Andrew Harrop
@andrewharrop.bsky.social
1.6K followers 1K following 230 posts
Director at Public First. Former Fabian Society General Secretary (2011-2024). Public policy of work, money, health & care. https://cradle2grave.substack.com
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andrewharrop.bsky.social
But funding the FPA from April 2028 isn't consistent with the ministers' current spending plans

- Only around £1.4bn new funding is planned for social care in 2028
- The FPA and regular pay rises would consume at least £900m

The sector should negotiate in good faith, hoping more ££ comes later 2/2
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Post on DHSC's plans for the social care Fair Pay Agreement

- The proposals are robust
- April 2028 launch sensible
- The £500m budget for the FPA is enough to start bargaining (esp as it only covers publicly-paid care)

But more will be needed >2029

1/2

cradle2grave.substack.com/p/paying-for...
Paying for fair pay
The social care Fair Pay Agreement will be introduced in 2028. But can it be funded from existing spending plans?
cradle2grave.substack.com
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Keir’s goal of an end to child poverty and childhood hunger is HUGE.

It requires a reordering of labour markets, housing markets, public services and social security. Now we need a plan to make it happen.
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
andrewharrop.bsky.social
“Not taking a penny in benefits”

Seriously?

Child benefit
Universal credit while working
State pension based on contribution
PIP with severe disability?
paulbrand.bsky.social
Mahmood says she will introduce new conditions for indefinite leave to remain:

Lived here 10 years not 5
Being in work
Not taking a penny in benefits
No criminal record
Giving back to community eg volunteering
andrewharrop.bsky.social
There is sound logic to a ‘tax switch’ from employee NICs to income tax, not least for the slice of NI that goes to the NHS.

But LAB doesn’t have political headroom to raise taxes on mid income pensioners now.

➡️Reeves should do this switch only with the higher/additional rate

on.ft.com/3KhcUtu
Rachel Reeves urged to break Labour manifesto pledge and raise income tax
Resolution Foundation suggests chancellor should cut employee national insurance to ease burden on workers
on.ft.com
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Excellent to see proposals on workplace health published by @thefabians.bsky.social concluding a project we were setting up as I left.

A serious plan for large employers to fund quality occupational health & government to help SMEs

on.ft.com/3Inh1U4
Health levy needed to stem tide of people leaving UK workforce, says think-tank
Ministers are increasingly concerned about rising number dropping out of employment due to sickness and disability
on.ft.com
andrewharrop.bsky.social
It’s hard to argue that pay is out of control when it’s only a whisker over inflation.
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
tobyn.bsky.social
🚨 How bad is UK fiscal vs G7 peers?
on.ft.com/462WKLd
Historic budget deficits and IMF projections through 2030 for G7 members
andrewharrop.bsky.social
As with Trump, it’s never just about ‘illegal’ immigration
hetanshah.bsky.social
Life’s getting a bit more crap here if you are a person from an ethnic minority 🧵
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
hetanshah.bsky.social
Life’s getting a bit more crap here if you are a person from an ethnic minority 🧵
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
andrewharrop.bsky.social
NEW POST - National Care Service: A Quiet First Step

The government has taken a big step towards creating the National Care Service without telling anyone!

...all in one paragraph of this summer's Fair Funding proposals for local government finance

cradle2grave.substack.com/p/national-c...
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
stephenevans.bsky.social
1. New data shows employers investing 36% less in training per employee than in 2005 in real terms. This is both a cause and consequence of low economic growth & policy instability. It comes alongside a £1bn (20%) real terms cut in Government investment in adult skills in England compared to 2010.
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Things that could get overlooked?

- turning saving pots into pensions for life

- pushing saving beyond minimum defaults

- urgent action to dig Gen X out of a hole
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Top of commissioners’ in-tray:

- whether and how to raise pension contributions

- state pension adequacy & affordability

- tackling inequalities & widening access

2/3
andrewharrop.bsky.social
New substack post: The pensions commission resurrected

- Incomes for private pensions are set to plunge in the next 2 decades

- Almost half of working age adults aren’t saving

Will the new review find answers?

1/3

cradle2grave.substack.com/p/the-pensio...
The Pensions Commission resurrected
A comprehensive review of pensions adequacy could lead to higher retirement incomes and lower inequalities
cradle2grave.substack.com
Reposted by Andrew Harrop
thefabians.bsky.social
The government’s Pensions Commission, launched on monday, presents an important opportunity to address these challenges.

To find out more about how to help end pensioner poverty, read ‘Mature decisions’ & 'When I'm 64' 👇

fabians.org.uk/publication/...

fabians.org.uk/publication/...
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Higher income Gen-Xers are in for a HUGE shock re their (our!) retirement incomes. DWP stats show a high-earner retiring in 2043 will have 13% LESS income than their 2027 peer.

With policy change ruled out until 2030, ministers are leaving 40/50s to sort for themselves

www.gov.uk/government/s...
andrewharrop.bsky.social
(3) permission to think about:

- non-pension assets ('and wider savaings')
- income/work problems before state pension age ('supporting those approaching retirement')
- long-term, macro issues of ageing (...could go anywhere?)

(4) As expected, no policies to take effect this parliament

2/2
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Immediate thoughts on the Pensions Commission terms of reference:

(1) exclusively about future pensioners (are there no issues facing current cohorts?)

(2) to focus on lowest income / risk of poverty AND biggest under-savers (these are mainly not the same people)

1/2

www.gov.uk/government/p...
Pensions Commission: Terms of Reference
www.gov.uk
andrewharrop.bsky.social
Today I'm feeling nostalgic for this 2020 joint report from @thefabians.bsky.social & @brightblueuk.bsky.social on the case for a new PENSIONS COMMISSION.

Only 5 years too soon... with lots of ideas on how to make the commission work re remit, operation & impact

fabians.org.uk/publication/...
Framing the Future | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
fabians.org.uk