Scholar

Daniel Stone

H-index: 15
Political science 43%
Communication & Media Studies 12%
dfstone.bsky.social
I do think it's a good point that if outlets are owned by firms/individuals with other interests affected by the admin, that increases their incentives to curry favor. But still think the power of using their outlet for this purpose depends on audience size - so they can't alienate too many people
dfstone.bsky.social
Well - that of course ignores the content of their coverage - he's not suing Fox News (and he doesn't do favors for podcasters with tiny audiences, as far as I know)
dfstone.bsky.social
Hmm, maybe - but a paper/outlet should be a more powerful vehicle for extracting favors when it has a larger audience...
dfstone.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/02/u...

Very good to confirm this: the vast majority of both Republicans and Democrats (still) do not think of the other party as "the enemy"
dfstone.bsky.social
Marge and Homer walking through the new Springfield Squidport:

"This is what I imagine Paris must be like!" -Marge
"You've never been?" -Homer
dfstone.bsky.social
"Chinatown? Only in New York!" -Marge
rockshrimp.bsky.social
what's the stupidest/randomest Simpsons quote that lives in your head rent free? Mine is the urge to say "you said go to bread" every time I am about to head to bed.
rockshrimp.bsky.social
what's the stupidest/randomest Simpsons quote that lives in your head rent free? Mine is the urge to say "you said go to bread" every time I am about to head to bed.
dfstone.bsky.social
Hey you do all sports data all the time - you are already living the dream :)
dfstone.bsky.social
Bowdoin econ is hiring two assistant professors!
www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

This place is pretty great - see e.g. www.google.com/search?q=wha...
(Doesn't even mention the full year full pay junior sabbatical...)

Let me know any questions !
dfstone.bsky.social
I think a major TV star is an elite! He could have chosen to go easy on the criticism and stay safe or put his job on the line...
dfstone.bsky.social
Careful overstating stuff like this since if elites think most/all other elites are folding, they become more likely to fold (self-fulfilling prophecy)

Plenty of elites are being brave (like Kimmel) - we should focus on publicly praising them to encourage others
seancasten.bsky.social
Saving America from Trump and preserving our democracy explicitly requires that people who voted for Trump change their mind. Which in turn requires that those who didn’t vote for Trump show grace and empathy to those whose change of heart came from being hurt by the guy they voted for…
brenttoderian.bsky.social
“In Finland, the number of homeless people has fallen sharply. Those affected receive a small apartment & counselling with no preconditions. 4 out of 5 people affected make their way back into a stable life. And all this is CHEAPER than accepting homelessness.”

It costs a lot less to house people.
Finland ends homelessness and provides shelter for all in need - scoop.me
In Finland, the number of homeless people has fallen sharply. Why? The country applies the "Housing First" concept agains homelessness.
thebetter.news
eugenioproto.bsky.social
Thrilled to share that our article

“Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events” is forthcoming in the Journal of the European Economic Association (JEEA).

(with C. K. Becker, T. Melkonyan, @andissofianos.bsky.social Sofianos, S.T. Trautmann)

(1/5)

👉 academic.oup.com/jeea/advance...
Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events
Abstract. Bayesian updating is the dominant theory of learning. However, the theory is silent about how individuals react to events that were previously un
academic.oup.com
dfstone.bsky.social
"The number of deaths in politically motivated terrorist attacks is so tiny that any statistical analysis is extremely fragile. However, there is one consistent finding from analyses of politically motivated terrorism: There aren’t many deaths."
www.alexnowrasteh.com/p/politicall...
Politically Motivated Violence is Rare in the United States
It’s a tragedy nonetheless
www.alexnowrasteh.com
dfstone.bsky.social
(So recent lit debating electoral effects of politicians being moderates might be confounded by not controlling for this... maybe picking up a 'civility' effect?)

Anyway link to the draft here, comments welcome! 🙏
osf.io/preprints/so...
dfstone.bsky.social
Effects are similar in red and blue states and in the later (i.e., even more affectively polarized) years of our sample

Interesting auxiliary result: w/o controlling for hostile rhetoric, ideological moderation predicts electoral success. But moderation is insignificant when hostility is included
dfstone.bsky.social
Causality is admittedly not cleanly identified but results hold up with lots of controls including LLM-measures of populism and ideological moderation/extremism, and mid-campaign polls (so we're not just picking up long-shot candidates going negative from the start of campaigns and still losing)
dfstone.bsky.social
Not sure if it's relatively bad or good timing to share this but... Some encouraging news re polarization in a new working paper with Jack Banks (Bowdoin 2027):

LLM-measures of *lack of* hostility in campaign rhetoric robustly predict electoral success for US gubernatorial candidates from 2010-2023

References

Fields & subjects

Updated 1m