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Eugenio Proto

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H-index: 20
Psychology 28%
Economics 20%
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Why it matters?
These insights speak to how humans adapt when the unexpected becomes reality.

And they matter for macroeconomists studying economies after large, unanticipated shocks. (5/5)
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
The main takeaway: people are surprisingly good — on average — at adapting to new realities, combining pre- and post-shock information wisely. (4/5)
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
We test reverse Bayesianism — a framework where unforeseen events leave relative prior likelihoods unchanged.

Our experiments show:
🔹 If the new world resembles the old, people update gradually.
🔹 If a regime change is possible, they overhaul their entire model.
(3/5)
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
The paper asks: how do people update their beliefs when faced with events they never anticipated?
Bayesian learning dominates economics — but it says nothing about “unknown unknowns.” (2/5)
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by Eugenio Proto — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto, Daniel Stone

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Thrilled to share that our article

“Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events” is forthcoming in the Journal of the European Economic Association (JEEA).

(with C. K. Becker, T. Melkonyan, @andissofianos.bsky.social Sofianos, S.T. Trautmann)

(1/5)

👉 academic.oup.com/jeea/advance...
Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events
Abstract. Bayesian updating is the dominant theory of learning. However, the theory is silent about how individuals react to events that were previously un
academic.oup.com
1 3 6

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Donald Trump is becoming the greatest unifier of Europe since the end of the cold war www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Donald Trump is becoming the greatest unifier of Europe since the end of the cold war | Fabrizio Tassinari
The US president may be helping Putin to destroy the west, but his vanity is causing Europeans to speak with one voice in defence of Ukraine, says Fabrizio Tassinari of the European University Institu...
www.theguardian.com
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
And just when you think you’ve hit rock bottom, it goes deeper.
claudia-sahm.bsky.social
Claudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social · Aug 1
Firing the BLS Commissioner because you don't like the data is a dark day.
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by Claudia Sahm — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto, Alistair Munro, Rosemary A. Joyce

claudia-sahm.bsky.social
Firing the BLS Commissioner because you don't like the data is a dark day.
42 170 810

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Thank you for the invitation to this wonderful workshop. It was a real pleasure participating.

(Yes, that stunning background is real!)
mircotonin.bsky.social
Mirco Tonin @mircotonin.bsky.social · Jul 29
Group picture at the workshop "The Demand for Bad Policy - Why do citizens support policies that harm society?" organised by Paolo Roberti at @unibz.bsky.social LINK: www.unibz.it/en/events/th... @eugenioproto.bsky.social @federicoboffa.bsky.social @mbigoni.bsky.social @ollefolke.bsky.social
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by Mirco Tonin — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

mircotonin.bsky.social
Group picture at the workshop "The Demand for Bad Policy - Why do citizens support policies that harm society?" organised by Paolo Roberti at @unibz.bsky.social LINK: www.unibz.it/en/events/th... @eugenioproto.bsky.social @federicoboffa.bsky.social @mbigoni.bsky.social @ollefolke.bsky.social
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Yes, broadly speaking
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Reposted by: Eugenio Proto, Jonathan Portes

gsoh31.bsky.social
Asylum-seekers get £49 a week loaded onto a pre-paid card if they're not in catered accommodation. They get £10 if they are. And yet nearly a third of voters think government spending helps 'immigrants' **most of all**. Insane and frightening.
16 67 130

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
An old article, but still very timely

www.psychreg.org/emotions-ele...
Emotions Are Key to Deciding Elections, Not Economics or Party Platforms – According to Research
Elections and referendums may be being decided by the emotional well-being of voters, new research from the University of Warwick suggests.
www.psychreg.org
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Comunque è buono per tutti i nipoti del mondo
1

Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

caitlinheard.bsky.social
Investing in behavioral science is key to building smarter, more compassionate policy. Grateful to see programs like this shaping the next generation of changemakers, this is what exactly the world need.
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
📢Applications are now open for the 2024/25 academic year for the MSc in Behavioural Science.

This unique programme is co-run by the Adam Smith Business School and the School of Psychology & Neuroscience.

📢Several full scholarships are available :

www.gla.ac.uk/postgraduate...
University of Glasgow - Postgraduate study - Taught degree programmes A‑Z - Behavioural Science
The Masters in Behavioural Science is a unique programme co-run by the Adam Smith Business School and the School of Psychology & Neuroscience. It aims to shape tomorrow’s behavioural scientists throug...
www.gla.ac.uk
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
I would be happy to be there as well, thanks

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
In the English translated version
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
This is definitely a good book to read for a 14yo, interested in behavioural economics !
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by Eugenio Proto — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Our experiments are only as strong as their ability to be replicated

Pleased to see our 2022 study on intelligence & strategy in repeated games validated by a high-powered experiment.

