William Nomikos
@wnomikos.bsky.social
4.4K followers 420 following 420 posts
peacebuilding, climate change and conflict, domestic politics and foreign policy || Assistant Professor of Political Science @UCSB || williamgnomikos.com || Previously @Yale @WashU
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wnomikos.bsky.social
"Local Peace, International Builders" demonstrates how legacies of colonialism shape the effectiveness of international interventions, peacekeeping, and statebuilding in the 21st century.

A quick thread summarizing how I do this over the course of the chapters of the book 🧵
wnomikos.bsky.social
My book, "Local Peace, International Builders," is now OUT.

It examines the conditions under which international actors successfully bring order, peace, and stability to fragile settings.

To read more about each chapter and download the book OPEN ACCESS: www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace
cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
'Local Peace, International Builders - How UN Peacekeeping Builds Peace from the Bottom Up' by @wnomikos.bsky.social.

Demonstrates how legacies of colonialism shape the effectiveness of international interventions, peacekeeping, and statebuilding in the 21st century.

📚 cup.org/4jtWATl 📚
wnomikos.bsky.social
I’m not sure I have enough words for how awful this is.
brendannyhan.bsky.social
Monstrous.

"federal agents detained nearly every resident of the 130-unit building—including children and babies—placing them in zip ties and separating them by race into vans for more than two hours early Tuesday morning."
dlknowles.bsky.social
Good reporting on the South Shore raid from South Side weekly here.

Confirms one thing I was told but didn't put in my own piece because I didn't have a second source and it seemed too insane: border agents segregated arrested residents by race

southsideweekly.com/federal-agen...
wnomikos.bsky.social
Really excited to talk about my book next week at @stanfordcisac.bsky.social!

If you are around, come join!

To read the book (open access): www.cambridge.org/core/books/l...
Reposted by William Nomikos
wnomikos.bsky.social
I’m extremely worried about ICE or national guard employing what looks like counterinsurgency tactics in American cities. This is exactly the type of military use that turns deadly. Undertrained forces doing this in places like West Africa quickly resort to indiscriminate violence against civilians.
wnomikos.bsky.social
It’s amazing and frightening how quickly things can go from “feels a bit 1960” to “feels a bit 1860.”

At some point, something will give. You have to hope it’s the Republican governors or maybe the military itself?
govpritzker.illinois.gov
This evening, President Trump is ordering 400 members of the Texas National Guard for deployments to Illinois, Oregon, and other locations within the United States. No officials from the federal government called me directly to discuss or coordinate.
wnomikos.bsky.social
Wow. They’ve got nothing.
atrupar.com
Lee Zeldin: "By Democrats continuing this shutdown, not only are the sombreros gonna grow 10 feet higher on President Trump's social media accounts, but the power of these agency heads administering the president's agenda and directives, it only gets easier."
wnomikos.bsky.social
This is top-notch political messaging. First, the interruption to call out a lie. Second, rebutting the entire argument on the merits, adding the tidbit about the Reagan-signed law requiring hospitals to provide care (independent of whatever happens here). @mehdirhasan.bsky.social would be proud.
atrupar.com
DOKOUPIL: Republicans says what you're really fighting for is taxpayer dollars for illegal aliens. I know that's not strictly true--

ELIZABETH WARREN: Excuse me, not strictly true? It is a flat out lie!
wnomikos.bsky.social
Thinking about @mcopelov.bsky.social Dennis Green theory of politics here
wnomikos.bsky.social
Bouie totally right here. The only thing to add is that 2024 GOP win relied also on the structure of American electoral politics at the Presidential, House, and Senate levels that have long favored Republican politics and demographics.
jamellebouie.net
i have said this before but i think that ones view of the current political situation is fundamentally shaped by how you view the outcome of the 2024 election. was it a definitive affirmation of the MAGA worldview or a narrow, extremely contingent result?
Reposted by William Nomikos
jamellebouie.net
i have said this before but i think that ones view of the current political situation is fundamentally shaped by how you view the outcome of the 2024 election. was it a definitive affirmation of the MAGA worldview or a narrow, extremely contingent result?
Reposted by William Nomikos
cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
"... reshapes our understanding of southern politics, democratic backsliding, and American political development."

