Jeff Asher
@jeffasher.bsky.social
Co-Founder AH Datalytics. NOLA kid. Longhorn. Former CIA officer. 2004 Intramural Softball Champion (C-League). Not a criminologist!
Newsletter: https://jasher.substack.com/
[email protected]
"Some genius, Jeff Asher" - Ann Coulter
Newsletter: https://jasher.substack.com/
[email protected]
"Some genius, Jeff Asher" - Ann Coulter
Pinned
Jeff Asher
@jeffasher.bsky.social
· Oct 1
Hey all,
The first episode of my new podcast is out! The podcast is about how perceptions of crime rarely meet reality and what can be done about it. Check it out at the website below or wherever you get your podcasts. Please subscribe for future episodes!
www.ahdatalytics.com/jeff-alytics...
The first episode of my new podcast is out! The podcast is about how perceptions of crime rarely meet reality and what can be done about it. Check it out at the website below or wherever you get your podcasts. Please subscribe for future episodes!
www.ahdatalytics.com/jeff-alytics...
Excited to partake in another great American tradition this week: buying guns on Black Friday.
November 25, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Excited to partake in another great American tradition this week: buying guns on Black Friday.
Glad they dragged themselves through the mud by bringing in Tucker for a pointless workout.
The New Orleans Saints made a decision after Tuesday's high-profile free agent tryouts, signing a new kicker to compete for the job this Sunday.
saintswire.usatoday.com/story/sports...
saintswire.usatoday.com/story/sports...
Saints add a new kicker after high-profile free agent tryouts
The New Orleans Saints made a decision after Tuesday's high-profile free agent tryouts, signing a new kicker to compete for the job this Sunday.
saintswire.usatoday.com
November 25, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Glad they dragged themselves through the mud by bringing in Tucker for a pointless workout.
New pod is out! Everything you ever wanted to know about NIBRS but were afraid to ask w/researcher Susan Parker. A great deep dive into the potential & pitfalls of NIBRS.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Amazon: music.amazon.com/podcasts/cad...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3xYN...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Amazon: music.amazon.com/podcasts/cad...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3xYN...
Episode 7: Everything You Ever Wanted To Know About NIBRS But Were Afraid To Ask with Dr. Susan Parker
open.spotify.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:54 PM
New pod is out! Everything you ever wanted to know about NIBRS but were afraid to ask w/researcher Susan Parker. A great deep dive into the potential & pitfalls of NIBRS.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Amazon: music.amazon.com/podcasts/cad...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3xYN...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Amazon: music.amazon.com/podcasts/cad...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3xYN...
New this week: I revisit Chicago's crime trends in the wake of Midway Blitz. The operation probably didn't impact crime in the city, but 911 calls -- especially from Hispanic areas -- fell substantially.
open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p...
open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p...
Revisiting Chicago's Crime Trends + New Podcast - Talking NIBRS With Susan Parker
Evaluating Chicago's crime trends before and after Midway Blitz
open.substack.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:56 PM
New this week: I revisit Chicago's crime trends in the wake of Midway Blitz. The operation probably didn't impact crime in the city, but 911 calls -- especially from Hispanic areas -- fell substantially.
open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p...
open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p...
The Pelicans lead by 16 after 2, the first time being up by 16 or more at halftime for the first time since March 2024 against Milwaukee.
November 25, 2025 at 2:07 AM
The Pelicans lead by 16 after 2, the first time being up by 16 or more at halftime for the first time since March 2024 against Milwaukee.
Reposted by Jeff Asher
November 24, 2025 at 11:46 PM
I'm sorry, but I won't believe the AI hype until it'll allow me to have a conversation about warp field theory with a creepy lifelike representation of Dr Leah Brahms.
November 25, 2025 at 1:18 AM
I'm sorry, but I won't believe the AI hype until it'll allow me to have a conversation about warp field theory with a creepy lifelike representation of Dr Leah Brahms.
Like basketball? Have four dollars?
November 25, 2025 at 12:49 AM
Like basketball? Have four dollars?
I know he's not pulling the roster strings, but Kellen is not doing a damn thing to endear himself to fans.
November 24, 2025 at 8:36 PM
I know he's not pulling the roster strings, but Kellen is not doing a damn thing to endear himself to fans.
New Jeff-alytics podcast coming tomorrow, but there's still time to catch my conversation with Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner about data and prosecution.
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1E25...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Or wherever you get your podcasts.
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1E25...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Or wherever you get your podcasts.
November 24, 2025 at 4:41 PM
New Jeff-alytics podcast coming tomorrow, but there's still time to catch my conversation with Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner about data and prosecution.
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1E25...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Or wherever you get your podcasts.
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1E25...
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Or wherever you get your podcasts.
The Saints are trying out Justin Tucker?!?!
November 24, 2025 at 3:56 PM
The Saints are trying out Justin Tucker?!?!
