Charles Kenny
charlesjkenny.bsky.social
Charles Kenny
@charlesjkenny.bsky.social
Fellow at the Center for Global Development, author of Getting Better and The Plague Cycle. (CGD doesn't have institutional positions, so don't blame it for mine).
Blog: Women Have Been Disproportionately Harmed by Trump Administration Aid, Migration, and Trade Policies

www.cgdev.org/blog/women-h...
Women Have Been Disproportionately Harmed by Trump Administration Aid, Migration, and Trade Policies
The first year of the second Trump administration has seen a broad assault on global flows of goods, services, finance, and people, with an outsize impact on low- and middle-income countries. As a sid...
www.cgdev.org
November 25, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
Do Less Things, Do Them Really Well: A Recipe for Canadian Aid.

Spurred by an excellent @charlesjkenny.bsky.social piece on global aid, I did some thinking about what this should mean for Canada

ldhconsulting.org/2025/11/25/d...

www.cgdev.org/publication/...
Do Less Things, Do Them Really Well: A Recipe for Canadian Aid
Even before the Budget 2025 announcement of $2.7bn in cuts to Canada’s aid budget, there was a recognition Canadian aid needed to change. Partly driven by the destruction of USAID, partly by the el…
ldhconsulting.org
November 25, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Todd Moss on Nancy Birdsall's brilliance.

toddmoss.substack.com/p/birdsall-h...
Birdsall House Rules
Lessons about impact and team building I've learned from a true trailblazer
toddmoss.substack.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:59 PM
This worth a read: Dan Fisher, formerly at the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction: "the oversight community must drop its obsession with process over outcomes"

Results not Receipts!

thehill.com/opinion/fina...
thehill.com
November 24, 2025 at 7:10 PM
New CGD Note: Aid Isn't Fairy Dust.

The need for a wholesale rethink of the role of aid based on just the past 12 months exaggerated, but long-term changes as well as lessons from the past decade suggest rhetoric around what aid can accomplish needs to be dialed down. (Thread)
November 18, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
Two new CGD papers on World Bank climate finance, by @euanaritchie.bsky.social and me. We agree ‘mitigation’ projects overwhelmingly look designed to be ‘development first, mitigation... second?’ Thread including bonus paper by @jonathanbeynon.bsky.social
November 10, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Two new CGD papers on World Bank climate finance, by @euanaritchie.bsky.social and me. We agree ‘mitigation’ projects overwhelmingly look designed to be ‘development first, mitigation... second?’ Thread including bonus paper by @jonathanbeynon.bsky.social
November 10, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Important update from @ecollinson.bsky.social & Jocilyn Estes on US foreign assistance spending. Lots of reasons to caveat, & it is a *bad* picture for ongoing disaster assistance & development assistance, but global health picture better than previously forecast.

www.cgdev.org/blog/reports...
Reports of (US) Aid’s Death Have Been (Somewhat) Exaggerated
Data recently published by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) offers insight into the status of major aid accounts at the end of fiscal year 2025.
www.cgdev.org
November 4, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Blog related to earlier note: If You Want China to Win Fewer Development Bank Financed Contracts, Increase Policy Lending.

1. This is all pretty silly. Evidence is Chinese contractors deliver quality at low price (in part b/c China subsidizing —good for MDB clients!)...
October 31, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
"Louisiana sugarcane farmers say they depend heavily on migrant workers from Mexico" lailluminator.com/2025/10/28/l...
Sugarcane, eh? 🤔
October 29, 2025 at 11:12 AM
New note: A number of multilateral development banks have implemented or are considering mandated local content or labor requirements in their procurement rules. This is a *very bad idea.*

(thread)
October 28, 2025 at 7:07 PM
The World Bank Group is planning to reorganize its research functions. The results could be even uglier than the powerpoint: an end to independent research at the institution and conflicts of interest all over...

