Uncrewed
@uncrewed.bsky.social
Writer of Grand Old Primary/Uncrewed's State Legislative Election Watch. Lauren Underwood Stan. Some people may know me as Chris. (He/Him)
Marie, you don't get to say this a day after voting to massively fund ICE.
We can do better in southwest Washington, I know that for certain
We can do better in southwest Washington, I know that for certain
January 25, 2026 at 2:38 AM
Marie, you don't get to say this a day after voting to massively fund ICE.
We can do better in southwest Washington, I know that for certain
We can do better in southwest Washington, I know that for certain
And here it is in chart form.
As you can also see, Marilyn Lands (who flipped a suburban Huntsville seat in HD-10 because Alabama's Supreme Court when psycho over IVF) is favored to win re-election in a rare Trump 2020-Harris 2024 district.
As you can also see, Marilyn Lands (who flipped a suburban Huntsville seat in HD-10 because Alabama's Supreme Court when psycho over IVF) is favored to win re-election in a rare Trump 2020-Harris 2024 district.
January 24, 2026 at 7:10 PM
And here it is in chart form.
As you can also see, Marilyn Lands (who flipped a suburban Huntsville seat in HD-10 because Alabama's Supreme Court when psycho over IVF) is favored to win re-election in a rare Trump 2020-Harris 2024 district.
As you can also see, Marilyn Lands (who flipped a suburban Huntsville seat in HD-10 because Alabama's Supreme Court when psycho over IVF) is favored to win re-election in a rare Trump 2020-Harris 2024 district.
Here are my first set of ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Alabama!
The status quo of a GOP supermajority is certain to stay, but the Dems are hoping to make gains in Huntsville/Montgomery. Meanwhile, the GOP is aiming for a few rural Black-majority seats.
The status quo of a GOP supermajority is certain to stay, but the Dems are hoping to make gains in Huntsville/Montgomery. Meanwhile, the GOP is aiming for a few rural Black-majority seats.
January 24, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Here are my first set of ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Alabama!
The status quo of a GOP supermajority is certain to stay, but the Dems are hoping to make gains in Huntsville/Montgomery. Meanwhile, the GOP is aiming for a few rural Black-majority seats.
The status quo of a GOP supermajority is certain to stay, but the Dems are hoping to make gains in Huntsville/Montgomery. Meanwhile, the GOP is aiming for a few rural Black-majority seats.
Yeah, it's pretty easy to dismantle both AL-02 and AL-07
January 24, 2026 at 12:26 AM
Yeah, it's pretty easy to dismantle both AL-02 and AL-07
Republicans in dissaray
January 23, 2026 at 10:57 PM
Republicans in dissaray
Last minute candidate filing drama in Alabama! Former Congressman Mo Brooks has filed to run in #HD20, a Trump+24 seat in Huntsville.
That puts him in a race against Republican incumbent James Lomax.
That puts him in a race against Republican incumbent James Lomax.
January 23, 2026 at 10:54 PM
Last minute candidate filing drama in Alabama! Former Congressman Mo Brooks has filed to run in #HD20, a Trump+24 seat in Huntsville.
That puts him in a race against Republican incumbent James Lomax.
That puts him in a race against Republican incumbent James Lomax.
Three years before she became White House Press Secretary, many people thought Karoline Leavitt would get a different job, #NH01 Congresswoman.
Despite a bunch of hype from Republicans and close polls, Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas easily defeated her, winning by 8%.
Despite a bunch of hype from Republicans and close polls, Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas easily defeated her, winning by 8%.
January 23, 2026 at 7:36 PM
Three years before she became White House Press Secretary, many people thought Karoline Leavitt would get a different job, #NH01 Congresswoman.
Despite a bunch of hype from Republicans and close polls, Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas easily defeated her, winning by 8%.
Despite a bunch of hype from Republicans and close polls, Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas easily defeated her, winning by 8%.
