Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

This has now reached the level of Giants porn.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

That might be the best throw Dart has made all night, to deliver that ball to Theo Johnson under heavy pressure.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

That's been a problem all season.

Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

Actually, yes. And this week.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

A lot of people did not understand this post.

An asterisk is not an excuse, it's a reminder.

Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 12h

With no Mitchell and no Jalen Carter, this game is going to need a big ol' asterisk when we're talking about the Eagles' season in December and January.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11h

Nabers is going to be out all season! We'll all know this. Mitchell and Carter are probably only missing this game specifically and people will forget.

tonychalk.bsky.social @tonychalk.bsky.social · 11h

Malik nabers

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 12h

With no Mitchell and no Jalen Carter, this game is going to need a big ol' asterisk when we're talking about the Eagles' season in December and January.

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Reposted by Aaron Schatz

Quirky Research @quirkyresearch.bsky.social · 12h

In 1976, this 49ers touchdown was negated by a 15-yard helping the runner penalty.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13h

Like, there was a whole TV show about it.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13h

I hate that Al Michaels is losing it but I think that's the second or third time this year that he said "trade" about a player who signed in free agency.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13h

DVOA is trying to be predictive and leaves out things that are not predictive, which is the difference between that and EPA.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13h

Hey, remember last week when I wrote about the Giants having the worst run defense since the 1970s through four games?

www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

Are the Eagles the worst 4-0 team ever? Where does Nacua's start rank all time? What history tells us about five trends

From the Bengals' rough start to Dallas' pass defense, here's what advanced metrics say about five early-season trends across the NFL.

www.espn.com

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Reposted by Aaron Schatz

FTN Fantasy @ftnfantasy.com · 17h

"The Eagles are creating just 0.8 yards before contact on designed runs, and backs are getting hit behind the line on 44.9% of carries..." 👀

Check out the full Eagles @ Giants preview in @jeffratcliffe.bsky.social’s Week 6 Report ⤵️

ftnfantasy.com/nfl/ratcliff...

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 19h

New at @ftnfantasy.com from @alexblickle1.bsky.social: what fantasy football data can tell us about defensive intent, from the Ravens allowing big points to RB to the Bucs stopping the run and the Bengals allowing tight ends to shine.

ftnfantasy.com/nfl/why-the-...

Why the Ravens Don't Defend RBs: Measuring Defensive Philosophy

The Ravens don't stop running backs while the Bucs let you pass. How can fantasy football data teach us about the intentions of different defenses?

ftnfantasy.com

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 23h

Come join me and @miketanier.bsky.social for our livestream in about 10 minutes.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ld6...

Week 6 NFL Preview: Giants-Eagles, Lions-Chiefs, and More

YouTube video by FTN

www.youtube.com

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

Snoop Huntley, I believe.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

The 49ers-Bucs game is between two very similar teams.

Both teams are 4-1 with close wins but have negative DVOA, but were projected to be better than this.

Both teams dealing with a ton of offensive injuries.

Both teams better passing than rushing, and better on defense vs. the run this year.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

Out of curiosity, I ran a playoff sim as if Lamar Jackson never returns.

Playoff odds are currently Steelers 66%, Ravens 56%

With no Lamar return, they would be Steelers 78%, Ravens 23%

(I approximate that Cooper Rush would not be as bad as he was Sunday all year long!)

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

Yes, and that includes me, and it also includes the Colts.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

I've been doing weekly picks based on DVOA as part of a deal that has FTN content running on Yahoo! Sports. Here are this week's picks.

sports.yahoo.com/article/aaro...

Aaron Schatz’ Week 6 2025 NFL Picks

If you like favorites, you're trying to rebound from a wild week with big losers including Kansas City, Buffalo, and the Los Angeles Rams. But one week isn't going to stop my DVOA-based formula from p...

sports.yahoo.com

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

We still have the Chiefs making the playoffs in 58% of our simulations if they lose to the Lions Sunday night, dropping to 2-4.

They win the division 29% of the time after a loss to the Lions.

ftnfantasy.com/dvoa-playoff...

NFL Playoff Picture: Odds to Win Super Bowl LX

NFL playoff picture odds to win Super Bowl LIX based on DVOA and 25,000 weekly simulations.

ftnfantasy.com

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Reposted by Aaron Schatz

Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 1d

A.J. Brown's Open Scores per ESPN Analytics:

2021: 99 (1st)
2022: 92 (3rd)
2023: 82 (5th)
2024: 91 (1st)
2025: 53 (62nd)

Is it possible that A.J. Brown is in fact not "Open a Lot" anymore @sethwalder.bsky.social?

Matt Higgins @matthiggins80.bsky.social · 1d

#Giants' Brian Daboll Takes Shot at #Eagles: A.J. Brown Is 'Open a Lot'

Giants' Brian Daboll Takes Shot at Eagles: A.J. Brown Is 'Open a Lot'

New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll is adding fuel to the fire over A.J. Brown's issues with the Philadelphia Eagles.

sportsnaut.com

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

If conservatives want to suggest an actually popular musical artist who better fits their tastes and isn't 80 years old, have they never heard of Morgan Wallen?

Rodger Sherman @rodger.bsky.social · 1d

who should the NFL choose for its halftime show: Bad Bunny, who sold out basically every major arena in the country last year, or Lee Greenwood, whose current tour features the following dates

leegreenwood.com
Fri, OCT 17
Niswonger Performing Arts Center of
Northwest Ohio
Van Wert, OH
Sat, OCT 18
Ohio Star Theater at Dutch Valley
Sugarcreek, OH
Fri, OCT 24
Rayne Drop Inn Il
Marion Center, PA
Sat, OCT 25
State Theatre Center For the Arts
Uniontown, PA

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

New at @ftnfantasy.com, @brykno.bsky.social breaks down all seven 4-1 teams from the Lions (1st in DVOA) to the Bucs (18th in DVOA).

ftnfantasy.com/nfl/breaking...

Breaking Down the 4-1 Teams, from Bucs to Lions

Seven teams are 4-1, but they range from No. 1 to No. 18 in DVOA. Bryan Knowles breaks down all seven.

ftnfantasy.com

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 1d

Baltimore past schedule: 15.4% (2)
Baltimore future schedule: -10.1% (29)

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