Leonardo Monasterio
@lmonasterio.bsky.social
Brazilian Economist at @ipeaonline; professor at @SejaIDP; @CNPq_Oficial
Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others)
https://sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio
#econsky
Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others)
https://sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio
#econsky
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
451, a revista dos livros… Matéria sobre o nosso livro (A Loteria do Nascimento), por Anna Carolina Venturini
quatrocincoum.com.br/resenhas/des...
quatrocincoum.com.br/resenhas/des...
A origem da diferença
Michael França e Fillipi Nascimento mostram, em narrativa simples e eficaz, como o local de nascimento, e não o mérito, dita destinos no Brasil
quatrocincoum.com.br
January 29, 2026 at 11:51 PM
451, a revista dos livros… Matéria sobre o nosso livro (A Loteria do Nascimento), por Anna Carolina Venturini
quatrocincoum.com.br/resenhas/des...
quatrocincoum.com.br/resenhas/des...
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Nossa, sim, esse "dado" é reproduzido toda hora e não tem lastro científico nenhum. É um levantamento informal feito a partir de notícias de mortes da população trans no Brasil.
EI, VOCÊ, PESSOA TRANS:
SUA. EXPECTATIVA. DE. VIDA. NÃO. É. 35. ANOS.
A MÉDIA DE IDADE DE VÍTIMAS TRANS DE ASSASSINATOS NO DOSSIÊ FEITO PELA ANTA (🫏) SOBRE VIOLÊNCIA CONTRA PESSOAS TRANS EM 2016 QUE ERA 35 ANOS.
MÉDIA DIA DE IDADE DAS VÍTIMAS DE ASSASSINATO.
NÃO EXPECTATIVA DE VIDA.
SUA. EXPECTATIVA. DE. VIDA. NÃO. É. 35. ANOS.
A MÉDIA DE IDADE DE VÍTIMAS TRANS DE ASSASSINATOS NO DOSSIÊ FEITO PELA ANTA (🫏) SOBRE VIOLÊNCIA CONTRA PESSOAS TRANS EM 2016 QUE ERA 35 ANOS.
MÉDIA DIA DE IDADE DAS VÍTIMAS DE ASSASSINATO.
NÃO EXPECTATIVA DE VIDA.
January 29, 2026 at 11:26 PM
Nossa, sim, esse "dado" é reproduzido toda hora e não tem lastro científico nenhum. É um levantamento informal feito a partir de notícias de mortes da população trans no Brasil.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
New post: What is the impact of AI on productivity?
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
What is the impact of AI on productivity?
Reconciling the micro and the macro evidence
aleximas.substack.com
January 29, 2026 at 7:31 PM
New post: What is the impact of AI on productivity?
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
friend of mine is an undocumented immigrant and has been hiding in Melania theaters bc he knows people assume no one is in there
January 29, 2026 at 9:34 PM
friend of mine is an undocumented immigrant and has been hiding in Melania theaters bc he knows people assume no one is in there
Engano meu ou o papa está caladinho sobre os crimes do Ice?
January 29, 2026 at 7:36 PM
Engano meu ou o papa está caladinho sobre os crimes do Ice?
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
New evidence from Chile finds that in-situ slum upgrading delivers larger gains in local economic development, both within treated slums and in surrounding neighbourhoods, at a lower cost than policies that relocate slum populations elsewhere.
Read today's article to learn more:
Read today's article to learn more:
January 29, 2026 at 1:33 PM
New evidence from Chile finds that in-situ slum upgrading delivers larger gains in local economic development, both within treated slums and in surrounding neighbourhoods, at a lower cost than policies that relocate slum populations elsewhere.
Read today's article to learn more:
Read today's article to learn more:
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Prenderam o Olavo!
When you arrest a criminal a little bit too late, but don't want to miss a photo-op
January 29, 2026 at 12:23 PM
Prenderam o Olavo!
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Just learned about this study looking at methodological trends in psych and econ over time: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art....
Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.
Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.