The path to a Democratic majority in the Arizona State Senate goes directly through #SD17, a Trump+4 seat in suburban Tucson.
Republican Vince Leach only won here by two points in 2024 and he's retiring this year, so it's an open seat in a very blue-trending area of the state.
Republican Vince Leach only won here by two points in 2024 and he's retiring this year, so it's an open seat in a very blue-trending area of the state.
January 22, 2026 at 7:40 PM
The path to a Democratic majority in the Arizona State Senate goes directly through #SD17, a Trump+4 seat in suburban Tucson.
Republican Vince Leach only won here by two points in 2024 and he's retiring this year, so it's an open seat in a very blue-trending area of the state.
Republican Vince Leach only won here by two points in 2024 and he's retiring this year, so it's an open seat in a very blue-trending area of the state.
Executive Woke Coach was my nickname in high school
January 21, 2026 at 11:34 PM
Executive Woke Coach was my nickname in high school
Kentucky's closest State House election in 2024 came in #HD67, a Trump+3 district in suburban Cincinnati.
Democratic incumbent Rachel Roberts retired, which led to Democrat Matt Lehman winning by just 30 votes. He faces a rematch with his Republican opponent here this year.
Democratic incumbent Rachel Roberts retired, which led to Democrat Matt Lehman winning by just 30 votes. He faces a rematch with his Republican opponent here this year.
January 21, 2026 at 8:26 PM
Kentucky's closest State House election in 2024 came in #HD67, a Trump+3 district in suburban Cincinnati.
Democratic incumbent Rachel Roberts retired, which led to Democrat Matt Lehman winning by just 30 votes. He faces a rematch with his Republican opponent here this year.
Democratic incumbent Rachel Roberts retired, which led to Democrat Matt Lehman winning by just 30 votes. He faces a rematch with his Republican opponent here this year.
It's special election night in Georgia and Virginia! I'll focus on Georgia, because tonight's race in #SD18 could be competitive.
It's a Trump+22 district, but the Dem is a local elected official and should advance out of the first round against multiple Republicans running.
It's a Trump+22 district, but the Dem is a local elected official and should advance out of the first round against multiple Republicans running.
January 20, 2026 at 7:36 PM
It's special election night in Georgia and Virginia! I'll focus on Georgia, because tonight's race in #SD18 could be competitive.
It's a Trump+22 district, but the Dem is a local elected official and should advance out of the first round against multiple Republicans running.
It's a Trump+22 district, but the Dem is a local elected official and should advance out of the first round against multiple Republicans running.
The Republicans have their first chance at a state legislative special election flip in years next month in Louisiana's #HD60.
This district south of Baton Rouge backed Trump by 13 points in 2024, but is more Democratic downballot. It will definitely be close either way.
This district south of Baton Rouge backed Trump by 13 points in 2024, but is more Democratic downballot. It will definitely be close either way.
January 19, 2026 at 7:36 PM
The Republicans have their first chance at a state legislative special election flip in years next month in Louisiana's #HD60.
This district south of Baton Rouge backed Trump by 13 points in 2024, but is more Democratic downballot. It will definitely be close either way.
This district south of Baton Rouge backed Trump by 13 points in 2024, but is more Democratic downballot. It will definitely be close either way.
Over in Utah, Jake Fitisemanu made history in 2024 when he became one of the first Samoan state legislators in Utah history when he flipped #HD30.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
January 17, 2026 at 8:03 PM
Over in Utah, Jake Fitisemanu made history in 2024 when he became one of the first Samoan state legislators in Utah history when he flipped #HD30.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
Fitisemanu, a West Valley City Councilman, defeated Republican Fred Cox to flip this Harris+3 district in West Valley City blue.
And Illinois State Treasurer Mike Frerichs is here to host a baby race at halftime.
Yes, that’s a real sentence
Yes, that’s a real sentence
January 17, 2026 at 5:52 PM
And Illinois State Treasurer Mike Frerichs is here to host a baby race at halftime.
