Travis Whitacre
@traviswhitacre.bsky.social
1.1K followers 1.3K following 84 posts
Yale Postdoc | SMU PhD | Fields: Health Economics, Labor Economics, Applied Microeconometrics | Studying child development, mortality, and health inequities | he/him | WT alum Website: https://traviswhitacre.github.io/
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traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Hi all!

I am Travis Whitacre, an Applied Microeconomist and Postdoctoral Associate at Yale School of Public Health. I am on the Economic Job Market this year.

Learn more about me, as well as a link to my JMP: traviswhitacre.github.io

Some highlights of the paper:
#EconJMP #EconSky
 Title: Hidden in Plain Sight: The Prevalence and Impact of Undiagnosed ADHD

Abstract: While diagnostic errors are prevalent throughout health and mental health fields, little is known about their long-term consequences. In this paper, I assess the long-term education and labor market effects of missed Attention-Deficit and Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) diagnoses. Doing so is challenging for two reasons. First, a person's true ADHD status is unobserved; only their diagnosed status is known. Second, even if diagnostic errors exist, they are likely akin to non-classical misclassification errors and therefore endogenous. To overcome these empirical challenges, I use a partial observability model to estimate an individual's true ADHD status and their probability of underdiagnosis. Then, I estimate their effect on educational attainment and adult labor market outcomes. I find that ADHD is underdiagnosed -- with large differences by race, gender, and socioeconomic backgrounds -- and underdiagnosis reduces educational attainment and worsens labor market outcomes. I also find evidence of vicious intergenerational cycles in which inequity in mental health care drives and is driven by socioeconomic inequities.

JEL: I14, I15, I24, I25, J13

Keywords: ADHD, Underdiagnosis, Child Development, Mental Health, Measurement Error, Partial Observability, Inequity
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
RFK Jr’s fixation on environmental causes of a so called “epidemic” in regards to ASD is uninformed and dangerous.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
There is some caution that a society that diagnoses at higher rates might be more prone to overdiagnosis.

But we also might just be doing a better job at meeting the needs of more neurodivergent people.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
What’s important is RFK Jr is essentially trying to explain a phenomena that doesn’t exist.

There is no “epidemic”. Changes in modern society have altered our awareness and the standards we use in defining neurodivergence.

And I do not believe this necessarily a bad thing!
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
For ASD, I know less but from what I am aware (2) and (3) are also big factors.

Especially as ASD was when redefined as a spectrum, this lowered the threshold of how severe symptoms need to be in order to be diagnosable.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Some possible reasons ADHD diagnoses have increased:
- Higher performance schooling standards raise the benefits of receiving a diagnosis vs going untreated
- Raised awareness and lower stigma have lowered the costs of being diagnosed
- The “diagnosable” threshold has been lowered
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Essentially thinking of neurodivergence as an “epidemic” is deeply flawed because:

higher diagnosis rates =\= higher true prevalence of the condition
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
While about ADHD and not ASD:

“‘the rise of ADHD is a consequence of what might otherwisebe considered a good thing: that the world we live in increasingly values intellectual consideration and rationality ... Modernity didn’t create ADHD It revealed it.’” - Malcolm Gladwell, 1999
elizabethjacobs.bsky.social
There is a lot of focus on Tylenol and autism spectrum disorder today, but RFK Jr. is also suggesting that low folate levels contribute.

First, a reminder that genetics are the overwhelming contributor to ASD—up to 90%.

Anything else he pulls out is likely to have minimal impact on ASD rates.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
I think it has to also be contextualized that voter turnout was lower in 2024.

Swing doesn’t necessarily just come from people changing parties, but higher retention of 2020 red voters vs 2020 blue voters.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
If anyone has any leads in the area (or remote) or knows of anyone looking for an Applied Microeconomist, I’d be happy to have the connection!

I also have a strong public health background (JAMA Pub), and my JMP was labor / health focused.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Hi #EconSky! I was on the market this past cycle, specifically focused on the DC-Maryland-Virginia area because my fiancé is at the Fed Board (we get married this May).

I had a few government offers, all of which ended up being affected by the current civil service cuts.
Reposted by Travis Whitacre
skytteprize.bsky.social
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Congratulations to my soon to be father in law for winning the “Nobel” prize in Political Science!

👏 👏 👏
skytteprize.bsky.social
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
It’s a genre bend, and more comedy / thriller (and even musical) than it is horror imo. Probably could count on one hand the number of jump scares in the movie.
Reposted by Travis Whitacre
iwillnotbesilenced.bsky.social
Senator Chris Van Hollen is on his way to El Salvador to discuss bringing Kilmar Abrgeo Garcia back home.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Also important in response to these takes: slower growth from a recession does not necessarily mean lower prices if the economy is stagflationary. (Ahem, tariffs)
econberger.bsky.social
1/ I'm seeing a bad take floating around: "even a bad recession boosts the unemployment rate only to 10%; for the other 90% the recession is an opportunity to buy cheap houses."

But recessions and their aftermath are bad for more than 50% of households.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
I’ve seen lots of cope that crashing the markets is part of some demented strategy to show the administration means business.

But no. The simplest answer is just that they’re not rational, and whatever strategy there may be is irrational as well.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
The actions of our country’s leaders makes a lot more sense when you accept that they are not rational actors.
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
First time I’ve watched an international sports game the US was playing in and rooted against the US.

Go Canada, they deserved this win! 🇨🇦
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
I’ve pretty much made it a daily routine to send one letter or call in the morning. Always about a new topic… 😮‍💨
Reposted by Travis Whitacre
wired.com
WIRED @wired.com · Feb 4
EXCLUSIVE: The Bureau of the Fiscal Service is a sleepy part of the Treasury Department. It’s also where, sources say, a 25-year-old engineer tied to Elon Musk has admin privileges over the code that controls Social Security payments, tax returns, and more.
A 25-Year-Old With Elon Musk Ties Has Direct Access to the Federal Payment System
The Bureau of the Fiscal Service is a sleepy part of the Treasury Department. It’s also where, sources say, a 25-year-old engineer tied to Elon Musk has admin privileges over the code that controls So...
www.wired.com
Reposted by Travis Whitacre
laurenhlb.bsky.social
New and important: we built a federal expenditure tracker. All expenditure line items that are available on the Daily Treasury Statement.

USAID was zeroed out on 1/28 and has been at zero ever since.

www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

#EconSky
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
RIP all of us applied economists, econometricians, and IO folks working on anything to do with barriers to entry
darbysaxbe.bsky.social
🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.
list of banned keywords
Reposted by Travis Whitacre
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
If you see this, quote with flowers from your gallery
Cherry blossom
traviswhitacre.bsky.social
Even if he thought she was “God’s enemy”, isn’t it Christ who also said “Love your enemy, and pray for those who persecute you”?

Sounds a lot different than commanding people to “properly hate in response”