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electoralstudies.bsky.social
Electoral Studies
@electoralstudies.bsky.social
1K followers 860 following 55 posts
An International Journal on Voting and Electoral Systems and Strategy
https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/electoral-studies
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Reposted by Electoral Studies
leonardocarella.bsky.social
New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

I show that - contrary to claims that personalised electoral systems are good for participation - Open Lists have no effect on turnout relative to Closed Lists; in fact, they increase rates of voter error. 🗳️
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Do open lists increase turnout? Probably not, but they increase rates of voter error: New evidence from Spain Leonardo Carella Abstract This article challenges the claim that open-list systems are beneficial for electoral participation, by reassessing and extending the analysis in a notable empirical paper that advances this argument. The paper (Carlos Sanz, “The effect of electoral systems on voter turnout: Evidence from a natural experiment”, PSRM, 2017) leverages a population-based discontinuity in Spanish municipal elections (1979–2011), where towns with fewer than 250 residents employ open lists whereas larger towns employ closed lists. Through a series of statistical tests and the inspection of alternative data sources, I show that the positive effect of open lists on turnout estimated in the paper is dubious, for two reasons: (1) non-random missing data, due to inconsistencies in how non-valid votes were recorded above and below the threshold, and (2) compound treatment issues, due to changes in list-length requirements at the threshold. I then proceed to show that, rather than improving turnout, the more complex open-list ballot actually hinders voters’ ability to express their preferences, by increasing the incidence of voter errors relative to closed lists (reflected in higher rates of ‘null’ voting). To support a causal interpretation of this relationship, I present evidence from the analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects, and show that a similar pattern obtains in Spanish general elections, where open and closed lists are used concurrently for the election of the country’s bicameral parliament. I conclude by discussing the implications of the analysis for implementing population-based regression discontinuities and evaluating electoral system effects.
February 5, 2026 at 11:16 AM
electoralstudies.bsky.social
🚨 New paper by @heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social & @maarja.bsky.social on women in politics. Drawing from Germany (1976–2025), they show that local party control over nominations means even mixed electoral systems struggle to get women elected, especially in rural or safe seats.
February 3, 2026 at 4:56 PM
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nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social
Conflict on the campaign trail? How campaign effort and electoral competitiveness shape affective polarization
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
Paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Research Fellow Justin Robinson and Ruth Dassonneville
Conflict on the campaign trail? How campaign effort and electoral competitiveness shape affective polarization
Concerns about the consequences of affective polarization for governing and democracy have resulted in a strong surge of publications on the topic. Th…
doi.org
January 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM
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jamesbreckwoldt.bsky.social
🚨New article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social🚨

New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of:
1) bottom-up public demand
2) elites are neglecting it
3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it

tinyurl.com/44ryyybc

🧵
January 19, 2026 at 9:28 AM
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rdassonneville.bsky.social
New paper with Justin Robinson @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Our starting point is the observation that there is much variation in affective polarization across the UK.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Conflict on the campaign trail? How campaign effort and electoral competitiveness shape affective polarization
Concerns about the consequences of affective polarization for governing and democracy have resulted in a strong surge of publications on the topic. Th…
www.sciencedirect.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
drjennings.bsky.social
We have an article just out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social which shows how voters’ preferences over clientelistic candidates are shaped by their trust in political institutions. Read it here ➡️ authors.elsevier.com/c/1mQ6AxRaZr...
January 12, 2026 at 3:06 PM
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rafreuse.bsky.social
📢 New publication out in Electoral Studies!

Do voters care about ideology in local elections? Studying the 2012 & 2018 Flemish local elections, @dieterstiers.bsky.social and I find they do.

A little thread 🧵
January 12, 2026 at 9:21 AM
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allansikk.bsky.social
Does party switching pay off for MPs? Not really, but... For details see our #instaparty paper w @sonagolder.bsky.social, @ibenskasr.bsky.social & @paulinasl.bsky.social just out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
Impact of switching on preference vote change
January 7, 2026 at 9:39 AM
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rdassonneville.bsky.social
‼️ New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with the fantastic Valentin Pautonnier, Michael Lewis-Beck and Richard Nadeau!

doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

A short 🧵 on what it's about and what we find
Redirecting
doi.org
January 8, 2026 at 7:53 AM
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selcencakir.bsky.social
Happy to share our new paper in Electoral Studies. We show how electoral setbacks reshape candidate lists and women’s representation, using data from Turkey’s 2015 back-to-back elections. Joint w/Elif Erbay & Konstantinos Matakos.
@electoralstudies.bsky.social
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
All the “Missing” ladies: Attribution bias in candidate selection after electoral setbacks
How do parties update candidate lists after electoral setbacks, and what does this mean for women’s representation? We exploit Turkey’s 2015 back-to-b…
www.sciencedirect.com
December 15, 2025 at 12:25 PM
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bernatpuertas.bsky.social
🚨 New article 🎉
Could you please repeat it? The effect of language, and language variety on trust in multinational settings @electoralstudies.bsky.social
sciencedirect.com/science/arti... @politiquesupf.bsky.social With @tonirodon.bsky.social @aflorsmas.bsky.social @nufranco.bsky.social SMorales 🧵👇
Could you please repeat it? The effect of language, and language variety on trust in multinational settings
Does the language or dialect used in political messages affect people’s trust? While previous research has considered the question, little is known ab…
sciencedirect.com
December 11, 2025 at 10:11 AM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
tonirodon.bsky.social
🚨New article🎉

➡️Could you please repeat it? The effect of language, and language variety on trust in multinational settings @electoralstudies.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... co-authored with @bernatpuertas.bsky.social @aflorsmas.bsky.social @nufranco.bsky.social S Morales (1/n)
Could you please repeat it? The effect of language, and language variety on trust in multinational settings
Does the language or dialect used in political messages affect people’s trust? While previous research has considered the question, little is known ab…
www.sciencedirect.com
December 11, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
clarawe.bsky.social
1/ Does growing up poor always lead to political apathy?

