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Reposted by Anthony Masiello

WeatherMatrix @weathermatrix.bsky.social · 3h

New surge forecasts are in... some up, some down, most same.

Big news: Cape May is now forecast to have the highest gauge level in its 25-year record. Lewes, DE has fallen from #3 to #7.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 1d

The current forecast at Cape May Harbor Sunday afternoon has major flooding. Uh oh.

Major flooding being predicted Sunday afternoon at Cape May Harbor, NJ.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 2d

A nor'easter is becoming likely this weekend/early next week for the Mid Atlantic. The idea of the northern stream s/w not cutting off to interact with the coastal storm is losing support.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 3d

Existing and intensifying Walker Circulation during Wyrtki Jet season is shown nicely there.

Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 3d

Great thread, Tomer. I've noticed the overall wave pattern over the last few days, despite the bouncing around with the s/w, has trended a little more amplified on the ensemble mean. I wonder if this will help tilt the scale into having a more cut off northern wave. But alas, it's only Wednesday.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 3d

This weekend's partial to full phase is going to be fun.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 9d

I went to check these products this morning and forgot...oh right, of course. :( It's the end of an era in the stratosphere world: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/str...

Climate Prediction Center - Stratosphere Home

www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 12d

Close-up. weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parm...

Visible satellite over NJ ~ 13:45z showing hole punch signatures.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 12d

Seeing fallstreaks/hole punch signatures on the visible satellite this morning over NJ.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 16d

Okay, tomorrow has my attention. I'll be at CHOP and distracted but will need to keep an eye on this.

00z HRRR sounding for S-C NJ at 21z 9/25/25 showing favorable streamwise vorticity/SRH in a moist environment for a potential tornado.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 23d

Thanks. Yeah, it's rare, but the good news is many kids make a full recovery. Got to keep an eye on their kidneys and stomach in the meantime for serious complications. She currently doesn't want to walk and has stiff/painful joints, ankles etc.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 23d

Having a child who's suffering from Henoch-Schönlein Purpura (HSP) is terrible. We're in the midst of it. Have any of you had experience with this? I never heard of it until we went to the ER Monday.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

The sentiment, "There is no place for violence in this country," is rich, an empty platitude, and wholly ignores the violent history of this place. In fact, this country is a place of gun violence, and we should change that.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

There is a culture of death here which does not want to operate in reality.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

We are also seeing signs of spatial patterns in the tropical forcing for +TNH/PNA enhancement this autumn/early winter. We'll have to see as ENSO/QBO settles in how the low pass signal will alter. The consensus is we shift away from this as the winter goes on, but it's super early.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

Climate change has been linked with westward-displaced Rossby Waves for the NH late summer, and precipitation deficits/sea ice are usually a positive feedback for that (e.g. the resilient western ridge of North America).

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

I remember watching this a lot when I was really young. Good stuff. He also put out the song "Put it there" in the late '80s and that of course is excellent too.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 10

The warming in the Northeast Pacific lately 👀
psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst...

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

Looks like a TDS near Holden, MA

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

Multiple mesos across New England.

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

Just tornado warned...

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

Organized meso over E NY

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

Jfc

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Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 6

www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/...

Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · Sep 5

Some of the forecast profiles tomorrow over interior New England/E NY are nasty. A tornado outbreak cannot be ruled out. Let's see how the new day-2 looks.

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