Uncrewed
@uncrewed.bsky.social
Writer of Grand Old Primary/Uncrewed's State Legislative Election Watch. Lauren Underwood Stan. Some people may know me as Chris. (He/Him)
Illinois Ad Update!
Raja has mostly had the airwaves to himself, but Juliana Stratton just started airing ads yesterday.
Over in the Congressional races, Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller is the first on the air in #IL02. Nothing from Jesse Jackson Jr. or any other Democrat there so far.
Raja has mostly had the airwaves to himself, but Juliana Stratton just started airing ads yesterday.
Over in the Congressional races, Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller is the first on the air in #IL02. Nothing from Jesse Jackson Jr. or any other Democrat there so far.
January 18, 2026 at 2:59 AM
Illinois Ad Update!
Raja has mostly had the airwaves to himself, but Juliana Stratton just started airing ads yesterday.
Over in the Congressional races, Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller is the first on the air in #IL02. Nothing from Jesse Jackson Jr. or any other Democrat there so far.
Raja has mostly had the airwaves to himself, but Juliana Stratton just started airing ads yesterday.
Over in the Congressional races, Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller is the first on the air in #IL02. Nothing from Jesse Jackson Jr. or any other Democrat there so far.
Over in Utah, Jake Fitisemanu made history in 2024 when he became one of the first Samoan state legislators in Utah history when he flipped #HD30.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
January 17, 2026 at 8:03 PM
Over in Utah, Jake Fitisemanu made history in 2024 when he became one of the first Samoan state legislators in Utah history when he flipped #HD30.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
Champaign, I am in you
January 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM
Champaign, I am in you
Despite backing Trump by 50, New York's #AD45 saw a very competitive race in 2024.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
January 16, 2026 at 8:07 PM
Despite backing Trump by 50, New York's #AD45 saw a very competitive race in 2024.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
Reading about state legislative elections on Wikipedia and then a few clicks later seeing my government name is a real jumpscare
January 16, 2026 at 2:36 AM
Reading about state legislative elections on Wikipedia and then a few clicks later seeing my government name is a real jumpscare
The Indiana Democrats are looking to deny Republicans another vote in favor of redistricting by flipping #SD31 in the Indianapolis suburbs this year.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
January 15, 2026 at 8:35 PM
The Indiana Democrats are looking to deny Republicans another vote in favor of redistricting by flipping #SD31 in the Indianapolis suburbs this year.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
I think I finally figured out the reason why I don't like the centrist think tanks. They'll describe something terrible and 99.9% of the time their solution to do it is a half measure that probably doesn't even solve the problem.
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
January 15, 2026 at 1:26 AM
I think I finally figured out the reason why I don't like the centrist think tanks. They'll describe something terrible and 99.9% of the time their solution to do it is a half measure that probably doesn't even solve the problem.
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
North Carolina's #HD74 will be a premier battleground district in the state this year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
January 14, 2026 at 7:46 PM
North Carolina's #HD74 will be a premier battleground district in the state this year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
In Alabama news, the Democrats managed to recruit a former statewide office holder to run again in 2026.
Ron Sparks served as the state Agriculture Commissioner until 2010 and now he wants his job back!
1819news.com/news/item/ro...
Ron Sparks served as the state Agriculture Commissioner until 2010 and now he wants his job back!
1819news.com/news/item/ro...
Ron Sparks qualifies for another run as Democrat for agriculture…
Former Alabama Department of Agriculture and Industries Commissioner Ron Sparks qualified with the Alabama Democratic Party on Tuesday for another run for…
1819news.com
January 14, 2026 at 5:26 PM
In Alabama news, the Democrats managed to recruit a former statewide office holder to run again in 2026.
Ron Sparks served as the state Agriculture Commissioner until 2010 and now he wants his job back!
1819news.com/news/item/ro...
Ron Sparks served as the state Agriculture Commissioner until 2010 and now he wants his job back!
1819news.com/news/item/ro...
Final results in the Connecticut #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.4%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 28.5%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 7.1%
Nearly a 30 point overperformance from 2024 for the Connecticut Democrats!
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.4%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 28.5%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 7.1%
Nearly a 30 point overperformance from 2024 for the Connecticut Democrats!
January 14, 2026 at 2:47 AM
Final results in the Connecticut #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.4%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 28.5%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 7.1%
Nearly a 30 point overperformance from 2024 for the Connecticut Democrats!