Very happy to share my first paper published (open access) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, where I show that parents' influence mitigates the poverty gap in participation, while economic mobility does not.

🔗 shorturl.at/p5Bac
December 4, 2025 at 10:54 AM
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joshgoddard98.bsky.social
Really excited to share my new article published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social!

1/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
asanchezgarcia.es
🎉🚨 Super happy to see our article “Burdens and Gains. The Association Between House Rent Increases and Voting in the City of Madrid” (w/ Marcos-Marne) now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. We examine how rising rental prices in Madrid are linked to voting.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Burdens and gains. The association between house rent increases and voting in the city of Madrid
Existing research indicates that the electoral effects of changing house rents depend on political parties’ left-right positioning and adherence to po…
www.sciencedirect.com
December 2, 2025 at 9:55 AM
electoralstudies.bsky.social
Today is the UN International Day of Persons with Disabilities. Disability shapes people’s lives in many ways — including how they participate in elections. To mark the day, here’s a selection of our research on this important topic.
December 3, 2025 at 1:02 PM
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abegomez.bsky.social
New from me in @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Across municipalities (🇲🇽), more incidents of political violence lead to more invalid voting — a form of protest. But more so in tight elections, where the protest can be more effective. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Political violence and invalid voting: A case study
This study explores the extent to which political violence influences levels of invalid voting, a common form of electoral protest. It also explores t…
www.sciencedirect.com
November 22, 2025 at 8:31 AM
electoralstudies.bsky.social
🚨 New research spotlight! 🚨

Check out this paper by Andrew Saab, which finds that candidates who narrowly lose to political allies are more likely to withdraw from future municipal races, renounce party memberships, and switch party affiliations.

Read here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
November 12, 2025 at 10:52 AM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
inqdp.bsky.social
2/6 🧵In @electoralstudies.bsky.social, @fedetrastulli.bsky.social argues while left parties lost working-class votes between 2002-2020, those emphasizing cultural issues still attract working-class voters. Culture but not class explain workers’ support for the left. doi.org/qcs2
November 6, 2025 at 5:37 PM
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poscresearch.bsky.social
🔍How does a prime minister’s popularity affect party support in the UK? 🗳️ A new blog on @3streamsblog.bsky.social explains research from @electoralstudies.bsky.social, finding that PM approval correlates with vote intentions for the governing party across four decades. medium.com/3streams/how...
How a Prime Minister’s Popularity Shapes Party Support
From Thatcher to Starmer, UK PMs remain the strongest signal of party support
medium.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:53 PM
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uu-polisci.bsky.social
In this @electoralstudies.bsky.social piece, @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social examines the causality between education and voter-turnout, finding that education does not affect voter turnout in Swedish elections but does matter for the #Europeanelections.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Education and voter turnout revisited: Evidence from a Swedish twin sample with validated turnout data
The association between education and voter turnout is well-established in almost a century of research. The causal status of this correlation, howeve…
www.sciencedirect.com
November 6, 2025 at 10:39 AM
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uu-polisci.bsky.social
Per Adman uses Swedish panel data to examine whether poor #health causes political passivity, even in a Scandinavian #welfare state. @electoralstudies.bsky.social

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Does poor health cause political passivity even in a Scandinavian welfare state? Investigating the impact of self-rated health using Swedish panel data
Poor health is generally believed to cause political passivity. Prior studies that satisfactorily acknowledge the causality problems involved are main…
www.sciencedirect.com
November 6, 2025 at 10:39 AM
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indubioproreto.bsky.social
A new paper from @fedetrastulli.bsky.social published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social comes to an important conclusion: "[...] workers’ electoral support for left parties is higher when they put greater emphasis on cultural issues [...]"

See here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Left parties’ strategies and working-class vote in contemporary Western Europe (2002–2020)
What should the left do strategically to retain workers' vote? This paper provides extensive empirical evidence on the relationship between left parti…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 30, 2025 at 12:10 PM
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fedetrastulli.bsky.social
🆕 Latest article out @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Left parties' higher salience on cultural issues associated w/ higher support from working-class voters. Social democrats much more sensitive to different strategies, should pursue more left/salient economics www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Left parties’ strategies and working-class vote in contemporary Western Europe (2002–2020)
What should the left do strategically to retain workers' vote? This paper provides extensive empirical evidence on the relationship between left parti…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by Electoral Studies
neerajprsd.bsky.social
🚨🚨🚨 New Paper Alert 🚨🚨🚨
Preaching to the converted: Misinformation and voter preferences in election campaigns, co-authored with U Daxecker, and published in the @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

Is misinformation an effective campaign tool — or just noise? See 🧵

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Preaching to the converted: Misinformation and voter preferences in election campaigns
Politicians frequently sponsor misinformation during election campaigns, but its effectiveness in shifting voters' policy preferences and beliefs rema…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 19, 2025 at 4:47 AM