gutenberg62
@bluschke.bsky.social
father. husband. farmer. angeliter.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Shadow tanker BORACAY had two Russian "technicians" on board as her voyage past Denmark coincided with multiple drone sightings
CNN now shows how at least one of the technicians is actually a mercenary and many other tankers are crewed by mercs. As reported by DK pilots earlier
CNN now shows how at least one of the technicians is actually a mercenary and many other tankers are crewed by mercs. As reported by DK pilots earlier
February 5, 2026 at 4:55 PM
Shadow tanker BORACAY had two Russian "technicians" on board as her voyage past Denmark coincided with multiple drone sightings
CNN now shows how at least one of the technicians is actually a mercenary and many other tankers are crewed by mercs. As reported by DK pilots earlier
CNN now shows how at least one of the technicians is actually a mercenary and many other tankers are crewed by mercs. As reported by DK pilots earlier
Reposted by gutenberg62
Wisst ihr noch? Der historische Fehler, unsere Gasspeicher an Russland zu verkaufen?
Ja?
Gut.
Deswegen verkaufen wir jetzt militärische Tanklager und Kerosin-Pipelines an ein US-Unternehmen.
Ja?
Gut.
Deswegen verkaufen wir jetzt militärische Tanklager und Kerosin-Pipelines an ein US-Unternehmen.
(S+) Kelcy Warren: Trump-Vertrauter kauft sich in Deutschlands Energieversorgung ein
Ein US-Milliardär hat nach SPIEGEL-Informationen Teile von Deutschlands Treibstofflogistik übernommen, inklusive Zugang zu Nato-Flughäfen und Pipelines. Das Wirtschaftsministerium erlaubt den Deal unt...
www.spiegel.de
January 23, 2026 at 9:16 PM
Wisst ihr noch? Der historische Fehler, unsere Gasspeicher an Russland zu verkaufen?
Ja?
Gut.
Deswegen verkaufen wir jetzt militärische Tanklager und Kerosin-Pipelines an ein US-Unternehmen.
Ja?
Gut.
Deswegen verkaufen wir jetzt militärische Tanklager und Kerosin-Pipelines an ein US-Unternehmen.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Dozens of shadow fleet tankers have traversed the English Channel since promises of tougher stance.
Danish Straits see about the same numbers.
BBC is not clear on if they mean flagless or flagged tankers, but either way there are lots.
Pic related, sanctioned tankers this minute.
Danish Straits see about the same numbers.
BBC is not clear on if they mean flagless or flagged tankers, but either way there are lots.
Pic related, sanctioned tankers this minute.
January 23, 2026 at 6:39 AM
Dozens of shadow fleet tankers have traversed the English Channel since promises of tougher stance.
Danish Straits see about the same numbers.
BBC is not clear on if they mean flagless or flagged tankers, but either way there are lots.
Pic related, sanctioned tankers this minute.
Danish Straits see about the same numbers.
BBC is not clear on if they mean flagless or flagged tankers, but either way there are lots.
Pic related, sanctioned tankers this minute.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Will Germany continue its tough line against flagless tanker today? Or will they let RANGE VALE, IMO 9299898, pass?
R V is the latest tanker to enter Baltic Sea without a flag, under sanctions. Lacks listed manager, ie safety mgmt.
German Coast Guard at her stern.
R V is the latest tanker to enter Baltic Sea without a flag, under sanctions. Lacks listed manager, ie safety mgmt.
German Coast Guard at her stern.
January 17, 2026 at 11:04 AM
Will Germany continue its tough line against flagless tanker today? Or will they let RANGE VALE, IMO 9299898, pass?
R V is the latest tanker to enter Baltic Sea without a flag, under sanctions. Lacks listed manager, ie safety mgmt.
German Coast Guard at her stern.
R V is the latest tanker to enter Baltic Sea without a flag, under sanctions. Lacks listed manager, ie safety mgmt.
German Coast Guard at her stern.
Reposted by gutenberg62
And here we are: the entire transatlantic alliance is now talking about Greenland, instead of talking about ending the war in Ukraine.
January 14, 2026 at 1:36 PM
And here we are: the entire transatlantic alliance is now talking about Greenland, instead of talking about ending the war in Ukraine.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Hi all,
I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the challenge the Oreshnik missile poses to European defense.
You can access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/oreshnik-i...
Short summary below.
1/5
I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the challenge the Oreshnik missile poses to European defense.
You can access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/oreshnik-i...
Short summary below.
1/5
The Oreshnik Problem for Europe
Technical constraints, opportunity costs, and Europe’s unresolved deterrence deficits
missilematters.substack.com
January 11, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Hi all,
I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the challenge the Oreshnik missile poses to European defense.
