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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

Both countries are democratizing, but the positive trend has been weakened in recent years by incidents of suppression of political opponents. The upcoming elections in 2026, will give the people of The Gambia and Zambia the opportunity to solidify and deepen their ongoing democratization.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

In 2021, opposition leader Hakainde Hichilema defeats Lungu in the election with a landslide victory that initiates a U-turn democratization process. This case exemplifies the resilience of democracy, turning an autocratizing trend around.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

Zambia has a period of middling but stable levels in the EDI from 1995 to 2015. After the death of President Michael Sata 2015, Edgar Lungu wins the 2016 election. He introduces repressive measures against the opposition, the media, and civil society, leading to a decline in democracy levels.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

In The Gambia, the 22-year authoritarian period under Yahya Jammeh since the military coup 1994, ends in 2016 with the election of the opposition’s leader Adama Barrow. He introduces governance reforms, investigates the human rights abuses under Jammeh, and reinforces the separation of powers.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

The EDI focuses on the electoral components of democracy, assessing to what extent citizens can choose their leaders through free and fair elections, and whether there is freedom of expression during and between elections. The index ranges from 0 (less democratic) to 1 (more democratic).
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 6d

#GotW Electoral democracy in #TheGambia and #Zambia
The Gambia and Zambia have both recently improved in the Electoral Democracy Index (EDI). This week’s graph shows their performance between 1990 and 2024.
Full text w references @ v-dem.net/weekly_graph...
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#PoliSky #PolDataSky #PoliSkyData

Image of a graph showing the V-Dem Electoral Democracy Index for The Gambia and Zambia for the years 1990 to 2024.

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

The 2025 constitutional amendments increase Ortega’s control over the executive, legislative, judicial, and electoral branches, asserting his autocratic rule over Nicaragua.
Make your own graph: v-dem.net/graphing/gra...
Full text w references: v-dem.net/weekly_graph...
@vdemamlat.bsky.social
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Graphing Tools – V-Dem

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

Nicaragua is among the countries where journalists face the most severe difficulties. By 2024, mobilization for democracy is virtually nonexistent. Mobilization for autocracy also declined after 2019. The consolidation of a police state reinforced Nicaragua’s evolution toward autocracy.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

there is a simultaneous surge in mobilization for autocracy.
The government crackdown on the opposition continues after 2018, limiting the civic space and silencing dissenting voices. Authorities closed over 5,000 NGO's and more than 89 media outlets were forced to shut down.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

...on the social security and pension system triggered a wave of protests against President Daniel Ortega’s long-term authoritarian rule. In response, the Ortega regime mobilized loyalists to crackdown on anti-government movements. While mobilization for democracy reaches historic highs 2018,
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

The indicators #MobilizationForAutocracy and #MobilizationForDemocracy assess mass mobilization events for and against democracy in terms of their frequency and size, ranging from 0 (virtually no events) to 4 (many small and large-scale events).
In 2018, mass mobilization surges when reforms...
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 13d

#GotW From the Streets to Silence: The collapse of democratic mobilization in #Nicaragua
This week’s graph shows the mobilization for autocracy and democracy in Nicaragua.
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Full text with references: v-dem.net/weekly_graph...

#PoliSky #PoliSciSky #DemocracyAndAutocracy #PoliticalScienceData

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Reposted by V-Dem Institute

Juraj Medzihorsky @medzihorsky.bsky.social · 15d

The global retrenchment of academic freedom, as estimated by V-Dem and FAU:

2008-2015: mostly at the lower part of the scale
2015-2024: the upper part of the scale moves as well

More by FAU at: academic-freedom-index.net

@vdeminstitute.bsky.social

A chart showing a summary of the Academic Freedom Index in 2008, 2015, and 2024.

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 14d

Great use of our data😄 Although, if you include Eurovision 2025 countries that NQ for the final, the picture becomes slightly more muddled. Take f ex Azerbaijan (with a 0.05 score on the LDI), Serbia, who plays both teams (0.22), Georgia (0.33), or Montenegro (0.48). See all NQ countries in graph 👇

V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

Make your own graph for the International Day of Democracy at v-dem.net/graphing/gra...

