Jonathan Horowitz
@jonathanhorowi1.bsky.social
Sociology sometimes. Goal is to be the most boring poster on the internet. I can't believe I have to say this, but these views are mine alone.
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
Still reeling from the Stanford report on Brexit. Reduced GDP by up to 8% and investment by as much as 18%. The UK Treasury would have £40 billion more each year if Britain had remained in the EU. Devastating self-immolation.
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Other
siepr.stanford.edu
November 24, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Still reeling from the Stanford report on Brexit. Reduced GDP by up to 8% and investment by as much as 18%. The UK Treasury would have £40 billion more each year if Britain had remained in the EU. Devastating self-immolation.
The correct interpretation of "two cloves of garlic"
November 25, 2025 at 2:53 PM
The correct interpretation of "two cloves of garlic"
Anecdotally, it looks like other sites are overwhelmed as well. I could never tell where the safe injection sites were before half of them were shut down and now it's pretty obvious.
NEW: Months after many supervised injection sites were shut down, Toronto is reporting an increase in “visible substance use on the street" and “open use of substances in public spaces.” #ToPoli #ONpoli
globalnews.ca/news/1154127...
globalnews.ca/news/1154127...
Toronto reports more visible drug use after supervised injection sites closed down - Toronto | Globalnews.ca
The City of Toronto is reporting an increase in visible drug use in the wake of the Ford government's decision to pull funding for several safe-injection sites earlier this year.
globalnews.ca
November 25, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Anecdotally, it looks like other sites are overwhelmed as well. I could never tell where the safe injection sites were before half of them were shut down and now it's pretty obvious.
When I first learned to cook: I didn't know what a "clove" of garlic was, so I chopped up two whole heads of garlic instead of two cloves. And that was how I learned that every recipe needs more garlic than it says in the ingredients.
My aunt who famously can’t cook tried to make a pumpkin pie. She didn’t know what cloves were, so she put garlic cloves in it. Whole.
November 25, 2025 at 2:39 PM
When I first learned to cook: I didn't know what a "clove" of garlic was, so I chopped up two whole heads of garlic instead of two cloves. And that was how I learned that every recipe needs more garlic than it says in the ingredients.
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
🚨We analyzed 138 million geocoded property tax records to quantify how municipal boundaries spatially overlap onto economic segregation in every US metro area—creating disparities in localities’ ability to fund public goods. And we made an interactive map of our results! [1/16]
November 24, 2025 at 4:31 PM
🚨We analyzed 138 million geocoded property tax records to quantify how municipal boundaries spatially overlap onto economic segregation in every US metro area—creating disparities in localities’ ability to fund public goods. And we made an interactive map of our results! [1/16]
People have such a hard time wrapping their heads around the fact that India is much larger than your country*. Much, much larger.
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*except China
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*except China
The location ID on twitter revealing that 99% of the horrible shit on that website is just posted by people in India honestly soothed me a lot. Its literally all just fake.
November 24, 2025 at 4:07 PM
People have such a hard time wrapping their heads around the fact that India is much larger than your country*. Much, much larger.
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*except China
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*except China
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
Why did I visit the Facebook pages of 5500 German grocery stores on a grey lockdown day ca. 2021?
You can now find out in AJS.
Our work on ethnoreligious infrastructures is finally online in the ominous Volume 0:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
You can now find out in AJS.
Our work on ethnoreligious infrastructures is finally online in the ominous Volume 0:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
November 24, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Why did I visit the Facebook pages of 5500 German grocery stores on a grey lockdown day ca. 2021?
You can now find out in AJS.
Our work on ethnoreligious infrastructures is finally online in the ominous Volume 0:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
You can now find out in AJS.
Our work on ethnoreligious infrastructures is finally online in the ominous Volume 0:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
I just got done convincing a person that you don't have to fend off wild animals every week in my part of Canada and now I'm going to have to start all over again
www.bbc.com/news/article...
www.bbc.com/news/article...
Grizzly bear on loose after attacking school group in Canada, injuring 11
A male teacher "got the whole brunt" of the attack and some children were hit with bear spray.
www.bbc.com
November 22, 2025 at 6:06 PM
I just got done convincing a person that you don't have to fend off wild animals every week in my part of Canada and now I'm going to have to start all over again
www.bbc.com/news/article...
www.bbc.com/news/article...