You can access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/oreshnik-i...
Short summary below.
1/5
I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the challenge the Oreshnik missile poses to European defense.
You can access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/oreshnik-i...
Short summary below.
1/5
Reposted by gutenberg62
No flag
No insurance
No problem!
Rustbucket zombie-tanker ARCUSAT/TAVIAN/TIA will enter Baltics in ~3 days.
This will be her third fetch of Russian oil since October.
No flag, no state, no identity and no registry -> she is basically lawless.
Some would even argue states have obligations here.
No insurance
No problem!
Rustbucket zombie-tanker ARCUSAT/TAVIAN/TIA will enter Baltics in ~3 days.
This will be her third fetch of Russian oil since October.
No flag, no state, no identity and no registry -> she is basically lawless.
Some would even argue states have obligations here.
January 9, 2026 at 11:55 PM
No flag
No insurance
No problem!
Rustbucket zombie-tanker ARCUSAT/TAVIAN/TIA will enter Baltics in ~3 days.
This will be her third fetch of Russian oil since October.
No flag, no state, no identity and no registry -> she is basically lawless.
Some would even argue states have obligations here.
No insurance
No problem!
Rustbucket zombie-tanker ARCUSAT/TAVIAN/TIA will enter Baltics in ~3 days.
This will be her third fetch of Russian oil since October.
No flag, no state, no identity and no registry -> she is basically lawless.
Some would even argue states have obligations here.
Reposted by gutenberg62
I compiled my data relating to the frontline movements in the year 2025.
- Russians gained around 4,075 square kilometer (1,573 square miles) over this period of time. This is around 0.67% of Ukraine's total size.
- Ukraine holds 79.4% of its territory.
- Russians gained around 4,075 square kilometer (1,573 square miles) over this period of time. This is around 0.67% of Ukraine's total size.
- Ukraine holds 79.4% of its territory.
January 1, 2026 at 7:42 PM
I compiled my data relating to the frontline movements in the year 2025.
- Russians gained around 4,075 square kilometer (1,573 square miles) over this period of time. This is around 0.67% of Ukraine's total size.
- Ukraine holds 79.4% of its territory.
- Russians gained around 4,075 square kilometer (1,573 square miles) over this period of time. This is around 0.67% of Ukraine's total size.
- Ukraine holds 79.4% of its territory.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Updated map of cable breaks between Sweden and Estonia, based on press release from Estonian ministry for digital affairs.
The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.
Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable.
The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.
Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable.
January 1, 2026 at 8:19 AM
Updated map of cable breaks between Sweden and Estonia, based on press release from Estonian ministry for digital affairs.
The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.
Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable.
The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.
Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable.
Reposted by gutenberg62
So, kaum war er weg, war er dann doch nicht weg und jetzt ist er wieder da. #Lecornu wurde gestern Abend von #Macron erneut zum Premierminister ernannt.
Was hat sich in der Woche denn geändert, dass dazu geführt hat, dass der gerade mangels Regierungsmehrheit zurückgetretene 1/
Was hat sich in der Woche denn geändert, dass dazu geführt hat, dass der gerade mangels Regierungsmehrheit zurückgetretene 1/
October 11, 2025 at 6:06 AM
Reposted by gutenberg62
Conspicious Russian trawler LAZURNY IMO 8729664 is passing Copenhagen and EU defence meeting. Ahead of her a Danish frigate with RIBs in water.
She started her journey from Kaliningrad, docks shared with the AKADEMIK(spy)-fleet and has moved without AIS til an hour ago.
She started her journey from Kaliningrad, docks shared with the AKADEMIK(spy)-fleet and has moved without AIS til an hour ago.
October 1, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Conspicious Russian trawler LAZURNY IMO 8729664 is passing Copenhagen and EU defence meeting. Ahead of her a Danish frigate with RIBs in water.
She started her journey from Kaliningrad, docks shared with the AKADEMIK(spy)-fleet and has moved without AIS til an hour ago.
She started her journey from Kaliningrad, docks shared with the AKADEMIK(spy)-fleet and has moved without AIS til an hour ago.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Russian chemical tanker / drone suspect LAUGA is idling of the south coast of Spain. Moved at snails pace though Med for last 48ish hours, diverted towards Spain 13h ago.
Implicated in drone activity against German military May 2025.
Thanks @GeoCrow_ !
Implicated in drone activity against German military May 2025.
Thanks @GeoCrow_ !
September 26, 2025 at 11:26 PM
Russian chemical tanker / drone suspect LAUGA is idling of the south coast of Spain. Moved at snails pace though Med for last 48ish hours, diverted towards Spain 13h ago.