Yes, that’s a real sentence
Yes, that’s a real sentence
Champaign, I am in you
January 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM
Champaign, I am in you
Despite backing Trump by 50, New York's #AD45 saw a very competitive race in 2024.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
January 16, 2026 at 8:07 PM
Despite backing Trump by 50, New York's #AD45 saw a very competitive race in 2024.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
Republican Michael Novakhov only defeated Democrat Joey Cohen-Saban by 200 votes in this Brooklyn district, mostly thanks to Cohen-Saban crushing Novakhov among Orthodox/Sephardic Jewish voters.
The Indiana Democrats are looking to deny Republicans another vote in favor of redistricting by flipping #SD31 in the Indianapolis suburbs this year.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
January 15, 2026 at 8:35 PM
The Indiana Democrats are looking to deny Republicans another vote in favor of redistricting by flipping #SD31 in the Indianapolis suburbs this year.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
Republican incumbent Kyle Walker voted against it, but he's retiring. A Dem win here would guarantee a vote against it.
Like, what the hell is this? "Identify and weed out the bad apples," my brother in christ they're all bad apples.
January 15, 2026 at 1:33 AM
Like, what the hell is this? "Identify and weed out the bad apples," my brother in christ they're all bad apples.
I think I finally figured out the reason why I don't like the centrist think tanks. They'll describe something terrible and 99.9% of the time their solution to do it is a half measure that probably doesn't even solve the problem.
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
January 15, 2026 at 1:26 AM
I think I finally figured out the reason why I don't like the centrist think tanks. They'll describe something terrible and 99.9% of the time their solution to do it is a half measure that probably doesn't even solve the problem.
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
It's a good grift if you can get onto it
North Carolina's #HD74 will be a premier battleground district in the state this year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
January 14, 2026 at 7:46 PM
North Carolina's #HD74 will be a premier battleground district in the state this year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
This Winston-Salem district only re-elected Republican incumbent Jeff Zenger by four in 2024. His Democratic opponent (Amy Taylor North) is running again, setting up a rematch in a bluer year.
"I'll have a Substack about why identity politics is bad"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
January 14, 2026 at 12:36 AM
"I'll have a Substack about why identity politics is bad"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
"How original"
"Written by a centrist think thank!"
"Daring today aren't we?"
Minnesota's #HD2A is a rare example of a competitive seat in northern Minnesota.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
January 12, 2026 at 7:38 PM
Minnesota's #HD2A is a rare example of a competitive seat in northern Minnesota.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
Centered around Bemidji, this Trump+7 seat saw Republican Bidal Duran only win by 4 in 2024. With Klobuchar potentially leading the ticket this year, this one will definitely be one to watch.
In news that is only news because my two worlds are colliding, it turns out that the Democratic nominee in Kentucky's #HD15 (Trump+58), Chris Waddell, is a professional wrestler!
January 11, 2026 at 7:39 PM
In news that is only news because my two worlds are colliding, it turns out that the Democratic nominee in Kentucky's #HD15 (Trump+58), Chris Waddell, is a professional wrestler!
And here it is in chart form.
Note that the Utah Forward Party currently controls SD-11, a Trump+34 seat. It's currently rated as a Safe R flip, so it's not on the chart.
Note that the Utah Forward Party currently controls SD-11, a Trump+34 seat. It's currently rated as a Safe R flip, so it's not on the chart.
January 11, 2026 at 12:01 AM
And here it is in chart form.
Note that the Utah Forward Party currently controls SD-11, a Trump+34 seat. It's currently rated as a Safe R flip, so it's not on the chart.
Note that the Utah Forward Party currently controls SD-11, a Trump+34 seat. It's currently rated as a Safe R flip, so it's not on the chart.
And here's a zoom-in on the Salt Lake City area because it's hard to see on the statewide map
January 11, 2026 at 12:01 AM
And here's a zoom-in on the Salt Lake City area because it's hard to see on the statewide map