Rob Johns
@robjohns75.bsky.social
2.1K followers 590 following 140 posts
Some public opinion
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Reposted by Rob Johns
paulisci.bsky.social
A Brief History of Men are Becoming Less Manly

🧵
robjohns75.bsky.social
This Olé House sounds even better (if such can be imagined) than the original.
Reposted by Rob Johns
robjohns75.bsky.social
“Sure, I did say that we needed to be less London-centric, but let’s not go mad here.”
andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social
Jackie Baillie tells Burnham to shelve leadership positioning, amid concerns it will harm Labour at Holyrood elections, @severincarrell.bsky.social reports www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
Reposted by Rob Johns
timbale.bsky.social
Absolute must-read from @profjanegreen.bsky.social and @martamiori.bsky.social. It's hard to imagine how Labour could be getting it more wrong - not least by talking up the replacement of the Conservatives by Reform, which will only accelerate the cannibalisation of the former's vote by the latter!
Article - Nuffield Politics Research Centre
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Reposted by Rob Johns
rentouljohn.bsky.social
Some lovely polling published by the Policy Inst at KCL today on partial quotations www.kcl.ac.uk/policy-insti...
Reposted by Rob Johns
robfordmancs.bsky.social
If Labour and other parties can't find a way to scrutinise, criticise and condemn a policy like this, they give Reform a free ride and make the future less safe & certain for those who come here, work hard and contribute.
Reposted by Rob Johns
aedwardslevy.bsky.social
158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"
Reposted by Rob Johns
carnes.bsky.social
Just out at JOP (www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....) : Why do so few working-class people hold office? It's not lack of interest. Noam Lupu and I ran 10 surveys in 8 countries and found no evidence of a social class gap in how often qualified people consider running.
Reposted by Rob Johns
britishelectionstudy.com
BES Research Fellow @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social has spoken with The Economist about our Parliamentary Affairs paper on how British voters are volatile, but their choices are now structured by party blocs after the Brexit realignment.

Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...
The new battle for Britain
Once elections were fought between left and right. Now the main fight is within these camps
www.economist.com
Reposted by Rob Johns
evakrejcova.bsky.social
1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space.
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
Reposted by Rob Johns
benpageresearch.bsky.social
Sir Robert Worcester, legendary pollster and founder of MORI (now Ipsos UK) has died at 91. He taught so many people so much about the value and importance of opinion polls in modern democracies - everyone in our industry and politics owes him a debt of gratitude.
Reposted by Rob Johns
stephenkb.bsky.social
Either have to accept co-payment as a built in part, raise broadbased taxes or both. Frankly at this point I no longer have opinions on what the best way to fund healthcare in the UK is, I just want someone to advance one of those three real-world options.
Reposted by Rob Johns
britishelectionstudy.com
🚨New Research 🚨

Ahead of the release of Wave 30 of the BES Internet Panel, the team has examined Labour's decline since the 2024 GE.

Labour's support has splintered into mostly indecision or left-liberal parties, but they've also lost their few right-wing voters.

🧵⬇️

tinyurl.com/3m62exph
Looking for Labour’s lost voters - The British Election Study
www.britishelectionstudy.com
robjohns75.bsky.social
Anyone else on here ever felt a sense of despondency, even despair, at the values and priorities of 52% of fellow citizens?
robjohns75.bsky.social
I didn't have the time to seek out and tag in every author included above, which makes me feel pretty ungrateful given how helpful they've been to me and hopefully now to @niceonecombo.bsky.social.
robjohns75.bsky.social
Finally, some pieces concerning the future of surveys amid AI and LLMs and whatnot. (I understand the abstracts, at least.)

The first is about using LLMs for imputation:

www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/16...
www.mdpi.com
robjohns75.bsky.social
Next, a piece on the (probably over-estimated) effect of mode on rates of satisficing:

Clement S.L., et al. (2023). Satisficing Behaviour in Web Surveys: A Comparison of Web and Paper Mode across Four National Survey Experiments. Survey Methods: Insights from the Field. surveyinsights.org?p=16640
www.understandingsociety.ac.uk