Implicated in drone activity against German military May 2025.
Thanks @GeoCrow_ !
Implicated in drone activity against German military May 2025.
Thanks @GeoCrow_ !
Reposted by gutenberg62
1/ A critical commentary from a Russian soldier about Ukrainian dominance in drone warfare has reportedly (and unsurprisingly) resulted in retaliation against him. Russian warbloggers have nonetheless defiantly pointed out more Russian deficiencies. ⬇️
September 20, 2025 at 8:34 AM
1/ A critical commentary from a Russian soldier about Ukrainian dominance in drone warfare has reportedly (and unsurprisingly) resulted in retaliation against him. Russian warbloggers have nonetheless defiantly pointed out more Russian deficiencies. ⬇️
Reposted by gutenberg62
Meine Kolumne zur gerade stattfindenden Übung Zapad 2025 und warum Europas politische Entscheidungsträger:innen ein besseres Verständnis für nukleare Abschreckung und Kriegsführung entwickeln müssen.
September 13, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Meine Kolumne zur gerade stattfindenden Übung Zapad 2025 und warum Europas politische Entscheidungsträger:innen ein besseres Verständnis für nukleare Abschreckung und Kriegsführung entwickeln müssen.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Pure speculation:
There was a moratorium on striking the Baltic Sea oil exports. It has been lifted.
There was a moratorium on striking the Baltic Sea oil exports. It has been lifted.
Primorsk, one of Russia's two main Baltic oil terminals has been hit by Ukrainian drones.
Both a ship and pumping facilities damaged, operations (partly?) on halt. No oil spill.
Several 100kt tankers a day leave this facility with oil, fetching dollars.
Both a ship and pumping facilities damaged, operations (partly?) on halt. No oil spill.
Several 100kt tankers a day leave this facility with oil, fetching dollars.
September 12, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Pure speculation:
There was a moratorium on striking the Baltic Sea oil exports. It has been lifted.
There was a moratorium on striking the Baltic Sea oil exports. It has been lifted.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Putins zweite Front: Herfried Münkler über die russische Drohnenattacke gegen Polen, über Erklärungsansätze und Ableitungen daraus (Geschenklink ohne Paywall)
www.zeit.de/kultur/2025-...
www.zeit.de/kultur/2025-...
www.zeit.de
September 13, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Putins zweite Front: Herfried Münkler über die russische Drohnenattacke gegen Polen, über Erklärungsansätze und Ableitungen daraus (Geschenklink ohne Paywall)
www.zeit.de/kultur/2025-...
www.zeit.de/kultur/2025-...
Reposted by gutenberg62
Hi all,
I just published my latest Substack post.
With recent focus on Ukrainian missiles, from Flamingo to "Long Neptune" and others, I thought I'd provide context by tracing the evolution of Ukraine's missile programs.
Short summary below.
missilematters.substack.com/p/ukraines-...
1/6
I just published my latest Substack post.
With recent focus on Ukrainian missiles, from Flamingo to "Long Neptune" and others, I thought I'd provide context by tracing the evolution of Ukraine's missile programs.
Short summary below.
missilematters.substack.com/p/ukraines-...
1/6
Ukraine’s Missile Evolution 2014–2025: From Long-Range Drones to Heavy-Hitters
Tracing the rise, setbacks, and future of Ukraine’s long-range strike industry
missilematters.substack.com
August 31, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Hi all,
I just published my latest Substack post.
With recent focus on Ukrainian missiles, from Flamingo to "Long Neptune" and others, I thought I'd provide context by tracing the evolution of Ukraine's missile programs.
Short summary below.
missilematters.substack.com/p/ukraines-...
1/6
I just published my latest Substack post.
With recent focus on Ukrainian missiles, from Flamingo to "Long Neptune" and others, I thought I'd provide context by tracing the evolution of Ukraine's missile programs.
Short summary below.
missilematters.substack.com/p/ukraines-...
1/6
Reposted by gutenberg62
Wenn es um Krieg, Frieden und Eskalationsrisiken geht, brauchen wir klare Sprache. Keine Euphemismen, aber auch keinen Alarmismus. Darüber habe ich mit der @zeit.de gesprochen. www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Deutsche Truppen in der Ukraine: "Wir müssen gewillt sein, im Ernstfall den Nahkampf zu führen"
Stehen bald deutsche Soldaten in der Ukraine? Militärexperte Franz-Stefan Gady erklärt, wie ein Friedenseinsatz aussehen könnte – und welche Risiken dieser hätte.
www.zeit.de
August 23, 2025 at 4:40 AM
Wenn es um Krieg, Frieden und Eskalationsrisiken geht, brauchen wir klare Sprache. Keine Euphemismen, aber auch keinen Alarmismus. Darüber habe ich mit der @zeit.de gesprochen. www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Reposted by gutenberg62
This would have been a beautiful map had it not depicted the scope of Russia's sabotage on European infrastructure 2018-2025.
