Paul Johnson
LightNews LightNews
banner
paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson
@paulrjohnson.net
1.6K followers 790 following 810 posts

Data Scientist interested in causal inference, machine learning, and statistics | He/Him

Website: https://paulrjohnson.net
Github: https://github.com/paulj1989

Videos

Paul E. Johnson is an American historian and professor emeritus at University of South Carolina.

Source: Wikipedia
Philosophy 17%
History 15%
Posts Replies Media Videos
Pinned
paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · Nov 11
I recently wrote a blog post about the impact of clubs’ financial resources on football outcomes.

paulrjohnson.net/blog/2024-10...

The TL;DR is that the rich stay winning (shocking, I know), but I thought I’d put together a little thread of some of the findings because Always Be Posting.
Analysing Money’s Effect on Football Using Multilevel Regression – Paul Johnson
What if I told you that we can use statistics to laugh at the silly football teams too?
paulrjohnson.net

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 6h
Wait pecan pie is divisive?
brendelbored.bsky.social Brendel @brendelbored.bsky.social · 7h
I think Pecan Pie is one of those things that is divisive now because it’s just a blob of sugar with nuts on it but to someone 150 years ago who ate shoes it was probably like having 12 orgasms at once

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

lavajackal.bsky.social
Lavajackal @lavajackal.bsky.social · 7h
There's this weird mindset that voters won't object to a breaking of tax promises is if it's done in a sufficiently convoluted way. Like they're fae creatures impressed you found a way around their contract terms or something.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

brendelbored.bsky.social
Brendel @brendelbored.bsky.social · 7h
I think Pecan Pie is one of those things that is divisive now because it’s just a blob of sugar with nuts on it but to someone 150 years ago who ate shoes it was probably like having 12 orgasms at once

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 7h
I have to savour these moments.
A screenshot of the full time result of the Borussia Dortmund and Southampton games. Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 4-0 (Villarreal had one red card), and Southampton beat Leicester City 3-0 (Leicester also had one red card).

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 8h
I suspect it's this. Folks are struggling to see the truth of what Henry said because they're used to folks saying other shit. bsky.app/profile/paul...
paulrjohnson.net Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
I think BuLi fans are used to the league being shit on and have probably jumped the gun a bit. I get it, but I don't think Henry said anything disrespectful, and I appreciate he didn't just put it down to the league being bad.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 8h
Southampton and Dortmund both winning 3-0. As we all predicted.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

50plusdoner.bsky.social
50 Plus Döner @50plusdoner.bsky.social · 8h
Leverkusen firing Ten Hag in like 5 weeks is basically like when J. Cole apologized to Kendrick in 24 hours.

They looked dumb doing it, but it was the smart move in the end and now they can sleep soundly at night while doing fun things like beating Manchester City

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 9h
Southampton Football Club are the best team in the world. I'm always saying this.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 9h
Good to see Harvey Barnes going out there and proving the haters (@themlg.bsky.social) wrong once again.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 10h
I think what's interesting (from my English perspective) is how little this sort of thing is on anyone's radar over here. Folks talk about the arrogance of English football fans... I think it's more an insularity. Most folks are completely unaware this is going on!
michaelcaley.bsky.social Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 17h
the economics of league football outside a few large countries keep getting worse and worse
philippeauclair.bsky.social Philippe Auclair @philippeauclair.bsky.social · 18h
The news that Belgian football feared: as happened in France, DAZN is pulling out of its broadcasting deal with the ProLeague with immediate effect. Should no solution be found (which appears the likeliest scenario), the league's 16th round will not be broadcast in Belgium.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

christina6ys.bsky.social
Christina @christina6ys.bsky.social · 14h
Follow up from last month. This time with a more narrow focus on wide attackers for a more fair positional comparison. Salah is a great player but it's not quite working right now. Unusual territory.
Data visualization plot of ground duels won percentage represented as a Z score by minutes played for select wide attackers in the English Premier League since November 25th.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 16h
The title race is not over until the probability of one team winning the league is 100% (Bayern Munich currently have a probability of 98.9%, according to my model).