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
I will never let them take the em dash from me—they’ll have to pry it from my cold, dead hands
November 20, 2025 at 11:05 PM
I will never let them take the em dash from me—they’ll have to pry it from my cold, dead hands
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
@ivancanzio.bsky.social with a DIY poster from our TARGETS project at the great 'Analytical Sociology' conference in Venice!
November 19, 2025 at 9:42 PM
@ivancanzio.bsky.social with a DIY poster from our TARGETS project at the great 'Analytical Sociology' conference in Venice!
Positional goods rule everything around me (P.G.R.E.A.M.)
New article in @sfjournal.bsky.social with @mvaldes1989.bsky.social and I. Lievore on the effect of edu expansion among parents on children's achievement
Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands among parents?
Short answer: yes
1/2
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands among parents?
Short answer: yes
1/2
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands? The withering performance and advantage of their children
Abstract. Extensive research has examined the effect of educational expansion in one cohort on educational inequality and occupational returns in that same
academic.oup.com
November 17, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Positional goods rule everything around me (P.G.R.E.A.M.)
Having researchers train the next generation makes it so that the system is not dependent on any one person who might turn out to be a predator (which happens sometimes) or dead (which always happens at some point). Nobody is irreplaceable. We shouldn't even *want* to be irreplaceable.
But also people in academia act like the leading scholars are critical to the entire field. That's not true. It's a system and they were in the right place at the right time. What is the worst thing that will happen if we never heard from Lawrence Summers again? I can't think of anything *at all*.
November 16, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Having researchers train the next generation makes it so that the system is not dependent on any one person who might turn out to be a predator (which happens sometimes) or dead (which always happens at some point). Nobody is irreplaceable. We shouldn't even *want* to be irreplaceable.
This is something that academics don't always understand. Nothing *any* of us do is valuable enough that we should keep our jobs if we harass our students and colleagues. Firing a person like Summers is always a win.
5/ Please do not suggest that there is any sense in which Summers contributions are unique or essential, that is simply nonsense. It is not how social science works, with exceptions too rare to disprove a general rule.
November 16, 2025 at 4:50 PM
This is something that academics don't always understand. Nothing *any* of us do is valuable enough that we should keep our jobs if we harass our students and colleagues. Firing a person like Summers is always a win.
SUVs are an example of "positional goods." If you have an SUV, you can see out over all the other cars. Unless everyone else has an SUV, in which case you need a bigger SUV. The good provides a literal position, as long as no one else is aiming for the same physical location.
![4-panel vertical comic. (1) 100 Years Ago [two people standing next to bicycle with small car nearby] PERSON 1: It’s too dangerous riding a bike with these cars around. I should get a car, too. (2) 50 Years Ago [two people between smaller car and bigger car] PERSON 2 with short hair: Small cars are less safe in collisions with larger vehicles, so I should get a bigger one. (3) Today [two people between big car and even bigger car] PERSON 1: Everyone has huge SUVs now. If I don’t get the biggest one, I’m putting my family at risk. (4) Soon [two people next to large armored car with spiked clubs attached] PERSON 2: If I don’t install more whirling spike clubs, I’ll be destroyed by all the other drivers who...](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cz73r7iyiqn26upot4jtjdhk/bafkreiby6can6k76yzfmv2czxs4pu2l7zie7bqbrpswi7h3ifmiadkuqvu@jpeg)
November 14, 2025 at 10:45 PM
SUVs are an example of "positional goods." If you have an SUV, you can see out over all the other cars. Unless everyone else has an SUV, in which case you need a bigger SUV. The good provides a literal position, as long as no one else is aiming for the same physical location.
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
Something absolutely perfect about Larry Summers riffing about the scourge of woke cancel culture being unfair to predatory men in a friendly email to his pal JEFFREY EPSTEIN.
November 13, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Something absolutely perfect about Larry Summers riffing about the scourge of woke cancel culture being unfair to predatory men in a friendly email to his pal JEFFREY EPSTEIN.
