Mario Nicolais
@marionicolais.bsky.social
The Lincoln Project General Counsel; Attorney; Inky-thumbed columnist at The Colorado Sun; defender of constitutional rights; soccer nut and American Outlaw
Pinned
Mario Nicolais
@marionicolais.bsky.social
· Dec 12
Democrats’ redistricting efforts must focus on January 2029 to avoid another Trump insurrection
Under the Twentieth Amendment, new congressional representatives will be seated three days before the next January 6th - Democrats must do everything they can to win seats before then
open.substack.com
I know everyone is excited about Indiana rebuffing Trump.
But in the redistricting wars started by Republicans, Democrats cannot get caught up focusing on November 2026. It is January 3, 2029 that matters the most.
I explain why in my free Substack today.
open.substack.com/pub/marionic...
But in the redistricting wars started by Republicans, Democrats cannot get caught up focusing on November 2026. It is January 3, 2029 that matters the most.
I explain why in my free Substack today.
open.substack.com/pub/marionic...
Couldn’t think of a better way to honor MLK than by going to the Aurora ICE Detention Facility to meet with pro bono clients today.
January 20, 2026 at 12:24 AM
Couldn’t think of a better way to honor MLK than by going to the Aurora ICE Detention Facility to meet with pro bono clients today.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
This is Dulce Consuelo Diaz Morales
She is 22 years old and has a U.S. birth certificate
ICE detained her for -25 days- and now is being forced to wear an ankle monitor by ICE because they question her citizenship status
She is 22 years old and has a U.S. birth certificate
ICE detained her for -25 days- and now is being forced to wear an ankle monitor by ICE because they question her citizenship status
January 19, 2026 at 4:03 AM
This is Dulce Consuelo Diaz Morales
She is 22 years old and has a U.S. birth certificate
ICE detained her for -25 days- and now is being forced to wear an ankle monitor by ICE because they question her citizenship status
She is 22 years old and has a U.S. birth certificate
ICE detained her for -25 days- and now is being forced to wear an ankle monitor by ICE because they question her citizenship status
It looks like a golden version of the nightmare Corinthian from Sandman …
January 19, 2026 at 4:40 PM
It looks like a golden version of the nightmare Corinthian from Sandman …
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
Every hour of the past year has been another Republican offering up the post-2020 “What is the downside for humoring him for this little bit of time?” quote in some new context.
January 19, 2026 at 4:57 AM
Every hour of the past year has been another Republican offering up the post-2020 “What is the downside for humoring him for this little bit of time?” quote in some new context.
Only going get the most dangerous criminals …
Sunday, at least 7 ICE agents stormed a house and took an elderly man out into the freezing cold, wearing only his underwear and a blanket.
He was a member of the Hmong community, which came to the area from Laos in the 1970s after siding with the US in the Vietnam War.
Notice the suppressors
1/2
He was a member of the Hmong community, which came to the area from Laos in the 1970s after siding with the US in the Vietnam War.
Notice the suppressors
1/2
January 19, 2026 at 4:34 PM
Only going get the most dangerous criminals …
I dunno that I’d say ICE eye professionals, but “Troublemakers, Agitators, and Insurrections”?
Sure.
Sure.
January 19, 2026 at 3:49 AM
I dunno that I’d say ICE eye professionals, but “Troublemakers, Agitators, and Insurrections”?
Sure.
Sure.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
The absolute accuracy of this.
January 18, 2026 at 10:23 PM
The absolute accuracy of this.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
Pew Research Institute (2023):
• Red State Texas has about 2.1 million undocumented immigrants
• Red State Florida has 1.6 M undocumented immigrants
• Blue State Minnesota has 130,000.
And yet only Minnesota is being occupied by masked thugs over "immigration."
It's *not* about immigration.
• Red State Texas has about 2.1 million undocumented immigrants
• Red State Florida has 1.6 M undocumented immigrants
• Blue State Minnesota has 130,000.
And yet only Minnesota is being occupied by masked thugs over "immigration."
It's *not* about immigration.
January 18, 2026 at 9:03 PM
Pew Research Institute (2023):
• Red State Texas has about 2.1 million undocumented immigrants
• Red State Florida has 1.6 M undocumented immigrants
• Blue State Minnesota has 130,000.
And yet only Minnesota is being occupied by masked thugs over "immigration."
It's *not* about immigration.
• Red State Texas has about 2.1 million undocumented immigrants
• Red State Florida has 1.6 M undocumented immigrants
• Blue State Minnesota has 130,000.
