Alessandro Martinello
@alemartinello.com
Econ PhD from the University of Copenhagen. Ex-academia at Lund University, ex-policy at the Danish Central Bank, finally landed in the private sector and leading the data agenda at Realkredit Danmark. We have cookies!
www.alemartinello.com
www.alemartinello.com
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Danish, Greenlandic and American politicians meet at the Danish Parliament
🔗 www.thedanishparliament.dk/en/news/2026...
🔗 www.thedanishparliament.dk/en/news/2026...
January 15, 2026 at 12:04 PM
Danish, Greenlandic and American politicians meet at the Danish Parliament
🔗 www.thedanishparliament.dk/en/news/2026...
🔗 www.thedanishparliament.dk/en/news/2026...
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
“The Europeans won’t fight back” is a wildly factually incorrect statement and shows an astonishing lack of understanding of 1) how the geopolitics of escalation works 2) how Europe works 3) how war works
France is a nuclear power and is deploying troops in Greenland, for God’s sake
France is a nuclear power and is deploying troops in Greenland, for God’s sake
If Trump invades Greenland, the Europeans won't fight back, Republicans will defend it, Democrats will issue statements, there will be protests, and most Americans will disapprove of it enough to earn Democrats a bit more of the vote in November. Then on to the next thing.
More than an attempted coup, where a mob tried to seize Congress on live television did? There's not going to be an implosion about anything. It's either a slow slide towards oblivion where everything gets incrementally worse as people try to live normally, or a slow grind in the opposite direction.
January 14, 2026 at 11:39 PM
“The Europeans won’t fight back” is a wildly factually incorrect statement and shows an astonishing lack of understanding of 1) how the geopolitics of escalation works 2) how Europe works 3) how war works
France is a nuclear power and is deploying troops in Greenland, for God’s sake
France is a nuclear power and is deploying troops in Greenland, for God’s sake
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Så gigantisk dansk at nedsætte en arbejdsgruppe..
snoop dogg is sitting in the driver 's seat of a car with a group of men .
ALT: snoop dogg is sitting in the driver 's seat of a car with a group of men .
media.tenor.com
January 14, 2026 at 7:08 PM
Så gigantisk dansk at nedsætte en arbejdsgruppe..
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Danmark og Grønland har simpelthen djøf-ificeret USA med en arbejdsgruppe.
January 14, 2026 at 7:07 PM
Danmark og Grønland har simpelthen djøf-ificeret USA med en arbejdsgruppe.
It will certainly be lost to all Americans how the 🇩🇰 and 🇬🇱 foreign are holding a press conference in their 2nd and 3rd language.
January 14, 2026 at 7:04 PM
It will certainly be lost to all Americans how the 🇩🇰 and 🇬🇱 foreign are holding a press conference in their 2nd and 3rd language.
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen:
"If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU."
"Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US" he later added.
"If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU."
"Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US" he later added.
January 13, 2026 at 7:50 PM
Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen:
"If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU."
"Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US" he later added.
"If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU."
"Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US" he later added.
Yet another example of “everyone is 12” theory of US politics.
I too, I remember, thought it was a cool movie about cool people kicking ass when I saw it the first time.
And of course I did, I was 12!
I too, I remember, thought it was a cool movie about cool people kicking ass when I saw it the first time.
And of course I did, I was 12!
Paul Verhoeven undefeated in creating a movie that flies right over the heads of the people it’s making fun of
Rightwing influencers are so bad at interpreting source material that they can only do it correctly by accident, when they're trying to make a joke
January 12, 2026 at 4:57 PM
Yet another example of “everyone is 12” theory of US politics.
I too, I remember, thought it was a cool movie about cool people kicking ass when I saw it the first time.
And of course I did, I was 12!
I too, I remember, thought it was a cool movie about cool people kicking ass when I saw it the first time.
And of course I did, I was 12!
Anecdote: In my group of 🇮🇹 high-school friends, 5/11 emigrated.
Of these, 4/5 have established a family with kids, with a total of 8 kids across.
Of those remaining in Italy, only 1/6 has (2) kids.
We’ll be 40 this year.
Of these, 4/5 have established a family with kids, with a total of 8 kids across.
Of those remaining in Italy, only 1/6 has (2) kids.
We’ll be 40 this year.
Some parts of Europe have a growing population, while others are shrinking—
The map shows which European countries saw an increase in population, and which saw a decrease in the year from July 2022 to 2023.
The map shows which European countries saw an increase in population, and which saw a decrease in the year from July 2022 to 2023.
January 11, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Anecdote: In my group of 🇮🇹 high-school friends, 5/11 emigrated.
Of these, 4/5 have established a family with kids, with a total of 8 kids across.
Of those remaining in Italy, only 1/6 has (2) kids.
We’ll be 40 this year.
Of these, 4/5 have established a family with kids, with a total of 8 kids across.
Of those remaining in Italy, only 1/6 has (2) kids.
We’ll be 40 this year.
🇩🇪Bluesky! I have a question.
How is the popular view of Wilhelm I in Germany? Besides the historical achievements, is he seen by the average German as a positive or negative (or irrelevant, shadowed by Bismarck) figure?
