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ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
@ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
330 followers 59 following 94 posts
ECFR’s research in geoeconomics and technology explores the impact of global economic fragmentation, Western strategies to de-risk industries from China, and the future of economic statecraft tools.
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ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social · Sep 17
🌊Every surfer knows you need to ride the wave — not fight it.

Eight months in, Europe is still struggling to craft a coherent response to Trumponomics. The way forward: stay calm, stay united, and reform.

Read @agathedemarais.bsky.social's new @ecfr.eu policy brief:
ecfr.eu/publication/...
Ride the wave: A big, beautiful European strategy for Trumponomics
The US president is throwing the EU lots of economic curveballs. Brussels should not be distracted by these; instead, it should double down on adopting measures that will benefit the bloc long after…
ecfr.eu
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfrmadrid.bsky.social
📱 «CLUB DE CAPACIDADES: CÓMO LA UE PUEDE LIDERAR LA LUCHA POR LAS POTENCIAS MEDIAS EN IA»

📝 @giorgosverdi.bsky.social [ @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social ]

🫱🏻‍🫲🏾 Debe aliarse con potencias medias ante 🇺🇸-🇨🇳, con oportunidad en la Cumbre de Impacto de la IA de la 🇮🇳

🔗 Léelo aquí ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/capa...
Capability club: How the EU can lead the fight for AI middle powers – European Council on Foreign Relations
India’s AI Impact Summit is an opportunity for the EU to seek new partnerships with other middle powers on AI development and infrastructure
ecfr.eu
February 12, 2026 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
As France starts its G7 presidency, collaboration with the US G20 presidency won't be smooth sailing - yet not hope is lost and as I argue for @ecfr.eu the French may yet find a willing partner in the US in three areas: economic security, development aid and critical minerals
ecfr.eu/article/call...
Calling Paris and Washington: Three areas for G7-G20 collaboration in 2026 – European Council on Foreign Relations
France’s G7 presidency coincides with an American-led G20. Paris will not find it easy to collaborate with the Trump administration, but it can still find meani
ecfr.eu
February 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
Odds of a mining bonanza in Greenland are abysmally low
• Getting mine running in Arctic can cost 2-3 times as much as equivalent project at lower latitudes
• Island’s two big rare-earth projects have been plagued by difficulties and have yet to start operations
www.economist.com/briefing/202...
January 26, 2026 at 8:01 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
Agriculture is only a tiny part of EU-Mercosur free-trade agreement
• EU tariff cuts on Mercosur-made meat will apply only to small share of European imports
• Real economic rationale of deal could lie in industrial and services trade, as well as mineral products
www.economist.com/europe/2026/...
January 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
Europe has no good options to respond to Trump's tariff threats over Greenland - in my latest for @ecfr.eu I outline five principles that Brussels and EU capitals may want to keep in mind when sketching out next steps (spoiler: ditch moot threats and focus on services trade)
ecfr.eu/article/keep...
Keep ice cool: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s Greenland tariff threats  – European Council on Foreign Relations
Rather than panicking or posturing, European leaders should prioritise EU unity, pinpoint their leverage and consider buying time
ecfr.eu
January 20, 2026 at 9:09 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
"Trump could conceivably change his mind over the urgency of the Greenland issue at any moment", writes @agathedemarais.com. Here are five principles European policymakers should keep in mind as they respond to Trump’s threats.
@ecfrpower.bsky.social @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4a2xnwh
Keep ice cool: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s Greenland tariff threats  – European Council on Foreign Relations
Rather than panicking or posturing, European leaders should prioritise EU unity, pinpoint their leverage and consider buying time
bit.ly
January 20, 2026 at 8:54 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
The US now records its largest goods trade deficit with the EU, not China - paving the way for (more) transatlantic rows
In my latest column for @foreignpolicy.com I outline three wild cards for US-EU ties in 2026: the fate of the US dollar, defence expenses and US-Russia business deals
Trump’s Three Options to Turn the Screws on Europe
As the trade imbalance widens, European leaders need to prepare for likely retaliation.
foreignpolicy.com
January 12, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
What can we make of the EU decision to issue a €90bn loan to Ukraine - without tapping into Russia's immobilised reserves? In my latest piece for @ecfr.eu I outline seven takeaways from the decision and why there is (much) more to it than meets the eye [Thread - 1/9]
ecfr.eu/article/seve...
Seven things to know about the EU’s €90bn loan to Ukraine – European Council on Foreign Relations
Ukraine receives a vital lifeline, but it is not coming from immobilised Russian reserves.
ecfr.eu
December 19, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfrberlin.bsky.social
Sieben Dinge, die man über den 90 Milliarden-Kredit für die Ukraine wissen sollte - @agathedemarais.bsky.social (@ecfrgeotech.bsky.social) dröselt die Entscheidung des Europäischen Rates auf
ecfr.eu/article/seve...
Seven things to know about the EU’s €90bn loan to Ukraine – European Council on Foreign Relations
Ukraine receives a vital lifeline, but it is not coming from immobilised Russian reserves.
ecfr.eu
December 19, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
"One word best captures the grim strategic calculus the U.S. allies now confront: porcupine. ", writes @jamescrabtree.bsky.social, a visiting fellow of ECFR in the @foreignpolicy.com @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social

