Elin Lerum Boasson
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elinlb.bsky.social
Elin Lerum Boasson
@elinlb.bsky.social
Political Science Professor. Climate governance, climate action, renewables, EU studies and policy entrepreneurs. I follow Norwegian, Swedish and EU climate policy+politics. University of Oslo. CICERO. IPCC AR6 and AR6.
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
And if IPCC AR7 is not released until after the GST in 2028, then they will still be using the 2019 number until 2029, when the budget for 1.5°C would have been exceeded...

(unless someone comes up with new bigger budgets)
#cop30 decision's "recalling with concern" that "historical cumulative net carbon dioxide emissions account for at least four fifths of the total carbon budget for a 50% probability of limiting global warming to 1.5C" was true *in 2019*.

It's now 94%, best guess. /1

unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int
November 24, 2025 at 9:11 AM
😂
This has got a good beat to it.
November 21, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
The average dictator is close to 40 year older than the median person in their country - and it is increasing.

The average democrat is less than 25 year older than the median person in their country - and it is decreasing.
November 20, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Smerten ved å gå på ekspresstoget til Tønsberg på Nationaltheatret (og det toget fikk jeg smertelig erfare stopper faktisk ikke en eneste gang før Tønsberg) fordi jeg bare kan sykkel, ikke tog.

Dette henger selvfølgelig sammen med smerten knyttet til å finne ut hvilke sykkel jeg bør kjøpe.
November 19, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Medfølelse! Min sykkels fra 2009 knakk også sammen nå…
November 19, 2025 at 7:52 AM
Lots of bad climate news these days, but hey, let us focus on the bright side!
Good news: 35 countries have decreased their fossil CO2 emissions significantly (p<0.05) while growing their economies in the decade 2015-20244, twice as many as during the previous decade (2005-2014; 18 countries.

These 35 countries account for 27% of global fossil CO2 emissions.

5/
November 13, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
📢Global Carbon Budget 2025📢

Fossil CO2 emissions continue to rise in 2025 while the terrestrial carbon sink recovers to pre-El Niño strength.

The key findings are covered in two reports this year:
* ESSDD (preprint): essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
* Nature: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

1/
November 13, 2025 at 7:07 AM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
Dette ser ut til å vera eit imponerande verk.
Innhaldsoversyn her: global.oup.com/academic/pro...
November 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Er du opptatt av å forstå det politiske Norge? Da vil du ikke gå glipp av lanseringen av verdens første Oxford oppslagsverk om norsk politikk! Kom til slippefesten 8. desember! @statsvitenskap.bsky.social

www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
Forskere legger fram nytt verk om norsk politikk - Institutt for statsvitenskap (ISV)
Dagens mindretallsregjering må manøvrere i et krevende politisk landskap, og blokkene i norsk politikk er i endring. Samtidig er de økonomiske rammene strammere. Stormaktrivalisering og nye internasjo...
www.sv.uio.no
November 11, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Miljøkomiteens forslag om at kvotepliktig sektor ikke vil kunne bruke internasjonale kvoter er ikke i tråd med dominerende norsk tenkemåte. Siden Norge ikke er med i EUs klimalov så blir det antagelig likevel ikke et problem. Eller hva tror dere? 2/2
November 10, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Diskusjonene om EUs klimamål ruller videre, helt parallelt med de internasjonale klimaforhandlingene. Nå har miljøkomiteen i Europaparlamentet gjort sitt vedtak, og kanskje er resultatet at EUs klimamål for 2035 faller innenfor intervallet Stortinget antok. 1/n

www.endseurope.com/article/1939...
Environment committee backs 85% cut in EU emissions by 2040
The EU is set to quickly agree on a climate target for 2040, after the European Parliament’s environment committee approved a negotiating position that is largely in line with the changes backed by me...
www.endseurope.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
Some jurisdictions have made a real effort and it shows in the numbers. This is a demonstration that mitigation is possible, countering the “we can’t do anything about it” narrative. Therefore it is so important.
The UNEP GAP report is not the kind of reading that makes climate scientists smile. But this figure is not all bleak - look at all the emissions curves pointing downwards!

The full report: www.unep.org/resources/em...
November 5, 2025 at 8:07 PM
The UNEP GAP report is not the kind of reading that makes climate scientists smile. But this figure is not all bleak - look at all the emissions curves pointing downwards!

The full report: www.unep.org/resources/em...
November 5, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
EXCLUSIVE: After Trump took over the Kennedy Center in Feb, he vowed to make it "hot" again. So, how's it doing? @jeremybmerrill.com and I used data from the center's ticketing website to find out. Ticket sales are lowest they've been since the pandemic.

www.washingtonpost.com/entertainmen...
Kennedy Center ticket sales have plummeted since Trump takeover
Nearly nine months into Trump’s oversight, sales for the three largest performance venues are the worst they’ve been since the pandemic, according to a Washington Post analysis.
www.washingtonpost.com
October 31, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
Hurray, the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics is out! It includes a chapter on climate and nature protection with general insights about the different nature of the two policy areas. How would such a comparison would look like in your country? 1/n

academic.oup.com/edited-volum...
October 29, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Read more in the chapter itself! 5/5

Thank you to the editors Kristoffer Kolltveit, Elin Haugsgjerd Allern, Målfrid Braut-Hegghammer and Bjørn Erik Rasch.

@statsvitenskap.bsky.social @cicero.oslo.no @fridtjofnanseninst.bsky.social
October 29, 2025 at 10:03 AM
Differences in the political economy of the two areas has been important, especially the larger potential for win-win solutions in climate than in nature protect. Further, international cooperation and the EU are far more important for climate than for nature protection policy. 4/n
October 29, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Many factors create differences. The policy areas were profoundly shaped by the political climate at the time they first emerged, with climate policy emerging in the 1990ies and nature protection in the pre-second world war decades.
October 29, 2025 at 9:59 AM
I learned a lot from comparing the two areas, they where even more different than I imagined initially. while climate policy is dominated by targets, pricing and subsidies, nature protection has more top-down regulations, and public-private collaboration is crucial. 2/n
October 29, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Hurray, the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics is out! It includes a chapter on climate and nature protection with general insights about the different nature of the two policy areas. How would such a comparison would look like in your country? 1/n

academic.oup.com/edited-volum...
October 29, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
We are hiring a PhD student to join us at the @hertiesecurity.bsky.social (start Sept. 2026)!

If you want to conduct research on topics related to digital authoritarianism, state repression, contentious politics or social movements online, then this job might be for you!
October 28, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
The first cement produced at Norway's Brevik plant with carbon emissions captured and stored under the seabed has now been used in concrete poured in Oslo's new metro line to Fornebu.
Vi har brukt milliarder på karbonfangst. Her brukes den for første gang.
Les saken.
www.aftenposten.no
October 21, 2025 at 9:12 AM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
Holy wow, +3.5 ppm CO₂ last year, up from +2.4 ppm average the past decade, and +0.6 ppm in the 1960s.

It gets scarier the closer you look at it. All this is a stress test for the planet, and it's buckling.

Two big reasons for the massive increase: wildfires, and the ocean sinks are shutting down.
October 16, 2025 at 7:02 AM
This is why I love walking the dog early in the morning.
October 12, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Elin Lerum Boasson
Yep! There is even great research that shows that these are precisely the kind of people, who would want to join the secret police -- because they are not good for anything else: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
October 4, 2025 at 10:00 PM