How is the popular view of Wilhelm I in Germany? Besides the historical achievements, is he seen by the average German as a positive or negative (or irrelevant, shadowed by Bismarck) figure?
January 11, 2026 at 10:12 AM
🇩🇪Bluesky! I have a question.
How is the popular view of Wilhelm I in Germany? Besides the historical achievements, is he seen by the average German as a positive or negative (or irrelevant, shadowed by Bismarck) figure?
How is the popular view of Wilhelm I in Germany? Besides the historical achievements, is he seen by the average German as a positive or negative (or irrelevant, shadowed by Bismarck) figure?
It might. I often think back to the reading of appeasement depicted in “Munich - The edge of war”.
Did Chamberlain consciously damn his legacy to gain time for Britain to prepare, involve the US, and give a chance to Churchill to win the war?
If so, that had been a winning strategy
Did Chamberlain consciously damn his legacy to gain time for Britain to prepare, involve the US, and give a chance to Churchill to win the war?
If so, that had been a winning strategy
I really wish EU leader's would have the backbone to stand up to the regime in Washington. Appeasement of dictators never ends well.
January 7, 2026 at 11:28 AM
It might. I often think back to the reading of appeasement depicted in “Munich - The edge of war”.
Did Chamberlain consciously damn his legacy to gain time for Britain to prepare, involve the US, and give a chance to Churchill to win the war?
If so, that had been a winning strategy
Did Chamberlain consciously damn his legacy to gain time for Britain to prepare, involve the US, and give a chance to Churchill to win the war?
If so, that had been a winning strategy
“Nobody understands odds ratios” 🎯
My poster got allocated prime real estate at the conference: High traffic, captive audience.
January 6, 2026 at 3:10 PM
“Nobody understands odds ratios” 🎯
“Just a few thousand kilometers from Denmark, Ukrainians are fighting for their freedom.
For almost four years, they have persevered, held their ground and held on to their right to exist as a free and independent country.”
Fine words by King Frederik X
🇺🇦
For almost four years, they have persevered, held their ground and held on to their right to exist as a free and independent country.”
Fine words by King Frederik X
🇺🇦
January 1, 2026 at 11:09 AM
“Just a few thousand kilometers from Denmark, Ukrainians are fighting for their freedom.
For almost four years, they have persevered, held their ground and held on to their right to exist as a free and independent country.”
Fine words by King Frederik X
🇺🇦
For almost four years, they have persevered, held their ground and held on to their right to exist as a free and independent country.”
Fine words by King Frederik X
🇺🇦
While requiring *far* fewer skills, restoring this old bench in our garden was also immensely satisfying
December 28, 2025 at 5:41 PM
While requiring *far* fewer skills, restoring this old bench in our garden was also immensely satisfying
The clearest sign I am turning 40 soon is what I got for Christmas.
A outdoor dagger, a book, and 26 bottles of wine 🍷
A outdoor dagger, a book, and 26 bottles of wine 🍷
December 26, 2025 at 6:02 PM
The clearest sign I am turning 40 soon is what I got for Christmas.
A outdoor dagger, a book, and 26 bottles of wine 🍷
A outdoor dagger, a book, and 26 bottles of wine 🍷
See I am on a journey of starting to appreciate and admire German culture, architecture and history, and then this…
Happy holidays 🇩🇪 friends!
Happy holidays 🇩🇪 friends!
You just wouldn't understand.
A very German Merry Christmas from Australia
Die Stellung wird gehalten.
A very German Merry Christmas from Australia
Die Stellung wird gehalten.
December 24, 2025 at 9:49 AM
See I am on a journey of starting to appreciate and admire German culture, architecture and history, and then this…
Happy holidays 🇩🇪 friends!
Happy holidays 🇩🇪 friends!
I have maintained this for about 25 years about Bitburger Pils and Krapfen with cream
@p-hunermund.com sue me
@p-hunermund.com sue me
December 22, 2025 at 6:56 AM
I have maintained this for about 25 years about Bitburger Pils and Krapfen with cream
@p-hunermund.com sue me
@p-hunermund.com sue me
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
🚨 Very excited that our paper on *Rulers on the Road* has been cond. accepted at the AJPS @ajpseditor.bsky.social. We analyze emperors' strategies of itinerant rule in the Holy Roman Empire 919-1519. Fun working with @claranw.bsky.social, @andrejkokkonen.bsky.social & Jørgen Møller shorturl.at/Spm7z
April 29, 2025 at 3:43 PM
🚨 Very excited that our paper on *Rulers on the Road* has been cond. accepted at the AJPS @ajpseditor.bsky.social. We analyze emperors' strategies of itinerant rule in the Holy Roman Empire 919-1519. Fun working with @claranw.bsky.social, @andrejkokkonen.bsky.social & Jørgen Møller shorturl.at/Spm7z
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
USA employment rate for 25-54 year olds at 80.7% well behind Europe.
December 14, 2025 at 5:40 PM
USA employment rate for 25-54 year olds at 80.7% well behind Europe.
