Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Robert Pausch @bertpsch.bsky.social · 7d

"Die Mehrheit in diesem Land ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem eine linke Politik" – dieser Satz ist also nicht analytisch gemeint, sondern strategisch. Er ist nicht da, um etwas zu beschreiben, sondern um etwas zu planen.

www.zeit.de/politik/2025...

CDU-Politiker: Der schwarz-blaue Sehnsuchtssatz

"Die Mehrheit ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem linke Politik" – diese Formel wiederholen CDU-Politiker gerade auffällig oft. Dahinter steckt eine gefährliche Strategie.

www.zeit.de

15 110 280

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Ingo Stützle @istuetzle.bsky.social · 9d

Claus #Offe ist gestorben. Vor ein paar Tagen musst ich an ihn denken, weil ich einen Post geteilt hatte, den ich eigentlich noch kommentieren wollte - mir aber mal wieder nicht die Zeit dafür nahm. Ich habe viel aus Offes frühen Schriften zu Staat und #Sozialpolitik gelernt.
1/6

1 16 50

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · 9d

Real existierende linke Akademiker:innen mal wieder anders als manche denken:
„Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“

Maria Sobolewska @profsob.bsky.social · 9d

An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The unfulfilled promises of upward mobility and support for radical left parties in Western Europe

In recent decades, educational expansion has produced a large swathe of university graduates which labour markets are increasingly less able to absorb…

www.sciencedirect.com

2

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Maria Sobolewska @profsob.bsky.social · 9d

An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The unfulfilled promises of upward mobility and support for radical left parties in Western Europe

In recent decades, educational expansion has produced a large swathe of university graduates which labour markets are increasingly less able to absorb…

www.sciencedirect.com

2 14 34

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · 11d

Lesenswert!

1 13

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Peter Jelinek @peterjelinek.bsky.social · 23d

Nur zur Einordnung:

Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen €

Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden €

Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden €

Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.

62 820 2.2K

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Linus Westheuser @lwestheuser.bsky.social · 29d

Warum wir beim Klima zwar alle in einem Boot sitzen, es aber entscheidend ist, dass manche im halbgefluteten Maschinenraum mitfahren und andere auf dem Sonnendeck:

Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Das Klima der Ungleichheit. Zur sozialen Struktur von Klimakonflikten - Berliner Journal für Soziologie

The article maps how political conflicts over climate change are intertwined with social inequality. Building on studies of Dörre et al. on industrial transformation conflicts, four forms of social in...

link.springer.com

6 59 150

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · Aug 9

"Panel data on 41 million voters from 2008 to 2020 and an original survey of 24,433 respondents demonstrate that exposure to partisan neighbors increases party switching."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

Partisan Conversion Through Neighborhood Influence: How Voters Adopt the Partisanship of Their Neighbors | The Journal of Politics

Recent studies show that American neighborhoods have become politically homogeneous, raising concerns about how geographic polarization divides parties and influences voters. But, it remains unclear h...

www.journals.uchicago.edu

1 11 21

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Linus Westheuser @lwestheuser.bsky.social · Sep 9

OK, a🧵: Our new paper studies workers' political consciousness in times of class demobilization.

We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.

Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

12 120 330

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · Sep 8

#Norwegen #norway www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...

Enges Rennen bei der Parlamentswahl in Norwegen erwartet

Bei der Wahl in Norwegen wird es für den sozialdemokratischen Ministerpräsidenten Støre spannend: Seine Arbeiterpartei führt zwar in den Umfragen, entscheidend ist aber das Abschneiden kleinerer Links...

www.tagesschau.de

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · Sep 5

The takeaway:

👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.

10 290 770

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/8 🧵

3 38 80

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · Aug 30

Kann man Autobahnen eigentlich wieder abreißen?

Nils C. Kumkar @nilskumkar.bsky.social · Aug 30

Klarer Fall: die ausgebaute Autobahn muss weiter ausgebaut werden, um die Verkehrsprobleme zu lösen, die der Ausbau nach sich zieht.

www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/zwei-...

Zwei Tage nach Eröffnung: Neuer A100-Abschnitt wegen zu hoher Verkehrsbelastung kurzzeitig gesperrt

Erst am Mittwoch wurde der 16. Bauabschnitt der Stadtautobahn A100 eröffnet. Am Freitagnachmittag bildet sich ein Stau, es folgt eine Sperrung der Autobahn.

www.tagesspiegel.de

1

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Daniel Laurison @daniellaurison.bsky.social · Aug 23

Class and race gaps in voting are widening a lot.

