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turtle4th.bsky.social
Fourth Turning Capital 🔸
@turtle4th.bsky.social
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Thanks. One other observation: it seems like every time the U.S. trade deficit increases, profit margins simultaneously increase. Is there an economics explanation for this? Have you seen any work exploring this relationship? I believe the Kalecki profit equation suggests it should be the opposite.
January 1, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Michael, on your recent Monetary Matters podcast, you said, “until recently, Australia” was one of the Anglophone economies that absorbed foreign surpluses. What happened with Australia?
January 1, 2026 at 1:04 AM
🔥🔥🔥
December 31, 2025 at 11:45 PM
What is the best analysis you have seen of who is bearing the cost? Profit margins remain high, but inflation has not risen, so I am confused.
December 27, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Russell 2000 EPS is zero when looking at unadjusted figures.
December 20, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Reposted by Fourth Turning Capital 🔸
'Searches for “ai stocks” hit their zenith in mid-August and have since fallen, just as the stocks themselves are having a wobble.' www.economist.com/finance-and-...
December 2, 2025 at 11:38 PM
lol 😆
November 22, 2025 at 11:27 PM
And also not popular.
November 16, 2025 at 3:14 PM
In the most recent NFIB report, the number of small businesses reporting labor quality as the single most important problem rose to near the record set in November 2021, driven by the construction industry.

www.nfib.com/wp-content/u...
www.nfib.com
November 14, 2025 at 12:49 AM
What is the source?
November 14, 2025 at 12:32 AM
It happened in Aug 1999 - Mar 2000 as well.
November 13, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Reposted by Fourth Turning Capital 🔸
NYC isn't the country...

But similar patterns in NJ/VA: Sherrill/Spanberger voters who didn't back Harris are younger, more diverse, less ideological, more focused on pocketbook issues than on Trump

Consistent w/ Trump rating drops among young people, POC, less politically engaged

More below

6/6
The voters Mamdani added to the Democratic coalition in New York, a CBS News analysis
Zohran Mamdani's mayoral campaign turned out lots of voters who didn't back Kamala Harris last year — they are ethnically diverse, younger and less affluent.
www.cbsnews.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Congrats Parker! 3 boys — I hope you guys can tolerate couch wrestling!
November 10, 2025 at 8:04 PM
What happened to his hair?
November 10, 2025 at 5:30 PM