Temur Umarov
@tumarov.bsky.social
1.3K followers 190 following 110 posts
Fellow at @carnegieendowment.org I write about Central Asia for @ceip-politika.bsky.social https://carnegieendowment.org/people/temur-umarov?lang=en&center=russia-eurasia
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Reposted by Temur Umarov
ymatusik.bsky.social
Props to @tumarov.bsky.social for very skillfully describing the cult of raw power being created by Tashiev, the Sopranos-esque head of Kyrgyzstan’s rapidly expanding security services

youtu.be/cQeb5cdHs1I?...
Могу и «отлупить»: культ силы Ташиева
YouTube video by Kloop на русском
youtu.be
tumarov.bsky.social
Beyond the much-discussed trade figures, new projects, & investments, the China+Central Asia summit holds another dimension. W/ @peterleonard1.bsky.social @capsunlock.bsky.social we delved into the visibility of local agency operating behind the scenes:

pod.link/1781868199
tumarov.bsky.social
For the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, none of the five Central Asian governments have any grievances against one another.

Had a great conversation on Central Asia with LRT: www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
Expert: Russia and China will not clash in Central Asia – interview
A notable shift is taking place among the five Central Asian countries — instead of clashing, they are working to consol...
www.lrt.lt
tumarov.bsky.social
Had a great conversation with Agnieszka Pikulicka-Wilczewska for her new media Turan Tales on China-Central Asia:

Subscribe to her podcast on any platform you use: plinkhq.com/i/1799753984...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Reposted by Temur Umarov
tumarov.bsky.social
Central Asia’s “frankly bonkers” March heatwave, which saw temperatures up to 10C above pre-industrial levels, was intensified by climate change, according to new research published as countries around the world suffer exceptional spring weather.
www.ft.com/content/164a...
tumarov.bsky.social
In my hometown, Samarkand, the EU & Central Asian countries have kicked off their 1st-ever high-level summit as the bloc eyes new trade & infrastructure investments while aiming to significantly elevate Brussels’ ties w/ the region.

www.rferl.org/a/eu-central...
tumarov.bsky.social
If you missed our conversation about China's investment strategy in Central Asia with Nargiza Murataliyeva, Pan Yanliang, and Yunis Sharifli, you can watch the recording on
@carnegieendowment.org's YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/live/vWZVWAm...
tumarov.bsky.social
It’s difficult enough for Europe to find the right response to the ever-closer Russia-China relationship. The apparent US attempt to split Moscow from Beijing is making matters worse.

My latest for @ipq.bsky.social
ip-quarterly.com/en/de-riskin...
De-Risking Dilemma
It’s difficult enough for Europe to find the right response to the ever-closer Russia-China relationship. The apparent US attempt to split Moscow from Beijing is making matters worse.
ip-quarterly.com
tumarov.bsky.social
Moscow doesn't want to be seen as sacrificing its relationship w/ China for the sake of being closer to the US. For Moscow, this relationship is a strategic interest, & there are many reasons why it's just unimaginable for Russia to turn its back on China kyivindependent.com/match-made-i...
Why Trump’s Ukraine plan will fail to drive a wedge between Russia, China
It's no secret that U.S. officials have been trying to drive a wedge between Russia and its key ally, China. Former United States Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia Keith Kellogg was among the gove...
kyivindependent.com
tumarov.bsky.social
Confronted by Putin and Trump, Europe is being reconfigured. This is a chance for Turkey to become a full member of Europe’s club under a new set of rules. It should not let the opportunity go to waste. @dimitarbechev.bsky.social

foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/19/t...
Turkey Wants to Be a European Power Now
Ankara is preparing to send peacekeeping troops to Ukraine—and to deepen ties with the EU.
foreignpolicy.com
tumarov.bsky.social
Tajikistan publicly showcased its newly acquired Chinese HQ-17AE short-range SAM system for the first time during a military parade.
politik.uz/novosti/tadz...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
ceip-politika.bsky.social
The Trump administration has been quite open about why it wants to improve relations with Moscow: it believes closer ties will prize Russia away from China, which it sees as an existential threat. @tumarov.bsky.social on Trump’s 'Reverse Nixon' strategy: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Can Trump Channel Nixon to Turn Russia Against China?
Apart from the economic obstacles facing the U.S. plan, Russia is extremely unlikely to want to contain China—they have too much in common.
carnegieendowment.org
Reposted by Temur Umarov
alexgabuev.bsky.social
🎙️‼️
Your weekend podcast has arrived. I'm joined by great @dsorennie.bsky.social & Yanmei Xie to discuss whether Trump can drive a wedge between Moscow and Beijing. The short answer is "no," but it's the long answer that is more interesting and consequential.
carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/car...
Can Trump Drive a Wedge Between Russia and China? With David Rennie and Yanmei Xie
carnegieendowment.org
tumarov.bsky.social
The Kremlin will likely play along with Trump: at a minimum, increased interest from Washington strengthens Moscow’s position vis-à-vis Beijing.

My take for @ceip-politika.bsky.social on Trump's 'reverse Nixon' strategy:
Can Trump Channel Nixon to Turn Russia Against China?
Apart from the economic obstacles facing the U.S. plan, Russia is extremely unlikely to want to contain China—they have too much in common.
carnegieendowment.org