Jason Furtado
@wxjay.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. I study large-scale climate dynamics, subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, and extreme weather. Proud RI native and New England sports fan. Opinions & thoughts are my own. 🇺🇸 🇵🇹
I’m not sure if I am ever going to be able to get to Houston for the AMS meeting, if these accumulations actually happen.
January 21, 2026 at 12:16 PM
I’m not sure if I am ever going to be able to get to Houston for the AMS meeting, if these accumulations actually happen.
Monday 19 Jan 2026 12Z run has a different story to tell (not surprised).
January 19, 2026 at 5:40 PM
Monday 19 Jan 2026 12Z run has a different story to tell (not surprised).
We are 5-6 days away from a potential winter storm in Oklahoma. Run to run variability is very high right now with this storm, including timing, track, and intensity.
Nevertheless, this map is making the rounds on social media.
Does this forecast accurately reflect the storm or the science?
Nevertheless, this map is making the rounds on social media.
Does this forecast accurately reflect the storm or the science?
January 19, 2026 at 4:47 PM
We are 5-6 days away from a potential winter storm in Oklahoma. Run to run variability is very high right now with this storm, including timing, track, and intensity.
Nevertheless, this map is making the rounds on social media.
Does this forecast accurately reflect the storm or the science?
Nevertheless, this map is making the rounds on social media.
Does this forecast accurately reflect the storm or the science?
Just your good ol’ normal December 27 in Oklahoma.
December 27, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Just your good ol’ normal December 27 in Oklahoma.
Doesn’t get more New Orleans than turtle soup for dinner!
December 17, 2025 at 1:04 AM
Doesn’t get more New Orleans than turtle soup for dinner!
Lots of discussion about the #PolarVortex recently. In terms of wave reflection, after some activity this week, conditions will not be favorable for the rest of the month, likely meaning a -PNA / warm up pattern across N America.
Possibilities for wave reflection return in early Jan 2026. #S2S
Possibilities for wave reflection return in early Jan 2026. #S2S
December 10, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Lots of discussion about the #PolarVortex recently. In terms of wave reflection, after some activity this week, conditions will not be favorable for the rest of the month, likely meaning a -PNA / warm up pattern across N America.
Possibilities for wave reflection return in early Jan 2026. #S2S
Possibilities for wave reflection return in early Jan 2026. #S2S
A bit chilly in my office in the National Weather Center. 🙃
December 1, 2025 at 3:22 PM
A bit chilly in my office in the National Weather Center. 🙃
Some overnight freezing drizzle and lots of elevated services (bridges and overpasses) is making for a slow and precarious commute in OKC this morning. Precip is pretty much done but it will take a while for conditions to clear out on the roads.
December 1, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Some overnight freezing drizzle and lots of elevated services (bridges and overpasses) is making for a slow and precarious commute in OKC this morning. Precip is pretty much done but it will take a while for conditions to clear out on the roads.
File this under "Not the canonical response to major SSWs across much of the Northern Hemisphere."
Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average.
In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in.
From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S
Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average.
In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in.
From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S
November 24, 2025 at 3:20 PM
File this under "Not the canonical response to major SSWs across much of the Northern Hemisphere."
Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average.
In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in.
From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S
Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average.
In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in.
From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S
The NH #PolarVortex is very weak right now, with a hint from the ECMWF of winds at 10 hPa, 60 N becoming slightly below zero m/s (i.e., turning easterly) for 1 day. Then, a very rapid strengthening thereafter. Whether this officially becomes a major SSW or not remains to be seen. #S2S
November 24, 2025 at 3:15 PM
The NH #PolarVortex is very weak right now, with a hint from the ECMWF of winds at 10 hPa, 60 N becoming slightly below zero m/s (i.e., turning easterly) for 1 day. Then, a very rapid strengthening thereafter. Whether this officially becomes a major SSW or not remains to be seen. #S2S
It was a fun Halloween - passed out candy to the kids as Clark Kent / Superman!
November 1, 2025 at 1:44 PM
It was a fun Halloween - passed out candy to the kids as Clark Kent / Superman!
OU grad students:
- Want to learn data analysis techniques for your research?
- Want to understand and critique the methods used in the journal articles you read?
- Want to build your own statistical toolbox to use in the future?
Enroll in Advanced Statistical Meteorology in Spring 2026!
- Want to learn data analysis techniques for your research?
- Want to understand and critique the methods used in the journal articles you read?
- Want to build your own statistical toolbox to use in the future?
Enroll in Advanced Statistical Meteorology in Spring 2026!
October 27, 2025 at 3:54 PM
OU grad students:
- Want to learn data analysis techniques for your research?
- Want to understand and critique the methods used in the journal articles you read?
- Want to build your own statistical toolbox to use in the future?
Enroll in Advanced Statistical Meteorology in Spring 2026!
- Want to learn data analysis techniques for your research?
- Want to understand and critique the methods used in the journal articles you read?
- Want to build your own statistical toolbox to use in the future?
Enroll in Advanced Statistical Meteorology in Spring 2026!
Date night - watching Book of Mormon at the Civic Center!
October 12, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Date night - watching Book of Mormon at the Civic Center!
RIP Mike Greenwell. I remember watching him in the late 80s/early 90s.
October 9, 2025 at 7:02 PM
RIP Mike Greenwell. I remember watching him in the late 80s/early 90s.
Starting off this summer day in October the right way!
October 6, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Starting off this summer day in October the right way!
It’s October 5 and I am still swimming outdoors. Crazy how warm it has been here in Oklahoma for this time of year.
October 5, 2025 at 9:40 PM
It’s October 5 and I am still swimming outdoors. Crazy how warm it has been here in Oklahoma for this time of year.
Nice cyclonic spin in north central OK with a cool front sweeping into NW OK and eventually the OKC metro later this afternoon/evening. Cooler weather on the way!
September 23, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Nice cyclonic spin in north central OK with a cool front sweeping into NW OK and eventually the OKC metro later this afternoon/evening. Cooler weather on the way!
Consider applying for a position on the SAGE Energy Task Team or the Predictability Task Team! It's a wonderful opportunity to get applied work for S2S!
September 17, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Consider applying for a position on the SAGE Energy Task Team or the Predictability Task Team! It's a wonderful opportunity to get applied work for S2S!
Bore-ing weather in OKC this morning.
September 10, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Bore-ing weather in OKC this morning.
You love to see it! Frost advisories out for parts of Northern New England! #TisTheSeason
September 8, 2025 at 3:52 PM
You love to see it! Frost advisories out for parts of Northern New England! #TisTheSeason
Very impressive squall line by New England standards!
September 6, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Very impressive squall line by New England standards!