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Core EU has 290 million inhabitants: it's a bit smaller than the US (340m) but not much so
The key fact is that productivity in this core EU is essentially the same as in the US:
€60 per hour (corrected for price differences) using the most recent WID.world data
prod.wid.world/www-site/upl...
The key fact is that productivity in this core EU is essentially the same as in the US:
€60 per hour (corrected for price differences) using the most recent WID.world data
prod.wid.world/www-site/upl...
December 12, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Core EU has 290 million inhabitants: it's a bit smaller than the US (340m) but not much so
The key fact is that productivity in this core EU is essentially the same as in the US:
€60 per hour (corrected for price differences) using the most recent WID.world data
prod.wid.world/www-site/upl...
The key fact is that productivity in this core EU is essentially the same as in the US:
€60 per hour (corrected for price differences) using the most recent WID.world data
prod.wid.world/www-site/upl...
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Adjusted for the difference in price level, GDP per capita has grown 70% in the US since 1990 vs. 63% in the EU27
This corresponds to an annual growth rate of 1.6% in the US vs. 1.5% in the EU.
The US has been doing better post-Covid, but over the medium run no big divergence
This corresponds to an annual growth rate of 1.6% in the US vs. 1.5% in the EU.
The US has been doing better post-Covid, but over the medium run no big divergence
December 12, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Adjusted for the difference in price level, GDP per capita has grown 70% in the US since 1990 vs. 63% in the EU27
This corresponds to an annual growth rate of 1.6% in the US vs. 1.5% in the EU.
The US has been doing better post-Covid, but over the medium run no big divergence
This corresponds to an annual growth rate of 1.6% in the US vs. 1.5% in the EU.
The US has been doing better post-Covid, but over the medium run no big divergence
So today on the train I chatted with a PhD student in microbiology. She said “I do not know how people used to do research w/o AI!” And she did use it a lot! Sparring, asking questions, testing hypotheses.
In the meantime I was busy bringing a modicum of order to AI code slop by a junior colleague
In the meantime I was busy bringing a modicum of order to AI code slop by a junior colleague
Jimmy Fallon: "And do you use ChatGPT when raising your baby?"
Sam Altman: "I cannot imagine figuring out how to raise a newborn without ChatGPT."
Sam Altman: "I cannot imagine figuring out how to raise a newborn without ChatGPT."
December 9, 2025 at 8:53 PM
So today on the train I chatted with a PhD student in microbiology. She said “I do not know how people used to do research w/o AI!” And she did use it a lot! Sparring, asking questions, testing hypotheses.
In the meantime I was busy bringing a modicum of order to AI code slop by a junior colleague
In the meantime I was busy bringing a modicum of order to AI code slop by a junior colleague
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
If you see this, repost with your model of positive masculinity.
December 6, 2025 at 10:02 PM
If you see this, repost with your model of positive masculinity.
Me sembra che l'unico fra noi due che sta facendo uno sforzo per evitare che io ti meni sono sempre io, la stessa persona che poi, prima o poi, ti menerà, ma lo capisci?
November 29, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Me sembra che l'unico fra noi due che sta facendo uno sforzo per evitare che io ti meni sono sempre io, la stessa persona che poi, prima o poi, ti menerà, ma lo capisci?
That perfectly shows all the great stuff of the Danish home financing market I mentioned in the other thread @p-hunermund.com
1) 4% = very high rate here
2) you are not locked-in bc you can redeem the mortgage by repurchasing the bonds - cashing in the present value diff in future payment streams
1) 4% = very high rate here
2) you are not locked-in bc you can redeem the mortgage by repurchasing the bonds - cashing in the present value diff in future payment streams
The @nytimes.com manages to turn folks lucky enough to buy houses with very low (4% in this case) mortgages seem like victims. Huh?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/b...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/b...
They Rushed to Buy Homes During the Pandemic. Now, Some Feel Trapped.
www.nytimes.com
November 20, 2025 at 12:33 PM
That perfectly shows all the great stuff of the Danish home financing market I mentioned in the other thread @p-hunermund.com
1) 4% = very high rate here
2) you are not locked-in bc you can redeem the mortgage by repurchasing the bonds - cashing in the present value diff in future payment streams
1) 4% = very high rate here
2) you are not locked-in bc you can redeem the mortgage by repurchasing the bonds - cashing in the present value diff in future payment streams
Reposted by Alessandro Martinello
Longer maturities for mortgages are back in the news.
I wrote a Substack post about the benefits of longer maturities, potential concerns of households making mistakes, and what longer maturity mortgages might do for young households and first-time buyers (not much?)
I wrote a Substack post about the benefits of longer maturities, potential concerns of households making mistakes, and what longer maturity mortgages might do for young households and first-time buyers (not much?)
November 18, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Longer maturities for mortgages are back in the news.
I wrote a Substack post about the benefits of longer maturities, potential concerns of households making mistakes, and what longer maturity mortgages might do for young households and first-time buyers (not much?)
I wrote a Substack post about the benefits of longer maturities, potential concerns of households making mistakes, and what longer maturity mortgages might do for young households and first-time buyers (not much?)