Stolen Representation by Michael P. Olson, Coming Soon

Explore the first title in the Cambridge Studies in American Legislatures series

#LawSky #BookSky 🗺️ 🗃️

https://cup.org/46veCij
Faded image of a tree over a body of water
wnomikos.bsky.social
Incredible stuff—can’t think of a way this could have gone worse for Trump. Great for Kimmel!
washingtonpost.com
Breaking news: Jimmy Kimmel will return to television Tuesday, nearly one week after ABC took his show off the air under pressure from the Trump administration, station owners and critics over comments he made after the killing of Charlie Kirk.
Disney brings back Jimmy Kimmel, sidelined after Charlie Kirk comments
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” on ABC was taken off air following backlash from President Donald Trump, FCC Chair Brendan Carr, Nexstar, Sinclair and a bevy of conservative critics.
www.washingtonpost.com
Reposted by William Nomikos
zohrankmamdani.bsky.social
Shanah Tovah, New York City. Here's to a sweet and hopeful New Year.
Reposted by William Nomikos
wnomikos.bsky.social
Truly an honor and dream come true to see my book, Local Peace, International Builders, with the other Cambridge University Press @universitypress.cambridge.org award winners at @apsa.bsky.social APSA 2025!

www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace
Reposted by William Nomikos
macartan.bsky.social
Please share: @alanjacobs.bsky.social and I are running a Jan '26 course at @gesis.org Cologne on

𝐂𝐚𝐮𝐬𝐚𝐥 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐌𝐢𝐱𝐞𝐝 𝐌𝐞𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐝𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐜𝐡

🕵️Process tracing + Bayesian inference + graphical causal models

All in two heady days.

training.gesis.org?site=pDetail...
GESIS Training Courses
training.gesis.org
Reposted by William Nomikos
adambonica.bsky.social
Democrats should become the anti-corruption party. 72% of voters think a member of Congress would likely accept a bribe if offered one. 80% say donors run DC. The solution isn’t left vs right, it’s clean vs corrupt. But first, Democrats must reform themselves and reject big money.
The Democrats' Path Forward: Become the Anti-Corruption Party
But to reform the system they first need to reform the Democratic Party.
open.substack.com
wnomikos.bsky.social
I really like this as a general strategy for Dems but not sure about general claim abt corruption in comparative context.
Empirically, Putin's Russia, Bibi's Israel, PRC, among many others, prove corruption can work. Theoretically, selectorate logic also suggests corruption helps regimes last.
wnomikos.bsky.social
My mother had to flee the Greek dictatorship in the early 70s (to Sweden) and one of the things she would always talk about that I never understood was the regime collaborators. I see now of course, living with Trump, how easy and mainstream collaboration becomes. Wow!
wnomikos.bsky.social
General reminders help! I must admit that my first thought went to students before I saw your earlier post as well. It’s very easy to forget our own colleagues in this moment.
wnomikos.bsky.social
Great point and one I’ve been discussing a lot with friends interested in a “US exit strategy.”

I’m also not sure that neutral is actually sitting it out in practice. For example, US can sit out of UN contributions but that would essentially mean defunding UNPKOs, a pillar of the liberal order.
dhnexon.bsky.social
This has been obvious for a long time, but I'm glad more people are saying it.

I was recently asked whether Europe and Japan (and others) could sustain their own "liberal order" without the U.S. The answer is yes, in theory, especially if the U.S. just "sat things out" — that is, remained neutral.
davekeating.substack.com
The Trump regime is seeking "regime change in Europe" former Chatham House director Robin Niblet tells the New York Times.

This American-led global far right movement is turning into the Comintern of our times, warns Dutch historian @luukvmiddelaar.bsky.social.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/20/w...
wnomikos.bsky.social
It would actually be very helpful to have clearer guidelines in general, even for those of us that are immigrants and naturalized citizens. I’m not sure how to protect and help my students and colleagues at this time.
wnomikos.bsky.social
This changed my morning.
wnomikos.bsky.social
I’m not sure what’s happening—Ezra is my age. But he and other such pundits—it’s like their politics froze in 2012.
Reposted by William Nomikos
sumitra.bsky.social
i don’t think people on bluesky understand the severity of this situation.

i woke up to literally hundreds of texts from friends and family thinking about either moving back home to india or applying to other countries for jobs. this includes me.
gergely.pragmaticengineer.com
Those on an H1B cannot return to the US from tomorrow (Sunday) unless paying $100K. This is an out-of-the blue presidential action. We’ll see software engineers stranded abroad.

One easy to predict outcome: those on US visas will travel less… for work, for conferences etc.