The Saints top 5 cap hits for 2026 AND 2027 are:
A 35 year old TE averaging 2 yards per carry
A 30 year old RB averaging 3.5 yards per carry
A 36 year old DE
A 36 year old LB
A 28 year old C who has played 14 games total the last 2 years.
A 35 year old TE averaging 2 yards per carry
A 30 year old RB averaging 3.5 yards per carry
A 36 year old DE
A 36 year old LB
A 28 year old C who has played 14 games total the last 2 years.
November 24, 2025 at 12:31 AM
The Saints top 5 cap hits for 2026 AND 2027 are:
A 35 year old TE averaging 2 yards per carry
A 30 year old RB averaging 3.5 yards per carry
A 36 year old DE
A 36 year old LB
A 28 year old C who has played 14 games total the last 2 years.
A 35 year old TE averaging 2 yards per carry
A 30 year old RB averaging 3.5 yards per carry
A 36 year old DE
A 36 year old LB
A 28 year old C who has played 14 games total the last 2 years.
The Saints had 9 plays inside Atlanta's 10. They ran 8 designed runs by Hill and Shough and 1 Hill incompletion.
November 24, 2025 at 12:07 AM
The Saints had 9 plays inside Atlanta's 10. They ran 8 designed runs by Hill and Shough and 1 Hill incompletion.
About out on Kellen Moore
November 23, 2025 at 11:46 PM
About out on Kellen Moore
That is some godawful play calling on 1st and goal from the 8.
QB draw
Handoff to guy average 2 yards per carry
QB draw
Guy averaging 2 yards per carry throws incompletion.
QB draw
Handoff to guy average 2 yards per carry
QB draw
Guy averaging 2 yards per carry throws incompletion.
November 23, 2025 at 11:20 PM
That is some godawful play calling on 1st and goal from the 8.
QB draw
Handoff to guy average 2 yards per carry
QB draw
Guy averaging 2 yards per carry throws incompletion.
QB draw
Handoff to guy average 2 yards per carry
QB draw
Guy averaging 2 yards per carry throws incompletion.
Nothing sums up how backwards the Saints are than sticking with a guy who is neither accurate nor particularly strong legged in an age of kickers regularly making 85 yard field goals with absurd precision.
November 23, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Nothing sums up how backwards the Saints are than sticking with a guy who is neither accurate nor particularly strong legged in an age of kickers regularly making 85 yard field goals with absurd precision.
Only two kickers in the last 10 seasons have missed 8 kicks over 30 yards in their first 11 games of a season:
Mason Crosby (2021)
Blake Grupe (2025)
Mason Crosby (2021)
Blake Grupe (2025)
November 23, 2025 at 11:03 PM
Only two kickers in the last 10 seasons have missed 8 kicks over 30 yards in their first 11 games of a season:
Mason Crosby (2021)
Blake Grupe (2025)
Mason Crosby (2021)
Blake Grupe (2025)
Reposted by Jeff Asher
---> ATL (3) @ NO (0) <---
NO has 4th & 1 at the NO 38, Q1 00:27
Recommendation (MEDIUM): 👉 Go for it (+2.2 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 K.Kroeger punts 49 yards to ATL 13, Center-Z.Wood, downed by NO-I.Yiadom.
NO has 4th & 1 at the NO 38, Q1 00:27
Recommendation (MEDIUM): 👉 Go for it (+2.2 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 K.Kroeger punts 49 yards to ATL 13, Center-Z.Wood, downed by NO-I.Yiadom.
November 23, 2025 at 10:01 PM
---> ATL (3) @ NO (0) <---
NO has 4th & 1 at the NO 38, Q1 00:27
Recommendation (MEDIUM): 👉 Go for it (+2.2 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 K.Kroeger punts 49 yards to ATL 13, Center-Z.Wood, downed by NO-I.Yiadom.
NO has 4th & 1 at the NO 38, Q1 00:27
Recommendation (MEDIUM): 👉 Go for it (+2.2 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 K.Kroeger punts 49 yards to ATL 13, Center-Z.Wood, downed by NO-I.Yiadom.
Blake Grupe is 10-17 on kicks longer than 30 yards. Having a fan give it a try wouldn't be the worst idea at this point.
November 23, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Blake Grupe is 10-17 on kicks longer than 30 yards. Having a fan give it a try wouldn't be the worst idea at this point.
Weird how letting Wil Lutz walk and bringing in the worst kicker in the NFL wasn't a talking point in that interview.
November 23, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Weird how letting Wil Lutz walk and bringing in the worst kicker in the NFL wasn't a talking point in that interview.
Excited for Saints Legend of the Game Derek Carr next game!
November 23, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Excited for Saints Legend of the Game Derek Carr next game!
Anyhow, I'm only here so I don't get fined.
November 23, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Anyhow, I'm only here so I don't get fined.