Elsewhere, Leverkusen are beating BVB to the "best other team in the Bundesliga" title.

predicting-ball.co.uk

#BVB #Bundesliga
Streamlit
predicting-ball.co.uk

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

michaelcaley.bsky.social
Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 17h
the economics of league football outside a few large countries keep getting worse and worse
philippeauclair.bsky.social Philippe Auclair @philippeauclair.bsky.social · 18h
The news that Belgian football feared: as happened in France, DAZN is pulling out of its broadcasting deal with the ProLeague with immediate effect. Should no solution be found (which appears the likeliest scenario), the league's 16th round will not be broadcast in Belgium.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 19h
I'm not interested in any secret to anything that isn't just “a shitload of butter”

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 19h
Yer da watches team training sessions

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
I think BuLi fans are used to the league being shit on and have probably jumped the gun a bit. I get it, but I don't think Henry said anything disrespectful, and I appreciate he didn't just put it down to the league being bad.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
This is what happens when you buy loads of Bundesliga players. Turned your league into one great team and a massive blob of who knows.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
I find it more annoying when folks act like the “tax” is just because the league is shit. Henry didn't do that. He approached it with more nuance and I think he more or less nailed it.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
I know everyone is real mad about this but I don't think he's wrong? Part of what we enjoy about the Bundesliga is the chaos and how open it can be. That inflates some players’ numbers!

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 1d
I've been saying!
themlg.bsky.social Mike Goodman @themlg.bsky.social · 1d
Do not remember the last time I enjoyed a soccer game that much. We should slap each other in the face more often.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

themlg.bsky.social
Mike Goodman @themlg.bsky.social · 1d
Do not remember the last time I enjoyed a soccer game that much. We should slap each other in the face more often.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

siegefault.bsky.social
⋮⋮⋮ ＳＩＥＧＥ @siegefault.bsky.social · 2d

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
What if I suspect I already know the answer but want to avoid the question for as long as possible so I don't have to admit to myself what I really am?
marisakabas.bsky.social Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 4d
ryan lizza is asking you to decide if you’re normal sick or willing to pay for this shit sick

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
Is this about the Ashes?
ashleyfeinberg.bsky.social Ashley Feinberg @ashleyfeinberg.bsky.social · 3d
honestly with how much these two deserve each other it's kind of beautiful they found each other if only for a little bit 😍

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 3d
Just woke up and checked the score. Cricket is very stupid.

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

ashleyfeinberg.bsky.social
Ashley Feinberg @ashleyfeinberg.bsky.social · 3d
honestly with how much these two deserve each other it's kind of beautiful they found each other if only for a little bit 😍

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Paul E. Johnson

marisakabas.bsky.social
Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 4d
ryan lizza is asking you to decide if you’re normal sick or willing to pay for this shit sick

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 4d
Both of those lines look sad but one is having a stroke. I assume this means my country is doing very well.

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 4d
That sounds bad. Is that bad?
bloomberg.com Bloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 4d
Brexit has caused almost twice as much damage to the UK economy than estimated by official forecasts, according to new paper from a group of experts including a senior Bank of England economist
Brexit Hit to UK Economy Double Official Estimate, Study Finds
Brexit has caused almost twice as much damage to the UK economy than estimated by official forecasts, according to new paper from a group of experts including a senior Bank of England economist.
bloom.bg

Reposted by Christian Odendahl, Will Jennings, Richard Betts , and 16 more

bloomberg.com
Bloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 4d
Brexit has caused almost twice as much damage to the UK economy than estimated by official forecasts, according to new paper from a group of experts including a senior Bank of England economist
Brexit Hit to UK Economy Double Official Estimate, Study Finds
Brexit has caused almost twice as much damage to the UK economy than estimated by official forecasts, according to new paper from a group of experts including a senior Bank of England economist.
bloom.bg