Take your time and decipher it.
From this report: www.iiss.org/research-pap...
Take your time and decipher it.
From this report: www.iiss.org/research-pap...
August 22, 2025 at 3:05 PM
This would have been a beautiful map had it not depicted the scope of Russia's sabotage on European infrastructure 2018-2025.
Take your time and decipher it.
From this report: www.iiss.org/research-pap...
Take your time and decipher it.
From this report: www.iiss.org/research-pap...
Reposted by gutenberg62
The aerial reconnaissance of coming battle fields continues unhindered.
Holy cow the numbers.
Holy cow the numbers.
August 8, 2025 at 2:26 PM
The aerial reconnaissance of coming battle fields continues unhindered.
Holy cow the numbers.
Holy cow the numbers.
Reposted by gutenberg62
🎂🎊Geburtstagsfolge 🎁🎈
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/19/s...
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/19/s...
Sicherheitshalber Spezial ***7. Geburtstag*** Der Laberpodcast zu Journalismus und Wissenschaft - Sicherheitspod
“Sicherheitshalber”, sagt Prof. Dr. Carlo Masala, ist die Mutter aller deutschsprachigen Sicherheitspolitik-Podcasts. Seit inzwischen sieben Jahren reden Ulrike Franke, Carlo Masala, Frank Sauer und T...
sicherheitspod.de
July 19, 2025 at 1:06 PM
🎂🎊Geburtstagsfolge 🎁🎈
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/19/s...
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/19/s...
Reposted by gutenberg62
Jetzt online!
In der aktuellen Folge sprechen wir mit @sabfis3.bsky.social über Russland. Und fragen uns wie es mit dem Völkerrecht weitergeht.
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/11/f...
In der aktuellen Folge sprechen wir mit @sabfis3.bsky.social über Russland. Und fragen uns wie es mit dem Völkerrecht weitergeht.
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/11/f...
Folge #97 Frieden mit Russland: Wann und Wie? | Völkerrecht: Legal, illegal, ganz egal? - Sicherheitspod
“Sicherheitshalber” ist der Podcast zur sicherheitspolitischen Lage in Deutschland, Europa und der Welt. In Folge 97 diskutieren Thomas Wiegold, Ulrike Franke, Frank Sauer und Carlo Masala zuerst mit ...
sicherheitspod.de
July 11, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Jetzt online!
In der aktuellen Folge sprechen wir mit @sabfis3.bsky.social über Russland. Und fragen uns wie es mit dem Völkerrecht weitergeht.
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/11/f...
In der aktuellen Folge sprechen wir mit @sabfis3.bsky.social über Russland. Und fragen uns wie es mit dem Völkerrecht weitergeht.
sicherheitspod.de/2025/07/11/f...
Reposted by gutenberg62
Die Bombe nicht zu bauen, war ein politische Entscheidung im Iran. Weil die Drohung mit dem Bau dienlicher war. Das ist jetzt vorbei. Sollte, wonach es aussieht, die technische Möglichkeit bestehen, dann stehen jetzt alle Zeichen auf breakout. JCPOA war nicht perfekt. Aber es war besser als all das.
June 23, 2025 at 5:49 AM
Die Bombe nicht zu bauen, war ein politische Entscheidung im Iran. Weil die Drohung mit dem Bau dienlicher war. Das ist jetzt vorbei. Sollte, wonach es aussieht, die technische Möglichkeit bestehen, dann stehen jetzt alle Zeichen auf breakout. JCPOA war nicht perfekt. Aber es war besser als all das.
Reposted by gutenberg62
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
June 23, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
Reposted by gutenberg62
Lesen!
Danke fürs Einsortieren, @carlomasala1.bsky.social
Für Euch als Geschenk-Link.
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Danke fürs Einsortieren, @carlomasala1.bsky.social
Für Euch als Geschenk-Link.
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Krieg in Nahost: Legal, legitim, egal?
Was in der Debatte über Israel und den Iran schiefläuft: Wichtige Fragen werden nicht gestellt, die politische Instrumentalisierung des Völkerrechts kleistert alles zu.
www.zeit.de
June 19, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Lesen!
Danke fürs Einsortieren, @carlomasala1.bsky.social
Für Euch als Geschenk-Link.
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Danke fürs Einsortieren, @carlomasala1.bsky.social
Für Euch als Geschenk-Link.
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...