Edward Walker
@gnuggat.bsky.social
300 followers 150 following 1.4K posts
Retired. 1993-2017 Exec Director of the Berkeley Program in Soviet/Post-Soviet Affairs, Adj Assoc Prof Political Science.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted by Edward Walker
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Fires reported in Russia's Belgorod oblast amid suspected power plant attack, local officials say.

Falling debris from downed missiles sparked fires and caused damage in Belgorod, Russia, the regional governor reported Oct. 11 amid a suspected attack on a power plant in the city.
Fires reported in Russia's Belgorod oblast amid suspected power plant attack, local officials say
Falling debris from downed missiles sparked fires and caused damage in Belgorod, Russia, the regional governor reported Oct. 11 amid a suspected attack on a power plant in the city.
kyivindependent.com
gnuggat.bsky.social
100%.
anderspucknielsen.dk
There is more than one reason for why Putin decided to invade Ukraine. It's not either a genocidal project of eliminating Ukrainian nationhood or about great power competition with NATO — it's both (and a couple more, in fact).
timothysnyder.bsky.social
When Putin talks to a Russians he consistently says that they invade Ukraine to destroy the state and nation and correct the path of history. NATO and similar framings are just for the useful foreigners.
Reposted by Edward Walker
kyivindependent.com
A Ukrainian delegation is set to visit Washington next week to negotiate the purchase of additional air defense systems as well as HIMARS rocket systems as part of a "Mega Deal", President Volodymyr Zelensky said during a press briefing on Oct. 10.
Reposted by Edward Walker
Reposted by Edward Walker
wartranslated.bsky.social
Zelensky says Ukraine has 203 key sites that must be protected by air defense, including energy, gas, and water infrastructure. He emphasizes these are just the critical ones, with many more needing coverage.
gnuggat.bsky.social
Pretty pretty sure this is going to turn out to be another nothing burger. What’s the likelihood Moscow produces “objective and detailed information” about these children? Gonna say close to zero.
militarynewsua.bsky.social
❗️Melania Trump reported that Putin responded to her letter regarding child protection.

According to her, Russia is allegedly demonstrating its willingness to provide objective and detailed information about the Ukrainian children it kidnapped.
gnuggat.bsky.social
Yup.
specialkhersoncat.bsky.social
Trump thanked Putin for his support after he was not awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. Flattering Trump remains the easiest investment for dictators.
gnuggat.bsky.social
Dumb thing for Putin to say, IMO, even if it’s true.
wartranslated.bsky.social
Putin insists Trump is “bluffing” about sending Tomahawks to Ukraine — and calls beefing up Russia’s air defenses his response to this “blackmail.”
Reposted by Edward Walker
kyivindependent.com
⚡️ US Senate approves $925 billion defense bill, proposes $500 million for Ukraine.

The legislation reflects a $100 million increase in the aid for Ukraine over the House of Representatives' version.
US Senate approves $925 billion defense bill, proposes $500 million for Ukraine
The legislation reflects a $100 million increase in the aid for Ukraine over the House of Representatives' version.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Edward Walker
judah-grunstein.bsky.social
It's impossible to know what went into the committee's decision, but Machado is a symbolically savvy choice, given Trump has recently pretended to care about Venezuela, making it hard for him to dismiss her importance.

It will also cast any decision to invade the country in a harsher light.
gnuggat.bsky.social
Definitely worth watching for those in need of a morale booster in these alarming times.
nateschenkkan.bsky.social
Truly wonderful
sifill.bsky.social
“Oh my god… I have no words.”

Listen to the emotional moment this year’s laureate Maria Corina ( finds out she has been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.

Kristian Berg Harpviken, Director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, shared the news.

NobelPrize #NobelPeacePrize
gnuggat.bsky.social
Thread. Strong agree. Never thought it was likely the Nobel Committee wld pick Trump but nonetheless thank God.
jacobtlevy.bsky.social
Machado is a good choice. She'll be controversial because she's in the fight, not above it. That makes this prize continuous with the 2021-3 streak of honoring opposition figures and dissidents rather than do-gooder organizations or already-powerful officials.
gnuggat.bsky.social
Pretty clear RU is going to make a push to strike power facilities and make winter as miserable as possible for UKR civilians. Continue to think it’s a mistake to think defensive systems alone can manage this. Key is going to be eventual UKR LRS tit-for-tat.
kyivpost.com
This is what the Russian strikes on an energy facility in Kyiv looked like.

