Jana Puglierin
@jpuglierin.bsky.social
Foreign policy nerd, especially interested in European security & transatlantic relations. Head of ECFR Berlin. FirstGen. Soft spot for Claire Underwood.
Pinned
From fence-sitter to pace-setter: How Merz’s Germany can lead Europe
On foreign policy, Germany’s new chancellor will be pulled between conservatism and radicalism. For Europe’s sake, he must choose the latter
ecfr.eu
Jeremy and I wrote this over the weekend and it was supposed to be an optimistic piece. It still is, despite the rollercoaster ride of today‘s election. We see reason for hope when it comes to German foreign policy and the country’s role in Europe.
ecfr.eu/article/from...
ecfr.eu/article/from...
It would be lovely to see you!
🫖Join us for tea in Berlin on 2 December to discuss how Europeans can sketch a sensible response to Trumponomics together with @agathedemarais.bsky.social and @jpuglierin.bsky.social.
📍Register here: ecfr.eu/event/a-big-...
📍Register here: ecfr.eu/event/a-big-...
A big, beautiful European strategy for Trumponomics
Since the return of U.S. President Donald Trump to the White House in January, European policymakers have been struggling to sketch a sensible response to Trumponomics – an unpredictable…
ecfr.eu
November 25, 2025 at 2:32 PM
It would be lovely to see you!
The Moscow Times: „The very emergence of such a U.S. initiative signals, in Putin’s view, that Washington is capitulating. And capitulating not because it has suffered losses — it has lost neither tanks nor aircraft nor soldiers — but because it is tired,frightened and eager to avoid involvement.“
November 22, 2025 at 5:28 AM
The Moscow Times: „The very emergence of such a U.S. initiative signals, in Putin’s view, that Washington is capitulating. And capitulating not because it has suffered losses — it has lost neither tanks nor aircraft nor soldiers — but because it is tired,frightened and eager to avoid involvement.“
Now, with the „peace plan“, this is getting even more obvious. Point 4: The US shall be „mediating“ a dialogue between Russia and NATO. 🤡
What I find most telling is that Trump said to Stubb: „Maybe you should throw 'em out of NATO frankly.“ He says YOU, not WE. And that is not a coincidence. Trumps talks about NATO as a third party all the time. www.reuters.com/business/aer...
www.reuters.com
November 21, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Now, with the „peace plan“, this is getting even more obvious. Point 4: The US shall be „mediating“ a dialogue between Russia and NATO. 🤡
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
The unbearable lightness of strategy.
Jeremy Shapiro has an unrivaled ability to speak truth to bullshit.
blueblaze.substack.com/p/the-thinke...
Jeremy Shapiro has an unrivaled ability to speak truth to bullshit.
blueblaze.substack.com/p/the-thinke...
The Thinker VI
The Unbearable Lightness of Strategy
blueblaze.substack.com
November 9, 2025 at 1:58 PM
The unbearable lightness of strategy.
Jeremy Shapiro has an unrivaled ability to speak truth to bullshit.
blueblaze.substack.com/p/the-thinke...
Jeremy Shapiro has an unrivaled ability to speak truth to bullshit.
blueblaze.substack.com/p/the-thinke...
Ich bin einige Zeit abgetaucht, um ein Buch zu schreiben. Für alle, die besser verstehen wollen, vor welchen sicherheitspolitischen Herausforderungen wir stehen & wie wir uns aufstellen müssen, um unsere Souveränität und Freiheit auch in Zukunft garantieren zu können: www.rowohlt.de/buch/jana-pu...
Wer verteidigt Europa? - Jana Puglierin | Rowohlt Verlag
Europas Sicherheit steht auf dem Spiel. Russland tritt offen revisionistisch auf, sucht den antiwestlichen Schulterschluss mit China – und es ist mehr als...
www.rowohlt.de
November 9, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Ich bin einige Zeit abgetaucht, um ein Buch zu schreiben. Für alle, die besser verstehen wollen, vor welchen sicherheitspolitischen Herausforderungen wir stehen & wie wir uns aufstellen müssen, um unsere Souveränität und Freiheit auch in Zukunft garantieren zu können: www.rowohlt.de/buch/jana-pu...
Klaus Scharioth war ein wunderbarer Mensch, der sich mit seinem großen Herzen ganz besonders für den Nachwuchs eingesetzt hat. Er war Freund, Förderer und Mentor, für mich, aber noch viel mehr im Rahmen des Mercator Kollegs. Er wird sehr fehlen. ata-dag.de/aktuelles/na...
Nachruf auf Botschafter a. D. Dr. Klaus Scharioth · Deutsche Atlantische Gesellschaft e.V.
Die Deutsche Atlantische Gesellschaft trauert um Botschafter a. D. Klaus Scharioth, der am 30. Oktober 2025 im Alter von 79 Jahren verstorben ist.
ata-dag.de
November 2, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Klaus Scharioth war ein wunderbarer Mensch, der sich mit seinem großen Herzen ganz besonders für den Nachwuchs eingesetzt hat. Er war Freund, Förderer und Mentor, für mich, aber noch viel mehr im Rahmen des Mercator Kollegs. Er wird sehr fehlen. ata-dag.de/aktuelles/na...
Weder Trumps Analyse noch sein Ziel haben sich verändert. Geändert haben sich nur seine taktischen Manöver – nicht die Richtung, in die er blickt. Trump teilt weiterhin nicht die europäische Sicht auf Ursachen und Folgen des Ukrainekriegs für Europas Sicherheit. www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu...
Handelsblatt
www.handelsblatt.com
October 31, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Weder Trumps Analyse noch sein Ziel haben sich verändert. Geändert haben sich nur seine taktischen Manöver – nicht die Richtung, in die er blickt. Trump teilt weiterhin nicht die europäische Sicht auf Ursachen und Folgen des Ukrainekriegs für Europas Sicherheit. www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu...
Ceci n‘est pas un withdrawal... „This is not an American withdrawal from Europe or a signal of lessened commitment to NATO and Article 5. Rather this is a positive sign of increased European capability and responsibility.“ www.europeafrica.army.mil/ArticleViewP...
www.europeafrica.army.mil
October 29, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Ceci n‘est pas un withdrawal... „This is not an American withdrawal from Europe or a signal of lessened commitment to NATO and Article 5. Rather this is a positive sign of increased European capability and responsibility.“ www.europeafrica.army.mil/ArticleViewP...
Es ist zwar nur eine Stunde und ich will mich auch nicht anstellen, aber diese Zeitverschiebung macht mich immer noch kirre.
October 29, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Es ist zwar nur eine Stunde und ich will mich auch nicht anstellen, aber diese Zeitverschiebung macht mich immer noch kirre.
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
In joint anti-submarine warfare drills during the Joint Sea-2025 exercises near Vladivostok, 🇨🇳CHN and 🇷🇺 RUS forces “linked their communications & shared hydro-meteorological and air-sea tracks in real time. The goal, according to 🇨🇳 state media, was to leave deep-diving subs with nowhere to hide.”
China’s burgeoning undersea sensor net aims to turn the ocean transparent
The PLA is building a self-healing “kill web” to surpass today’s brittle kill chains.
www.defenseone.com
October 22, 2025 at 7:59 PM
In joint anti-submarine warfare drills during the Joint Sea-2025 exercises near Vladivostok, 🇨🇳CHN and 🇷🇺 RUS forces “linked their communications & shared hydro-meteorological and air-sea tracks in real time. The goal, according to 🇨🇳 state media, was to leave deep-diving subs with nowhere to hide.”
