JLRay
@jlray.bsky.social
4.3K followers 1.8K following 4.6K posts
Texas. Senior director of polling at YouGov. Adviser to Young Men Research Initiative. johnlray.github.io
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jlray.bsky.social
if you are concerned about the well-being of young men in the modern economy two uncomfortable facts you need to face are

1) young men do not believe college is a good value proposition
2) they are wrong, and no alternative learning models that could make them right currently exist
benansell.bsky.social
Really interesting article from @jburnmurdoch.ft.com but especially intriguing to me is the number of comments below that are essentially 'OK the data don't agree with my hunch but here's an unrelated statement that proves that I'm right about AI, the death of higher education, etc'
What the graduate unemployment story gets wrong
People with a degree are faring better, not worse than their non-graduate counterparts
www.ft.com
jlray.bsky.social
In retrospect, while it is quite a page turner, The Stand was not an optimal choice for holiday travel reading
Reposted by JLRay
jlray.bsky.social
weird, you failed to :(
jlray.bsky.social
The latest from YouGov (n ~ 2.5k). People still ain't buyin it.
Reposted by JLRay
joesudbay.bsky.social
the way Republicans are in sync on ranting about and attacking #NoKings is a tell. A big tell

they're worried about the growing popular protests underway against their King

Their own polls must be showing the backlash - and they
they know their dearl leader has dementia and is flailing
atrupar.com
Emmer: "This is about one thing and one thing alone -- to score political points with the terrorist wing of their party, which is set to hold a hate America rally in DC next week."
Reposted by JLRay
mtsw.bsky.social
When prices were going up under Biden there was a constant deluge of news stories about it because the media did not like Biden and wanted him to lose. Under Trump there is not a constant deluge of news stories about coffee prices because they like Trump and want him to win
delrayser.bsky.social
everything is on fire these days, sure, but how is it that 50% of all news stories are not about how I just spent $20 on a bag of store brand coffee at fucking costco
jlray.bsky.social
you're actually doing this though
jlray.bsky.social
Yes, Democrats have severe and worsening deficits among people who don't really enjoy following political news, as well as a reputation for scolding and lecturing people who don't have a good grasp of what we stand for. It's a real problem!
Reposted by JLRay
joshtpm.bsky.social
Second threat walked back after a couple days.
jlray.bsky.social
Again literally the exact opposite has been happening for months, there is an entire post you can read about it if you are interested
jlray.bsky.social
a lot of people made a bad choice in 2024 and will be looking for a better alternative in the future, and a trivia question with a correct answer is, Is that fact a threat or is that fact an opportunity
jlray.bsky.social
a lot of these "brave truth tellers" are EXTREMELY obedient followers of their metrics. as soon as they caught a scintilla of evidence that young men were hopping off the trump train, they decided it might be time to change course

that's a good thing
jlray.bsky.social
I think some people have been in denial about the scale of the opportunity here but these guys have been quietly turning against Trump since like April

open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
Reposted by JLRay
jlray.bsky.social
The latest at YMRI: Think sports gambling is bad? Wait until you see how political prediction markets are targeting young men - and eroding trust in civic participation

youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/political-...
Political Prediction Markets are Dangerous for Young Men and Democracy
And possibly, our democracy
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
jlray.bsky.social
The latest at YMRI: Think sports gambling is bad? Wait until you see how political prediction markets are targeting young men - and eroding trust in civic participation

youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/political-...
Political Prediction Markets are Dangerous for Young Men and Democracy
And possibly, our democracy
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
Reposted by JLRay
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
It's difficult at times to hold both "this admin is doing lasting and serious damage to our institutions and the globe" and "this admin is full of the most bafflingly incompetent idiots you've ever seen who fall over themselves like a Vaudeville act constantly."

The duality of man is incredible.
jlray.bsky.social
I'm sorry, Donald Trump declaring "Antifa" to be a foreign terror organization for the sixth time across two presidencies doesn't get to ruin your day anymore. The man's brain is toothpaste.
Reposted by JLRay
jackjenkins.me
Oh — new reporting on Pope Leo from El Paso Matters, citing footage they have of yesterday's meeting.

Sounds like the pope was even *more* forceful in urging U.S. bishops to speak out about immigration than first reported.

I mean, that's…not subtle. elpasomatters.org/2025/10/08/e...
“I was struck at the beginning (of the video), it talks about the feeling of powerlessness, which I think is so much. I think it’s so important that we as a church give a message of hope in the midst of these horrible struggles, what’s going on in so many cities in the United States right now. At least the church cannot be silent,” the pope told the El Pasoans, according to a video of the meeting provided to El Paso Matters by Hope Border Institute.

Seitz responded: “You’ve spoken very strongly. We’re trying to do the same in our country and yet not get into the political fray the best that we can.”

Pope Leo told Seitz that he’d like to see the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops become more vocal on immigration issues.

“I mean, even within the conference, there are challenges. That’s one place they should be … I wish they were stronger in their own voice,” Leo said, adding that Archbishop Timothy Broglio, the president of the conference, should speak out more on immigration.

“There’s been some good movement in that sense, but I certainly intend to continue to encourage” U.S. bishops to address immigration, Leo said.