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Breathin' Orange Fire

@orangefire.bsky.social

820 followers 390 following 4.2K posts

Astros Fan. Analytics Guy. Read my Substack: OrangeFire.Substack.com "Your calm, rational, logical takes have no place in this world, Brian."

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · Nov 10

I write a Substack on the Astros that sketches out my thoughts and analysis in greater detail than social media allows.

I'd ask each of you to consider subscribing to the Substack--it is and always will be free.

orangefire.substack.com

Orange Fire | Orange Fire (Brian Arbour IRL) | Substack

Analysis and opinion on the Houston Astros. Click to read Orange Fire, by Orange Fire (Brian Arbour IRL), a Substack publication with hundreds of subscribers.

orangefire.substack.com

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 19h

Mariners bats were bad this series. Tiger bats were worse.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

That's how MAGA baseball players are.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

I heard you. I respect your opinion. and i'm jealous that you're getting to go through it.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

So many stories in this game. So compelling to watch.

So much to watch it with my team not in it. Yep, this sucks.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

This may go 28 innings instead.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

If the Mariners lose this in the 18th, I will laugh so hard.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

If the Mariners lose this in the 18th, I will laugh so hard.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Props to Adam Amin for the Aurelio Lopez "Senor Smoke" shoutout. Astros legend. Somewhere up there, Milo is smiling. And probably mispronouncing Amin's name.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Better than the results based approach I'm seeing on so many accounts.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

This is encouraging. My Jewish kid may also be able to get this reference once day.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Pulled him apparently.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Wait until we get to Toronto and the turf.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Stealing this for LSU purposes.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Kirby isn't better than his A bullpen. Pulling him was correct.

For right now, Skubal is better than his A bullpen.

Of course, the question for AJ is when does Skubal get so tired he's worse than his bullpen.

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Goodness. Cal Raleigh had the greatest hitting season of a catcher in my lifetime.

And Skubal just blew him away with fastball. Absolutely no respect for Raleigh.

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Skubal 1 batter away from 3rd time through the order. At 85 pitches.

We'll see how long AJ lets him go.

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Pitch execution by Speier was the issue. Thigh high. Too much of the plate.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

The third time through the order penalty is very real.

Managers would manage this way in the regular season if they had as many off days as they do in the playoffs.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

I'm looking forward to seeing her resignation letter.

I'm not looking forward to seeing right-wing posters turn her resignation into martyrdom...again.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 1d

Ms. Corina Machado has not been able to tear down the tyranny of the Maduro regime

Mr. Altuve has been able to tear down the tyranny of the Yankee regime.

SMH.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

Missed strike 3 calls led to walks in both LAD run scoring innings. Mattered as much as it could.

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

Dudes, can I offer y'all a hug?

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

What was that? What did he do?

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

I'm pretty sure in your day job, part of it is telling people what happened and part of it is telling them what's going to happen.

"Clutchness" only tells you what happened, but it's a huge part of the story.

Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

But, us Sabr types find that these stats are not very predictive. We don't think some players are clutch, just that clutch hits exist.

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Breathin' Orange Fire @orangefire.bsky.social · 2d

Yes. Here are Altuve's "Clutch Stats" via the Baseball Reference.

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