I've been struggling to articulate this point, but this does it well. If we care about omitted variable bias (or collider bias, or model fit, or theory...) then it makes no sense to run a regression on every possible set of variables.
Billions of regressions ≠ robustness.
My new PNAS Letter shows how unjustified models can drown out justified ones — and why thoughtful model selection matters👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
My new PNAS Letter shows how unjustified models can drown out justified ones — and why thoughtful model selection matters👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
November 11, 2025 at 7:12 PM
I've been struggling to articulate this point, but this does it well. If we care about omitted variable bias (or collider bias, or model fit, or theory...) then it makes no sense to run a regression on every possible set of variables.
It's really hard to take a big research university seriously that doesn't have a statistics program. The content is foundational to at least a dozen different other academic programs in Arts & Sciences alone. They're basically running up the white flag.
November 11, 2025 at 4:18 PM
It's really hard to take a big research university seriously that doesn't have a statistics program. The content is foundational to at least a dozen different other academic programs in Arts & Sciences alone. They're basically running up the white flag.
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
wait until you see what happens after the 3rd vote
November 8, 2025 at 3:30 PM
wait until you see what happens after the 3rd vote
I am not sure I have seen *any* movie more than seven times. But if I did, it was this one because my HS friend owned it and put it on whenever I came over.
November 2, 2025 at 10:19 PM
I am not sure I have seen *any* movie more than seven times. But if I did, it was this one because my HS friend owned it and put it on whenever I came over.
What we need is boosters for our sociology departments.
with the firing of Hugh Freeze at Auburn, US universities now owe nearly $200 million to ex-football coaches
the amount US universities are paying non-working football coaches will soon top $140 million, if you thought we were gonna cure cancer or something any time soon
November 2, 2025 at 10:10 PM
What we need is boosters for our sociology departments.
Went down a rabbit hole and found this embarrassment. This is not "AI Fluency," it is outsourcing the work of being a student.
Don't talk to me about teaching "AI Fluency" if everything on the list involves putting words into a chatbot and reading the result.
ai.osu.edu/learn-ai
Don't talk to me about teaching "AI Fluency" if everything on the list involves putting words into a chatbot and reading the result.
ai.osu.edu/learn-ai
Learn with AI | Artificial Intelligence at Ohio State
ai.osu.edu
October 24, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Went down a rabbit hole and found this embarrassment. This is not "AI Fluency," it is outsourcing the work of being a student.
Don't talk to me about teaching "AI Fluency" if everything on the list involves putting words into a chatbot and reading the result.
ai.osu.edu/learn-ai
Don't talk to me about teaching "AI Fluency" if everything on the list involves putting words into a chatbot and reading the result.
ai.osu.edu/learn-ai
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
Academia rewards originality, as long as it looks exactly like what came before.
October 24, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Academia rewards originality, as long as it looks exactly like what came before.
I had been looking for the right way to put this, but this sums it up well. It's currently harder to come up with threats to inference than to run a billion regressions, but the former is also a lot more valuable.
When there is a random way to do something, there is a less random way that is better but requires more thought. In this case, regression models that make no sense don't belong in a multiverse analysis. An inferential regression without a causal justification is like an opinion without reasons.
October 23, 2025 at 4:48 PM
I had been looking for the right way to put this, but this sums it up well. It's currently harder to come up with threats to inference than to run a billion regressions, but the former is also a lot more valuable.
Reposted by Jonathan Horowitz
When there is a random way to do something, there is a less random way that is better but requires more thought. In this case, regression models that make no sense don't belong in a multiverse analysis. An inferential regression without a causal justification is like an opinion without reasons.
October 23, 2025 at 4:34 PM
When there is a random way to do something, there is a less random way that is better but requires more thought. In this case, regression models that make no sense don't belong in a multiverse analysis. An inferential regression without a causal justification is like an opinion without reasons.
I am reacting badly to every part of this. Using proxy variables to solve an unsolveable mathematical problem? Trying to automate your way out of making hard theoretical choices? Calling period effects "time"?!
October 22, 2025 at 9:45 PM
I am reacting badly to every part of this. Using proxy variables to solve an unsolveable mathematical problem? Trying to automate your way out of making hard theoretical choices? Calling period effects "time"?!