Steve Haroz
@steveharoz.com
6.1K followers 440 following 7.1K posts
Visual perception and cognition scientist (he/him) My site: http://steveharoz.com R guide: https://r-guide.steveharoz.com StatCheck Simple: http://statcheck.steveharoz.com
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steveharoz.com
BLOG POST: Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical errors

If you see a small p-value or a large separation in confidence intervals, you may assume that an effect is reliable. But overly simple reporting may be hiding serious conclusion-altering errors.

Here are some example scenarios:

1/🧵 #stats
Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical Errors
When you see the statistical result of an experiment like p = 0.003 or a 95% confidence interval of , you might assume a certain clarity and definitiveness in those results. A null effect is very unli...
steveharoz.com
Reposted by Steve Haroz
steveharoz.com
RFK Jr is a consequence of decades of anti-science media, promoted by both the right and left. Subtle forms of anti-sciencism like organic food or raw milk or "removing toxins" snowball over time. Calling them out in their early phases may be critical.
pessimistsarc.bsky.social
The media outlets rightly admonishing RFK Jr. need to reckon with their own roll in his rise to prominence.

In 2005 Rolling Stone and Salon would publish his op-ed ‘Deadly Immunity’ linking vaccines to autism in children, based on tiny - later retracted - British study.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
kathryntewson.bsky.social
After spending more than an hour on the phone with Microsoft Support, I have learned:

1. It is impossible to disable Copilot in OneNote, Excel, PowerPoint, or Windows itself.
2. It will not become possible to do so for another month AT THE EARLIEST.
(1/?)
kathryntewson.bsky.social
Anyone know how to disable Copilot in OneNote? There's no tickybox for it in the "Options" page, I already turned off "online experiences" or whatever, and when I tried uninstalling the Copilot app, the only change seems to be that I no longer have an "uninstall" option on the Copilot app.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
williamngiam.github.io
Whenever I see these articles on 'publish or perish' culture being to blame, I always think of Tal Yarkoni's blog post: talyarkoni.org/blog/2018/10.... Yes, the pressures are there and they can force our hand, but that means we should work to improve the structures where we can (not abide by them).
No, it’s not The Incentives—it’s you
There’s a narrative I find kind of troubling, but that unfortunately seems to be growing more common in science. The core idea is that the mere existence of perverse incentives is a valid and…
talyarkoni.org
Reposted by Steve Haroz
matti.vuorre.com
Are you not a fan of journals' "enhanced online PDF viewers"? Me neither. I put together a little Firefox add-on that helps you skip the "enhanced" reader and download the PDF directly.
steveharoz.com
You can't add numbers without checking for normality first!!!!

The first step of multiplication is checking for heteroscedasticity!!!

💀
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Check out this incredible video from 1941 that details the physics of visual perception using the mechanics of the eyeball from Karl Kurt Bosse

pennstateoffice365-my.sharepoint.com/:v:/g/person...
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pennstateoffice365-my.sharepoint.com
Reposted by Steve Haroz
mattansb.msbstats.info
Hey #StatsSky, what are you favorite papers to cite when you need to justify something that is obvious (I once had a reviewer ask we justify the use of logistic regression on a binary outcome)
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
Reposted by Steve Haroz
amyborrett.ft.com
Flu cases have quadrupled over the past month in hospitals in England, with NHS leaders warning that “skyrocketing” cases could make this winter “one of the worst we have ever seen”. Just published @financialtimes.com: on.ft.com/4j4g0h5
Line chart of hospital patients with flu in England this year compared with 2023-24 season showing hospitals in England face mounting pressure from a surge in flu cases
steveharoz.com
While I understand the concern about motives, it shouldn't necessarily impeach any outcomes, as long as there isn't any indication of funder interference. Otherwise, the same concerns would hold for all research funded by the Trump administration (NIH, NSF, etc.).
Reposted by Steve Haroz
icevislab.bsky.social
Have tried to make the dish many times, with varying success. This is an important pepe:
"Finally, we present a scientifically optimized recipe based on our findings, enabling a consistently flawless execution of this classic dish."
gbart.bsky.social
1/n Some time ago my colleague, excellent cook, and friend Ivan told me: "Cacio e pepe is the recipe that I screw up more often. Let's make a project studying systematically the physics of that sauce".

Prepare to get cheesy, I'm glad to share the Cacio e paper preprint:

arxiv.org/abs/2501.00536
Reposted by Steve Haroz
michelnivard.bsky.social
Everyone is running away with this one, but I took the time to trace the source, and these are 80% confidence intervals, the true meta-science story (and there is one!), was written up as one about selective reporting and calibrating standard errors..
steveharoz.com
The NYT is my quintessential example of a service that I will never sign up for again. They make everything too difficult to quit.
steveharoz.com
I've settled on an approach to giving up on TV shows:
If a show has a serialized plot and goes more than 1 year between seasons, it's dead. It doesn't matter how much I like it, I cannot keep track of characters or follow a plot with a gap of more than one year.
steveharoz.com
The way many US jobs come with medical coverage, this one also needs legal coverage.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
khoavuumn.bsky.social
Researcher: "We let the data speak for itself."

Earlier that day:
Reposted by Steve Haroz
danieljamesyon.bsky.social
How can sharing our uncertainty with others alter our confidence when we're alone?

Delighted to share the lab's new paper, with Einar Andreassen and @cdfrith.bsky.social. Particularly pleased as it's Einar's first!

Link: osf.io/preprints/ps...

🧵👇

#PsychSciSky
#neuroskyence
steveharoz.com
That's a great start, but that law should apply to sales taxes too.
steveharoz.com
Happy New Year
steveharoz.com
Everything is more advanced and yet shittier.
steveharoz.com
Factorio has this! They remove the legs, so the body becomes a floating orb.
Vanilla Factorio now has arachnophobia mode!
www.reddit.com
Reposted by Steve Haroz
skylargrayson.bsky.social
Timeline cleanse! Allow me to share with you my favorite images from the 10 billion dollar telescope JWST this year 🧵🧪

Starting off heavenly with this star forming region in the Large Magellanic Cloud…

📸: NASA, ESA, CSA, O Nayak, M Meixner
steveharoz.com
I'm worried that the next one won't be taken as seriously
Year 2038 problem - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
steveharoz.com
Dude! This is an amazing story!

Also, Joe Lieberman was why I struggled with political alignment in highschool. He was among the more vocal Democrats, but he spouted the same hateful nonsense as a Republican.