Urban Carmel
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ukarlewitz.bsky.social
Urban Carmel
@ukarlewitz.bsky.social
Former: UBS Securities, Asia Ex-Pat, McKinsey, Mayor of Mill Valley, Finance Twitter. Fan of causal relationships, behavioral finance and the Quad Dipsea.
Walter is spot on. Bull markets are littered with breadth divergences that never amount to anything actionable
December 12, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Indiana having a really good week
bsky.app/profile/kyle...
BREAKING:

The Indiana Senate just REJECTED the gerrymandered congressional map that Trump and his allies pressured Republicans to support.

The GOP-controlled chamber voted down the map, 31-19.
December 11, 2025 at 9:56 PM
UE claims from last week revised from 191k to 192k. Comment above applies
December 11, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Here's another example, also know as the Fallacy of the Hot Hand.. Fridays were on a losing streak but now up 7 of the last 8 weeks while previously hot Mondays down 50% of the time since this post.
December 7, 2025 at 8:33 PM
That was the low. SPX now up 5% just 10 days later
December 6, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Good for you for learning it. You're in the 1% of FinSky
December 5, 2025 at 12:05 AM
NAAIM hit 99 in July, more than 5 months ago. $SPX up >10% since then.
December 4, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Trading Maxim #41,309 is to wait for the 8th test of resistance
December 3, 2025 at 8:34 PM
Trucking represents 72.7% of tonnage carried by all modes of domestic freight transportation, including manufactured and retail goods. Down 2% yoy, flat YTD. From ATA
www.trucking.org/sites/defaul...
December 3, 2025 at 8:24 PM
TrumpShitCoin down another 60% since then.
December 1, 2025 at 2:32 PM