Putin’s forces targeted infrastructure yet again, leaving civilians to face blackouts and fear.
Reposted by Edward Walker
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Ukraine, UK negotiating joint production of 2,000 interceptor drones monthly.

"Very shortly, we'll be producing around 2,000 drones a month, deliberately shipping all of them to Ukraine so they can be used to intercept Russian drones," U.K. Defense Readiness, Industry Minister Luke Pollard said.
Ukraine, UK negotiating joint production of 2,000 interceptor drones monthly
"Very shortly, we'll be producing around 2,000 drones a month, deliberately shipping all of them to Ukraine so they can be used to intercept Russian drones," U.K. Defense Readiness and Industry Minist...
kyivindependent.com
gnuggat.bsky.social
Why deterring RU hybrid war is hard. NB: “…deterrence by punishment could potentially create a stronger deterrent... so far the main concept for deterrence by punishment has been “deterrence by attribution”…RU is clearly quite far beyond the point of caring...” Yup.
open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Easier Said Than Done: Hybrid Deterrence By Punishment
This week, Minna Ålander turns to the question of how to move from defensive reactions to Russian hybrid warfare to an effective deterrent. (Spoiler: not easy)
open.substack.com
gnuggat.bsky.social
Well, it must have been painful, but looks like Rutte’s butt kissing may pay off. Taken one for the team.
antongerashchenko.bsky.social
[Q]: Are you going to step up the pressure for a Ukraine deal?

President Trump:
Yeah, we are stepping up the pressure. We're stepping it up together.
NATO's been great. The leader of NATO, as you know, Mark, has been fantastic, I think. And he's a fantastic guy.
Reposted by Edward Walker
militarynewsua.bsky.social
❗️The 🇪🇺European Commission is creating a special team to investigate the espionage operations in which 🇭🇺Hungary is suspected - the representative of the European Commission Balazs Ujvari
gnuggat.bsky.social
Yup, my take too.
chicagopatrick.bsky.social
Seems low- to no risk for Putin. In reality, it’s a minor concession for him/RU, but major to the Azerbaijanis, who were already Putin’s preferred dance partner as Armenia spins away from russki mir.
Reposted by Edward Walker
militarynewsua.bsky.social
❗️Claimed by the Russians to be a fragment of a 🇺🇦Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missile found on 🇷🇺Russian territory
Reposted by Edward Walker
militarynewsua.bsky.social
❗️Since the start of the full-scale war, 🇵🇱Poland has transferred to 🇺🇦Ukraine the largest number of tanks among all countries in the world - 318 (T-72M/M1, T-72M1R, PT-91 and Leopard 2)

Poland has also transferred 586 armored vehicles, 137 artillery systems, 10 Mi-24 helicopters,
gnuggat.bsky.social
I still don’t get is why, in the face of all these drone sightings, we don’t have any evidence (AFAIK) that any have fallen into the hands of authorities who then ascertain eg whether they have been gathering intel and delivering it some operator, or whether are just there to disrupt or alarm.
rikefranke.bsky.social
And more drones, this time over Geilenkirchen, the NATO base where the Awacs surveillance aircraft are stationed.
Detected by a detection system (good), no countermeasures employed (less good). As it is often the case, unclear whether there really was a drone, and which kind.
www.spiegel.de
gnuggat.bsky.social
Doesn’t come easy for Putin but IMO a smart move. We’ll see if RU-AZE relations meaningfully improve. Not good news for Armenia, IMO.
Reposted by Edward Walker
abarbashin.bsky.social
Despite its grievances, Tehran will have to maintain and develop ties with Moscow in the near future. One can debate how and why Iran ended up in this situation but with so few foreign policy partners, Iran cannot afford to break with Russia
ridl.io/discontent-a...
Discontent Amid Despair – Riddle Russia
Nikita Smagin on Why Tehran Accuses Moscow of Aiding Israel
ridl.io
gnuggat.bsky.social
More on this.
oonuch.bsky.social
NEW Harris & Harvard CAPS Poll shows Americans (Replicans + Democrats alike) want President Trump to punish Russia & support Ukraine.

77% of American voters support additional sanctions on Russia

68% believe the Trump administration should continue to arm Ukraine + impose sanctions
gnuggat.bsky.social
Interesting and important. But NB: “…be very careful before thinking it will result in any concrete policy changes. The good news is that Trump clearly feels political pressure now not to be too openly pro-RU and to speak more clearly about possibly supporting UKR.“
open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Something Interesting Is Happening With GOP Public Opinion
Hi All,
open.substack.com