I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024.

(small thread)

chart from Stata showing income groups on the X axis, pr(vv1) - which means probability of having cast a vote for president - on the Y axis. There are 4 lines, one for 2012, for 2016, 2020, and 2024. 2024 is by far the steepest, with a 30 point difference in predicted turnout between those earning over $100k and those earning under $30k.
Below are some of the key data points:
under $30k in 2024 = 38% predicted turnout
2020 = 48%, 2016 = 51%, 2012 = 58%
over $100k in 2024 = 73% predicted turnout
2020 & 2012 also about 73%
2016 = 60%

chart from Excel, X axis is year (2012 - 2024) and Y axis is % turnout.
6 lines: whites in families earning over $100k, white less than $30k, Black over $100k, Black under $30k, Hispanic over $100k, Hispanic under $30k.

All three lines for under $30k trend downward - declining turnout across these 4 elections.

All three over $100k lines are flat-ish, with a dip in 2016 and a rise back up in 2020.

Under $30k Black and Hispanic turnout in 2024 was about 25%, under $30k white turnout about 40%.

Over $100k white turnout in 2024 was nearly 80%, over $100k Black & Hispanic turnout both about 60%

2 27 64

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Left Coast Reads 📚🌹 @leftcoastreads.bsky.social · Aug 7

In the 19th century as the socialist movement grew in Europe, it faced a choice: whether to participate in elections. The anarchists said no. The remaining socialists waded into electoral battle. This book analyzes that decision and its consequences #booksky

The cover of the book Paper Stones: A History of Electoral Socialism is on a background of multiple pages of text from digitally accessed journal articles.

1 3 6

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Nils C. Kumkar @nilskumkar.bsky.social · Jul 30

Berlin! Am 19. August stelle ich mein neues Buch vor. Wer Fragen hat oder welche sucht oder einfach was klären will: kommt vorbei, das wird super!

www.rosalux.de/veranstaltun...

«Polarisierung. Über die Ordnung der Politik» - Rosa-Luxemburg-Stiftung

«linksbündig»-Buchpremiere. Nils C. Kumkar im Gespräch mit Matthias Ubl

www.rosalux.de

3 14 65

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · Jul 7

What Abou-Chadi et al. show here is not just that conservative migration positions won't help social-democrats to attract voters, but also that left positions on retirement (that is allowing for early retirement) make social-democrats most attractive (and right positions make them less attracitve).

2 15 34

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · Jul 7

New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

14 250 650

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Eric Blanc @ericblanc.bsky.social · Jun 25

The oligarchy is not invincible

www.laborpolitics.com/p/zohrans-hi...

Zohran's Historic Win: 16 Takeaways

The oligarchy is not invincible

www.laborpolitics.com

1 4 24

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Linus Westheuser @lwestheuser.bsky.social · Jun 25

Ich habe gestern beim DGB eine Keynote darüber gehalten, warum das beste Mittel gegen den Rechtsruck eine Erneuerung des demokratischen Klassenkampfs ist. Statt Defensivität braucht es ein vorwärtsgewandtes Projekt zur Vertiefung der sozialen Grundlagen der Demokratie.

3 32

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Lukas Scholle @lukasscholle.bsky.social · Jun 27

Vorschlag zu Höhe des Mindestlohns von der Kommission:

Ab 2026: 13,90 €
Ab 2027: 14,60 €

Damit dürfte das nächste Wahlversprechen der SPD gebrochen werden, wenn es nicht zu einem politischen Eingriff kommt.

11 15 130

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · Jun 27

Today, the German Federal Election Officer released data on voting by age and gender for the 2025 election. Contrary to popular belief, AfD support is still not strongest among the youngest voters, but rather among the middle-aged (males). Support is also still much lower in older cohorts. (1/3) 🧵

4 94 240

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · Jun 27

Du hast nicht zufällig noch Plots zur Zusammensetzung der Elektorate nach Alter / Geschlecht gebaut? :)

1

Reposted by Carsten Braband

Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · Jun 27

*Register data* results now published for whole Germany:

37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025.

Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.

5 20 59

Carsten Braband @cbraband.bsky.social · Jun 22

Hahaha

1