Dj
@djsoke.bsky.social
NYC results should get certified during this meeting, so we’ll finally get all the outstanding votes
November 30, 2025 at 2:39 PM
NYC results should get certified during this meeting, so we’ll finally get all the outstanding votes
off to do the additional leg day heated rivalry convinced me to add into my weeks
November 30, 2025 at 1:59 PM
off to do the additional leg day heated rivalry convinced me to add into my weeks
The concept of NYC updating its results on election night and then not again until December
a woman is talking into a microphone in front of a national board of review wall
ALT: a woman is talking into a microphone in front of a national board of review wall
media.tenor.com
November 28, 2025 at 11:10 PM
The concept of NYC updating its results on election night and then not again until December
Honestly one of my better swims in a hot minute 🫡
unfortunately I did lose track and accidentally do a 25 breast instead of back so the aesthetic is ruined 😐
unfortunately I did lose track and accidentally do a 25 breast instead of back so the aesthetic is ruined 😐
November 28, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Honestly one of my better swims in a hot minute 🫡
unfortunately I did lose track and accidentally do a 25 breast instead of back so the aesthetic is ruined 😐
unfortunately I did lose track and accidentally do a 25 breast instead of back so the aesthetic is ruined 😐
we need snap midterm elections immediately
November 28, 2025 at 5:21 PM
we need snap midterm elections immediately
heated rivalry premiered too late for me last night but here we go 🙂↕️
November 28, 2025 at 12:29 PM
heated rivalry premiered too late for me last night but here we go 🙂↕️
Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
extra positive vibes to those who the holidays might be difficult for this year, love y’all 🧡
extra positive vibes to those who the holidays might be difficult for this year, love y’all 🧡
November 27, 2025 at 11:11 PM
Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
extra positive vibes to those who the holidays might be difficult for this year, love y’all 🧡
extra positive vibes to those who the holidays might be difficult for this year, love y’all 🧡
I’m kind of a pie hater so got a tres leches for Thanksgiving instead 🙂↕️
November 27, 2025 at 4:31 AM
I’m kind of a pie hater so got a tres leches for Thanksgiving instead 🙂↕️
here are all those percentages in graph format
Dems obviously have a turnout advantage, the comparisons to 2022 and 2024's EVs look very similar to Virginia
the EV did end up looking fairly similar to the primary though, it looked for a while that it would be better than the primary
Dems obviously have a turnout advantage, the comparisons to 2022 and 2024's EVs look very similar to Virginia
the EV did end up looking fairly similar to the primary though, it looked for a while that it would be better than the primary
November 27, 2025 at 2:58 AM
here are all those percentages in graph format
Dems obviously have a turnout advantage, the comparisons to 2022 and 2024's EVs look very similar to Virginia
the EV did end up looking fairly similar to the primary though, it looked for a while that it would be better than the primary
Dems obviously have a turnout advantage, the comparisons to 2022 and 2024's EVs look very similar to Virginia
the EV did end up looking fairly similar to the primary though, it looked for a while that it would be better than the primary
woops, needed to sort
final ev update from tn07:
slightly geographically bluer than the primary, though Davidson fell behind the CD's % of primary and its share of the total EV from the primary after leading all window
final ev update from tn07:
slightly geographically bluer than the primary, though Davidson fell behind the CD's % of primary and its share of the total EV from the primary after leading all window
November 27, 2025 at 2:51 AM
woops, needed to sort
final ev update from tn07:
slightly geographically bluer than the primary, though Davidson fell behind the CD's % of primary and its share of the total EV from the primary after leading all window
final ev update from tn07:
slightly geographically bluer than the primary, though Davidson fell behind the CD's % of primary and its share of the total EV from the primary after leading all window
I’ll run the cumulative numbers when I get home but here’s the voted cast today in TN07
Davidson - 2972
Williamson - 1783
Montgomery - 1525
Rest of TN07: 3382
Honestly very strong turnout in the district considering the reduced hours, 76% of yesterday in the rurals
Davidson - 2972
Williamson - 1783
Montgomery - 1525
Rest of TN07: 3382
Honestly very strong turnout in the district considering the reduced hours, 76% of yesterday in the rurals
November 27, 2025 at 1:53 AM
I’ll run the cumulative numbers when I get home but here’s the voted cast today in TN07
Davidson - 2972
Williamson - 1783
Montgomery - 1525
Rest of TN07: 3382
Honestly very strong turnout in the district considering the reduced hours, 76% of yesterday in the rurals
Davidson - 2972
Williamson - 1783
Montgomery - 1525
Rest of TN07: 3382
Honestly very strong turnout in the district considering the reduced hours, 76% of yesterday in the rurals
2950 from Davidson today ❗️
November 26, 2025 at 11:39 PM
2950 from Davidson today ❗️
penultimate look at EV from TN07, though who knows if we get the full EV update tomorrow or not
Almost 75k votes cast, up 147% from the primary and 23% of 2024's total votes
Davidson is still slightly ahead of the CD overall, but it's also got much of today all to itself
Almost 75k votes cast, up 147% from the primary and 23% of 2024's total votes
Davidson is still slightly ahead of the CD overall, but it's also got much of today all to itself
November 26, 2025 at 2:07 PM
penultimate look at EV from TN07, though who knows if we get the full EV update tomorrow or not
Almost 75k votes cast, up 147% from the primary and 23% of 2024's total votes
Davidson is still slightly ahead of the CD overall, but it's also got much of today all to itself
