Robin Kelly 7
(8/8-10, 615 LVs, mixed mode, ±3.95%)
August 12, 2025 at 10:27 PM
A new poll from the pro-Raja Krishnamoorthi Impact Fund shows the congressman out front in the IL-Sen Democratic primary to succeed Sen. Dick Durbin.
Krishnamoorthi 38
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 17
Rep. Robin Kelly 7
(8/8-10, 615 LVs, mixed mode, ±3.95%)
Krishnamoorthi 38
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 17
Rep. Robin Kelly 7
(8/8-10, 615 LVs, mixed mode, ±3.95%)
Didn’t know they made Moldovan ambassadors at the Pete Buttigieg factory
August 12, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Didn’t know they made Moldovan ambassadors at the Pete Buttigieg factory
Beto 2018 (lost by 2%) would have won one more congressional district than Obama 2012 (lost by 16%) under the new map proposed by Texas Republicans.
July 30, 2025 at 5:18 PM
Beto 2018 (lost by 2%) would have won one more congressional district than Obama 2012 (lost by 16%) under the new map proposed by Texas Republicans.
NEWS | Attorney and former Secret Service special agent Logan Forsythe is “seriously considering a bid and is likely to run” for Senate in Kentucky as a Democrat next year. The 36-year-old Western Kentucky native is now a personal injury attorney in Lexington.
July 26, 2025 at 6:03 PM
NEWS | Attorney and former Secret Service special agent Logan Forsythe is “seriously considering a bid and is likely to run” for Senate in Kentucky as a Democrat next year. The 36-year-old Western Kentucky native is now a personal injury attorney in Lexington.
“You go check me out 1am in the morning, I’m sitting in the back of a closed barbershop or beauty salon, smoking a cigar or drinking some Henny, or a single malt scotch.”
July 25, 2025 at 12:47 AM
“You go check me out 1am in the morning, I’m sitting in the back of a closed barbershop or beauty salon, smoking a cigar or drinking some Henny, or a single malt scotch.”
Can’t believe my gym implemented ranked choice voting before the DC council did
July 24, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Can’t believe my gym implemented ranked choice voting before the DC council did
Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin
🚨NEWS | Pennsylvania firefighter union chief Bob Brooks is gearing up to run as a Democrat in toss-up PA-07, per two Pennsylvania Democratic sources. Brooks, a 20-year veteran of the Bethlehem FD, would be the fourth major candidate running against GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
July 23, 2025 at 12:02 AM
🚨NEWS | Pennsylvania firefighter union chief Bob Brooks is gearing up to run as a Democrat in toss-up PA-07, per two Pennsylvania Democratic sources. Brooks, a 20-year veteran of the Bethlehem FD, would be the fourth major candidate running against GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
🚨NEWS | Pennsylvania firefighter union chief Bob Brooks is gearing up to run as a Democrat in toss-up PA-07, per two Pennsylvania Democratic sources. Brooks, a 20-year veteran of the Bethlehem FD, would be the fourth major candidate running against GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
July 23, 2025 at 12:02 AM
🚨NEWS | Pennsylvania firefighter union chief Bob Brooks is gearing up to run as a Democrat in toss-up PA-07, per two Pennsylvania Democratic sources. Brooks, a 20-year veteran of the Bethlehem FD, would be the fourth major candidate running against GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
Kyrsten Sinema (no longer a senator) spent nearly $400,000 in campaign funds over the past three months, including:
-$86k on airfare and in-flight services
-$86k on security detail (including $600 on ski tickets)
-$7k on meals
-$86k on airfare and in-flight services
-$86k on security detail (including $600 on ski tickets)
-$7k on meals
July 14, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Kyrsten Sinema (no longer a senator) spent nearly $400,000 in campaign funds over the past three months, including:
-$86k on airfare and in-flight services
-$86k on security detail (including $600 on ski tickets)
-$7k on meals
-$86k on airfare and in-flight services
-$86k on security detail (including $600 on ski tickets)
-$7k on meals
Democrats lost the House by 7,309 votes last year — this week is a direct consequence. I dug into the closest races of the cycle >>> www.insideelections.com/news/article...
The 7,309-Vote Election: How Republicans Held the House
By one metric, 2024 was the closest fight for the House in at least 30 years.
www.insideelections.com
July 1, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Democrats lost the House by 7,309 votes last year — this week is a direct consequence. I dug into the closest races of the cycle >>> www.insideelections.com/news/article...