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Trump in Scotland: The US President’s support in a cold climate

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

Older voters became more pro-union post-2014/16 and younger voters became more pro-indy and the elderly are a bigger cohort so it all came out in the wash!

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

Finally, while the salience of independence continues to fall, #indyref2 views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧

Opinions are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @teamlabouruk.bsky.social govt. in London 👀

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

Vote intention is stabilising ahead of 2026 🗳️

@reformukscotland.bsky.social's rapid increase has plateaued and @snp.org remain on ~30% 🤷🏻

But @scottishlabour.bsky.social need to close the gap again if they hope to make @anassarwar.bsky.social FM 🌹

@scottories.bsky.social struggles persist 🤒

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

On issues, the constitutional question has substantially declined in relevance in the last couple of years 🪧

Scots remain overwhelmingly preoccupied with the state of the economy, the health service, education and increasingly immigration and housing 🏗️

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

Government performance evaluations are similar. First Minister @johnswinney.bsky.social seems to have arrested but not reversed the decline 🫷🏻

Meanwhile, views of the newish
@10dowingstreet.bsky.social have only improved marginally over its predecessor 🚪

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

Scots have become significantly more pessimistic about the country's direction since covid, but attitudes seem to have stabilised over the past year 🥱

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

🍦Big Scoop tracker update 📊

We've fully updated our handy page of time series public opinion measures, added new visualisations and made it much easier to find.

And we've renamed it the SES Opinion Dashboard 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧑🏽‍🤝‍🧑🏻

Summary 🧵

scottishelections.ac.uk/dashboard/

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 25

As Trump jets over to Scotland, take a look at
@cjcarman.bsky.social's excellent blog on Scottish attitudes the mercurial US President 👇🏻

Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 18

🇺🇸 New blog! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

@cjcarman.bsky.social takes a closer look at our data on Trump support in Scotland ahead of the US President's visit.

How popular is DJT? Are Reform UK supporters MAGA? And does the support of young men travel across the pond? Find out below!

scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/07/18/t...

The Scottish Election Study's own expert on US politics, Prof. Christopher Carman ([email protected]), takes a closer look at Donald Trump's support in Scotland using SES data.With the ...

Trump in Scotland: The US President’s support in a cold climate

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jul 18

🇺🇸 New blog! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

@cjcarman.bsky.social takes a closer look at our data on Trump support in Scotland ahead of the US President's visit.

How popular is DJT? Are Reform UK supporters MAGA? And does the support of young men travel across the pond? Find out below!

scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/07/18/t...

The Scottish Election Study's own expert on US politics, Prof. Christopher Carman ([email protected]), takes a closer look at Donald Trump's support in Scotland using SES data.With the ...

Essay Prize 2025 – Deadline 5th July

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Jun 9

Essay Prize 2025 📝

🧑🏻‍🎓 Undergraduate and school pupil competitions

📆 Deadline 6th July

Fantastic judging panel of @simeonkerr.bsky.social, @yougov.co.uk's Abigail Axe-Browne and @edinburghpir.bsky.social's own Alan Convery!

scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/06/09/e...

We are delighted to announce the 2025 edition of our annual essay prize. We run parallel prizes for secondary school pupils and undergraduate university students, both of which are judged by a prestig...

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 22

Our postdoc @eoghanly.bsky.social has co-developed
@devolvedelections.bsky.social, a seat projection tool for devolved elections 🤓🧮

You can select from some preset scenarios or plug in your own vote share numbers to generate precise estimates.

More info ⬇️

scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/05/22/a...

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Reposted by Scottish Election Study

Rob Johns @robjohns75.bsky.social · May 12

Today's lecture will not only be packed with information and insight but is also very timely (since it's a day on which the long-term potential of economic insecurity to divide -- or to be used to divide -- the electorate has been on graphic display). See you there.

Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 1

This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫

Details and sign up below 🔽

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...

We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 12

A warm welcome to all colleagues arriving from around the UK and Europe 🥃

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 12

Scottish Election Study Bonanza Week continues this afternoon with the start of our two-day Scottish politics academic conference in Edinburgh, co-hosted by @ccc-research.bsky.social

SES Annual Lecture by @profjanegreen.bsky.social follows this evening! Sign up 👇🏻

t.ly/xKW3b

We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

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Reposted by Scottish Election Study

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · May 10

I’m in Edinburgh for this on Monday. Really looking forward to seeing colleagues and sharing our work on volatility, age, and economic insecurity.

@nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social @britishelectionstudy.com

Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 1

This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫

Details and sign up below 🔽

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...

We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

One Year Out: The outlook for the 2026 Holyrood election

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Reposted by Scottish Election Study

Christopher Carman @cjcarman.bsky.social · May 8

Seen the headlines in today's Scottish papers? Join
@scotvoting.bsky.social team TONIGHT 6pm @uofglasgow.bsky.social for an analysis of the the state Scottish electoral politics One Year Out from the 2026 Holyrood elections. Boyd Orr Bldg in-person and on-line
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...

Join us on Thursday 8 May for this Stevenson Lecture with the Scottish Election Study Team.

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 6

Our annual SES Bonanza Week kicks off this Thursday with
The Stevenson Trust for Citizenship at
@uofglasgow.bsky.social
!

Join us for our take on next year's Scottish Parliament election 🤠🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

⏰ 1800-1930
📍 203 Boyd Orr Building, Glasgow

Sign up 👇🏼

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...

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Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · May 1

This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫

Details and sign up below 🔽

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...

We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study