And yet only Minnesota is being occupied by masked thugs over "immigration."
It's *not* about immigration.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
Politicians & some media outlets have latched onto a narrative that recent immigrants, especially undocumented, are causing spikes in crime.
Research does not support the view. In fact, immigrants might have less law enforcement contact compared to native-born Americans.
Research does not support the view. In fact, immigrants might have less law enforcement contact compared to native-born Americans.
Debunking the Myth of the ‘Migrant Crime Wave’
Data does not support claims that the United States is experiencing a surge in crime caused by immigrants.
www.brennancenter.org
January 18, 2026 at 10:41 PM
Politicians & some media outlets have latched onto a narrative that recent immigrants, especially undocumented, are causing spikes in crime.
Research does not support the view. In fact, immigrants might have less law enforcement contact compared to native-born Americans.
Research does not support the view. In fact, immigrants might have less law enforcement contact compared to native-born Americans.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
BRENNAN: What percentage of those you have in custody have committed crimes?
NOEM: 70% of them
B: It's not 70%
N: Yes it is. You guys pick and choose numbers
B: Your agency says 47% have criminal convictions
N: Wrong again. We'll get you the correct numbers
B: Well, that's from your agency
NOEM: 70% of them
B: It's not 70%
N: Yes it is. You guys pick and choose numbers
B: Your agency says 47% have criminal convictions
N: Wrong again. We'll get you the correct numbers
B: Well, that's from your agency
January 18, 2026 at 3:42 PM
BRENNAN: What percentage of those you have in custody have committed crimes?
NOEM: 70% of them
B: It's not 70%
N: Yes it is. You guys pick and choose numbers
B: Your agency says 47% have criminal convictions
N: Wrong again. We'll get you the correct numbers
B: Well, that's from your agency
NOEM: 70% of them
B: It's not 70%
N: Yes it is. You guys pick and choose numbers
B: Your agency says 47% have criminal convictions
N: Wrong again. We'll get you the correct numbers
B: Well, that's from your agency
🤣🤣🤣
January 17, 2026 at 4:13 PM
🤣🤣🤣
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
BLOCK them.
ICE is here on Bluesky to investigate YOU and ME
January 17, 2026 at 3:07 PM
BLOCK them.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
NEWS: A federal judge found that ICE had repeatedly retaliated against peaceful protesters in unconstitutional ways — and barred agents involved in Minnesota's "Operation Metro Surge" from using similar tactics and force.
w/ @joshgerstein @hassankanu
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
w/ @joshgerstein @hassankanu
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
January 17, 2026 at 1:55 AM
NEWS: A federal judge found that ICE had repeatedly retaliated against peaceful protesters in unconstitutional ways — and barred agents involved in Minnesota's "Operation Metro Surge" from using similar tactics and force.
w/ @joshgerstein @hassankanu
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
w/ @joshgerstein @hassankanu
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
Now that we’re all about “complying with the law” re Minnesota, does that extend to complying with the law re Epstein files?
January 17, 2026 at 1:48 AM
Now that we’re all about “complying with the law” re Minnesota, does that extend to complying with the law re Epstein files?
How many American farmers are going to wish they lived in a socialist, free-trade country like Canada where they actually care about farmers?
NEWS: Canada just checkmated the United States.
Breaking with the U.S., Canada has struck a major deal with China: Ottawa will cut its 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles in exchange for dramatically lower tariffs on Canadian farm products.
Breaking with the U.S., Canada has struck a major deal with China: Ottawa will cut its 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles in exchange for dramatically lower tariffs on Canadian farm products.
January 17, 2026 at 1:17 AM
How many American farmers are going to wish they lived in a socialist, free-trade country like Canada where they actually care about farmers?
💯 true. This is the problem.
I see little difference between clemency for Peters and pardoning J6 insurrectionists. Except she was in a position to do far more, lasting institutional damage.
I see little difference between clemency for Peters and pardoning J6 insurrectionists. Except she was in a position to do far more, lasting institutional damage.
You absolutely cannot separate the possibility of clemency for Tina Peters from stuff like this. Every individual act of defiance by state and local Dems raises the cost and degree of difficulty of federal coercion. Every concession normalizes it and incentivizes more, across the board.
Breaking news: The Justice Department has issued subpoenas for Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey as part of an investigation alleging that they are impeding federal law enforcement officers’ abilities to do their jobs in the state.
January 17, 2026 at 1:15 AM
💯 true. This is the problem.
I see little difference between clemency for Peters and pardoning J6 insurrectionists. Except she was in a position to do far more, lasting institutional damage.
