ElectionCord
@electioncord.com
160 followers 290 following 890 posts
US Political Consulting & Analysis Through a Demographic Lens Join Discord Here: https://discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR https://electioncord.com/
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electioncord.com
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We quickly go over the (potential) new maps in Utah, and a quick breakdown over what we think Democratic candidates should focus on when running in the competitive districts on the map.

LINK: electioncord.com/breakdown-of...
electioncord.com
Are midterms going to happen before this Tigers/Mariners game ends?
electioncord.com
In the retirement home in the distant future: they should have bunted
electioncord.com
Here's the thing, Democrats did the best with educated people in 2020, but Dems lost the 2024 election pretty much because of low education shifts... In our 100K district spreadsheet, the education shift between <25% Bach attainment vs 50%+ was 37% in 2020, 41% in 2024.
electioncord.com
Very Broadly in Presidential Elections:

2012: Peak racial polarization
2016: Peak Urban/Rural divide
2024: Peak education divide (so far)

I don't really think 2020 was peak in anything, as the college educated/non educated gap was bigger in 2024.

Thoughts?
electioncord.com
Kansas City Metro area (Missouri only) in districts of 30,000 people. The core Dem area is mostly made up of highly educated white areas near the KS-MO border, and majority black areas in and around downtown KCMO. All in all, there's 43 districts. Which metro should I do next?
electioncord.com
I would call it hypocrisy, but I don't even think it's that, because they kind of use these "accusations" as justification for what stupid things they want to do
Reposted by ElectionCord
govpritzker.illinois.gov
Reporting live from Chicago, there’s no “hellscape” I’d rather be in.
electioncord.com
I'm working on adding new polling averages on our database, first I'm working on Democrat, Republican, and Congress approval/favorability ratings.

Polls since September 1st:
Dems: 36 Fav/57 Unfav
Reps: 40 Fav/53 Unfav
Congress: 29 Fav/58 Unfav (ouch)

Database is down below.
electioncord.com
Uh no but it's better than nothing, also is there such a big cultural deficit? Trump is super unpopular
electioncord.com
I suspect that Democrats just did not focus enough on keeping these "solidly Democratic" voters engaged, and thus turnout actually went down. If they aren't already, Sherrill and company NEED to spend a lot of money on Spanish language ads.
electioncord.com
One big thing to watch in New Jersey's Governor race is the turnout rate in minority areas. If you look at turnout from 2016-24 at the presidential level, almost everywhere had big increases in turnout... one of the exceptions being minority areas in New Jersey.
electioncord.com
Trump doesn't have a mandate to do WHATEVER he wants, almost every poll shows that, like this new one from Pew Research. 66% of people say that he has used his office improperly to punish those who say things he does not like.

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
electioncord.com
In the latest Navigator Research poll, they asked what people thought about both the Affordable Care Act, and Obamacare. Of course, they're the exact same thing, but that didn't stop about 20% of Republicans from changing their mind about it.
Reposted by ElectionCord
electioncord.com
We're trying something out... We would appreciate it if you just took a couple minutes to fill out our poll, and if you have any suggestions feel free to let us know!

It asks basic stuff like Trump's approval, and it's 18 questions.

LINK: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
ElectionCord "Poll"
A poll done by ElectionCord. NOTE: this poll is completely anonymous, e-mails aren't recorded.
docs.google.com
electioncord.com
We're trying something out... We would appreciate it if you just took a couple minutes to fill out our poll, and if you have any suggestions feel free to let us know!

It asks basic stuff like Trump's approval, and it's 18 questions.

LINK: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
ElectionCord "Poll"
A poll done by ElectionCord. NOTE: this poll is completely anonymous, e-mails aren't recorded.
docs.google.com
electioncord.com
YouGov's latest poll asked about whether people favor or oppose military in large US cities... and it's quite unpopular. The only people that really favor it are conservatives, but I would be interested to see the crosstabs by if they live in an urban/suburban/rural area.
Reposted by ElectionCord
electioncord.com
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We quickly go over the (potential) new maps in Utah, and a quick breakdown over what we think Democratic candidates should focus on when running in the competitive districts on the map.

LINK: electioncord.com/breakdown-of...
electioncord.com
This dude is the real puppet master anyways, Dems probably need to attack him just to protect the country
electioncord.com
By the way, since we cover the LDS church being such a big factor in the state, if you want to know how they got to be such a big player in American religion, you should watch this Mr. Beat video!

www.youtube.com/watch?v=0t64...
Why Are Mormons?
YouTube video by Mr. Beat
www.youtube.com
electioncord.com
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We quickly go over the (potential) new maps in Utah, and a quick breakdown over what we think Democratic candidates should focus on when running in the competitive districts on the map.

LINK: electioncord.com/breakdown-of...
electioncord.com
I'm pretty sure that ICE has done all that to American citizens though
electioncord.com
HarrisX had 17% of Dems approving of Trump, and this makes no sense considering the average is around 8%. Also, just think about it, do about 1/5 Democrats really approve of Trump?