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Dan Szymborski

@dszymborski.fangraphs.com

16K followers 850 following 1.7K posts

Senior Writer for FanGraphs, ESPN contributor, data consultant, ZiPSetician, gamer, talkative, exasperated/ing, possibly the worst. BBWAA, Digital Dandy.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · Nov 20

For those new to BlueSky and interested in FanGraphs writers -- or those who aren't, making this an odd choice -- I put together a FanGraphs starter pack of writers/editors who currently are staffers or contributors to the site.

go.bsky.app/Q1Dm1ED

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 6h

Oh, and AWD and large enough that I can stuff my fat ass behind the wheel.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 6h

I have about 22,000 miles on my car in four years, and probably nearly 20K of those are drives to cities I don't live in!

But I like small cars, that are hatchbacks, are fast, and are not German (and I care not for rear space). These are dwindling fast!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 6h

Oh, I just meant the petroleum bridge as the car equivalent of the rainbow bridge. If the problems are worked out, I'd be happy to have one someday! Though not right now; I don't have a daily commute and a large percentage of my driving is LONG drives, so I'm one of the worst fits right now.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 7h

I'm getting worried that once my car crosses the petroleum bridge someday, there won't actually be any new cars that so precisely meet my needs and wants.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 15h

This game has been going on so long that the reporters are going to go home afterwards and find that their spouses have remarried.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

I'm thankful that Castellanos' hit earlier was a double; a homer might have ended the Gaza peace deal.

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

I'm hardly a fashion guy, but I *do* like distinctive uniforms and color combinations. There are just too many similar reds and blues out there it gets kind of boring. The A's yellow jersey is 🔥

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

In case it wasn't obvious, when I express love for the Phillies power blue + maroon and wish it were full-time, I don't mean at home.

I'd like the maroon pinstripes to come back for home full time, with a maroon jersey (but not pants) as a home alternate.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

Yeah, I shoudl have been clearer about that!

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

I didn't mean to use them ahistorically! But I've never liked the current Phillies colors.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

Do I dare ask what ass success is?

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

I do hope the Phillies take the hint and just keep wearing the powder-blue-and-maroon as the primary uniform for now on.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

People might say that the Red Sox or Cubs had baseball's best curse, but I still think the S-Tier baseball curse is the Hanshin Tigers being cursed by Colonel Sanders.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

I gotta say, it feels like the schemes of Shredder and Krang to destroy the Ninja Turtles have a higher success rate than using Clayton Kershaw in relief in the playoffs.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2d

As someone who does a lot of predictive modeling, I really appreciate the Wrigley fans clearly chanting for principal component analysis.

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski

Grant Brisbee @grantbrisbee.bsky.social · 2d

me at the start of every october vs. me at the end of every october

Jayson Werth, except now he looks like a wizard or a lumberjack or a prepper who can live for three years on nothing but bark and cicadas

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

The archive was always a dumpster fire too -- it's always been impossible to see the *many* things I did unless I know exactly which one I was looking for!

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski

Jordan in Finland (Fantasy Baseball Oligarch) @rosenjordanblum.bsky.social · 3d

The reviews are in: critics are hailing OOPSY as Paul Thomas Anderson's most entertaining film yet. No, wait, that is "One Battle After Another." Good work, @dszymborski.fangraphs.com
(2025's best hitting projections on FanGraphs) and
Steamer gang (2025's best pitching projections on FG)

FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs.com · 3d

Reviewing OOPSY’s Debut Season blogs.fangraphs.com/reviewing-oo...

Reviewing OOPSY’s Debut Season

This article reviews how the OOPSY projections performed in their debut season. Did the rookie system hold its own compared to its more established peers?

blogs.fangraphs.com

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

The initial charge was fairly easy - we were all basically extremely confident about guilty the second we got into the jury room. But it was the finding that got us. We all thought the defendant acted terribly, but just not the degree of terribleness of the added risks.

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

Yeah, like I can say that there's a strong possibility the White Sox will suck, but I have the luxury of being able to buttress that with an underlying median projection and a range of uncertainty based on empirical data!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

Yeah, it was an additional finding on a relatively dangerous police chase.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

Since Bayesian probability is such a big part of my life, it definitely drives me nuts, though it was the answer I expected while penning out the Q for the group. Thankfully, another juror made a great point from the language of the statute that turned the tide.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

Yeah, I wish it didn't happen during PLAYOFFS, but like in February, but it was a good experience and makes me feel a little bit better about humanity, if just for today!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

In the end, the 4 agreed that they had reasonable doubts about serious. Those of us in the 8 then took a step back to make sure the 4 were comfortable and did not feel pressured by us unduly, and that they could switch in good conscience.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3d

It was an interesting jury room debate. Basically *the* point we all came to very quickly was whether X thing that we all thought was bad was "significant" or "serious" risk. We were 8-4 for significant, and we asked a Q to confirm there was nothing definitionally to clear up ambiguity.

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