Thanks to Michalis & Graeme.
andissofianos.bsky.social
Andis Sofianos @andissofianos.bsky.social · Jun 17
Very happy to see our paper with @eugenioproto.bsky.social and Aldo replicated by Michalis (@mdrouvelis.bsky.social) & Graeme!

#EconSky

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Intelligence and strategy choice in indefinitely repeated prisoner’s dilemma games: A replication of Proto, Rustichini & Sofianos (2022)
We provide a close replication of the original study of Proto et al. (2022) which examines the link between intelligence, strategy choice and errors i…
www.sciencedirect.com
2 7

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Enjoying the Finnish Summer
2

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Starmer made strategic and communication’s mistakes, yes. But left wing media should be more constructive , it is not easy to re-invent a left wing party in periods like these
theguardian.com
The Guardian @theguardian.com · Jul 2
Poorly led, strategically inept and shorn of democracy. Now I truly fear for this Labour government | John McDonnell
Poorly led, strategically inept and shorn of democracy. Now I truly fear for this Labour government | John McDonnell
The welfare bill passed, but it was chaos. A party this dysfunctional and divided cannot escape the wrath of voters at the next election, says John McDonnell, former Labour shadow chancellor
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

theguardian.com
Poorly led, strategically inept and shorn of democracy. Now I truly fear for this Labour government | John McDonnell
Poorly led, strategically inept and shorn of democracy. Now I truly fear for this Labour government | John McDonnell
The welfare bill passed, but it was chaos. A party this dysfunctional and divided cannot escape the wrath of voters at the next election, says John McDonnell, former Labour shadow chancellor
www.theguardian.com
23 29 110

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Pre-school Head Start certificate. My wife in Boston 1977, another era in politics. Will ever come back?

Reposted by: Eugenio Proto, Michalis Drouvelis

andissofianos.bsky.social
Very happy to see our paper with @eugenioproto.bsky.social and Aldo replicated by Michalis (@mdrouvelis.bsky.social) & Graeme!

#EconSky

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Intelligence and strategy choice in indefinitely repeated prisoner’s dilemma games: A replication of Proto, Rustichini & Sofianos (2022)
We provide a close replication of the original study of Proto et al. (2022) which examines the link between intelligence, strategy choice and errors i…
www.sciencedirect.com
2 8

by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
If you are tired of Trump and considering to come back to the old continent, this endowed Chair is a fantastic opportunity and Glasgow is a fantastic city.

econjobmarket.org/positions/11...
EJM - Econ Job Market
econjobmarket.org

by Eugenio Proto — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Unhappiness & distrust fuel populism.

Chapter 7 of the 2025 World Happiness Report shows low life satisfaction predicts support for populists—from Trump to Brexit.

Less trust, more anger = votes for “strongmen.”

🔗 worldhappiness.report/ed/2025/trus...

#Populism #Trust
Trusting others: How unhappiness and social distrust explain populism
The World Happiness Report is published by the Wellbeing Research Centre at the University of Oxford, in partnership with Gallup, the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network and an independent ed...
worldhappiness.report
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by Eugenio Proto

eugenioproto.bsky.social
We welcome the submission of full papers or extended abstracts by Wednesday 30th April 2025.

Papers received after this deadline will also be considered where feasible.

Please submit your work for consideration to: [email protected]
eugenioproto.bsky.social
Eugenio Proto @eugenioproto.bsky.social · Feb 27
Join us for the 2nd Scottish Behavioural Sciences Conference 2025 @uofglasgow.bsky.social @uofgasbs.bsky.social

in Scotland a cradle of behavioural science since the days of Adam Smith & David Hume

gla.ac.uk/schools/busi...

Reposted by: Eugenio Proto

georgeangelis.bsky.social
Come Join us!
Send your papers: [email protected]
More info: tinyurl.com/yb5xn2yb
@uofglasgow.bsky.social @uofgasbs.bsky.social
@eugenioproto.bsky.social @basiczvonimir.bsky.social
#FedericaFarolfi
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by Eugenio Proto — Reposted by: Eugenio Proto, Graeme Roy

eugenioproto.bsky.social
Join us for the 2nd Scottish Behavioural Sciences Conference 2025 @uofglasgow.bsky.social @uofgasbs.bsky.social

in Scotland a cradle of behavioural science since the days of Adam Smith & David Hume

gla.ac.uk/schools/busi...
5 5

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