Almost 75k votes cast, up 147% from the primary and 23% of 2024's total votes
Davidson is still slightly ahead of the CD overall, but it's also got much of today all to itself
There was definitely a difference in methodology though; in NJ Emerson was weighting to both 2021 and 2024, so the polled “electorate” was Murphy+3, Harris+6 - not even close to the actual electorate
This time they didn’t weight LVs to 2024, so no assumptions here 🙂↔️
This time they didn’t weight LVs to 2024, so no assumptions here 🙂↔️
Emerson also undershot Sherrill’s margin… so 👀
November 26, 2025 at 1:58 PM
There was definitely a difference in methodology though; in NJ Emerson was weighting to both 2021 and 2024, so the polled “electorate” was Murphy+3, Harris+6 - not even close to the actual electorate
This time they didn’t weight LVs to 2024, so no assumptions here 🙂↔️
This time they didn’t weight LVs to 2024, so no assumptions here 🙂↔️
Huh
Emerson poll has TN07 deadlocked, with Behn leading early voters by 15
Someone summon a blizzard on Election Day
Emerson poll has TN07 deadlocked, with Behn leading early voters by 15
Someone summon a blizzard on Election Day
November 26, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Huh
Emerson poll has TN07 deadlocked, with Behn leading early voters by 15
Someone summon a blizzard on Election Day
Emerson poll has TN07 deadlocked, with Behn leading early voters by 15
Someone summon a blizzard on Election Day
2440 out of Davidson today
November 26, 2025 at 1:10 AM
2440 out of Davidson today
happy two days until Thanksgiving and one week until eday in tn07
we're in a little bit of a peculiar window for the last few days where Davidson and the rest of the CD are on different timelines
I hope we get the full EV update on Thursday even with the holiday lol
we're in a little bit of a peculiar window for the last few days where Davidson and the rest of the CD are on different timelines
I hope we get the full EV update on Thursday even with the holiday lol
November 25, 2025 at 4:27 PM
happy two days until Thanksgiving and one week until eday in tn07
we're in a little bit of a peculiar window for the last few days where Davidson and the rest of the CD are on different timelines
I hope we get the full EV update on Thursday even with the holiday lol
we're in a little bit of a peculiar window for the last few days where Davidson and the rest of the CD are on different timelines
I hope we get the full EV update on Thursday even with the holiday lol
Body & health still WIPs but looking back, it’s hard to believe how far I’ve come
(Also ik my hair is a mess I had just gotten out of the water and it was still drying )
Now nearly 9 years and about a 150lb difference from my heaviest weight
(Also ik my hair is a mess I had just gotten out of the water and it was still drying )
Now nearly 9 years and about a 150lb difference from my heaviest weight
November 24, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Body & health still WIPs but looking back, it’s hard to believe how far I’ve come
(Also ik my hair is a mess I had just gotten out of the water and it was still drying )
Now nearly 9 years and about a 150lb difference from my heaviest weight
(Also ik my hair is a mess I had just gotten out of the water and it was still drying )
Now nearly 9 years and about a 150lb difference from my heaviest weight
gonna have to resub to hbo max just for heated rivalry
at least the corporate overlords will know what I’m there for 🙂↕️
at least the corporate overlords will know what I’m there for 🙂↕️
November 24, 2025 at 1:05 AM
gonna have to resub to hbo max just for heated rivalry
at least the corporate overlords will know what I’m there for 🙂↕️
at least the corporate overlords will know what I’m there for 🙂↕️
No EV to EV comparison but the D turnout edge is also visible at the precinct level
Unfortunately very hard to parse details on the votehub site but it looks very similar to how the VA precinct early vote looked
Unfortunately very hard to parse details on the votehub site but it looks very similar to how the VA precinct early vote looked
November 23, 2025 at 4:52 PM
No EV to EV comparison but the D turnout edge is also visible at the precinct level
Unfortunately very hard to parse details on the votehub site but it looks very similar to how the VA precinct early vote looked
Unfortunately very hard to parse details on the votehub site but it looks very similar to how the VA precinct early vote looked
Two full weeks of EV down: 3 days left for Davidson, 2.5 for everyone else
About 55k votes cast so far, 17% of total 2024 votes; up 130.4% from the primary
The bigger counties continue to do best as a % of 2024's total and compared to the primary
About 55k votes cast so far, 17% of total 2024 votes; up 130.4% from the primary
The bigger counties continue to do best as a % of 2024's total and compared to the primary
November 23, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Two full weeks of EV down: 3 days left for Davidson, 2.5 for everyone else
About 55k votes cast so far, 17% of total 2024 votes; up 130.4% from the primary
The bigger counties continue to do best as a % of 2024's total and compared to the primary
About 55k votes cast so far, 17% of total 2024 votes; up 130.4% from the primary
The bigger counties continue to do best as a % of 2024's total and compared to the primary
On a macro level, economic dissatisfaction is probably the #1 way to get the incumbent’s base deactivated (and to lose soft supporters)
Still a year to go before 2026 but this is definitely “the thing”
Still a year to go before 2026 but this is definitely “the thing”
November 23, 2025 at 2:44 PM
On a macro level, economic dissatisfaction is probably the #1 way to get the incumbent’s base deactivated (and to lose soft supporters)
Still a year to go before 2026 but this is definitely “the thing”
Still a year to go before 2026 but this is definitely “the thing”
Generational opportunity for Ds to regain ground on the economy as an issue
November 23, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Generational opportunity for Ds to regain ground on the economy as an issue