Guy Yeomans
banner
guyyeomans.bsky.social
Guy Yeomans
@guyyeomans.bsky.social
Professional: Foresight & Horizon Scanning | Research: Resilience (CNI / Societal) & Comprehensive Security, Total Defence, National Preparedness | Emerging Risks & CM / EM | Military mobility | High North, GIUK-NGap & Arctic Futures | Personal: #OnXII
The repair-vs-destroy race in Ukraine.

Russia struck Kyiv's grid. Nearly 2,000 buildings lack heat at –15°C.

9 European countries mobilized within days: 50+ tons of generators and transformers delivered, three more shipments en route.
European allies race aid to Ukraine as Kyiv freezes
Six countries delivered 50 tons of equipment in days; three more shipments en route.
euromaidanpress.com
January 23, 2026 at 2:47 PM
if the board game nerds don't make "Littoral Commander: Greenland," they are all cowards.
January 23, 2026 at 2:22 PM
This looks like it will be useful research for #narviktheneast later in the year... #militarymobility #highnorthberedskapen
The Norwegian Defence Research Establishment has released an unclassified report on Norway's challenges in providing host nation support in the revised security landscape. Railway rolling stock numbers, rail yard capacity, unloading capacity at harbours, other stuff noted. www.ffi.no/publikasjone...
Vertslandsstøtte under press – en analyse av sivilsamfunnets evne til å støtte Forsvaret ved mottak av allierte landstyrker
Vi studerer vertslandsbehov og -kapasitet i et tenkt scenario der Norge skal motta allierte landstyrker som skal operere i Nord-Finland. Kan Forsvaret, ved bruk av sivil kapasitet i områdene, motta og...
www.ffi.no
January 23, 2026 at 10:03 AM
#36andcountdown: we're at 18. Halfway. So looked again at General Sir Roland Walker's originally reported comments. Might we now reframe the composition of the "axis of upheaval"? And what about those suggested dynamics of "sympathetic detonation"?
#36andcountdown... Time horizons & 'time needs' are integral components of foresight work. Thought I'd track a UK '3 years to war' preparedness framing, with end-state characteristics of "axis of upheaval", mutual singularity & sympathetic detonation. We're now at 32... news.sky.com/story/uk-mus...
UK must be ready for war in three years, head of British Army warns
In unusually blunt remarks for a serving officer, Chief of the General Staff Sir Roly Walker warned a convergence of threats could lead to an 'axis of upheaval' by 2027 to 2028.
news.sky.com
January 23, 2026 at 9:31 AM
Recommended reading... #Logpower & #societalresilience
Every piece about my time in Ukraine is about logistics and the incredible, dogged work of the @magicfoodarmy.bsky.social operation and crew as a microcosm to the Ukrainian effort generally.
Here is the table of contents for the Ukraine Adventure collection on Patreon. It is open access, and you should be tempted.

www.patreon.com/posts/ukrain...
January 23, 2026 at 8:23 AM
Yes we did! The Hull High North Conference: unfortunately, a number of organisations failed to (fore)see the opportunity... #arcticfutures
January 23, 2026 at 8:10 AM
Today, Prof Antonio Calcara is at the Centre for Military Studies, University of Copenhagen, to discuss European security, tech and geopolitics. The seminar is moderated by Associate Professor Tobias Liebetrau.

More info
cms.polsci.ku.dk/events/cms-r... @acalcara.bsky.social @ucph.bsky.social
January 21, 2026 at 9:46 AM
Does anyone know if there's a mission-patch for "Operation Arctic Endurance"?
January 21, 2026 at 7:53 AM
Greenland: "Denmark is ready to provide support to Greenland's emergency preparedness..." #civilprotection
Foremost to protect critical infrastructure and power generation.

LogPower defensive thinking for territorial security. 🔥
Grønland og Danmark forstærker samarbejdet på beredskabsområdet. Blandt andet vil vi fra dansk side bistå med rådgivning om sikring af kritisk infrastruktur samt sende nødstrømsløsninger til Grønland.

Læs mere her: mssb.dk/nyheder/nyhe...
January 18, 2026 at 1:59 PM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "Russian submarine activity is nearing the highest levels since the Cold War,” Carns said, adding that developments in the Arctic directly affected UK security, particularly through activity in the GIUK gap..." #atlanticbastion #highnorth
January 17, 2026 at 10:36 AM
"You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching..." @rajavartiolaitos.bsky.social 💪
Everyone visiting #Finland should really understand this: merely entering the border zone without a permit is a crime, and for all practical purposes *everyone* doing so *will* be caught - and prosecuted.

You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching.

The unblinking eyes *do not blink.*
January 17, 2026 at 10:34 AM
Possibly of interest @rbarretttaylor.bsky.social...
How does AI reshape military decision-making, international law, and global competition?

Don’t miss January’s ICAI Monthly Seminar with HCSS expert Sofia Romansky for fresh insights on AI, conflict, and security.

💻 Online | Great insights & networking: buff.ly/H3bT6gr
January 16, 2026 at 12:32 PM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #atlanticbastion #highnorth
Recent statements by the incoming 🇺🇸ambassador to Iceland that the US has ideas to annex it and make it the 52nd state (after Greenland) are prompting the government to make moves toward joining the EU.

Iceland is currently in the shadow-EU EEA, following EU law but with no say in creating it.
Trump's moves spur Icelandic referendum on EU membership
With membership of the European Union favoured once again by the electorate, Iceland’s new government wants voters to decide by 2027 whether Reykjavik should resume the bid it abandoned ten years ago....
www.europeaninterest.eu
January 16, 2026 at 12:20 PM
January 14, 2026 at 1:51 PM
Reckon it's a subtle sign of support for Canada to undertake the strategic development of the Port of Churchill... #arcticfutures www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
January 13, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Perhaps of interest @jsargentr.bsky.social...
"Logistics Command" (1978) is an interesting approach to gaming logistics -- with an engineering and systems approach with emphasis on maintenance, repair, and distribution.

Link: www.linkedin.com/posts/nicola...
January 13, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Rex mentions the Derby House Principles in this overview. Visiting Derby House & the Western Approaches HQ museum in Liverpool in November was one of my highlights of 2025... #WATU > bsky.app/profile/guyy...
January 2, 2026 at 2:23 PM
Ukraine: Запобігти. Врятувати. Допомогти (To prevent. To rescue. To help)... #civilprotection
Ukraine’s first responders are always there where they are needed most — 24/7, 365 days a year, saving lives.
💙💛

As russia continues inflicting terror and pain, Ukrainian rescuers do their best to protect people from it🧵
January 1, 2026 at 3:37 PM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #atlanticbastion #highnorth
December 22, 2025 at 5:56 AM
Thank you @lucygobag.bsky.social & @amandacomms.bsky.social for last night's "Grab bags & prepping" conversation. Illuminating, helpful & suitably irreverent! May we collectively steel ourselves for the anticipated challenges of 26...
December 17, 2025 at 9:31 AM
December 11, 2025 at 2:41 PM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... UK-Norway Lunna House agreement. A "Combined fleet of at least 13 warships, bolstered by autonomous systems, will hunt Russian submarines & protect critical infrastructure in the North Atlantic..." #highnorth www.gov.uk/government/n...
UK and Norway to operate together to counter Russian undersea threat through major new defence agreement
Combined fleet of at least 13 warships, bolstered by autonomous systems, will hunt Russian submarines and protect critical infrastructure in the North Atlantic as part of new agreement.
www.gov.uk
December 4, 2025 at 8:17 AM