JLRay
@jlray.bsky.social
Texas. Senior director of polling at YouGov. Adviser to Young Men Research Initiative.
johnlray.github.io
johnlray.github.io
Fine day for some democracy, Texas
February 18, 2026 at 7:48 PM
Fine day for some democracy, Texas
I do not think this administration operates at the level of malevolent competence or political coherence to pull off stealing an upcoming national election.
February 18, 2026 at 7:16 PM
I do not think this administration operates at the level of malevolent competence or political coherence to pull off stealing an upcoming national election.
Reposted by JLRay
We actually don't have to do this discourse today folks. "We don't need the religious vote" suggests we don't even want half of our own party. Sometimes political analysis is just flatly, obviously wrong!
February 18, 2026 at 5:10 PM
We actually don't have to do this discourse today folks. "We don't need the religious vote" suggests we don't even want half of our own party. Sometimes political analysis is just flatly, obviously wrong!
We actually don't have to do this discourse today folks. "We don't need the religious vote" suggests we don't even want half of our own party. Sometimes political analysis is just flatly, obviously wrong!
February 18, 2026 at 5:10 PM
We actually don't have to do this discourse today folks. "We don't need the religious vote" suggests we don't even want half of our own party. Sometimes political analysis is just flatly, obviously wrong!
Reposted by JLRay
Young men - of basically every political persuasion - feel overwhelmingly positively toward unions and unionization, even when reminded of how union fees work, and I still think it's one of the most under-capitalized-on findings we've had in recent public opinion
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
February 18, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Young men - of basically every political persuasion - feel overwhelmingly positively toward unions and unionization, even when reminded of how union fees work, and I still think it's one of the most under-capitalized-on findings we've had in recent public opinion
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
Young men - of basically every political persuasion - feel overwhelmingly positively toward unions and unionization, even when reminded of how union fees work, and I still think it's one of the most under-capitalized-on findings we've had in recent public opinion
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
February 18, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Young men - of basically every political persuasion - feel overwhelmingly positively toward unions and unionization, even when reminded of how union fees work, and I still think it's one of the most under-capitalized-on findings we've had in recent public opinion
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
Reposted by JLRay
🧵/ With tactical voting ever more common, who do voters back when only two parties have a chance in their seat?
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
February 18, 2026 at 9:41 AM
🧵/ With tactical voting ever more common, who do voters back when only two parties have a chance in their seat?
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
When they let Susan Collins do her stupid little press event where she got to read out their statement claiming ICE's "ground operations" in Maine were being "halted," this is the kind of continuing, daily atrocity she was lying to cover up. A MAGA psycho in the core of her rotted soul.
“They’re trapped in this little confinement cell, a dark cell with no sunlight, with multiple people,” said Shaan Chatterjee, an attorney at New England Immigration Law. “They’re basically torturing people into signing off on their own deportation.”
(Free article) www.sunjournal.com/2026/02/07/i...
(Free article) www.sunjournal.com/2026/02/07/i...
ICE detainees from Maine being held under ‘inhumane’ conditions in Mass. facility, attorneys say
An Immigration and Customs Enforcement spokesperson said the allegations of overcrowding and lack of access to lawyers are false.
www.sunjournal.com
February 18, 2026 at 3:28 AM
When they let Susan Collins do her stupid little press event where she got to read out their statement claiming ICE's "ground operations" in Maine were being "halted," this is the kind of continuing, daily atrocity she was lying to cover up. A MAGA psycho in the core of her rotted soul.
Just learned that a few years ago a $15m Action Comics #1 was stolen from Nicholas Cage's mansion in a Christmas Eve party heist and was eventually recovered by a private detective who spent years infiltrating the seedy gray market of collectibles trading and... we think screenwriters need ChatGPT?
February 18, 2026 at 1:13 AM
Just learned that a few years ago a $15m Action Comics #1 was stolen from Nicholas Cage's mansion in a Christmas Eve party heist and was eventually recovered by a private detective who spent years infiltrating the seedy gray market of collectibles trading and... we think screenwriters need ChatGPT?
Voters like the idea of breaking up big corporations and capping credit card rates, so obviously that benefits Vance
But Americans also like muscular American foreign policy and protecting the second amendment, so obviously that benefits AOC
But Americans also like muscular American foreign policy and protecting the second amendment, so obviously that benefits AOC
February 18, 2026 at 12:55 AM
Voters like the idea of breaking up big corporations and capping credit card rates, so obviously that benefits Vance
But Americans also like muscular American foreign policy and protecting the second amendment, so obviously that benefits AOC
But Americans also like muscular American foreign policy and protecting the second amendment, so obviously that benefits AOC
Reposted by JLRay
Early voting in Texas starts on Tuesday! We've had a run of big wins and strong fundraising, and Texans want to hit the ground running for the general! I urge you to support these efforts with a few bucks to the Texas Young Dems and the 2026 general nominee fund.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Support Texas organizers.