Graphing Tools – V-Dem

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

there is a low number of countries scoring moderately high. The growing number of countries scoring very low, illustrated by the shift from blue to yellow in the bottom right corner of the graph, is concering, especially looking at the last few years.
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@vdemamlat.bsky.social #VisualizingVDemData

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

After 1989, the tables have turned and it is the top of the graph that is red, indicating that 50 or more countries score high on the LDI.
While there have been significant improvements in democracy levels, measured by the number of countries scoring high on the LDI over the past 80 years,
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

From 1945 to 1989, the bottom of the graph is red, showing that more than 50 countries scored low on the LDI each year. At the top of the graph, the same time period shows a gradual increase in countries scoring high on the LDI, from blue (very few) to orange (around 35 - 40 countries).
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

The scale on the left side of the graph shows where counties score on the LDI, from low to high. The colors in the graph represent the number of countries for each score, ranging from dark blue (0) to dark red (50+). The timeline at the bottom shows the progression from 1945 to 2024.
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'Os EUA não são mais uma democracia' | Entrevista com Staffan Lindberg

V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 23d

#InternationalDayOfDemocracy
Today, we celebrate the International Day of Democracy. We take a look at the development of democracy in the world over the past 80 years, by visualizing the V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index (LDI), using the heat map graphing tool.
#PolDataSky #PoliSky #Democracy
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The mage shows a heat map graph of the V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index for the years 1945 to 2024. The graph shows the number of countries, indicated by color, scoring from low to high on the Liberal Democracy Index for each year in the period.

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Reposted by V-Dem Institute

Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · Aug 29

🏛️ Today is the last day of #ecprgc25 in Thessaloniki, and your last chance to come by the #DEMSCORE booth in the Exhibition area of the Law Building.

If you do, you could f ex find out more about a useful DEMSCORE #DataHack👇
#Polisky #PoliSciSky #SocialScience #CompSocialScience
@ecpr.bsky.social

Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · Aug 26

This week #DEMSCORE is at the #ECPR General Conference 2025, at Aristotle University of Thessaloniki.
The DEMSCORE team will be available throughout the conference at our booth in the Exhibition area of the Law Building.
A virtual booth is accessible via the event app: ecpr.eu/app
#ecprgc25 #PoliSky

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · Aug 28

🎞️In this interview with #CartaCapital, V-Dem Institute Director @silindberg.bsky.social talks about the state of democracy in Latin America (+more):
youtu.be/u-3emkqHgYk?...
Interview in English w Portuguese subtitles
#PoliSciSky #Polisky #PoliticalScience
#Democracy #Autocratization #LatinAmerica

YouTube video by CartaCapital

youtu.be

V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · Aug 27

For a more extensive discussion of the paper, also see this thread by ‪@kailmarkvart.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/kail...

Kyle Marquardt @kailmarkvart.bsky.social · Aug 26

Excited to introduce a new working paper with @danpemstein.com, @chknutsen.bsky.social and other colleagues not on Bluesky! We use experimental and observational data to investigate the degree to which general biases affect expert perceptions of specific cases. 🧵 1/17 v-dem.net/media/public...

Title: Global Trends and Expert Perceptions: Pessimism and the Assessment of Democratic Backsliding.

Abstract There are longstanding concerns about biases in expert-coded data. Here we attempt to causally identify the effect of these biases, specifically evaluating the claim that pessimism about global democracy affects expert coding of democracy locally in specific countries. Observational analyses of data from an original survey of experts demonstrate that perceptions of global and local democratic trends are indeed correlated. However, an embedded experiment yields no evidence of a causal effect of perceptions of global democracy trends on perceptions of local trends. Moreover, we find little evidence that pessimism about global trends substantially affects actual coding behavior with regard to specific countries. Together, these results alleviate some concerns about expert biases both in widely-used measures of democracy and more broadly.

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · Aug 27

Download “Global Trends and Expert Perceptions: Pessimism and the Assessment of Democratic Backsliding”: v-dem.net/media/public...
By @kailmarkvart.bsky.social, @danpemstein.com , Brigitte Seim, John Gerring, @chknutsen.bsky.social, and Yunus Orhan
#Democracy #ExpertCodedData #DemocracyData
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