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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6h

Antifatigue?

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 9h

Trump is fighting sleep during this antifa roundtable and sleep is gaining the upper hand

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 17h

I'm paywalled here, but in case you thought Republicans had cleverly back-loaded their Medicaid cuts until after midterms...stories like this are proliferating.

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 2d

Go very easy in those sugary cereals!

xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 2d

okay, it's picayune

xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 2d

Not be picayune, but can escalations reach a low?

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Reposted by xpostfactoid

Louise Norris @louisenorris.bsky.social · 5d

If you feel like a deep dive into why the projected average Marketplace premium increase (if subsidy enhancements aren't extended) jumped from 75% to 114% this week, read this from @xpostfactoid.bsky.social xpostfactoid.substack.com/p/way-worse-...

*Way* worse than forecast: How did KFF's estimate of pending ACA premium increases rise from 75% to 114%?

Ravages of time -- and ravages of Trump's CMS

xpostfactoid.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 2d

Thanks, Republicans

States are cutting Medicaid provider payments long before Trump cuts hit

North Carolina and Idaho have cut their Medicaid programs to bridge budget gaps, raising fears that providers will stop taking patients and that hospitals will close even before the brunt of a new fed...

www.npr.org

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 3d

I'm not familiar with Robichaux, but FWIW, David Dayen made the same point about late-night TV (and legacy TV generally).

xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 3d

Gaba: borrowing illustrations for some real financial suffering

In which I finally put an absurd WSJ graphic from 12 years ago to good use.

2026 ACA window shopping is LIVE in 5 states. Here's 4 real-world examples of how ugly it could get.

open.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 5d

They're flat-out lying, yes, but she didn't answer his question, which was about OBBBA stripping eligibility from certain categories of *lawfully present* noncitizens, whom Republicans smear as "illegals."
www.kff.org/medicaid/tra...

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Reposted by xpostfactoid

Charles Ghoul-ba ✡️ @charlesgaba.com · 5d

📣 UPDATED: Two new polls confirm: Out of the gate, Americans STRONGLY support extending the #ACA tax credits.

🚨 Meanwhile, 58% of enrollees barely knew about the looming danger as of a week ago.

acasignups.net/25/10/03/two...

Two new polls confirm it: Out of the shutdown gate, Americans STRONGLY support extending the enhanced ACA tax credits (updated)

Via NBC News: A Washington Post poll conducted on Oct. 1, the first day of the shutdown, found that 47% of U.S. adults blame Trump and Republicans in Congress, while 30% blame Democrats and 23% said t...

acasignups.net

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 5d

Keep in mind: much of the difference between KFF's initial estimate of an average premium increase for ACA enrollees of 75% and the update to 114% is b/c Trump's CMS deliberately choose to cut subsidies even further by changing inflation calculation.

*Way* worse than forecast: How did KFF's estimate of pending ACA premium increases rise from 75% to 114%?

Ravages of time -- and ravages of Trump's CMS

xpostfactoid.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 5d

"it’s the nature of Trump’s party, not his personal depravity, that is responsible for the decline of American democracy."
- Krugman.

Declining American Democracy: Trump is a Symptom, Not the Cause

The modern GOP is inherently authoritarian

open.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 5d

OTOH they managed to get the apostrophe on a plural noun right

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 5d

This is all an egregious violation of our norms and laws but also an incredible tell that they know this is a losing fight for them

Will Harris @willharrisinva.bsky.social · 6d

If you go the White House website, you see this. You also see the words “Americans Don’t Agree with Democrats’ Actions” followed by an incredibly lengthy list of organizations. When you click on each one, you get a note or letter from that organization about the need for a continuing resolution. 1/🧵

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

Bad luck. They didn't really hit him hard.

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

God help us

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 6d

FBI Director Kash Patel
Secretary of HHS Robert F. Kennedy Jr
Secretary of Education Linda McMahon
Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy
President Donald J. Trump

Tom Scocca @tomscocca.bsky.social · 8d

"CBS News editor in chief Bari Weiss" is the exact same deal as "Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth"

xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

Oops, red flag was surge in auto reenrollment in FFM (hc..gov), not SBMs.

Reposted by xpostfactoid

Preorder Read This When Things Fall Apart @mskellymhayes.bsky.social · 6d

We need a bigger national spotlight on this building raid, fam. Agents dropped from helicopters onto the roof. Citizens and non-citizens alike were dragged from their homes in the night. People who weren't kidnapped during the raid had their belongings seized after the fact. This is madness.

Preorder Read This When Things Fall Apart @mskellymhayes.bsky.social · 6d

"Jones, 27, is among the residents left at 7500 S. South Shore Drive who are trying to piece together what remains after an early morning, high-powered federal immigration raid led to the arrests of dozens of their neighbors at their South Shore apartment building."

Massive immigration raid on Chicago apartment building leaves residents reeling: 'I feel defeated'

The Department of Homeland Security said federal agents with Border Patrol, the FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives arrested 37 people in the raid.

chicago.suntimes.com

230 5.5K 8.8K

Reposted by xpostfactoid

TizzyWoman @tizzywoman.bsky.social · 6d

Mikie Sherrill’s unredacted military records were ILLEGALLY leaked in a vile smear campaign.
This is an attack on every veteran who served with honor.
Democrats are demanding a full investigation and accountability because NO ONE is above the law. #VoteNJ

Pallone and New Jersey
Colleagues
Demand
Investigation Into Illegal Release of Rep. Sherril's
Military Records
This unprecedented act is a serious violation of privacy
- from putting her Social Security number on nearly. every_page to disclosing sensitive personal information about her family - and a blatant breach of clear protocols for handling sensitive documents.

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

The updated estimate (114% avg premium increase) is based on actual 2026 conditions -- the subsidy schedule published by the IRS, and the rate requests filed by insurers.

*Way* worse than forecast: How did KFF's estimate of pending ACA premium increases rise from 75% to 114%?

Ravages of time -- and ravages of Trump's CMS

xpostfactoid.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

p.s. It's now a 114% increase (on average, for 22 million subsidized enrollees)

(That year-old prior KFF estimate is going to be hard to wash out.)

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

That's why auto-reenrollment was historically more prevalent in SBMs and for the most part worked out okay there.
xpostfactoid.substack.com/p/are-high-a...

OTOH, a surge in auto-reenrollment in the SBM in 2025 was prob something of a red flag.

Are high auto re-enrollment rates in the ACA's State-based marketplaces a problem? Take II

More frequent auto re-enrollment in SBMs appears to be at least partly a result of better information and lower benchmark volatility in the SBMs than in HealthCare.gov states

xpostfactoid.substack.com

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

Conversely, insurers some state exchanges may already (or soon) be giving out accurate information, with net-of-subsidy premiums based on the benchmark and adjusted for any income updates enrollees have provided.

In past years, Sheron Sidbury told me that Maryland does this by Oct. 1.

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

In hc..gov states, insurer notices at this point are notoriously inaccurate.

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xpostfactoid @xpostfactoid.bsky.social · 6d

Or that you will be at some point within the next ten years, if the system survives. True for 50 million-plus so far.

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