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.4%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 28.5%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 7.1%
Nearly a 30 point overperformance from 2024 for the Connecticut Democrats!
More votes just dropped in Connecticut's #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.9%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.2%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 3.9%
One more (Harris-won) part of the district left to drop, we're on track to a 25 point overperformance from 2024.
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.9%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.2%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 3.9%
One more (Harris-won) part of the district left to drop, we're on track to a 25 point overperformance from 2024.
January 14, 2026 at 2:31 AM
More votes just dropped in Connecticut's #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.9%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.2%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 3.9%
One more (Harris-won) part of the district left to drop, we're on track to a 25 point overperformance from 2024.
Larry Pemberton (D)- 64.9%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.2%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 3.9%
One more (Harris-won) part of the district left to drop, we're on track to a 25 point overperformance from 2024.
Ok these results make more sense, near-final results in Alabama's #HD63 (Trump+17) special election:
Norman Crow (R)- 64.5%
Judith Taylor (D)- 35.5%
Norman Crow (R)- 64.5%
Judith Taylor (D)- 35.5%
January 14, 2026 at 2:19 AM
Ok these results make more sense, near-final results in Alabama's #HD63 (Trump+17) special election:
Norman Crow (R)- 64.5%
Judith Taylor (D)- 35.5%
Norman Crow (R)- 64.5%
Judith Taylor (D)- 35.5%
Reposted by Uncrewed
Democrats have flipped control of the city commission in Fort Pierce, Florida, tonight, by winning a tight special election. www.wptv.com/news/region-...
Chris Dzadovsky wins Fort Pierce commission seat by 31 votes, flips control to Democrats
Chris Dzadovsky narrowly defeats Jaimebeth Galinis by 31 votes in Fort Pierce City Commission runoff, flipping control to Democrats.
www.wptv.com
January 14, 2026 at 2:15 AM
Democrats have flipped control of the city commission in Fort Pierce, Florida, tonight, by winning a tight special election. www.wptv.com/news/region-...
I think there's some reporting errors going on in Alabama's #HD63 (Trump+17). Both the Alabama SoS and the Tuscaloosa County website are "reporting" 50% of the vote.
But with only around 230 votes or so from both sources. I'm skeptical to say the least.
But with only around 230 votes or so from both sources. I'm skeptical to say the least.
January 14, 2026 at 2:14 AM
I think there's some reporting errors going on in Alabama's #HD63 (Trump+17). Both the Alabama SoS and the Tuscaloosa County website are "reporting" 50% of the vote.
But with only around 230 votes or so from both sources. I'm skeptical to say the least.
But with only around 230 votes or so from both sources. I'm skeptical to say the least.
First results just dropped in the Connecticut #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 63.1%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.8%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 5.1%
These are all from the town of Montville, whose portion of this district backed Trump by 3 in 2024!
Larry Pemberton (D)- 63.1%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.8%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 5.1%
These are all from the town of Montville, whose portion of this district backed Trump by 3 in 2024!
January 14, 2026 at 2:00 AM
First results just dropped in the Connecticut #HD139 (Harris+8) special election:
Larry Pemberton (D)- 63.1%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.8%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 5.1%
These are all from the town of Montville, whose portion of this district backed Trump by 3 in 2024!
Larry Pemberton (D)- 63.1%
Brandon Sabbag (R)- 31.8%
Mark Adams (Write-In)- 5.1%
These are all from the town of Montville, whose portion of this district backed Trump by 3 in 2024!
Final results in the Virginia #HD11 (Harris+35) special election:
Gretchen Bulova (D)- 69%
Adam Wise (R)- 31%
Three point Democratic overperformance from 2024 in this Fairfax district
Gretchen Bulova (D)- 69%
Adam Wise (R)- 31%
Three point Democratic overperformance from 2024 in this Fairfax district
January 14, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Final results in the Virginia #HD11 (Harris+35) special election:
Gretchen Bulova (D)- 69%
Adam Wise (R)- 31%
Three point Democratic overperformance from 2024 in this Fairfax district
Gretchen Bulova (D)- 69%
Adam Wise (R)- 31%
Three point Democratic overperformance from 2024 in this Fairfax district
Final results in the Virginia #HD23 (Harris+35) special election:
Margaret Franklin (D)- 77.3%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 22.7%
A nearly 20 point overperformance from 2024, even doing better than Spanberger did here in November!