January 29, 2026 at 9:41 AM
Just learned about this study looking at methodological trends in psych and econ over time: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art....
Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.
Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.
Claude Code é fantástico
Spending more time with Claude Code tonight and I do think one basic reality is that AI skeptics need to update their priors: Plenty of cause for concern, plenty of room to hit these companies for unethical behavior, resource demands, etc, but we are so, so far past the era of "stochastic parrots"
Move Over, ChatGPT
You are about to hear a lot more about Claude Code.
www.theatlantic.com
January 29, 2026 at 10:58 AM
Claude Code é fantástico
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
recorded a Windows 95 full disk defrag to soothe your timeline.
January 29, 2026 at 9:48 AM
recorded a Windows 95 full disk defrag to soothe your timeline.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
If only they'd accepted his application to art school...
January 29, 2026 at 9:36 AM
If only they'd accepted his application to art school...
Que disco!
Na primeira audição, você já sabia que o rock não seria mais o mesmo
Na primeira audição, você já sabia que o rock não seria mais o mesmo
The Jesus and Mary Chain from East Kilbride. Debut album 'Psychocandy' released in 1985.
Pic: Andrew Catlin
Pic: Andrew Catlin
January 29, 2026 at 10:37 AM
Que disco!
Na primeira audição, você já sabia que o rock não seria mais o mesmo
Na primeira audição, você já sabia que o rock não seria mais o mesmo
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
A study on Recursive Language Models (RLMs) shows they can process inputs up to 100 million tokens, vastly outperforming standard LLMs. RLMs allow models to decompose and recursively query longer prompts, marking progress in handling complex long-context tasks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24601
Recursive Language Models
ArXiv link for Recursive Language Models
arxiv.org
January 29, 2026 at 8:31 AM
A study on Recursive Language Models (RLMs) shows they can process inputs up to 100 million tokens, vastly outperforming standard LLMs. RLMs allow models to decompose and recursively query longer prompts, marking progress in handling complex long-context tasks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24601
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Tesla profits tumble.
Tesla reported a 61% drop in fourth-quarter profits on Wednesday due to lower auto sales and increased expenses as CEO Elon Musk ramps up technology investments
u.afp.com/SBty
Tesla reported a 61% drop in fourth-quarter profits on Wednesday due to lower auto sales and increased expenses as CEO Elon Musk ramps up technology investments
u.afp.com/SBty
January 29, 2026 at 4:17 AM
Tesla profits tumble.
Tesla reported a 61% drop in fourth-quarter profits on Wednesday due to lower auto sales and increased expenses as CEO Elon Musk ramps up technology investments
u.afp.com/SBty
Tesla reported a 61% drop in fourth-quarter profits on Wednesday due to lower auto sales and increased expenses as CEO Elon Musk ramps up technology investments
u.afp.com/SBty
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Moltbot, the AI agent that ‘actually does things,’ is tech’s new obsession
Moltbot, the AI agent that ‘actually does things,’ is tech’s new obsession
What could go wrong, or right?
buff.ly
January 27, 2026 at 11:30 PM
Moltbot, the AI agent that ‘actually does things,’ is tech’s new obsession
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
London’s murder rate is at its lowest since comparable records began. That makes the city safer than Paris, Berlin and New York. Discount the inflammatory content on social media
London is far safer than violent viral videos will have you believe
Contrary to social-media lore, it is one of the safest cities in the world
econ.st
January 29, 2026 at 8:00 AM
London’s murder rate is at its lowest since comparable records began. That makes the city safer than Paris, Berlin and New York. Discount the inflammatory content on social media
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
'Taxi' and 'cab' essentially mean the same thing, but 'cab' doesn't come from 'taxicab.'
It comes from ‘cabriolet,’ which was a type of light carriage.
‘Taxi’ comes from ‘taximeter,’ which is the device that calculates the amount of a fare based on the distance traveled.
It comes from ‘cabriolet,’ which was a type of light carriage.
