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Trump’s approval rating has dipped slightly, hovering near an all-time low below 42%.
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
January 13, 2026 at 2:39 AM
Trump’s approval rating has dipped slightly, hovering near an all-time low below 42%.
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
Democrats maintain a 5 point lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, a margin that has remained steady since mid-November.
January 7, 2026 at 7:54 AM
Democrats maintain a 5 point lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, a margin that has remained steady since mid-November.
Trump’s net approval remains underwater by double digits, though it’s up modestly from its late-November low.
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2
January 6, 2026 at 10:53 PM
Trump’s net approval remains underwater by double digits, though it’s up modestly from its late-November low.
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2
Democrats are up just over 5 points in the generic ballot average, with the margin holding steady recently.
December 28, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Democrats are up just over 5 points in the generic ballot average, with the margin holding steady recently.
Trump’s net approval has ticked up slightly in recent weeks, though it remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -11.8
1-month change: ▲ +1.2
Net approval: 🔻 -11.8
1-month change: ▲ +1.2
December 28, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Trump’s net approval has ticked up slightly in recent weeks, though it remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -11.8
1-month change: ▲ +1.2
Net approval: 🔻 -11.8
1-month change: ▲ +1.2
JD Vance’s favorability is hovering around 40% as we approach year’s end, with his image remaining underwater.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.3
4-month change: 🔻 -1.8
By comparison, Trump’s net favorability is deeper underwater at -10.2.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.3
4-month change: 🔻 -1.8
By comparison, Trump’s net favorability is deeper underwater at -10.2.
December 27, 2025 at 1:55 AM
JD Vance’s favorability is hovering around 40% as we approach year’s end, with his image remaining underwater.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.3
4-month change: 🔻 -1.8
By comparison, Trump’s net favorability is deeper underwater at -10.2.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.3
4-month change: 🔻 -1.8
By comparison, Trump’s net favorability is deeper underwater at -10.2.
Trump’s net approval has ticked up slightly in recent weeks, though it remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -12.1
1-month change: ▲ +1.4
Net approval: 🔻 -12.1
1-month change: ▲ +1.4
December 22, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Trump’s net approval has ticked up slightly in recent weeks, though it remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -12.1
1-month change: ▲ +1.4
Net approval: 🔻 -12.1
1-month change: ▲ +1.4
For the first time since we began tracking 2028 Democratic presidential primary polls, someone other than Kamala Harris is leading.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom now sits atop the field with 25% to Harris’s 19%.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom now sits atop the field with 25% to Harris’s 19%.
December 21, 2025 at 5:26 AM
For the first time since we began tracking 2028 Democratic presidential primary polls, someone other than Kamala Harris is leading.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom now sits atop the field with 25% to Harris’s 19%.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom now sits atop the field with 25% to Harris’s 19%.
Democrats lead by just over 5 points in our generic ballot average, a gap that’s remained largely unchanged over the past month.
December 20, 2025 at 2:30 AM
Democrats lead by just over 5 points in our generic ballot average, a gap that’s remained largely unchanged over the past month.
Eric Gisler (D) outperformed Kamala Harris by 14 points in GA HD 121 this Tuesday.
Clarke: 🔵 28 pt shift ⬅️
Oconee: 🔵 8 pt shift ⬅️
Clarke: 🔵 28 pt shift ⬅️
Oconee: 🔵 8 pt shift ⬅️
December 11, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Eric Gisler (D) outperformed Kamala Harris by 14 points in GA HD 121 this Tuesday.
Clarke: 🔵 28 pt shift ⬅️
Oconee: 🔵 8 pt shift ⬅️
Clarke: 🔵 28 pt shift ⬅️
Oconee: 🔵 8 pt shift ⬅️
Trump's approval remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -12
1-month change: 🔻 -1
Net approval: 🔻 -12
1-month change: 🔻 -1
December 7, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Trump's approval remains underwater by double digits.
Net approval: 🔻 -12
1-month change: 🔻 -1
Net approval: 🔻 -12
1-month change: 🔻 -1
Democrats lead Republicans in the 2026 generic ballot by about 5 points.
Current average: 🔵 D +4.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.0
Current average: 🔵 D +4.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.0
December 6, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Democrats lead Republicans in the 2026 generic ballot by about 5 points.
Current average: 🔵 D +4.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.0
Current average: 🔵 D +4.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.0
Kamala Harris’s slide seems to have leveled off in our 2028 Democratic presidential primary average. She now holds a slim but steady 3-point lead over Gavin Newsom, with the rest of the potential field well behind.
December 1, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Kamala Harris’s slide seems to have leveled off in our 2028 Democratic presidential primary average. She now holds a slim but steady 3-point lead over Gavin Newsom, with the rest of the potential field well behind.
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 84,307
(+9,624 on 11-26)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 30.5%
Cheatham - 30.1%
Davidson - 28.0%
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 84,307
(+9,624 on 11-26)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 30.5%
Cheatham - 30.1%
Davidson - 28.0%
November 28, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 84,307
(+9,624 on 11-26)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 30.5%
Cheatham - 30.1%
Davidson - 28.0%
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 84,307
(+9,624 on 11-26)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 30.5%
Cheatham - 30.1%
Davidson - 28.0%
JD Vance’s favorability rating has dipped below 40%.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.6
3-month change: 🔻 -2.1
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.6
3-month change: 🔻 -2.1
November 26, 2025 at 5:05 PM
JD Vance’s favorability rating has dipped below 40%.