Margaret Franklin (D)- 77.3%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 22.7%
A nearly 20 point overperformance from 2024, even doing better than Spanberger did here in November!
January 14, 2026 at 12:40 AM
Final results in the Virginia #HD23 (Harris+35) special election:
Margaret Franklin (D)- 77.3%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 22.7%
A nearly 20 point overperformance from 2024, even doing better than Spanberger did here in November!
Margaret Franklin (D)- 77.3%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 22.7%
A nearly 20 point overperformance from 2024, even doing better than Spanberger did here in November!
"I'll have a Substack about why identity politics is bad"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
January 14, 2026 at 12:36 AM
"I'll have a Substack about why identity politics is bad"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
First results in the Virginia #HD23 (Harris+35) special election just dropped:
Margaret Franklin (D)- 80.1%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 19.9%
These are mail-in votes + a smattering of election day precinct results from across the district
Margaret Franklin (D)- 80.1%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 19.9%
These are mail-in votes + a smattering of election day precinct results from across the district
January 14, 2026 at 12:12 AM
First results in the Virginia #HD23 (Harris+35) special election just dropped:
Margaret Franklin (D)- 80.1%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 19.9%
These are mail-in votes + a smattering of election day precinct results from across the district
Margaret Franklin (D)- 80.1%
Verndell Robinson (R)- 19.9%
These are mail-in votes + a smattering of election day precinct results from across the district
The newest edition of Uncrewed’s State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tonight’s special elections!
Check it out below!
open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...
Check it out below!
open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...
State Legislative Election Watch- January 13th, 2026
Covering all of tonight's special elections and launching our 2026 forecasts for Kentucky & Utah!
open.substack.com
January 13, 2026 at 7:41 PM
The newest edition of Uncrewed’s State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tonight’s special elections!
Check it out below!
open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...
Check it out below!
open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...
Minnesota's #HD2A is a rare example of a competitive seat in northern Minnesota.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
January 12, 2026 at 7:38 PM
Minnesota's #HD2A is a rare example of a competitive seat in northern Minnesota.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
You might asking yourself "Why would Axios say something stupid like this?" Well, the answer is that Rahm Emanuel's only group of supporters for a Presidential campaign consists of beltway journalists and editorial board members, so this is right up their alley.
bsky.app/profile/axio...
bsky.app/profile/axio...
Rahm Emanuel is coming — whether Democrats like it or not.
Rahm Emanuel targets GOP and Dems as he tests 2028 campaign for president
The former Chicago mayor wants to lead a post-Trump "renewal wing" of the Democratic Party.
www.axios.com
January 11, 2026 at 11:40 PM
You might asking yourself "Why would Axios say something stupid like this?" Well, the answer is that Rahm Emanuel's only group of supporters for a Presidential campaign consists of beltway journalists and editorial board members, so this is right up their alley.
bsky.app/profile/axio...
bsky.app/profile/axio...
I do find it kind of weird that no Republican has filed to run for the gerrymandered #MO05. So, here's my serious/not-so-serious thinking behind why that's happening:
They're waiting for Harrison Butker to run. He's obviously washed at kicking, so why not go into politics?
They're waiting for Harrison Butker to run. He's obviously washed at kicking, so why not go into politics?
January 11, 2026 at 10:27 PM
I do find it kind of weird that no Republican has filed to run for the gerrymandered #MO05. So, here's my serious/not-so-serious thinking behind why that's happening:
They're waiting for Harrison Butker to run. He's obviously washed at kicking, so why not go into politics?
They're waiting for Harrison Butker to run. He's obviously washed at kicking, so why not go into politics?
In news that is only news because my two worlds are colliding, it turns out that the Democratic nominee in Kentucky's #HD15 (Trump+58), Chris Waddell, is a professional wrestler!
January 11, 2026 at 7:39 PM
In news that is only news because my two worlds are colliding, it turns out that the Democratic nominee in Kentucky's #HD15 (Trump+58), Chris Waddell, is a professional wrestler!
Reposted by Uncrewed
Me normally: 😐
Me when Caleb Williams: 😀
Me when Caleb Williams: 😀
December 21, 2025 at 4:33 AM
Me normally: 😐
Me when Caleb Williams: 😀
Me when Caleb Williams: 😀