Paul Johnson
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Paul Johnson
@paulrjohnson.net
1.6K followers 790 following 820 posts

Data Scientist interested in causal inference, machine learning, and statistics | He/Him

Website: https://paulrjohnson.net
Github: https://github.com/paulj1989

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Paul E. Johnson is an American historian and professor emeritus at University of South Carolina.

Source: Wikipedia
Philosophy 17%
History 15%
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · Nov 11
I recently wrote a blog post about the impact of clubs’ financial resources on football outcomes.

paulrjohnson.net/blog/2024-10...

The TL;DR is that the rich stay winning (shocking, I know), but I thought I’d put together a little thread of some of the findings because Always Be Posting.
Analysing Money’s Effect on Football Using Multilevel Regression – Paul Johnson
What if I told you that we can use statistics to laugh at the silly football teams too?
paulrjohnson.net

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

briancgrubb.bsky.social
Brian Grubb @briancgrubb.bsky.social · 11h
thanksgiving is a time for people to come together, to celebrate the spirit of unity despite our differences, and to demonstrate that, here is busta rhymes performing "break ya neck" with raphael the ninja turtle
busta rhymes on a float at the macy's thanksgiving parade with the ninja turtles

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 12h
In the park ripping lumps off the focaccia loaf

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 17h
I think it was fatigue more than fear. This Bayern side really lack depth, and I think they gassed down the stretch (and definitely didn't look their best anyway). They didn't seem to have a plan for the set pieces either. I expected more from Bayern but still think Arsenal are also just better!

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 17h
This is chopper on chopper violence
tiny.baby tinybaby @tiny.baby · 1d
i can't tell if that's his dick you can see but if it is it's very funny to have a helicopter fly over and take a picture of your penis while you're being loaded into an ambulance in handcuffs
chadbourn.bsky.social Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 1d
Suspected shooter being led away.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 18h
Seen a lot of excuses from Bayern (and BuLi) folks. I'm sure they are not as far off Arsenal as they looked yesterday and mistakes and injuries didn't help… but maybe Arsenal are just better? Take your lumps.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

tiny.baby
tinybaby @tiny.baby · 1d
i can't tell if that's his dick you can see but if it is it's very funny to have a helicopter fly over and take a picture of your penis while you're being loaded into an ambulance in handcuffs
chadbourn.bsky.social Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 1d
Suspected shooter being led away.
A white bearded man is bound

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
Wondering how good #FCBayern are ahead of their clash with Arsenal tonight? How about a big fancy model that goes to great lengths to say “Yes, Bayern Munich are very good”?

#UCL #ARSFCB
paulrjohnson.net Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
The title race is not over until the probability of one team winning the league is 100% (Bayern Munich currently have a probability of 98.9%, according to my model).

Elsewhere, Leverkusen are beating BVB to the "best other team in the Bundesliga" title.

predicting-ball.co.uk

#BVB #Bundesliga
Streamlit
predicting-ball.co.uk

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
The Office of Budget Responsibility uses ggplot2 pass it on

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
OBR? Office for Budget Reveals amirite?

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
Yeah all these leagues are different in their own ways. Some of that might be bad but plenty isn't. I love the Bundesliga because it is so open and chaotic (same reason I love the Championship). But it also impacts certain players' numbers. Pretending otherwise seems silly.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
We getting mad about stuff? Hell yeah brother, count me in.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

chibole.bsky.social
ᑕ ᕼ ᓰ ᗷ 〇 ᒪ 乇 @chibole.bsky.social · 1d
Bolsonaro behind bars is a reminder: democracies survive when they stop letting criminals play government.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
Wait pecan pie is divisive?
brendelbored.bsky.social Brendel @brendelbored.bsky.social · 2d
I think Pecan Pie is one of those things that is divisive now because it’s just a blob of sugar with nuts on it but to someone 150 years ago who ate shoes it was probably like having 12 orgasms at once

