Eno Sarris
banner
enosarris.bsky.social
Eno Sarris
@enosarris.bsky.social
Baseball beer sandwiches music running
Pinned
Psssst. Ball’s different. Again. Drag is up, distance is down. Who knows why. www.nytimes.com/athletic/642...
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Congrats to all the finalists for the 2026 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards! sabr.org/latest/annou...

Voting for the winners begins next week. Thanks to @baseballprospectus.com, @fangraphs.com, @sportsinfosolutions.com, @ibwaa.bsky.social for their contributions to the selection process.
January 23, 2026 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I continue our 2026 Position Preview series at first base....

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37e9db
January 22, 2026 at 10:17 PM
MacKenzie Gore is pretty good. He's been fiddling with his curve to kill horizontal, make it more Kershaw-like (he has some release similarities). His 4s has always been above-ave. Maybe just settle on this curve shape & just try to command it a little better, because 4s/CU/SL should be enough.
January 22, 2026 at 8:37 PM
In fantasy auctions, you generally want to avoid buying the last guy in a tier because you'll generally end up overpaying for that player. Cody Bellinger fits that rubric for me. Might like this deal the least of the offseason.
January 21, 2026 at 8:04 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social continue our 2026 Position Preview series with catchers.

(If you want to get into a lot of YouTube thumbnails, have a trident in your post-HR celebration.)

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37cee1
January 20, 2026 at 11:07 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
The Mets could start Bo Bichette (0 MLB games at 3B) & Jorge Polanco (1g at 1B) at 3B/1B on Opening Day

Only team in last 100 years to start 2 non-rookie INFs on Opening Day w/1 or 0 prior MLB games at that position:

1948 Dodgers: Jackie Robinson 2B, Billy Cox 3B

@EliasSports
January 16, 2026 at 9:33 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
"This suggests that Tucker could lose as much as 3 mph of bat speed over the next nine years" this part in particular i would push back on, i think that aging curve is much too aggressive. @enosarris.bsky.social
www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
January 16, 2026 at 5:54 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Good stuff from @enosarris.bsky.social

Tucker's very, very good. Elite plate discipline, good launch angles. But his defense is in decline, he's not the most durable & he's already got 50th percentile bat speed a few years out from the age when it starts to tank.

www.nytimes.com/athletic/687...
Why Kyle Tucker didn’t get the long-term contract many expected
Tucker got paid, but he didn't get as many years in his deal as many predicted he'd receive at the start of the offseason.
www.nytimes.com
January 16, 2026 at 4:45 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

Super bonus emergency pod!

@enosarris.bsky.social and I discussed Kyle Tucker's four-year, $240M deal with the #Dodgers, plus the three-team swap between the #Reds, #Rays & #Angels. Oh yeah, and Willi Castro....

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/379e6b
January 16, 2026 at 6:08 AM
Position preview time on the pod. Pod is LIVE- third base today - pod.fo/e/378b90
January 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Great to see @michaelrosen.bsky.social dive into something that's been a big topic of discussion lately — teams aren't using linear $/WAR to value free agent relievers, and there's good reason for that.
teams aren't using dollars per win to model reliever contracts — they're using cWPA. and i have proof! (i think) so i wrote about it for @fangraphs.com:
Reliever Contracts Make Plenty of Sense
A different way to think about bullpen guys getting paid.
blogs.fangraphs.com
January 14, 2026 at 6:41 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Thanks to @derekcarty.bsky.social, a look at some key Royals' projections before and after the announced park changes to Kauffman. Most interesting might be what the park does to pitching strategy and vibes on the free agent market, though: www.nytimes.com/athletic/696...
January 14, 2026 at 4:35 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
You love to see King Félix get his well-earned respect!
January 14, 2026 at 6:09 AM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I kicked off our annual position preview series with shortstops!

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37809a
January 14, 2026 at 3:11 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
In an interview with @theathletic.com's @willsammon.bsky.social and @enosarris.bsky.social, Tommy Pham wants analytics to reflect opponent quality. @baseballprospectus.com's stats do! What do they say about Pham's expectations?
PhamGraphs, Considered | Baseball Prospectus
How much do the little things matter? A lot, but only if there are a lot of them.
www.baseballprospectus.com
January 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Welcome to PhamGraphs! Enjoyed this by @davyandrewsdavy.bsky.social very much blogs.fangraphs.com/welcome-to-p...
Welcome to PhamGraphs
And AppleGraphs. Don’t forget about AppleGraphs.
blogs.fangraphs.com
January 14, 2026 at 3:45 AM
Not me crying during Ripple on my Monday run, no sir
January 12, 2026 at 10:44 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I discussed the Marlins' side of the Edward Cabrera trade, NL Central staff ranks, fantasy prep we've adopted, and the Tarik Skubal arb filing gap.

Plus, Amir Garrett drops by....

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37589e
January 9, 2026 at 11:22 PM
Max Kepler? Das kann doch nicht war sein!
January 9, 2026 at 8:12 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Tommy Pham got better as the season went on, adding positive Contact and Power contributions to his consistently plus Swing Decisions.

He faced a brutal slate of challenging pitches at the start of the year, then gradually crept up to a more league-average quality of competition.
January 5, 2026 at 10:48 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
early returns are that Pham faced a league-average collection of pitchers per DRA/cFIP basically on the button. Also that the spread for DRA- is ~97-103, so just not a substantial gap, broadly speaking.
I guess one bit of follow up I'd like to see from the pham piece is whether the Pirates (or Pham) were really at a deficit i/r/t quality of pitcher faced? I get that PIT had the highest average leverage index or w/e, but I'd be curious to see what (if any) gap actually exists on opponent quality
January 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM
Tommy Pham wants more context accounted for in baseball stats. Some of that context is already included in available metrics, some not.

But watch out @fangraphs, he's got a name for it: PhamGraphs.

w/ @willsammon.bsky.social

t.co/bUWUAsJlMN
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6940461/2026/01/05/mlb-free-agency-metrics-tommy-pham/?source=emp_shared_article
t.co
January 5, 2026 at 9:05 PM
Reposted by Eno Sarris
Re: the Phamgraphs article, in which I'm mentioned, and this sentence: "If WAM can measure this for homers, perhaps they can measure it for outfield fly balls, as well."

@weatherapplied.com does measure the wind impact of every fly ball. Also, for every pitch.

www.nytimes.com/athletic/694...
Tommy Pham makes his case for MLB’s next big metric: He calls it PhamGraphs
Pham proposes a statistical system that would account for how often a hitter faces high-leverage relievers and how defenders cope with wind.
www.nytimes.com
January 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM