#FOMCguesses
think itll be .25% cut
#FOMCguesses
December 10, 2025 at 5:59 PM
December 10, 2025 at 4:26 PM
25 basis point rate cut.
#FOMCguesses
December 10, 2025 at 4:25 PM
25 bps rate cut.
Ambiguous forward guidance.
Miran dissents (50 bps).
Balance sheet: we're almost at ample reserves

#FOMCguesses
October 29, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Fed goes 50 … paired with a new SEP that has some grim unemployment forecasts. Keeps Trump from going too mad, while subtly undercuts “USA is booming” bombast.
Stocks rally, perhaps past the close, then sell off once the long end trampolines on the “we’ve given up on inflation” signal
#FOMCguesses
September 16, 2025 at 9:02 PM
25bps rate cut.
Powell is non-committal on next steps.

Bowman and Waller dissent, looking for 50bps.
#FOMCguesses
September 16, 2025 at 7:35 PM
In that case:

Sept odds go up to 75%+ #FOMCGuesses
July 30, 2025 at 5:37 PM
No change in interest rates.

#FOMCguesses
July 30, 2025 at 5:10 PM
NO CHANGE in Fed Funds rate target.

#FOMCguesses
June 18, 2025 at 2:58 PM
No change in Fed Funds target.

#FOMCguesses
March 19, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Is #FOMCGuesses a thing? 25bps
December 11, 2024 at 11:28 PM
December 11, 2024 at 8:19 AM
While you're worried about slouvaki, we're ordering apple pie.
#FOMCguesses
December 12, 2024 at 12:37 PM
December 14, 2024 at 2:02 AM
Huge call. RT @IvanTheK: Rates unchanged.
#FOMCguesses
December 14, 2024 at 9:14 AM
#FOMCGuesses Na swieta snieg będzie tylko w Zakopcu. #ASZdziennik
December 4, 2024 at 9:14 AM