I see little difference between clemency for Peters and pardoning J6 insurrectionists. Except she was in a position to do far more, lasting institutional damage.
The more analysis and camera angles provided, the more evident it becomes that (1) Ross did not get "hit" but for him stretching out his own hand toward Good's SUV, and (2) the Trump administration is lying over and over.
www.nytimes.com/video/us/100...
www.nytimes.com/video/us/100...
Video: Video Analysis of ICE Shooting Sheds Light on Contested Moments
Newly available videos and existing footage synchronized and assessed by The Times provides a frame-by-frame look at how an ICE officer ended up shooting and killing a motorist in Minneapolis.
www.nytimes.com
January 16, 2026 at 10:38 PM
The more analysis and camera angles provided, the more evident it becomes that (1) Ross did not get "hit" but for him stretching out his own hand toward Good's SUV, and (2) the Trump administration is lying over and over.
www.nytimes.com/video/us/100...
www.nytimes.com/video/us/100...
A reminder: you might be right on Epstein and still a horrible human being.
Nancy Mace: "What's traumatic is ramming an ICE agent with your vehicle. What's not traumatic is that ICE agent's self-defense and shooting the driver that tried to call him."
January 16, 2026 at 5:07 PM
A reminder: you might be right on Epstein and still a horrible human being.
💯
"There comes a point where we have to start questioning whether or not he’s actually aware of what’s happening around him & the harm he’s doing. It’s similar to historical figures like Nero or Caligula. Their madness took over & they started doing wildly destructive things. Trump is in that place."
Simon Rosenberg on Trump’s no good, very bad year
"It’s grotesque. He’s become a grotesque figure."
www.publicnotice.co
January 16, 2026 at 5:03 PM
💯
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
“The president got information from people he trusted on other issues. He rejected it whenever it didn’t fit him staying in office,” Jack Smith said. “…any time any information came in that would mean he could no longer be president, he would reject it.” www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...
'Bad advice': Republicans criticize Trump's policies without going directly at him
Republicans frequently say those around Trump are giving him "bad advice" as a way to disagree with his policies while avoiding blaming him.
www.nbcnews.com
January 16, 2026 at 1:25 PM
“The president got information from people he trusted on other issues. He rejected it whenever it didn’t fit him staying in office,” Jack Smith said. “…any time any information came in that would mean he could no longer be president, he would reject it.” www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...
That is a technical, legal term of art.
"I’ll be blunt: The brief is really assholeish."
@benjaminwittes.lawfaremedia.org discusses the Justice Department's recent brief responding to a judges inquiry as to why the name Lindsey Halligan keeps appearing on government briefs with the title “United States Attorney.”
@benjaminwittes.lawfaremedia.org discusses the Justice Department's recent brief responding to a judges inquiry as to why the name Lindsey Halligan keeps appearing on government briefs with the title “United States Attorney.”
The Situation: A Temper Tantrum in a Legal Brief
Even when the Justice Department is right, it manages to behave with wild impropriety.
www.lawfaremedia.org
January 15, 2026 at 7:56 PM
That is a technical, legal term of art.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
JUST IN: New ACLU class action lawsuit in Minnesota seeks to bar ICE from stopping Latino and Somali residents without probable cause. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
January 15, 2026 at 5:47 PM
JUST IN: New ACLU class action lawsuit in Minnesota seeks to bar ICE from stopping Latino and Somali residents without probable cause. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
Isn't the GOP the "pro-life" party?
Not sure that is consistent with what ICE is doing right now.
Not sure that is consistent with what ICE is doing right now.
His 6 month old stopped breathing!
HIS SIX MONTH OLD STOPPED BREATHING!
A father was getting his kids out of the neighborhood because it was unsafe & ICE threw flash bangs & tear gas at his car with children & a baby inside!
His 6 month old stopped breathing & all the children were hospitalized!
HIS SIX MONTH OLD STOPPED BREATHING!
A father was getting his kids out of the neighborhood because it was unsafe & ICE threw flash bangs & tear gas at his car with children & a baby inside!
His 6 month old stopped breathing & all the children were hospitalized!
January 15, 2026 at 7:55 PM
Isn't the GOP the "pro-life" party?
Not sure that is consistent with what ICE is doing right now.
Not sure that is consistent with what ICE is doing right now.
Reposted by Mario Nicolais
When Google cuts off the headline at the proper place.
January 15, 2026 at 3:03 PM
When Google cuts off the headline at the proper place.