New blog with @eeshani.bsky.social, link in reply.
October 24, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
The number of low-income countries fell from 63 in 2000 to 26 today—but progress has stalled.

@charlesjkenny.bsky.social urges the #G20 to take action on aid, investment, and migration to reignite growth:
https://bit.ly/47nMG07
Zero LICs by 2040: A Call for G20 Action
Between 2000 and 2023, the number of low-income countries (LICs) worldwide, with GNI per capita below $1,145, declined from 63 to 26. Graduates included G20 member India (China graduated in 1998). If ...
bit.ly
October 24, 2025 at 12:59 AM
Billions to Trillions, which was dead...
www.cgdev.org/blog/did-par...

...But then came staggering back to life like a zombie demonic pony ...
www.worldbank.org/en/news/spee...

...Is now dead again?
www.globalcapital.com/globalmarket...
Did Paris Call It Quits on Billions to Trillions?
The post-conference statement from the recently concluded Paris Summit for A New Global Financing Pact undercuts the calculations at the core of the idea we could take billions of multilateral finance...
www.cgdev.org
October 23, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Telecoms pricing remains weird.
There are 252 million phones in India without internet. It costs those users 85,000 times more to get a byte of data. This is price discrimination in the access of the world's poor to AI. A post by Daniel Björkegren lays out the costs, the why and what to do about it: www.cgdev.org/blog/sms-cha...
SMS Charges May Be Inhibiting the Use of AI for 1 Billion People
Smartphone users across the globe increasingly have access to a variety of services that make use of AI, but high markups on text messages will prevent the world’s poorest from making use of the techn...
www.cgdev.org
October 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Update regarding the status of international organizations I talked about in the blog linked in thread: Universal Postal Union, NATO, WTO, ITU, CCC, WIPO (and more) now added to UN, IAEA, PAHO, OAS as organizations that got assessed contributions obligations in FY25. Yay...
October 23, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
Great news on @malengo.org: With a new large investment from The Shapiro Foundation (theshapirofoundation.org), we'll be able to bring several hundred vocational training and university students from Kenya, Uganda, and Rwanda to Europe over the coming years!

More here: malengo.org/malengo-secu...
October 23, 2025 at 3:31 AM
Reposted by Charles Kenny
"Between 2000 and 2023, the number of low-income countries worldwide ... declined from 63 to 26." But current growth rates suggest "as few as three additional graduations by 2035 & three more in the 15 years 2035 to 2050." www.cgdev.org/publication/... @charlesjkenny.bsky.social's call to action!
October 22, 2025 at 3:00 PM
A call for G20 action: Zero Low Income Countries by 2040.

LICs not only home to the world’s poorest and most vulnerable people, also fragile states at high risk of conflict, with limited capacity to provide global public goods from security to biodiversity and pandemic control.
October 22, 2025 at 7:52 PM
This is great. S&P says that MDBs/DFIs releasing data on risk of their investments means they need to hold less capital to cover their liabilities --so can lend more.

Onwards to greater transparency in contracting!

www.publishwhatyoufund.org/2025/10/cred...
Credit (risk) where it’s due
After years of patient technical work by the Global Emerging Markets (GEMS) Risk Database and advocacy from CSOs, the private sector, media and many more, a significant breakthrough has just been anno...
www.publishwhatyoufund.org
October 21, 2025 at 2:58 PM
New CGD note by Ramona Godbole on the status of PEPFAR delivery.

Picture: in Uganda, whether or not there have (likely) been big disruptions to PEPFAR provision of support/HIV meds depends if you happen to live in a district where USAID managed delivery awards rather than CDC.
October 20, 2025 at 6:00 PM
I have been slow on this, but a dangerous idea --World Bank Group is moving to a single country manager for both private (IFC, MIGA) & public (IBRD, IDA) arms.

For eg: IFC sponsoring a noncompetitive energy project with lock in take or pay agreements (they do that)...
October 16, 2025 at 12:22 PM