Peter Hull
@instrumenthull.bsky.social
Economics Professor at Brown, studying discrimination, education, healthcare, and applied econometrics. I like IV
https://sites.google.com/site/aboutpeterhull/home
https://sites.google.com/site/aboutpeterhull/home
Pinned
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Reposted by Peter Hull
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs.
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
November 17, 2025 at 3:06 PM
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs.
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Reposted by Peter Hull
We also show, (as @instrumenthull.bsky.social loves to show!), that UJIVE can be used to assess the compiler characteristics of the leniency design. If the compliers look similar to the full sample on observables, that's evidence your treatment effects may generalize beyond the complier population.
November 17, 2025 at 3:06 PM
We also show, (as @instrumenthull.bsky.social loves to show!), that UJIVE can be used to assess the compiler characteristics of the leniency design. If the compliers look similar to the full sample on observables, that's evidence your treatment effects may generalize beyond the complier population.
Reposted by Peter Hull
Developing a step-by-step guide to leniency designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures, from Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Michal Kolesár www.nber.org/papers/w34473
November 18, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Developing a step-by-step guide to leniency designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures, from Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Michal Kolesár www.nber.org/papers/w34473
Reposted by Peter Hull
NBER grants to fund research into economic measurement - I find this agenda very compelling and important #linkoftheday
www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
November 13, 2025 at 1:32 PM
NBER grants to fund research into economic measurement - I find this agenda very compelling and important #linkoftheday
www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
Reposted by Peter Hull
The NBER Race and Stratification Working Group will have its annual meeting on Friday, March 27, 2026. Francisca Antman, Bocar Ba, Robynn Cox and I are organizing the program. Submit your paper by the December 11, 2025 deadline! @nber.org #EconSky
www.nber.org/conferences/...
www.nber.org/conferences/...
Economics of Race and Stratification, Spring 2026
www.nber.org
November 12, 2025 at 11:16 AM
The NBER Race and Stratification Working Group will have its annual meeting on Friday, March 27, 2026. Francisca Antman, Bocar Ba, Robynn Cox and I are organizing the program. Submit your paper by the December 11, 2025 deadline! @nber.org #EconSky
www.nber.org/conferences/...
www.nber.org/conferences/...
Reposted by Peter Hull
We couldn't not rate this classic early DAG by our beloved collective granddagy, Sewall Wright.
14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node.
From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node.
From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
October 17, 2025 at 1:36 PM
We couldn't not rate this classic early DAG by our beloved collective granddagy, Sewall Wright.
14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node.
From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node.
From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
Reposted by Peter Hull
An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Comparing Experimental and Nonexperimental Methods: What Lessons Have We Learned Four Decades after LaLonde (1986)?
(Fall 2025) - In 1986, Robert LaLonde published an article comparing nonexperimental estimates to experimental benchmarks (LaLonde 1986). He concluded that the nonexperimental methods at the time coul...
www.aeaweb.org
November 6, 2025 at 4:47 PM
An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Reposted by Peter Hull
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull, Michal Koles\'ar: Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/html/2511.03572
November 6, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull, Michal Koles\'ar: Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/html/2511.03572
Reposted by Peter Hull
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual
We develop a step-by-step guide to leniency (a.k.a. judge or examiner instrument) designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures. The unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator (UJIVE) is...
arxiv.org
November 6, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Reposted by Peter Hull
Found @instrumenthull.bsky.social 's lawn: www.reddit.com/r/nextfuckin...
From the nextfuckinglevel community on Reddit: Pirates of the Caribbean themed decorations
Explore this post and more from the nextfuckinglevel community
www.reddit.com
October 21, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Found @instrumenthull.bsky.social 's lawn: www.reddit.com/r/nextfuckin...
Reposted by Peter Hull
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks.
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
October 13, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks.
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Thanks BeNA (and Berlin) for a great few days!
October 13, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Thanks BeNA (and Berlin) for a great few days!
Reposted by Peter Hull
Reposted by Peter Hull
📢 Save the date!
Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV
📅 Oct 9–10, 2025
📍 DIW Berlin
Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours.
Register by Sep 25, 2025!
labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV
📅 Oct 9–10, 2025
📍 DIW Berlin
Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours.
Register by Sep 25, 2025!
labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
BeNA Lecture Series on Shift-Share and Recentered IV with Peter Hull - Berliner Netzwerk Arbeitsmarktforschung
Date: October 9–10, 2025 Location: DIW Berlin (Room: Elinor-Ostrom-Hall), Anton-Wilhelm-Amo-Straße 58, 10117 Berlin The Berlin Network of Labor Market Research (BeNA) is pleased to announce a lecture ...
labor-research.net
September 1, 2025 at 11:55 AM
📢 Save the date!
Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV
📅 Oct 9–10, 2025
📍 DIW Berlin
Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours.
Register by Sep 25, 2025!
labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV
📅 Oct 9–10, 2025
📍 DIW Berlin
Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours.
Register by Sep 25, 2025!
labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
October 3, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Reposted by Peter Hull
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
September 26, 2025 at 9:08 PM
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
September 26, 2025 at 9:08 PM
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Reposted by Peter Hull
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
September 26, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
September 26, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Reposted by Peter Hull
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
September 3, 2025 at 6:14 PM
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Reposted by Peter Hull
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
September 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
September 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
September 3, 2025 at 6:14 PM
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Reposted by Peter Hull
Thrilled that @instrumenthull.bsky.social agreed to share his knowledge in Berlin. Sign up now! Let me know in case of questions 👋
September 2, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Thrilled that @instrumenthull.bsky.social agreed to share his knowledge in Berlin. Sign up now! Let me know in case of questions 👋
Reposted by Peter Hull
Trying my luck here: @jiafengkevinchen.bsky.social, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and I just posted a question about conditional expectations under a nonparametric completeness condition. Any thoughts & suggestions much appreciated!
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/66...
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/66...
Can conditional expectation of a non-constant function not depend on a conditioning variable under a completeness condition?
my coauthors and I have been struggling with the following question:
Let $(X,Y,Z,W)$ be random variables with support on $\mathbb{R}^{4}$ such that the conditional expectation operator with respect...
stats.stackexchange.com
August 12, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Trying my luck here: @jiafengkevinchen.bsky.social, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and I just posted a question about conditional expectations under a nonparametric completeness condition. Any thoughts & suggestions much appreciated!
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/66...
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/66...