‘Taxi’ comes from ‘taximeter,’ which is the device that calculates the amount of a fare based on the distance traveled.
January 28, 2026 at 8:42 PM
'Taxi' and 'cab' essentially mean the same thing, but 'cab' doesn't come from 'taxicab.'
It comes from ‘cabriolet,’ which was a type of light carriage.
‘Taxi’ comes from ‘taximeter,’ which is the device that calculates the amount of a fare based on the distance traveled.
It comes from ‘cabriolet,’ which was a type of light carriage.
‘Taxi’ comes from ‘taximeter,’ which is the device that calculates the amount of a fare based on the distance traveled.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
I'm sometimes accused of “political bias" for statements I make in my books, and I'll admit it's 100% true: I'm politically biased in favor of empirical reality and reasoning.
When too many lack such a bias, things like this happen: www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/h... #dataViz #infographics #dataJournalism
When too many lack such a bias, things like this happen: www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/h... #dataViz #infographics #dataJournalism
January 28, 2026 at 9:41 PM
I'm sometimes accused of “political bias" for statements I make in my books, and I'll admit it's 100% true: I'm politically biased in favor of empirical reality and reasoning.
When too many lack such a bias, things like this happen: www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/h... #dataViz #infographics #dataJournalism
When too many lack such a bias, things like this happen: www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/h... #dataViz #infographics #dataJournalism
👏👏👏👏
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
Stay free
Stay free
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
youtu.be
January 28, 2026 at 9:33 PM
👏👏👏👏
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Canaries in the coal mine. Worth paying attention to.
(And yes, they are both obviously interested in seeing their own products used, but hearing enough from other, independent coders that make me believe them. I wrote more about the shift here: www.oneusefulthing.org/p/management...)
(And yes, they are both obviously interested in seeing their own products used, but hearing enough from other, independent coders that make me believe them. I wrote more about the shift here: www.oneusefulthing.org/p/management...)
January 28, 2026 at 8:56 PM
Canaries in the coal mine. Worth paying attention to.
(And yes, they are both obviously interested in seeing their own products used, but hearing enough from other, independent coders that make me believe them. I wrote more about the shift here: www.oneusefulthing.org/p/management...)
(And yes, they are both obviously interested in seeing their own products used, but hearing enough from other, independent coders that make me believe them. I wrote more about the shift here: www.oneusefulthing.org/p/management...)
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
This week’s #TidyTuesday dives into Brazilian company data 🗺️
🎻Below is a violin plot showing how share capital varies by legal structure
🔗 Code: github.com/C-Monaghan/t...
#RStats #dataviz #ggplot2
🎻Below is a violin plot showing how share capital varies by legal structure
🔗 Code: github.com/C-Monaghan/t...
#RStats #dataviz #ggplot2
January 28, 2026 at 10:55 AM
This week’s #TidyTuesday dives into Brazilian company data 🗺️
🎻Below is a violin plot showing how share capital varies by legal structure
🔗 Code: github.com/C-Monaghan/t...
#RStats #dataviz #ggplot2
🎻Below is a violin plot showing how share capital varies by legal structure
🔗 Code: github.com/C-Monaghan/t...
#RStats #dataviz #ggplot2
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Notícia da @folha.com
"Empresário amigo de Toffoli foi sócio de resort após saída de irmãos do ministro"
Link sem paywall ⬇️
"Empresário amigo de Toffoli foi sócio de resort após saída de irmãos do ministro"
Link sem paywall ⬇️
Empresário amigo de Toffoli foi sócio de resort após saída de irmãos do ministro
Alberto Leite diz que operação foi regular e lucrativa e que nunca possuiu vínculos societários ou relações comerciais com Toffoli
sem-paywall.com
January 28, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Notícia da @folha.com
"Empresário amigo de Toffoli foi sócio de resort após saída de irmãos do ministro"
Link sem paywall ⬇️
"Empresário amigo de Toffoli foi sócio de resort após saída de irmãos do ministro"
Link sem paywall ⬇️