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

lavajackal.bsky.social
Lavajackal @lavajackal.bsky.social · 2d
There's this weird mindset that voters won't object to a breaking of tax promises is if it's done in a sufficiently convoluted way. Like they're fae creatures impressed you found a way around their contract terms or something.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

brendelbored.bsky.social
Brendel @brendelbored.bsky.social · 2d
I think Pecan Pie is one of those things that is divisive now because it’s just a blob of sugar with nuts on it but to someone 150 years ago who ate shoes it was probably like having 12 orgasms at once

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
I have to savour these moments.
A screenshot of the full time result of the Borussia Dortmund and Southampton games. Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 4-0 (Villarreal had one red card), and Southampton beat Leicester City 3-0 (Leicester also had one red card).

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
I suspect it's this. Folks are struggling to see the truth of what Henry said because they're used to folks saying other shit. bsky.app/profile/paul...
paulrjohnson.net Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
I think BuLi fans are used to the league being shit on and have probably jumped the gun a bit. I get it, but I don't think Henry said anything disrespectful, and I appreciate he didn't just put it down to the league being bad.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
Southampton and Dortmund both winning 3-0. As we all predicted.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

50plusdoner.bsky.social
50 Plus Döner @50plusdoner.bsky.social · 2d
Leverkusen firing Ten Hag in like 5 weeks is basically like when J. Cole apologized to Kendrick in 24 hours.

They looked dumb doing it, but it was the smart move in the end and now they can sleep soundly at night while doing fun things like beating Manchester City

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
Southampton Football Club are the best team in the world. I'm always saying this.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
Good to see Harvey Barnes going out there and proving the haters (@themlg.bsky.social) wrong once again.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
I think what's interesting (from my English perspective) is how little this sort of thing is on anyone's radar over here. Folks talk about the arrogance of English football fans... I think it's more an insularity. Most folks are completely unaware this is going on!
michaelcaley.bsky.social Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 2d
the economics of league football outside a few large countries keep getting worse and worse
philippeauclair.bsky.social Philippe Auclair @philippeauclair.bsky.social · 2d
The news that Belgian football feared: as happened in France, DAZN is pulling out of its broadcasting deal with the ProLeague with immediate effect. Should no solution be found (which appears the likeliest scenario), the league's 16th round will not be broadcast in Belgium.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

christina6ys.bsky.social
Christina @christina6ys.bsky.social · 2d
Follow up from last month. This time with a more narrow focus on wide attackers for a more fair positional comparison. Salah is a great player but it's not quite working right now. Unusual territory.
Data visualization plot of ground duels won percentage represented as a Z score by minutes played for select wide attackers in the English Premier League since November 25th.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
The title race is not over until the probability of one team winning the league is 100% (Bayern Munich currently have a probability of 98.9%, according to my model).

Elsewhere, Leverkusen are beating BVB to the "best other team in the Bundesliga" title.

predicting-ball.co.uk

#BVB #Bundesliga
Streamlit
predicting-ball.co.uk

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

michaelcaley.bsky.social
Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 2d
the economics of league football outside a few large countries keep getting worse and worse
philippeauclair.bsky.social Philippe Auclair @philippeauclair.bsky.social · 2d
The news that Belgian football feared: as happened in France, DAZN is pulling out of its broadcasting deal with the ProLeague with immediate effect. Should no solution be found (which appears the likeliest scenario), the league's 16th round will not be broadcast in Belgium.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
I'm not interested in any secret to anything that isn't just “a shitload of butter”

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 2d
Yer da watches team training sessions

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
I think BuLi fans are used to the league being shit on and have probably jumped the gun a bit. I get it, but I don't think Henry said anything disrespectful, and I appreciate he didn't just put it down to the league being bad.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
This is what happens when you buy loads of Bundesliga players. Turned your league into one great team and a massive blob of who knows.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
I find it more annoying when folks act like the “tax” is just because the league is shit. Henry didn't do that. He approached it with more nuance and I think he more or less nailed it.