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Report from @TGehrke_and @jankaoertel calling for the EU to use the anti coercion instrument against China over rare earths
Points to chokepoints Europe could use:
-older DUV machines
-airplane components
-high precision bearings
-powdered superalloys
Points to chokepoints Europe could use:
-older DUV machines
-airplane components
-high precision bearings
-powdered superalloys
Escalate to negotiate: How Europe should respond to Chinese export restrictions
Beijing is turning its rare earth monopoly into a weapon. The EU needs to treat this as the emergency that it is and unleash its anti-coercion shield to bring China to the negotiating table…
ecfr-eu.cdn.ampproject.org
October 21, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Report from @TGehrke_and @jankaoertel calling for the EU to use the anti coercion instrument against China over rare earths
Points to chokepoints Europe could use:
-older DUV machines
-airplane components
-high precision bearings
-powdered superalloys
Points to chokepoints Europe could use:
-older DUV machines
-airplane components
-high precision bearings
-powdered superalloys
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Treffen zwischen Trump&Putin in Ungarn - und ein Mittelfinger an die EU. Denn Putin müsste verhaftet werden.
Dass die Mongolei Putin nicht verhaftet hat - geschenkt, eingekeilt zwischen 🇨🇳 und 🇷🇺 . Hier aber führen drei Autokraten die internationale Strafgerichtbarkeit und die EU vor.
Dass die Mongolei Putin nicht verhaftet hat - geschenkt, eingekeilt zwischen 🇨🇳 und 🇷🇺 . Hier aber führen drei Autokraten die internationale Strafgerichtbarkeit und die EU vor.
October 16, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Treffen zwischen Trump&Putin in Ungarn - und ein Mittelfinger an die EU. Denn Putin müsste verhaftet werden.
Dass die Mongolei Putin nicht verhaftet hat - geschenkt, eingekeilt zwischen 🇨🇳 und 🇷🇺 . Hier aber führen drei Autokraten die internationale Strafgerichtbarkeit und die EU vor.
Dass die Mongolei Putin nicht verhaftet hat - geschenkt, eingekeilt zwischen 🇨🇳 und 🇷🇺 . Hier aber führen drei Autokraten die internationale Strafgerichtbarkeit und die EU vor.
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Da kann die Bundeswehr noch so oft drauf verweisen, dass sie für den "militärischen Anteil an der Gesamtverteidigung des Landes" zuständig ist - vom zivilen Anteil (NICHT den zivilen Unterstützungsleistungen für die Bundeswehr!) bleibt weiterhin wenig zu sehen.
Der OPlan DEU ist ein militärischer Anteil an der Gesamtverteidigung des Landes. Er führt die militärischen Anteile der Landes- und Bündnisverteidigung mit den zivilen Unterstützungsleistungen zusammen. Das OFK der Bundeswehr hat dafür die Federführung.
Mehr dazu unter 👇
Mehr dazu unter 👇
Operationsplan Deutschland: Deutschland gemeinsam verteidigen
Der Operationsplan Deutschland regelt die zivil-militärische Zusammenarbeit in Frieden, hybriden Bedrohungslagen, Krise und Krieg.
www.bundeswehr.de
October 10, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Da kann die Bundeswehr noch so oft drauf verweisen, dass sie für den "militärischen Anteil an der Gesamtverteidigung des Landes" zuständig ist - vom zivilen Anteil (NICHT den zivilen Unterstützungsleistungen für die Bundeswehr!) bleibt weiterhin wenig zu sehen.
What I find most telling is that Trump said to Stubb: „Maybe you should throw 'em out of NATO frankly.“ He says YOU, not WE. And that is not a coincidence. Trumps talks about NATO as a third party all the time. www.reuters.com/business/aer...
www.reuters.com
October 10, 2025 at 7:08 AM
What I find most telling is that Trump said to Stubb: „Maybe you should throw 'em out of NATO frankly.“ He says YOU, not WE. And that is not a coincidence. Trumps talks about NATO as a third party all the time. www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here.
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
October 7, 2025 at 8:17 AM
And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here.
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
To my fellow French friends (and everybody who claims to understand French politics): how likely is it that France will see early PRESIDENTIAL elections? (Something that I was told would never happen. But this was before today). So?
October 6, 2025 at 8:50 AM
To my fellow French friends (and everybody who claims to understand French politics): how likely is it that France will see early PRESIDENTIAL elections? (Something that I was told would never happen. But this was before today). So?