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.6
3-month change: 🔻 -2.1
Net favorability: 🔻 -7.6
3-month change: 🔻 -2.1
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 74.683
(+11,483 on 11-25)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 26.8%
Cheatham - 26.8%
Davidson - 24.1%
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 74.683
(+11,483 on 11-25)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 26.8%
Cheatham - 26.8%
Davidson - 24.1%
November 26, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 74.683
(+11,483 on 11-25)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 26.8%
Cheatham - 26.8%
Davidson - 24.1%
🚨 Early Vote Update
Total: 74.683
(+11,483 on 11-25)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 26.8%
Cheatham - 26.8%
Davidson - 24.1%
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
Total: 63,200
(+8,411 on 11-24)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 22.3%
Cheatham - 21.8%
Davidson - 20.8%
🚨 Early vote update
Total: 63,200
(+8,411 on 11-24)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 22.3%
Cheatham - 21.8%
Davidson - 20.8%
November 25, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
Total: 63,200
(+8,411 on 11-24)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 22.3%
Cheatham - 21.8%
Davidson - 20.8%
🚨 Early vote update
Total: 63,200
(+8,411 on 11-24)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 22.3%
Cheatham - 21.8%
Davidson - 20.8%
Trump's approval is at a new low.
Current net approval: 🔻 -13.4
1-month change: 🔻 -4.9
Current net approval: 🔻 -13.4
1-month change: 🔻 -4.9
November 23, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Trump's approval is at a new low.
Current net approval: 🔻 -13.4
1-month change: 🔻 -4.9
Current net approval: 🔻 -13.4
1-month change: 🔻 -4.9
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 54,789
(+5,300 on 11-22)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 18.5%
Davidson - 18.3%
Cheatham - 18.3%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 54,789
(+5,300 on 11-22)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 18.5%
Davidson - 18.3%
Cheatham - 18.3%
November 23, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 54,789
(+5,300 on 11-22)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 18.5%
Davidson - 18.3%
Cheatham - 18.3%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 54,789
(+5,300 on 11-22)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Williamson - 18.5%
Davidson - 18.3%
Cheatham - 18.3%
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 49,489
(+7,610 on 11-21)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Cheatham - 17.4%
Humphreys - 17.2%
Williamson - 16.9%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 49,489
(+7,610 on 11-21)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Cheatham - 17.4%
Humphreys - 17.2%
Williamson - 16.9%
November 22, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 49,489
(+7,610 on 11-21)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Cheatham - 17.4%
Humphreys - 17.2%
Williamson - 16.9%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 49,489
(+7,610 on 11-21)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Cheatham - 17.4%
Humphreys - 17.2%
Williamson - 16.9%
Democrats lead Republicans in the 2026 generic ballot by about 5 points.
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.7
November 22, 2025 at 8:03 PM
Democrats lead Republicans in the 2026 generic ballot by about 5 points.
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.7
1-month change: 🔵 D +1.7
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 41,879
(+5,447 on 11-20)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Humphreys - 14.7%
Cheatham - 14.5%
Houston - 14.2%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 41,879
(+5,447 on 11-20)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Humphreys - 14.7%
Cheatham - 14.5%
Houston - 14.2%
November 21, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 41,879
(+5,447 on 11-20)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Humphreys - 14.7%
Cheatham - 14.5%
Houston - 14.2%
🚨 Early vote update
NOW WITH PRECINCTS
Total: 41,879
(+5,447 on 11-20)
Turnout Leaderboard (by share of 2024 turnout):
Humphreys - 14.7%
Cheatham - 14.5%
Houston - 14.2%
Since House Oversight Dems published new Epstein emails last week, Trump’s net favorability has fallen about 4 points.
His favorability rating now stands at 42.4%, the lowest of his second term.
His favorability rating now stands at 42.4%, the lowest of his second term.
November 20, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Since House Oversight Dems published new Epstein emails last week, Trump’s net favorability has fallen about 4 points.
His favorability rating now stands at 42.4%, the lowest of his second term.
His favorability rating now stands at 42.4%, the lowest of his second term.
Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District
🚨Early vote update
Total ballots: 25,320
(+4,961 on 11/17)
Top counties by share of their 2024 turnout:
Houston – 9.3%
Humphreys – 9.3%
Davidson – 8.6%
🚨Early vote update
Total ballots: 25,320
(+4,961 on 11/17)
Top counties by share of their 2024 turnout:
Houston – 9.3%
Humphreys – 9.3%
Davidson – 8.6%
November 18, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District
🚨Early vote update
Total ballots: 25,320
(+4,961 on 11/17)
Top counties by share of their 2024 turnout:
Houston – 9.3%
Humphreys – 9.3%
Davidson – 8.6%
🚨Early vote update
Total ballots: 25,320
(+4,961 on 11/17)
Top counties by share of their 2024 turnout:
Houston – 9.3%
Humphreys – 9.3%
Davidson – 8.6%
JD Vance’s net favorability has been notably more stable and consistently higher than Trump’s approval rating this term, though it remains slightly negative at roughly -6.
4-week change: ▲ +0.4
3-month change: ▲ +1.0
4-week change: ▲ +0.4
3-month change: ▲ +1.0
November 17, 2025 at 4:39 AM
JD Vance’s net favorability has been notably more stable and consistently higher than Trump’s approval rating this term, though it remains slightly negative at roughly -6.
4-week change: ▲ +0.4
3-month change: ▲ +1.0
4-week change: ▲ +0.4
3-month change: ▲ +1.0