Show your support with a contribution.
secure.actblue.com
February 13, 2026 at 12:48 AM
Early voting in Texas starts on Tuesday! We've had a run of big wins and strong fundraising, and Texans want to hit the ground running for the general! I urge you to support these efforts with a few bucks to the Texas Young Dems and the 2026 general nominee fund.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Reposted by JLRay
Two ICE officers were put on leave and are under criminal investigation for potential perjury in a shooting in Minneapolis last month.
As has happened in the other shootings by federal agents in Minnesota, video evidence appears to have done in the officers.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
As has happened in the other shootings by federal agents in Minnesota, video evidence appears to have done in the officers.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
ICE Agents Under Criminal Investigation for Allegedly Lying About Shooting
‘Materially Inconsistent’ Two ICE officers were put on leave and are under...
talkingpointsmemo.com
February 17, 2026 at 3:43 PM
Two ICE officers were put on leave and are under criminal investigation for potential perjury in a shooting in Minneapolis last month.
As has happened in the other shootings by federal agents in Minnesota, video evidence appears to have done in the officers.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
As has happened in the other shootings by federal agents in Minnesota, video evidence appears to have done in the officers.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
Due to the smallness of his brain one of his favorite things to play with is freshly picked habanero peppers, deliberately stored in what I *try* to keep a cat-free area barring his catly wiles, and I have to admit part of me is just praying I'm there when this backfires on him
February 17, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Due to the smallness of his brain one of his favorite things to play with is freshly picked habanero peppers, deliberately stored in what I *try* to keep a cat-free area barring his catly wiles, and I have to admit part of me is just praying I'm there when this backfires on him
I say this with all the care and gentleness it warrants, I really need this dumb old fuck to die before he breaks into the Smithsonian and adds his signature to the Declaration of Independence
“Trump’s Private Company Files Trademark for ‘President Donald J. Trump International Airport’”
by @joshgerben.bsky.social
by @joshgerben.bsky.social
Trump’s Private Company Files Trademark for ‘President Donald J. Trump International Airport’
Trump’s IP company filed trademark applications for airport names bearing his name, raising unprecedented questions about private brand control over public airports.
www.gerbenlaw.com
February 16, 2026 at 8:13 PM
I say this with all the care and gentleness it warrants, I really need this dumb old fuck to die before he breaks into the Smithsonian and adds his signature to the Declaration of Independence
Reposted by JLRay
An in-depth new report from YRMP using data from Catalist shows the swing in who young men vote for - and whether or not they vote - could make or break many key 2026 races.
Check out the report at www.ymrp.org/reports , which does a deep dive on the key 2026 battleground states
Check out the report at www.ymrp.org/reports , which does a deep dive on the key 2026 battleground states
February 11, 2026 at 2:35 PM
An in-depth new report from YRMP using data from Catalist shows the swing in who young men vote for - and whether or not they vote - could make or break many key 2026 races.
Check out the report at www.ymrp.org/reports , which does a deep dive on the key 2026 battleground states
Check out the report at www.ymrp.org/reports , which does a deep dive on the key 2026 battleground states
Reposted by JLRay
"The thought of masked thugs descending upon polling places terrifies me, just as the thought of masked thugs descending upon my community, upon my children's elementary school, terrifies me. But I do not think they have a reliable path to victory through that method."
Editor's Notes: Gaming Out Antidemocratic Tactics
How worried should we be about election interference in 2026, exactly?
www.liberalcurrents.com
February 15, 2026 at 1:36 AM
"The thought of masked thugs descending upon polling places terrifies me, just as the thought of masked thugs descending upon my community, upon my children's elementary school, terrifies me. But I do not think they have a reliable path to victory through that method."
Reposted by JLRay
The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that the state can put a redistricting plan on the ballot this spring that could add as many as four more Democratic seats in Congress.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
February 14, 2026 at 6:56 PM
The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that the state can put a redistricting plan on the ballot this spring that could add as many as four more Democratic seats in Congress.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
Do people just like, forget Trump has already been in office or seeking it for over a decade. He has literally tried exactly this already and it was immediately thrown out in court.
This may be the most dangerous development of all. It will give Trump fake legal pretext to reject Nov election results. American democracy has like 9 months left.
Trump says he will issue executive order to get voter-ID requirements before midterms www.cnbc.com/2026/02/13/t...
Trump says he will issue executive order to get voter-ID requirements before midterms www.cnbc.com/2026/02/13/t...