We at @ecfr.eu are very lucky to host @abarbashin.bsky.social as visiting fellow in Berlin. He has listened to Putin at Valdai for us, so that you don’t have to. You can find his take here ➡️ Enemy number one: What Putin’s foreign policy speech says about Europe: ecfr.eu/article/enem...
Enemy number one: What Putin’s foreign policy speech says about Europe
At this year’s Valdai club, Vladimir Putin gave his most anti-EU speech yet, citing his determination to see new anti-establishment politicians to come to power and improve Europe’s relations with…
ecfr.eu
October 3, 2025 at 12:24 PM
We at @ecfr.eu are very lucky to host @abarbashin.bsky.social as visiting fellow in Berlin. He has listened to Putin at Valdai for us, so that you don’t have to. You can find his take here ➡️ Enemy number one: What Putin’s foreign policy speech says about Europe: ecfr.eu/article/enem...
Und hier dann auch mit dem richtigen Link. Geht um Putins hybride Angriffe und was sie bezwecken sollen. www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu...
October 2, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Und hier dann auch mit dem richtigen Link. Geht um Putins hybride Angriffe und was sie bezwecken sollen. www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu...
Ich habe mit der Geoeconomics Kolumne des Handelsblatts eine Weile pausiert, weil ich mir über den Sommer ein Sabbatical genommen habe, um andere Dinge voranzutreiben. Jetzt bin ich wieder mit im Autorenteam. My latest.
www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu.
www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu.
Handelsblatt
www.handelsblatt.com
October 2, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Ich habe mit der Geoeconomics Kolumne des Handelsblatts eine Weile pausiert, weil ich mir über den Sommer ein Sabbatical genommen habe, um andere Dinge voranzutreiben. Jetzt bin ich wieder mit im Autorenteam. My latest.
www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu.
www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolu.
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
The full text of Merz oped on Russian assets is available here without FT subscription:
September 26, 2025 at 7:57 AM
The full text of Merz oped on Russian assets is available here without FT subscription:
„The assumption that ego management can be transmuted into lasting policy gains is wrong.“ My colleague Jeremy Shapiro has it exactly right. www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Europe should be wary of the Trump flattery trap
The “flatter, appease, distract” strategy may produce the appearance of stability, but it creates a reality of vulnerability.
www.politico.eu
September 22, 2025 at 5:15 PM
„The assumption that ego management can be transmuted into lasting policy gains is wrong.“ My colleague Jeremy Shapiro has it exactly right. www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Putin just announced that Russia is ready to comply with the quant. limits of #NewSTART for one year after its expiry www.kommersant.ru/doc/8058884?...
Путин: РФ готова придерживаться ДСНВ в течение года после истечения его срока
Подробнее на сайте
www.kommersant.ru
September 22, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Putin just announced that Russia is ready to comply with the quant. limits of #NewSTART for one year after its expiry www.kommersant.ru/doc/8058884?...
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Still the best explanation of Russian tactics and the difficulty of deterrence.
From: Yes, Prime Minister.
From: Yes, Prime Minister.
September 11, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Still the best explanation of Russian tactics and the difficulty of deterrence.
From: Yes, Prime Minister.
From: Yes, Prime Minister.
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
Qatar has now been bombed by both Iran and Israel, while hosting a major US base. This has serious implications on the meaning - or lack thereof - of hosting US military as well as just how inconvenient it is to be a mediator in this day and age.
September 9, 2025 at 2:20 PM
Qatar has now been bombed by both Iran and Israel, while hosting a major US base. This has serious implications on the meaning - or lack thereof - of hosting US military as well as just how inconvenient it is to be a mediator in this day and age.
Reposted by Jana Puglierin
On the DoD security assistance cuts to Europe, there is a reasonable case that US sec assistance should not be going to European Union countries. I think the aid was justified given Russia's invasion but a phase out is a sensible. The EU is wealthy and aid s/d largely go to poorer countries.
September 4, 2025 at 8:47 PM
On the DoD security assistance cuts to Europe, there is a reasonable case that US sec assistance should not be going to European Union countries. I think the aid was justified given Russia's invasion but a phase out is a sensible. The EU is wealthy and aid s/d largely go to poorer countries.