Read the full text here:
https://bit.ly/49hSV6D
6 Trump Lessons for Global Leaders in 2026
FP columnists on how the world could handle the new Washington.
bit.ly
December 31, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
"In 2026 European leaders will have ample opportunity to refine their playbook for managing Trump.", writes @agathedemarais.bsky.social, a senior policy fellow on geoeconomics and Tech, in the @foreignpolicy.com. Read the full text @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/3YQEaml
The EU’s Playbook for Trump
One of six FP columnists on how the world could handle the new Washington in 2026.
bit.ly
January 1, 2026 at 2:06 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
Europe must urgently build an independent “EuroStack”of critical technologies — or risk foreign powers weaponising its digital dependencies, argues @giorgosverdi.bsky.social in a new report out today. A 🧵
December 10, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
Time to get over your X, Europe! Our new policy brief from @giorgosverdi.bsky.social warns that the European Union must urgently develop an independent “EuroStack” of critical technologies to solve the reliance from American tech. @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/48ZLCBA
bit.ly
December 10, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
tobiasgehrke.bsky.social
What to make of the EU's latest economic security proposals

A few thoughts for @ecfr.eu

ecfr.eu/article/unde...
Understanding the EU’s new economic security playbook
The EU’s new economic security communication is a step in the right direction. If Europe wants to be a geoeconomic actor instead of a mere geoeconomic battleground, it must evolve from being a risk…
ecfr.eu
December 5, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
The EU’s new economic security communication is a step in the right direction. If Europe wants to be a geoeconomic actor instead of a mere geoeconomic battleground, it must evolve from being a risk manager and become a power broker, writes @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/446JjKc
Understanding the EU’s new economic security playbook
The EU’s new economic security communication is a step in the right direction. If Europe wants to be a geoeconomic actor instead of a mere geoeconomic battleground, it must evolve from being a risk…
bit.ly
December 4, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
jitorreblanca.bsky.social
1/ The new “digital omnibus package” presented on 24 November aims to simplify EU digital rules — but what looks like deregulation may actually hand power to US Big Tech and expose Europe to coercion.  ecfr.eu/article/thro...
Thrown under the omnibus: How the EU’s digital deregulation fuels US coercion
The EU has proposed simplifying and softening its digital regulation. This will only make the bloc more vulnerable to the coercion of America’s big tech firms.
ecfr.eu
December 3, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfrrome.bsky.social
🇺🇦 "Trump potrebbe ricorrere a minacce sui dazi contro l’UE per sbloccare gli asset russi congelati" Il commento di @agathedemarais.bsky.social, Direttrice di @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social e Senior Policy Fellow, al Corriere della Sera
👇
Così Putin vuole bloccare i fondi per l'Ucraina. Le esche e le trappole del Cremlino: «Altrimenti Kiev potrebbe resistere altri 2 anni»
I beni russi bloccati dai Paesi del G7 sono circa 300 miliardi di dollari, e tre quarti sono in Europa. Con i 140 miliardi di euro promessi dall'Ue Kiev potrebbe resistere per altri due anni. Per…
buff.ly
December 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM
ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
📣Join us in Berlin next Tuesday to discuss Europe's response to Trumponomics with @agathedemarais.bsky.social!

Register here: ecfr.eu/event/a-big-...
November 28, 2025 at 11:47 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
tobiasgehrke.bsky.social
Feels like the strategic autonomy debate all over again these days: endless scoping, definitions, etymology debates.

Let's just focus on solving a threat: Call an emergency on REEs, put all possible trade and security (3Ps) on the table, see how each could help solve the emergency, and go implement
fbermingham.bsky.social Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · Nov 24
As US-China rivalry redefines economic warfare, Europe scrambles for its dictionary

My report on the EU's struggle to define economic security, even as it prepares to launch yet another economic security initiative...
As US-China rivalry redefines economic warfare, EU scrambles for its dictionary
The EU is preparing to unveil a new doctrine on economic security, but it’s a concept that officials and experts say has no clear definition.
www.scmp.com
November 24, 2025 at 8:27 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
adamdkharrison.bsky.social
How China could crash Europe’s energy grid and what the EU can do about it | @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social @ecfr.eu
ecfr.eu/article/how-...
How China could crash Europe’s energy grid and what the EU can do about it
Europe’s solar boom has quietly handed Beijing remote access to hundreds of gigawatts of its power capacity. Without a 5G-type toolbox banning untrustworthy suppliers of inverters and other grid…
ecfr.eu
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
US claims over Russian frozen assets amount to just US$5bn, or 1.5% of global total
• Data show how US plans to grab US$300bn in Russian assets for US firms and government's benefit make no sense
• Belgium holds the bulk of Russian assets (through Euroclear), giving EU leverage in US-Russia talks
November 27, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
What are Trump's plans in the trade, investment and financial spheres, and what do US policies mean for Europe? Join us on Tuesday in Berlin @ecfrberlin.bsky.social around tea to discuss these topics - more info and registration 🫖 🍵 👇 @ecfrgeotech.bsky.social
A big, beautiful European strategy for Trumponomics | ECFR
Since the return of U.S. President Donald Trump to the White House in January, European policymakers have been struggling to sketch a sensible response to
ecfr.eu
November 27, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
agathedemarais.com
What are Trump's plans in the trade (tariffs), investment (decoupling) and financial (US dollar depreciation) spheres, and what do US policies mean for Europe? Join us next Tuesday in Berlin @ecfrberlin.bsky.social to discuss these topics - more info and registration 👇
A big, beautiful European strategy for Trumponomics | ECFR
Since the return of U.S. President Donald Trump to the White House in January, European policymakers have been struggling to sketch a sensible response to
ecfr.eu
November 26, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
jpuglierin.bsky.social
It would be lovely to see you!
November 25, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech
ecfr.eu
On Russia’s frozen assets, Europeans have a clear choice: use their biggest leverage to back Ukraine and shape the U.S.–Russia plan, or let Washington seize the money for the benefit of both the U.S. and Russia, argues @agathedemarais.bsky.social
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/24/t...
The U.S.-Russia Plan Gives Trump a $300 Billion Signing Bonus
If Europe moves fast to seize Russian assets, it may be able to sink this bad deal.
foreignpolicy.com
November 25, 2025 at 11:35 AM