Trump says he will issue executive order to get voter-ID requirements before midterms
President Donald Trump proclaims that he will find a way to implement national voter-ID requirements by November's elections.
www.cnbc.com
February 14, 2026 at 9:26 PM
Do people just like, forget Trump has already been in office or seeking it for over a decade. He has literally tried exactly this already and it was immediately thrown out in court.
Reposted by JLRay
Roses are red,
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Help Democrats organize and win!
Help Democrats organize and win in Maine!
secure.actblue.com
February 14, 2026 at 6:26 PM
Roses are red,
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Having gone through Carnegie Mellon's statistics program and a solid 2/3rds of its international relations courses I can assure you the only risk to the military of sending students there is that when they return to active-duty they spontaneously wedgie themselves to death
The US DOD has just blacklisted military personnel from taking courses at most of America's top universities and specialist tech and medicine schools, including Harvard, Yale, MIT and Johns Hopkins. Somehow I don't see the PLA making this kind of unforced error.
February 14, 2026 at 6:35 PM
Having gone through Carnegie Mellon's statistics program and a solid 2/3rds of its international relations courses I can assure you the only risk to the military of sending students there is that when they return to active-duty they spontaneously wedgie themselves to death
Roses are red,
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Help Democrats organize and win!
Help Democrats organize and win in Maine!
secure.actblue.com
February 14, 2026 at 6:26 PM
Roses are red,
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
violets are blue,
If one flips in November,
Then, on net, that's two.
This Valentine's Day, spice up your relationship by kicking Republican politicians out of it. Be the cause of the breakup of the most toxic unity government in American history.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Some really important swing state specials comin up
📣 Dems have overperformed 13 pts on avg across 87 Special Elections so far!
📣 NEXT:
02/17: GA SD-18 (R+25) LeMario Brown
02/24: ME HD-094 (D+12): Scott Harriman
02/24: PA HD-022 (D+42): Ana Tiburcio
02/24: PA HD-042 (D+27): Jen Mazzocco
Donate today! #Blue26
secure.actblue.com/donate/speci...
📣 NEXT:
02/17: GA SD-18 (R+25) LeMario Brown
02/24: ME HD-094 (D+12): Scott Harriman
02/24: PA HD-022 (D+42): Ana Tiburcio
02/24: PA HD-042 (D+27): Jen Mazzocco
Donate today! #Blue26
secure.actblue.com/donate/speci...
Chip in!
Show your support with a contribution.
secure.actblue.com
February 14, 2026 at 5:40 PM
Some really important swing state specials comin up
Reposted by JLRay
This is a genuinely huge, sweeping victory today for the University of California—or rather, for us, its faculty, acting through our faculty associations, while the UC itself maintained a strict policy of deer-in-headlights silence.
The Trump admin has given up its appeal of a powerful injunction:
The Trump admin has given up its appeal of a powerful injunction:
Trump administration drops appeal of court order blocking $1.2-billion UCLA settlement
The Trump administration dropped its appeal of a major higher education case in which a federal judge blocked its $1.2-billion settlement proposal to UCLA over alleged civil rights violations. It will...
www.latimes.com
February 14, 2026 at 4:57 AM
This is a genuinely huge, sweeping victory today for the University of California—or rather, for us, its faculty, acting through our faculty associations, while the UC itself maintained a strict policy of deer-in-headlights silence.
The Trump admin has given up its appeal of a powerful injunction:
The Trump admin has given up its appeal of a powerful injunction:
Reposted by JLRay
Our top story: After over 25 years in the U.S., and despite raising a family here and having a path to citizenship, Moizali Momin was nearly deported to India. He spent months in cramped, dirty detention centers at taxpayer expense.
How Trump's ICE Is Locking Up Longtime Texans with Paths to Legal Status
The case of one Houston man, nearly deported to India after a quarter-century here, shows what happens when prosecutorial discretion is abandoned.
www.texasobserver.org
February 14, 2026 at 4:04 PM
Our top story: After over 25 years in the U.S., and despite raising a family here and having a path to citizenship, Moizali Momin was nearly deported to India. He spent months in cramped, dirty detention centers at taxpayer expense.
Reposted by JLRay
In his confirmation hearings, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told U.S. senators that he would not cut funding for vaccine research or change the nation's official vaccine recommendations. He did both. n.pr/46QDn9p
RFK Jr. made promises to get his job as health secretary. He's broken many of them
In his confirmation hearings, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told U.S. senators that he would not cut funding for vaccine research or change the nation's official vaccine recommendations. He did both.
n.pr
February 13, 2026 at 2:20 PM
In his confirmation hearings, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told U.S. senators that he would not cut funding for vaccine research or change the nation's official vaccine recommendations. He did both. n.pr/46QDn9p