Pat Hastings
@ophastings.bsky.social
2.9K followers 190 following 140 posts
Sociologist at Colorado State University | Parenting, Inequality, Stratification, Econ Soc, Family Demography, Quantitative Methods, Computational Social Science, whatever seems interesting right now… https://ophastings.com
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ophastings.bsky.social
New paper! "The Fall and Rise of Parental Financial Investments During the COVID-19 Pandemic" in the Journal of Marriage and Family.

We examine parental spending on children during the pandemic (compared to 2015-2019) to understand what changed and why. Highlight thread👇

doi.org/10.1111/jomf...
<em>Journal of Marriage and Family</em> | NCFR Family Science Journal | Wiley Online Library
Objective This research note investigates changes in American parents' financial investments in children during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as whether and how changes in parents' spending varied ...
doi.org
ophastings.bsky.social
OA Preprint for “Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank” on @socarxiv.bsky.social: osf.io/preprints/so...

Replication package: github.com/ophastings/c... (data via @kjhealy.co's incredibly convenient gssr package)

(5/5)
GitHub - ophastings/childhood-income-rank
Contribute to ophastings/childhood-income-rank development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
ophastings.bsky.social
So what? Retrospective reports are useful to measure intergenerational mobility and childhood effects. But that's a problem if current circumstances shape reports of the past. Here we don’t have “true” childhood measures, so we can only examine patterns of instability in repeated measurements. (4/5)
ophastings.bsky.social
We also found these patterns were much stronger for males than females, suggesting recall bias of childhood income rank may be larger for men and more anchored by present-day experiences. (3/5)
Coefficient plot from separate fixed effects models by respondent sex shows all effects are more pronounced for males than for females.
ophastings.bsky.social
Surprisingly (to us, anyway) these changes were *not* associated with corresponding changes in one’s current income. Instead, they were associated with shifts in *subjective* indicators of current social status. (2/5)
Coefficient plot from fixed effects models shows childhood income rank is not associated with income, negatively associated with financial satisfaction, and positively associated with perceived relative income.
ophastings.bsky.social
The GSS asked the same people about their childhood income rank three different times. 56% changed their answer, even though what was trying to be measured couldn’t change! We dig into this in a new article at @socialindicators.bsky.social. 



doi.org/10.1007/s112...

🧵👇 (1/5)
Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank - Social Indicators Research
How we remember our past can be shaped by the realities of our present. This study examines how changes to present circumstances influence retrospective reports of family income rank at age 16. While retrospective survey data can be used to assess the long-term effects of childhood conditions, present-day circumstances may “anchor” memories, causing shifts in how individuals recall and report past experiences. Using panel data from the 2006–2014 General Social Surveys (8,602 observations from 2,883 individuals in the United States), we analyze how changes in objective and subjective indicators of current social status—income, financial satisfaction, and perceived income relative to others—are associated with changes in reports of childhood income rank, and how this varies by sex and race/ethnicity. Fixed-effects models reveal no significant association between changes in income and in childhood income rank. However, changes in subjective measures of social status show contrasting effects, as increases in current financial satisfaction are associated with decreases in childhood income rank, but increases in current perceived relative income are associated with increases in childhood income rank. We argue these opposing effects follow from theories of anchoring in recall bias. We further find these effects are stronger among males but are consistent across racial/ethnic groups. This demographic heterogeneity suggests that recall bias is not evenly distributed across the population and has important implications for how different groups perceive their own pasts. Our findings further highlight the malleability of retrospective perceptions and their sensitivity to current social conditions, offering methodological insights into survey reliability and recall bias.
doi.org
ophastings.bsky.social
Reviewer 1
Reviewer 2
Reviewer 3
jowolff.bsky.social
My reaction to reading papers outside my own area. Three categories:

1. Brilliant
2. Obvious
3. Impenetrable
Reposted by Pat Hastings
vincentab.bsky.social
This is a paper I really care about. I feel the core message is very important for social scientists in general, and political scientists in particular.

"Quantitative Research in Political Science is Greatly Underpowered."

(with A+ co-authors)
ophastings.bsky.social
I only tested your Bluesky-registered hypothesis. 😉 But agree if there's indeed a null effect (or even if there is something) to publish, would want to try some other religion measures and some subgroup analyses (class, age, race...).
ophastings.bsky.social
Here's attendance vs looks by gender with all three years. Not a lot of action...
Figure showing no relationship between religious service attendance and physical attractiveness.
ophastings.bsky.social
Forthcoming!🍾
ophastings.bsky.social
Fun new project! The 2006-2014 GSS had rotating 3-wave panels. Only 44% gave the same answer each time about childhood income rank, even though what was being measured couldn't change. We unpack this in a new working paper: osf.io/preprints/so...

Feedback welcome!🤗

@socarxiv.bsky.social #sociology
First page of "Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank"
ophastings.bsky.social
If you want to tag I think you have to write it all out: @socarxiv.bsky.social
Reposted by Pat Hastings
fabianpfeffer.bsky.social
Thank you, Herman. It was fun to put it together and I find the contributions impressive. The last few will be coming online shortly and then the full special issue will be out soon. Complete line-up below, quick summaries here: doi.org/10.1177/0049...
Reposted by Pat Hastings
crahal.com
🔥Coming July 2: 'Metrics and Models'!🔥

A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society.

🌍 Open to *ALL*!
🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online)
🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io
📬 [email protected]

Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!
Reposted by Pat Hastings
selcanmutgan.bsky.social
🧵1/8
In our new #OA article, we studied the drivers of ethnic school segregation.
Research on segregation often points to parental preferences, but what if it's not just about what parents want, but also what options they actually have?

🔗 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf027
Reposted by Pat Hastings
davebrady72.bsky.social
How much of the "long arm of childhood" works thru intergenerational stratification?

Almost all for some health outcomes like psychological distress and self-rated health, but a lot less for others like severe chronic conditions. Heart attacks and stroke are in between.
readdemography.bsky.social
“Mediating Role of Intergenerational Stratification in the Long Arm of Childhood Income”: With @umpsid & mediation techniques, @davebrady72 et al find "adult income is a key mediator in the...r’ship btw childhood income & mature adult health.” @priceschool.usc.edu
read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
Reposted by Pat Hastings
weedenkim.bsky.social
Good news! Release 1 of the 2024 GSS is available for download.

The 2024 GSS, like 2022, uses web, in-person, and phone modes. For some variables this can complicate analyses of trends. See documentation.

Still a prob sample & gold standard survey w/ high resp rates (by contemporary standards).
Get the Data | NORC at the University of Chicago
gss.norc.org
Reposted by Pat Hastings
ophastings.bsky.social
I'm presenting tomorrow (early morning for me in Colorado; afternoon for Sweden). This is a Zoom talk, so anyone is welcome!
iasliu.bsky.social
Excited to announce the agenda for the IAS Seminar Series this spring 2025! Don’t miss our stellar lineup of speakers—everyone’s welcome to join! 🌟 #AcademicSky #Sociology #CSS
ophastings.bsky.social
Great stuff. Thanks for connecting so much current research together!

But got to say it… isn’t this figure you posted one of those bar graphs where the x-axis doesn’t start at zero and so visually it massively exaggerates the change?
Reposted by Pat Hastings
asa-ipm.bsky.social
The IPM section will once again be hosting a mentoring event at ASA in Chicago this year - Saturday, August 9 (12:00-1:30pm). Registration for the event is open to the first 40 graduate students who sign up.

Grads can register here: urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=htt...